Bishops doubling down

I've written a post with twenty-one facts about the Iran war, trying to summarize the entire mess. One important point, Iran CAN render Israel uninhabitable any time it chooses. www.ianwelsh.net/twenty-one-s...

Every girl and young woman should take at least a year of Brazilian Ju Jitsu. It's useless in a street or bar fight, but no other martial art teaches you how to avoid rape better.

The End of the Game by @thomasneuburger.bsky.social h/t @ianwelsh.bsky.social neuburger.substack.com/p/the-end-of...

Robots are going to change martial arts, because they will allow full force training against things like joints, necks and genitals. You'll actually be able to train the most dangerous techniques safely.

Every day I get up, check the Iranian American war news and conclude that American elites are not only stupider than I imagine, but stupider than I can imagine.

If you do not want your writing to be seen as AI, whether it is or not, do not use this format: "This isn't bluffing; it's doctrine." Normal people almost never write like this. (Though I suppose people will start copying AI even when not using it, alas.)

There is no fertility crisis. Humanity is in population overshoot (that's what so many species going extinct tells you, tards.) Fertility dropping is good, and a smaller population will lead to higher standards of living. Ignore the natalists. They're morons.

Never thought I'd be rooting for an Islamic theocracy to win, writing that Ansar Allah is the most moral government in the world, and seeing Spain and Ireland being the only ethical nations in the entire Western world.

Prices for a lot of things are going to rise significantly soon, and in many cases there will be shortages or zero supply entirely. If you can, stock up now and check your power situation: is your country going to keep the grid functional? www.ianwelsh.net/personal-con...

Reminder, this is the biggest geopol even of any of our lives. The Iran war is the end of the Global American Empire, it'll still be a regional great power for a while, but the Empire is dying as you watch.

Best thing I ever read about what a good economy is, is that it's when you can start a cat cafe with a bookshop and it's viable.

Ehrlich just underestimate how long a system can stay in overshoot before it crashes out. The ecological version of "the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent." The hate for him from tech bros is over-wrought. Climate change and ecological collapse exist.

What's the best type of beer to cook a pork stew or pot roast in?

A very conservative estimate of the number of books I have read in my life is 10,500. 5 books a week over 50 years. This is conservative. Just recently I read four books in one day. This is typical of real readers, not unique to me.

In other news that no one followed me to hear, the best RPG world is Glorantha, nothing else comes close and I will fight to the death for the truth of this opinion.

As much as I like Cyberpunk (played the original Cyberpunk 2020 when it came out) I've always thought that Shadowrun was a better game with better world building, at least while the original FASA still owned it.

First step of reducing suffering: I don't have to care what other people think. Second step: I don't have to care what I think. Despite what some self-help types will say, these two steps will not end suffering. This is the low hanging fruit.

I've always wanted to be a fanatic. To know the truth, to know I'm right and in the right. Never been able to manage it. (This is sincere. I would love that level of certainty.)

My big analytical mistake of the last few years was that I thought the Resistance would stop the Gaza genocide. I was right that Iran + everyone else was strong enough, what I didn't realize is that Iran wouldn't fight to stop a genocide. It would only fight to save itself.

Ian Welsh My friends, be of moderate cheer. As Will Schryer has said, America has a one shot military, and this is the shot. They're losing. This is the last major war of the American Empire. They'll try and retain hegemony in the Americas, but the global empire is over.

It's not WWIII. The requirement for WWIII is that China or Russia face off directly against America. Now that could happen yet if Israel or the US is stupid enough to nuke Iran but it hasn't happened yet.

Being accused to anti-semitism doesn't make you good, but if you haven't been accused of anti-semitism you're definitely bad.

Making a post free on substack requires the reader to download the app and read there. For web-readers who prefer a computer and don't use a netbook with android, this is a big ask & I've never once done it. Just a word to substack writers.

With the way Iran is smashing all the worst regimes in the world, doom scrolling has turned into joy scrolling.

The only moral way to judge people is on their actions. Group membership, clothes, religion should all mean nothing. If you rape, torture, commit genocide or support those who do you're evil and should have all power taken from you. It's that simple.

The EU has the spine of a jellyfish and the survival instincts of a lemming.

My position on genocide: Genocide is the worst crime in existence. If you support it you're filth. If you helped it materially, prison is the least you deserve. Personally I think you should be hanged from the neck like Nazis at Nuremberg. If you think this is too much, you're the problem, not me

There are no chosen people. You are not fucking special and your lives are not worth more than anyone else's. If your "God" gave you permission or ordered you to kill children, then your God is a demon and you are filth.

There are no chosen people. You are not fucking special and your lives are not worth more than anyone else's. If your "God" gave you permission or ordered you to kill children, then your God is a demon and you are filth.

Playing the original SSI fantasy general. Still the best military fantasy game ever created and one of the best soundtracks in gaming history.

My father once said to me, "Ian, are you just going to become some loser who reads books all day?" Yes Dad, I am and I did.

Well, so far I've been right, in advance, about everything major in the Iran war. If you want to know in advance what the future holds, read my blog. ianwelsh.net

so, next time they are in power, i think democrats should ask themselves real serious questions about whether they want to continue considering bids and accepting contracts from an organization that has made eradicating half the country an explicit political goal

As long as Synagogues raise money for Israel, recruit soldiers for Israel and auction land stolen from Palestinians, yes, they are going to be a target for violence, because they helping Israel commit genocide. All of them should be shut down and their rabbis/officers charged w/genocide.

Humanity cannot survive if Israel and America survive.

On today’s episode of Cartoonishly Overt Sign We’re the Baddies: they’re taking the olive branch off the dime because it presents peace

For many years I have said “Rich people kill you for money” because we watched them do it. They killed with a pen in a thousand ways. They polluted to earn more money, they withheld healthcare to earn more money, they went to war to earn more money. It’s what they do.

Amazingly, Democrats rarely point this out, let alone explain how it works.

I was told that a bombing campaign is needed to free her from a fascist government that controls what women can wear.

In what way is Iran NOT overwhelmingly winning right now? They sacrificed a lot, an unbearable cost honestly, but their plan to kick US out of the region has been nearly flawless so far. All that is left is essentially a few embassies & the US colonial project Israel & they may be crumbling.

Sudanese army taking back Sudan now UAE stopped funding RSF terrorists bc they are under attack. Iran doing god's work all round, literally putting pause to malicious CIA activity in the region. This is what being "PUT ON NOTICE" looks like I think, we had yet to see it in real life but this is it.

In the larger strategic position, this is genuinely the end of the American global Empire. The US had a “one shot” military, to use Will Schryer’s term, and this is the shot. www.ianwelsh.net/iran-is-winn...

A nice change from all the pro-natal propaganda: archive.is/90YoU

n=1, but what I will say for serious meditation is that it worked for me. I'm not enlightened, but despite being fat, ugly, old, poor and being on my 4th bout with cancer I'm happy most of the time, far happier than when I was young, handsome, well off and healthy. Iife=weird

NPR and (surprise) even Fox News are reporting similarly on this issue. www.npr.org/2026/03/01/n...

Iran roundup: Gulf states will soon be out of interceptors, Europe is acting against its own interest, the math of who wins, and much more. t.co/2kjbcaIOi5

The numbers are astounding. 2025 production of US interceptors. The US CANNOT win this war if Iran just keeps going. 620 Patriot 39 SM-3 96 Thaad.

Iran WILL win the war if they keep going. They have more missiles and drones than Israel and the US have interceptors. It is that simple. www.ianwelsh.net/the-simple-m...