I am related to Francis Galton geni.com/03l_Kv

A new short film from me - Lucy Letby and the Witch Hunt Machine. The official inquiry into Lucy Letby was set up to learn lessons. Is it looking in the right places? Contains new interviews with @gill1109.bsky.social and Private Eye's MD Phil Hammond. youtu.be/nNl1kNysKgw

When reading the literature on the Two-Envelope "Paradox" I got annoyed by how much confusion is created by treating probabilities very informally. Glad to see that my former maths teacher @gill1109.bsky.social agrees! (doi.org/10.1111/anzs...)

This is absolutely spot on. But so, equally, is the converse: anyone who (rightly) supports Palestine, but not Ukraine, cannot and should not be taken seriously.

We need to salute courage wherever it appears. The official snow reporter at Vermont's Sugarbush, where JD Vance came on a skiing vacation this weekend, pointed out in her snow report this a.m. that the Trump team is ignoring climate change. Her report was pulled down kottke.org/25/03/jd-van...

Hanging Judge Goss the reason #lucyletby was found guilty, the witch finder General in a Spanish inquisition inspired trial. No way was Lucy escaping the hangman's noose. He allowed Lucy to be denigrated and pilloried by the prosecution without a shred of evidence. Appalling miscarriage of justice.

youtu.be/hERUOjjPO4c Thoughts from the churchyard on the #LucyLetby case. Triage. TTTS. Witchhunt.

@gabyhinsliff.bsky.social The Lucy Letby spike stopped immediately when the unit was demoted to Level 1, number of beds reduced, & 2 ward rounds a day instead of per week. They went on to fix the plumbing and to hire a neonatologist… (1/2)

And there it is - the police determined an event to be suspicious if it Lucy Letby was on duty. Anything bad on any other shift was ignored. Lucy was the member of staff working the most with the sickest babies. The CPS blocked any statistical analysis. I wonder why. @gill1109.bsky.social

Happy Christmas!

Who wrote the medical records used to convict Lucy Letby? In some instances, consultants who were already blaming Lucy for earlier deaths … in particular, guess who. circularityandbias.wordpress.com/2024/12/20/w...

Another NHS cover up years ago in Swansea … and Dewi Evans involved. Brilliant journalism by John Sweeney and colleagues. youtu.be/QSTQ4pwt9zM

Absolutely, nobody behaves the way she did unless innocently.

Thoughts on the 16 December press conference by Mark McDonald youtu.be/RpYgEjep1oY Brilliant move! In cases like #LucyLetby impossible to find evidence, new in the legal sense. But erasure of existing evidence is also “new evidence”. Dewi Evans cancelled. Goss made a mistake allowing him to testify

Conversation with Mark Mayes on the Lucy Letby case. youtu.be/ykhtDWDefqU #lucyletby

🦋 ‘X’ turns dark, and the Sky turns Blue The move from X to Bluesky – a lesson on how progressives can take back control By Lisa Burton @lisaburton.bsky.social

www.theguardian.com/society/2024... Maybe a hundred million coming up when the truth about #lucyletby is accepted

I decided it was time to find out if this year’s sloe gin was a success. Answer:yes. Amazing aroma of … almonds. Colour not as deep as I’d expected.

Brilliant video. youtu.be/clvuNWxIKjQ “In the wake of the Post Office Horizon scandal, will Lucy Letby be revealed as the latest victim of a miscarriage of justice? A look at three biases that lie at the heart of both cases.”

Bad bar charts are pervasive across biology Scientific ‘shorthand’ could be introducing data distortions into published papers. Amanda Heidt writes Nature. www.nature.com/articles/d41...

@gabyhinsliff.bsky.social If you believe Lucy Letby is a killer, it is impossible to understand her character. It does not make any sense. But if you believe she could be innocent, her personality and all the evidence makes perfect sense. www.theguardian.com/books/2024/d...

Astonishing paper from John O'Quigley on how the misuse of statistics invents serial killer nurses. A rigorous statistical analysis reveals Lucy Letby was suspected because of her overtime. "Put in more hours than anyone else and you may end up in prison for the rest of your life".

osf.io/nk9da Logical & statistical errors in investigation & prosecution of suspected serial killer nurses, by John O’Quigley, Honorary Professor, University College London, Dept Statistical Science. Lucy Letby, Lucia de Berk, Daniela Poggiali. History just keep on keeps repeating itself

“True crime brewery” two excellent podcasts/youtube videos on the Lucy Letby case . Part 1 is at youtu.be/Bui0Ol-7DrE, Part 2 is at youtu.be/vsVze_V6UAw

In the rainforest, the morning after #StormDarragh: one of several 'casualties'. But in ecosystem terms, tree falls like this are fantastic, injecting ecological dynamism that will benefit *so* many living things. 🌎

The rise of neorealism. niasinjorina.wordpress.com/2022/02/18/t... Brilliant essay by @niasinjorina.bsky.social A mathematics teacher and novelist, publishes on Amazon.co.uk

#lucyletby, state of play. Lucy Letby’s new barrister Mark McDonald is preparing an application to the CCRC. Sir David Davis MP is preparing action in the House of Commons. Lucy’s last appeal application was refused because it was based on science that was “known” prior to her trials. (1/2)

Ah, my old university did its utmost to protect its young male students from evil women. www.theguardian.com/society/2024...

I just binge watched La Brea series 1. It has everything that this brilliant review promises! My favourite: survivors find a beautiful crop of oyster mushrooms growing out of a dead tree. One shouts “they’re chicken of the woods, they’re edible!”. www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio...

Lucy Letby and the displaced breathing tubes. Lawyers, police and journalists need to talk to statisticians. circularityandbias.wordpress.com/2024/10/23/l...

On the beach (part 3) youtu.be/N4iDZ7fY2PE Last morning on Texel. This stormy weather is nothing to the storm which will erupt when Lucy Letby is exonerated #freedom4lucy

Lucy Letby "why would I talk to you lying bastards @cheshirepolice.bsky.social ? Go do one and talk to my lawyer, give him your questions and I'll discuss my answers with him, if I have anything to say". #lucyletby

From a moral point of view the doctors position is worse. They "really" felt it was murder and did nothing much at all for years.

The consultants and management were in the wrong if they had concerns they should have insisted the entire neonatal ward should close and there should be a detailed police investigation. It seems criminal that the consultants and managers did nothing if they REALLY felt it was murder.

And how is this even in the public interest to bring more implausible charges. Spend millions on further court cases, when the individual is serving 15 whole life terms. Something extremely disturbing with how this case been handled. #LucyLetby #UnsafeConviction

youtu.be/DUSXj0Tvq6Y #lucyletby #freedom4lucy Today’s thoughts, part 1, on the beach. I must redo this without my talking head - voice is enough - so we can focus on the surroundings.

"Lucy voluntarily attended an interview; she was not arrested. Lucy continues to maintain her innocence and as she has said throughout she has never and would never harm any child". (2/2)

They are still coming for her. Lucy Letby's defence lawyer Mark McDonald has said: "The police have been briefing about further enquiries for over a year. Any allegations need to be taken seriously so we are only surprised by the timing of this new leak from the police". (1/2)

Brazen. Cheshire police have questioned Lucy Letby over more deaths, while the original trials look increasingly like one of the biggest miscarriages of justice in British history. Here's just 14 things the original jury didn't know. youtu.be/Wqe4dEuK128

Here we go, Cheshire Police next desperate move. www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024...

It's that time of the time where I find the Yoruba word for "urine planet" to name an interesting ammonia atmosphere world in the 61 Cygni B system which has an indigenous fungal ecosystem. But the planet does smell. #worldbuilding #astrosynthesis

Over a 20 year period in the UK how many hospitals have unusual spikes in deaths for no apparent one single reason? I suspect if you put people randomly in prison for life for all of them there would be no doctors or nurses left in the UK.

Surely it is. You cant same some nonsense about an X-Ray then say its now something else... That wipes him out entirely in most people eyes. The x-ray was beyond nuts.

This is all non-sequitur and sexist crap.

You dont know that it WASN'T statistics. You don't know what bits of "evidence" the jurors used to convict Lucy Letby.. It could easily be the misleading chart that showed Letby was statistically most likely to be the killer (if there was a killer) Anyway perhaps read this: bsky.app/profile/gill...