Hmmmmmm #mapoli

Has anyone gone through and checked E.J. Antoni's dissertation for plagiarism? Cause it would be very funny if he plagiarized.

A Diddler on the roof. Sounds crazy, no? But here, in our little island of Epstein you might say every one of us is a Diddler

🧵 The data you have all been waiting for! The NYC mayoral primary WITHOUT batch elimination (and some early analysis) 1) Zohran's first round (469,642) would have been enough to win against Cuomo's final round (443,229)

Okay, I've got some questions about the region definitions in the new Suffolk Boston Mayoral Poll

Did you ever wonder what the 2021 NYC mayoral looked like as a Sankey Diagram? Well, wait no longer

The reason Cuomo and Generic White finance guy keep going after the Israel thing is because it is likely their only play for actually harming Mamdani. It's cynical politics at its worst and it's why voters distrust politicians so damn much.

As a Jew and a political operative, it's really fucking disgusting to watch Israel be a topic in the NYC mayors race. If we learned anything in 2024 it's that voter were laser focused on the economy. Any time you spend talking about Israel in this race is an insult to voters and tokenizing to jews

Okay, now Bloomberg is endorsing Cuomo and I'm afraid I manifested too hard

Jeez, Cuomo really did suggest Obama was Shucking and Jiving

Ether the man who refuses to pronounce your name right @zohrankmamdani.bsky.social

✨Manifesting for the NYC mayoral debate✨

Assuming all the votes are done being counted, that's roughly an 81% reduction in votes cast compared to the November presidential

This is an incredible burn rate without any TV spending from Kraft. Wu is much closer to normal for this part of the year, and had cash on hand already.

678 laps of racing watched and now I am tired

Somehow this is not AI

Cool shell formation on my beach walk

Latin translation: “He has eaten our dogs”

The pope is a Leo here is what his zodiac sign means for the church...

Papum PC small group 🛐🙏📿

The Catholic church just held an entire election cycle quicker than California counts like half their votes

The need to choose Pierbattista Pizzaballa for pope

I want a Lego F1 car so badly

Chunk Norris is cheering for Chunk of Gold in the Derby because they have the same first name

Damn, the #f1 TV direction is SO bad. The race win is on the line with Oscar coming out of the pits. First to the safety car line wins. They show the safety car line and then zoom in on the safety car and stop showing the relevant line...

Incredible. It appears as though I was right and they needed to form a PAC. The ironic part, is the only reason I even looked closer is because they threw shade at David Ortiz

Incredible, over on the bird site the AntiWuCoaltion twitter account appears to have just fully admitted to violating campaign fiance laws

Update! The AntiWuCoalition has removed their donation link. Glad they're working to be in compliance with the law. Free tip for whoever is running it, check with OCPF to see what you need to do be fully compliant They're the most useful agency in MA gov if you're proactive

Tim Scott pre-registering his chick-fil-a purchases is wild

It’s been a minute since I did MA campaign finance work, but I’m pretty sure that if you form an org to oppose a candidate and solicit contributions, you’re required to register with OCPF. It appears that “Bostonians Against Mayor Wu” hasn’t registered at all.

Me, an 8 track aficionado "Lorde, I hope there are tapes"

🧵 Measuring knowledge is one of the hardest tasks in question writing, and this example shows how seemingly good questions can miss. This seems like a reasonable question: "Here are 4 definitions—which one is correct?" If you know the answer, great, click it and move on 1/7

I haven't seen a fresh NYC mayoral poll to QT recently, but since Zohran is running his first ads tonight, figured I'd re-up my series on "what the polls said at this point in 2021" Adams had started to pick up steam Wiley and Garcia were both still in single digits

Jews born on April 16th really have the worst luck over the next 1000 years.

Jews born on April 16th really have the worst luck over the next 1000 years.

This formula seems wrong 🤣

Haven't seen this meme template in a while

My #F1 bold prediction for the #japanGP is so on

Baseball thought experiment from the GC. If you had a batter who was guaranteed to hit a home run every at bat, what is the optimal position for them in the line up?

I've watched Field of Dreams during spring training for 15+ years. Today it was pointed out that Doc Graham didn't do the heimlich when Karin is choking. Turns out this is historically accurate! Heimlich didn't publish his 1st paper on it until 1974. Doc Graham died in 1972

House Democrats right now

House Democrats right now

standing outside the grocery store and asking people for their impressions about eggs and eggs only an egg's-it poll

Sometimes folks treat 538 as synonymous with the forecast models, but a) the polling data they compiled was a huge undertaking that underpinned *so much other work* both inside and outside b) they did a phenomenal amount of nuanced, thoughtful writing about politics and public opinion

Gonna need him to pull a duo

I nominated my cat for my building's pet of the month. If he doesn't win, you know the contest is rigged

Leads to the very important question, is cordyceps kosher for passover?

Being a qual and quant practitioner is funny, because some days you'll be reading about biased estimators and others about postmodern perspectives on ethnographic texts

America has had it with these motherf----ing Chiefs in the motherf----ing Superbowl

Super Bowl so lopsided even the halftime show had a loser