1\ Russian 10-year debt yields are up to 15.86%. +0.7% in 7 days. Russia cancelled its bond auction this week because of "volatility". Every lost week means they need to find more money later to fill the gaping budget hole. I've warned about this before... OPINION THREAD:

1\ Zoom in: russian debt yields rising quickly still. 10-year debt over 16%. In this graph: up=worse for Russia, It means they have to pay more to borrow.

1\ I'm not sure how much I would expect the subsidies to directly "surge" compared with the changes we see in war spending + oil revenues. But this is an important point to watch. For one thing: Russia still imports a lot, and Putin seems terrified of inflation.

1/7 Here is a brief summary of the Russian economy in figures: Since the beginning of June, the ruble has lost 8–9% against currencies important to Russia—take the dollar as an example. Most of this loss occurred in just the last few days. (Source: TRADING ECONOMICS)

Jun 27, 2026: 5 days of Russian Federation Armed Forces losses (as reported by General Staff of the Armed Forces of #Ukraine) compared to the invasion average: Yellow is below average; Green is above average; the number is the ratio of the day’s losses over average. @anthrclfrnn.bsky.social

You're awake too, huh? Well let's start Saturday's daily thread, covering Day 1585 of Russia's war of choice. And I start early with dramatic news from deep inside Russia. No sleep yet - if you can spare enough for a coffee, I'll be very grateful 🙏 ko-fi.com/twmcltd

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Top trolling😆

23:35 | 26/06 Approximate flight routes of our UAVs: 🔴 Red arrows — directions of strike UAV movement; According to Russian sources, around 310 drones were reported, though these estimates and the displayed routes remain highly approximate.

Updated map of the regions of Russia where there are shortages of gasoline or diesel. As always it's worse in the occupied territories. Added 7 regions. Oryol, Buryatia, Bryansk, Novgorod, Krasnoyarsk, Novosibirsk and Yamal.

This is one of the lucky russians who signed a contract to kill Ukrainians. He was put through hell by his commanders, the very people who were supposed to give him the support needed to do the job he chose. Ukrainians captured him, allowed him to send a message to mom, and will help him live.

"Ukraine already has an equivalent of Israel's Mossad to ensure that Russian criminals receive exemplary punishment." — Kyrylo Budanov. tinyurl.com/js7snjpn

A benefit for Russians of not having petrol is that the petrol we don't have is completely free.

⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JUN 26, 2026 (1/3) ■ Engagements and casualties above the 7-day average; 🇷🇺 gains of 54 km² ■ 10th highest losses of unarmored vehicles (including fuel trucks); drone losses below average ■ ... 📈 See dashboard for full data: datastudio.google.com/s/kr1k2FjV8DQ

More evidence that Russia will probably not be able to get emergency fuel deliveries from Kazakhstan. The country is discussing the possible import of aviation fuel from Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan, and China. They were supposed to get 300 000 tons from Russia got 186 000.

Will the history books record that the russian collapse began, not with a bang, but waiting in line at the gas station? To quote an infamous Z blogger, time will tell.

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Novak said that the Russian government is considering banning the exports of diesel for refineries for several months. Today he will chair a meeting to discuss the situation on the fuel market.

Prices from an independent gas station chain in Irkutsk region in Irkutsk city. Gasoline starts at 135 rubles per liter and diesel at 165! Highest price I have seen inside Russia proper so far.

We went from "There's no threat of a gasoline shortage in Moscow" on Wednesday from the TV channel Moscow 24 to the city waking up to vast parts being without gasoline on Friday. Maybe this is the real 3 day operation...

I was wrong earlier. This is the highest diesel price I am yet to see in Russia proper. 200 RUBLES PER LITER! It's from Zabaykalsky kray.

Why hasn't Russia introduced a ban on the export of gasoline for refineries by now? I don't know I am guessing they're paralyzed or surprised by how quickly this stopped being a gasoline shortage and became a general fuel shortage. They should ban it today.

2.41 All Hail Hypnotoad theeasternborder.lv/podcast/2-41... youtu.be/W5qS9-ZTZ_w Glory to Hypnotoad. Donate to Ukraine: car4ukraine.com/campaigns/su...

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Meanwhile in Russia: state TV host Vladimir Solovyov was deeply unsettled by Russia's severe lack of drones. He told anyone who is weak and cowardly to sign up to join the assault troops, and disingenuously volunteered to join the army "as an old sniper." www.youtube.com/watch?v=4mYP...

No panic comrades. Putin will order his asset to have USAID send food just like in the 90s.

⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JUN 24, 2026 (1/3) ■ Engagements and casualties slightly below the 7-day average; no territorial changes confirmed ■ ... 📈 See dashboard for full data: datastudio.google.com/s/nk1DmQUqMmc

I don't want to imagine that braindead cartoon dogs could satiate their thirst with our tears. Those doggos pronounced this nonsense, not we. I don't even want to think about it, but that's how it turned out.

1/ Russian warbloggers have frequently called for the destruction of the bridges over the Dnipro to cripple Ukraine's ability to move troops and supplies. However, a recent Russian strike highlights why this hasn't happened: they keep missing. ⬇️

23:00 | 25/06 Approximate flight routes of our UAVs: 🔴 Red arrows — directions of strike UAV movement; According to Russian sources and our own estimates, around 300 drones were reported, including approximately 140 from the northern direction and 160 from the southern direction.

Whenever I hear someone claiming that USAID was evil from a leftist perspective, I hear someone saying “yes, millions ARE dying because Musk and Trump killed USAID, but at least they’ll die free of American imperialism.” Notably it is never the people saying this who are dying.

‼️ Russia: “Aircraft manufacturers promise Vladimir Putin that their planes, on which huge sums of money have already been spent, are about to take off.” A fun read from Kommersant’s version of “Lady Whistledown” featuring photo from our favorite Dmitry Azarov 🍿 www.kommersant.ru/doc/8764264

Remind me again who needs to be denazified.

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Which would win in a head to head naval battle? - A $20 billion legacy fleet with a Ford class carrier, air wing, and escorts. - A $20 billion USV fleet.

Updated map of the regions of Russia where there are shortages of gasoline or diesel. As always it's worse in the occupied territories. Added 7 regions for the last 3 days. These are Belgorod, Altai Krai, Kostroma, Sakhalin, Omsk, yes Omsk, Perm ans Smolensk.

Something to say about today before I go to bed. The cognitive dissonance on display today from the Kremlin was staggering. As airlines went public that they had fuel issues Putin talked about the urgent need to increase domestic airliner production .

🤭

23:35 | 24/06 Approximate flight routes of our UAVs: 🔴 Red arrows — directions of strike UAV movement; 🟢 Green arrows — directions of cruise missile movement; According to Russian sources, around 330 drones were reported, though these estimates and the displayed routes remain highly approximate.

In Ryazan region schools, municipalities, jails and hospitals are not finding companies to fulfill their fuel tenders. This is what is going to happen in the other regions soon enough and essential services will be impacted.

⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JUN 24, 2026 (1/2) ■ Engagements above the 7-day average but casualties below it; 🇷🇺 gains of 55 km² confirmed ■ Equipment losses include six tanks and three air defence systems ■ ... 📈 See dashboard for full data: datastudio.google.com/s/syAMgzUt_tg

Russia's stock market is crashing because it has been revealed the central bank printed 5 trillion rubles in fake money to prop up their banks and fill their budget gap.

Power is out in all of Sevastopol

Ukraine has successfully destroyed a critical Russian military factory in Voronezh that produced components for Russian drones and missiles. Crimea's power and fuel situation is critical as more Russians are choosing to evacuate Crimea.

He's even getting teens arrested for the innocent act of touching his failed Reflecting Pool

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