Hmmmmmmmmm. www.ft.com/content/1171...

I sincerely hope this is the last "energy crisis". How many times do we need to see that dirty fossil fuels - beside wrecking the climate - are, in fact, an economic and national security liability that can be 100% avoided.

Analysis: Why clean energy will cut UK gas imports by (much) more than North Sea drilling The latest debate over new licenses has been lacking one key ingredient: Perspective Here's our take in chart form – and I'm happy to debate the numbers www.carbonbrief.org/...

There are no words other than every single military member involved in this crime should be investigated: 150 children were killed by the US due to 'outdated' targeting data. My god.

That's about half of what it cost for USAID for a whole year www.nytimes.com/live/2026/03...

Evidently, the heart should go to Sicilians, including the 5k oil employees in Priolo. The blame should be on owners and sellers among weak regulators — the story of late-stage fossil capitalism in Sicily is similar to what @acalacino.bsky.social @hayleypring.bsky.social and I show here 👇

A world without energy shocks is possible. The UK really could help lead the way too.

This is what ecocide looks like.

This reflects other findings (www.nature.com/articles/s43...) suggesting Western cultures are now post-peak on climate change coverage/discussion. Concerning to see, but also, newspaper coverage is in particular elite driven. Level of attention is decided.

🔥Revised paper🔥 More regressions. More tests of mechanisms. Same story. Tldr: Brexit caused much regulatory uncertainty at a moment when UK state capacity was v weak, and hard-to-regulate companies (aka oil firms) did not think twice and generated a mess in the high seas. Now with full receipts ⬇️

Announcing the 2026 Political Economy of Climate and Environment (PECE) Conference! When: 9/2/2026 Where: Harvard CFP: www.pece-conference.org/cambridge-20... Submit your papers or apply to attend: forms.gle/6y7YUoxJ6HTsz4cy8 Sponsored by @weatherheadcenter.bsky.social and the Sala Institute

Rotted to the core. This level of corruption is the norm now, and that is tragic.

Brazil’s Amazon deforestation continues to decline into early 2026, with August–January clearing at its lowest for the period since 2014. Annual detected loss also fell to a 2014 low, with the Cerrado seeing declines too. Officials credit stronger enforcement, but long-term risks remain.

Don't skip the pretrends lecture folks.

My brother wanted a London pub crawl. The result? My new Substack post: "Britain Lost 14,000 Third Places. They were Called Pubs. Is Your Local Next?" How private equity reshaped the local, which pubs are most at risk and most importantly what to do about it. open.substack.com/pub/laurenle...

The Tony Blair Institute’s "Energy Strategy Reset" report released today is a perfect illustration of tensions and inconsistencies of the Climate Realism view that emerged in US and Europe since the return of Trump, as @jeffcolgan.bsky.social & I have recently argued in @iojournal.bsky.social 🧵 1/

It's ironic to see a discipline care **so much** about unbiasedness (causal inference!) at the level of a single test but then have a research production system and culture that is basically a ferocious bias generation machine. This is not good.

Only two months later, Lula's call for an "energy transition roadmap" has gone up in smoke (much like the Amazon in recent years...).

Bad Bunny “together we are America”

My suggestion is that the NY Times profile politicians who are not just thinking about kids detained by ICE, but actually doing something about it, rather than enabling it.

Amazing opportunity put on by some amazing people! Do check this out if it applies to you

New article! What makes Guatemalan citizens green? by Moises Arce, Ludovico Feoli, Tofigh Maboudi, Todd A. Eisenstadt & Felipe Girón. doi.org/10.1080/09644016.2025.2605805

Some good news this morning!

📣 Call for Papers: 🗓️ 23-24 April 2026 at LSE Submit full papers: forms.office.com/e/9qVWeNTK0p Please share with colleagues & early-career researchers!

New levels of national embarrassment, shame, and disgust unlocked.

It's a poly-crisis world and we're all living in it.

"It was totally just based on our physical appearance."

⌛ Reminder: Applications for the REPAL 2026 Graduate Student Workshop are due tomorrow! 🗓️ Deadline: January 15, 2026 🔗 Submit your application here: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F... 📌 For more information visit: redeconomiapoliticaamlat.com/annual-meeti...

Wait - corporations don't tell the absolute truth with regards to their emissions "reductions" claims? My world is shaken (and boiling, obvs). "Widespread revisions of self-reported emissions by major US corporations" www.nature.com/articles/s41...

With the world's eyes on US oil interests, let's not forget who benefits: The richest of the rich. Our research shows: 50% of the record fossil fuel profits in 2022 went to the wealthiest 1% of US Americans, the bottom 50% only received 1%. Link: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Toppling Maduro is not regime change - the number of US news media lazily reporting on what Trump says about running Venezuela is really odd given how little info there is coming in about the regime's other leaders: www.caracaschronicles.com/2026/01/03/w...

Agreed. Setting aside common in’tl law breaches: whatever happens to immediate global fossil fuel price (probably not much anyway), this whole war is based on the premise of (re)conquering oil assets and doubling down on the fossil age. This is in itself a win for Putin. bsky.app/profile/did:...

📢 UK-based early career researchers — looking for a strong way to kick off 2026? The Fellows in LSE’s Department of Government are organising an Early Career Workshop in late January. Submit your abstract now! 🗓️ Deadline: 28 December 2025 👉 Submit here: forms.gle/QukzsYDSM2Do...

I'm revising a paper that was rejected a while ago, and I forgot about this cursed comment from the one reviewer who sank my piece (the other 2 reviews recommended R&R btw). This reviewer had other reasons to reject, but frankly, I'm still shocked the editors took this person seriously.

Excellent analytical work from @restofworld.org @hazelgandhi.bsky.social @rinachandran.bsky.social here - on the construction of data centres in extremely hot parts of the world restofworld.org/2025/data-ce...

Recently, Brazil's Congress pretty much took a chainsaw to the country's environmental regulations. I think this news hasn't received enough attention - so I wrote a blog post that explores this important development, what it means, and how it came to be: anthonycalacino.com/posts/2025-1...

Today's migration stats illustrate the migration doom loop in action... (from my presentation at the IMF last week)

Good morning to Brazilian reporter Manuela Borges, who’s been waiting eleven years for this petty moment. ❤️ 🇧🇷

My worries about the host country Brazil being confirmed here. In some ways, Brazil has more in common with the petro-states trying to derail the roadmap on a phase-out (it is, after all, the 10th largest oil producer).

Many reasons to like this research, which seems to support my and co-authors prior that fossil fuel intensive regions (most of which are currently located in Global South) could be the cradle of climate politicization if it wasn’t for the v serious and targeted fossil fuel political activism there.

I'm looking forward to presenting today at Mannheim. At the start of COP30, debate about progress on climate change highlights the important role of grassroots activists; but they are often silenced. 👇 We want to understand when and why environmental defenders are victimized.

❗️ Tue, Nov 11, 12:15-13:30 CET 📍 A 231 and ZOOM MZES Speaker Series with @acalacino.bsky.social "Ballots, Bullets, and Trees: Election Timing and Violence Against Environmentalists" 👉 www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/even... 1/2

The irony being that Lula, while having done some good, is more talk than action on climate. Between a congress that is gleefully dismantling environmental protections and Lula's own doubling down on oil extraction, I don't see much credibility here. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Excited to spend this fall as a Visiting Researcher at the University of Mannheim, where I’ll also be presenting my research. Looking forward to great conversations and meetings. Many thanks to @melinscribe.bsky.social for the invitation and making this possible!

Climate disasters cost everyone. Governments don't plan to spend on natural disasters. US climate disaster spend is near $1trillion per year. Since 2000 increased insurance premiums, power outages, disaster recovery & uninsured damages exceed $7.7 trillion. #climaterisk #Auspol #USendofempire

I had the pleasure of reading this draft paper at a recent workshop, and it's a great contribution. Do check it out 👇

Reporting live from Chicago, there’s no “hellscape” I’d rather be in.

I know some who viewed Milei as a necessary evil, convinced that austerity and public sector cuts were needed to stabilize Argentina’s economy. Yet after denouncing the global elite and ‘collectivism,’ his government now depends on the US and IMF for support. www.ft.com/content/778e...

Oil and gas companies will often claim to be partners in the clean energy transition, when it is politically expedient to do so, but new research finds their actual contributions are marginal: www.nature.com/articles/s41...