Today's migration stats illustrate the migration doom loop in action... (from my presentation at the IMF last week)

Good morning to Brazilian reporter Manuela Borges, who’s been waiting eleven years for this petty moment. ❤️ 🇧🇷

My worries about the host country Brazil being confirmed here. In some ways, Brazil has more in common with the petro-states trying to derail the roadmap on a phase-out (it is, after all, the 10th largest oil producer).

Many reasons to like this research, which seems to support my and co-authors prior that fossil fuel intensive regions (most of which are currently located in Global South) could be the cradle of climate politicization if it wasn’t for the v serious and targeted fossil fuel political activism there.

I'm looking forward to presenting today at Mannheim. At the start of COP30, debate about progress on climate change highlights the important role of grassroots activists; but they are often silenced. 👇 We want to understand when and why environmental defenders are victimized.

❗️ Tue, Nov 11, 12:15-13:30 CET 📍 A 231 and ZOOM MZES Speaker Series with @acalacino.bsky.social "Ballots, Bullets, and Trees: Election Timing and Violence Against Environmentalists" 👉 www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/even... 1/2

The irony being that Lula, while having done some good, is more talk than action on climate. Between a congress that is gleefully dismantling environmental protections and Lula's own doubling down on oil extraction, I don't see much credibility here. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Excited to spend this fall as a Visiting Researcher at the University of Mannheim, where I’ll also be presenting my research. Looking forward to great conversations and meetings. Many thanks to @melinscribe.bsky.social for the invitation and making this possible!

Climate disasters cost everyone. Governments don't plan to spend on natural disasters. US climate disaster spend is near $1trillion per year. Since 2000 increased insurance premiums, power outages, disaster recovery & uninsured damages exceed $7.7 trillion. #climaterisk #Auspol #USendofempire

I had the pleasure of reading this draft paper at a recent workshop, and it's a great contribution. Do check it out 👇

Reporting live from Chicago, there’s no “hellscape” I’d rather be in.

I know some who viewed Milei as a necessary evil, convinced that austerity and public sector cuts were needed to stabilize Argentina’s economy. Yet after denouncing the global elite and ‘collectivism,’ his government now depends on the US and IMF for support. www.ft.com/content/778e...

Oil and gas companies will often claim to be partners in the clean energy transition, when it is politically expedient to do so, but new research finds their actual contributions are marginal: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Today is the day!!! Existential Politics is out in the world! Read about why we’re doing climate policy wrong (too focused on measuring emissions) & what we should do instead (focus on $$ to constrain fossil asset owners & expand green asset owners). Just in time for #COP30.

Looking forward to hopping on a train later today and heading to Paris to present our "how Brexit harmed the environment" paper (cc @acalacino.bsky.social @hayleypring.bsky.social) tomorrow 🇫🇷 Thanks @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social for the invite!

Having to footnote limited data is a modest inconvenience in the grand scheme of all the bad happening right now in the US. But also, this sort of thing underscores how much science is being undermined right now.

“If you can beat the oligarchs here…that will send a message to every community in America that real change is possible.” More of my conversation with Bernie Sanders on democracy, oligarchy and his time as Mayor.

For the Guardian, @turnbulldugarte.com and I discuss our research that clearly shows one thing: Labour's anti-immigration strategy will only strengthen Reform and weaken its own electoral prospects. It won't win voters back but ultimately normalizes the far right www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Action Alert: APSA members are invited to urge Congress to take action in support of international education and federal science funding. Take action here: buff.ly/FlaOWyg and buff.ly/AlQ8CTm

Critics slam renewables for land use but ignore fossil fuels' huge impact. Germany's Hambach lignite mine: 85 sq km pit, 300m deep, snapped from ISS. My first ever energy research protect professionally was on the externalities of lignite. In short: they are very significant!

i know this does not strictly mean more or new gas and oil licenses, but the optics of this move from a climate policy credibility standpoint are bad… H/t @acalacino.bsky.social

Critics of renewables often point to land use as a reason not to invest in wind & solar. Land use IS a real issue for all energy assets incl renewables (unless on-site). But what critics conveniently forget is the huge land impact of fossil fuels. Aerial view of fracking sites in Wickett, Texas. 👇

"Soon, the only comedian left on TV will be Karoline Leavitt" - Andy Borowitz #Kimmel #JimmyKimmel

Big DWW piece in NYT today. Again this sad progression away from collective responsibility and commitment to each other is presented as inevitable. It was not, and is not. 1/x www.nytimes.com/2025/09/16/m...

What does the EU’s new deforestation regulation mean for sourcing coffee, soy, cocoa, palm oil, and more? And what role can journalists play in monitoring its rollout? Find out on September 15, 2025 at 7:30pm UTC in our upcoming webinar. RSVP: forms.gle/zUDCqj8bx7B6...

"27 years of prison for Bolsonaro" This is justice for democracy, but also, justice for all those this coward attacked while in office. This is far from the end of the radical right in Brazil, but this seriously gives me hope.

The US should take notes from Brazil on how to defend democracy.

Psyched for @acalacino.bsky.social and @hayleypring.bsky.social to present our media paper at PECE/APSA! Come for the giant dataframe of local news, geolocated monthly climate events and coal mines Stay for the wealth of stories from recent 🇧🇷🇮🇩 fieldwork Enrage about asset-based climate politics

On my way to Vancouver for APSA and the PECE pre-conference. At PECE, I'll be sharing a look at a project with @fgenovese.bsky.social, @hayleypring.bsky.social & Mats Ahrenshop in which we try to understand when national and local media report on climate change 👇 1/5

almost hard to remember when the center and right were having a years-long meltdown about free speech on campus because students protested Milo Yiannopoulos speeches

A professor at Texas A&M taught… something related to gender that offended a student, who secretly filmed herself objecting. That video is picked up by TX legislators, who demand her firing, and now the dean and dept head have been fired. www.kbtx.com/2025/09/09/a...

Name a more dystopian duo than these two articles which appeared one after the other in my timeline 🙃

- Rolling back environmental impact assessment - Doubling down on oil and gas production

Fieldwork in Indonesia off to a good start (by start I mean finally feeling human after 48 hours of jet lag) @fgenovese.bsky.social @hayleypring.bsky.social

📢 Call for Papers – London Experimental Seminar Series (LESS) in Political Science @lsegovernment.bsky.social. We are launching a new forum for experimental political science research: First seminar: 19/11/2025. Deadline: 31/08/2025. Submit here: forms.gle/ZUJcBbZoDoaY...

Incredible growth in the scale of devastating Iberian Peninsula #wildfires through mid-August reflected in #CopernicusAtmosphere GFAS estimated fire emissions with Spain reaching it's highest annual total of past 23 years (& Portugal's since 2017) @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social @ecmwf.int #IIFF

Once again, Bit going above and beyond to help connect and organize! Check this feed for lots of opportunities

EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026. 😵‍💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA. 👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things. A short 🧵

Never underestimate the ability of the GOP to go even lower.

Very excited to share this new tool for teaching the politics of climate change. What are the different *theories of change* that underlie decarbonization efforts and policies? Help your students learn about them. Please share widely. 🌎🔌💡🛢️

Everyone needs to see this. The home of 2 million people turned to dust. While the world looks away. Or cheers on. www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...

New experimental and field evidence from our team shows that communicating the economic impact of NIH funding cuts decreases people's approval of them and increases their willingness to take action to oppose them. Read the thread to learn more & check out the SCIMaP project here: scienceimpacts.org

Academia is basically a collection of people who got lucky early on and mistook it for genius. doi.org/10.1073/pnas...

struggling with an analogy here but imagine NASA posting a meme about how excited they are to return aviation to the pre-jet age

NEW - Spraying Conflict: Aerial Drug Eradication and Armed Violence in Colombia - cup.org/473YHcr "Aerial spraying... propitiates retaliatory violence against the state, stimulates turf wars..." - Juan Felipe Campos-Contreras, Camilo Nieto-Matiz & @llschenoni.bsky.social #OpenAccess

Israel is intentionally starving Gaza’s children. It’s a war crime and a crime against humanity, for which there is no reasonable denial or justification. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...

Columbia University has handed over its undergraduate admissions process to Donald Trump and his MAGA allies, who will now decide at their sole discretion whether the university has admitted enough white people. It's no longer an independent institution.

Congratulations to our wonderful DPIR 2025 DPhil prize winners! Meet @vivianabh.bsky.social ‪(DPhil in Politics) who's won the PSA's Walter Bagehot prize for the best dissertation in the field of government and public administration: ow.ly/Kwjf50WmpIK

Early Career Paper Prize - deadline approaching! - Did you present a paper on one of our panels at #BISA2025? - Are you a PhD student or within three years of graduating? - Can you write a draft paper by 16th August? Nominate yourself! Details: www.bisa.ac.uk/news/early-c...