Curious about ChatGPT but don't know where to start? I'm running a two-hour workshop on how you can use AI tools in your day-to-day work on Sept. 25. www.eventbrite.ca/e/ai-worksho...

My latest AI video: How to Create a ChatGPT Tutor Bot (and Quiz Bot!) for your students using Custom GPTs. www.youtube.com/watch?v=nerO...

One way to make AI do good things in education is to actively experiment in creating good things and share the results (whether they work or not) so others can build on those. Mitigating bad outcomes are important, but good outcomes are not automatic either, and will take collective work.

Road for a majority for the Liberals is there, but it's slim. There need to pick up 5 seats, and they're down by less than 400 votes in the following places: - Vancouver Kingsway - New West-Burnaby-Maillardville - Nunavut - Terrebonne - Milton East-Halton Hills South - Miramichi-Grand Lake

I'm calling it a night but I see (at least) two possible scenarios in the final count: 1. The closest races are mainly ones where the Libs are leading. That means their seat count is more vulnerable. 2. If they count advance polls last and those tilt left, Libs could strengthen their position.

For the late-nighters, I made a google doc with the close outstanding races. docs.google.com/spreadsheets... Just hand updating it so it's already like 30 mins out of date... ...but a lot of ridings could still flip.

Lib (165) + NDP (7) has a razor thin 172-seat majority at the moment. I'd guess there's a good chance that won't hold. Significantly more of the Liberal seat count is 'leading' rather than elected compared to Conservatives. A decent risk Liberal count will go down before the night is over.

Overall, Liberals did worse than expected based on the polls. But this post of mine from earlier today on my own riding aged pretty well. 😀

CBC site now saying Liberal Ernie Klassen is elected in South Surrey-White Rock. A flip from Conservative to Liberal.

Been keeping an eye on Skeena-Bulkley Valley (BC). Amazing how much the NDP's margin of victory has narrowed from earlier in the night. Shows how poorly early results can predict final count.

1. Can you figure out where I was standing when I took this picture? ChatGPT could. Given the photograph (scrubbed of all header information), the new chain of thought model, ChatGPT o.3, was able to pinpoint the location with a few meters.

"We denied the Liberals and NDP the chance to form a coalition government." That's fundamentally untrue. They're literally at a combined 172 seats right now, which is enough for a majority. (even though such an arrangement is unlikely)

Liberals + NDP + Green = 170 seats leading and elected Conservatives + Bloc = 173 seats Mark Carney looks set to be Prime Minister for a good while. But at this moment, the unique math of this election could give the Bloc with a lot of leverage in the next parliament.

The path for the NDP to official party status is not looking great at the moment. They need to pick up 4 more seats — but are only within 10% of the lead in 4 ridings total across the country. And none of those are Jagmeet Singh, who is crashing. They will need a lot of luck at this point.

Man, Kelowna really is a little red island in a sea of blue in the B.C. Interior.

Pierre Polievre being behind in his own riding of Carleton seemed like a fluke with only a few polls reporting. But we're now at 50/266 polls and he's still in second. And the margin ain't all that close. Still hard to see him losing but this seems closer than people were expecting.

Liberal Ernie Klassen has been consistently ahead in South Surrey-White Rock since counting began. But Conservative Kerry-Lynne Findlay just took the lead.

Interesting: Conservatives have pulled ahead in Fleetwood-Port Kells in Surrey, B.C. Liberal MP Ken Hardie, who stepped down, won the last three elections. In 2021 by a pretty big margin of 45%-30% (46%-28% redistributed) 70/187 polls reporting.

Globe and Mail election results site is more reliable than the CBC's for sure. But it's map projection is driving me kind of bonkers. Not used to seeing Metro Vancouver on an angle like this. CBC's map 'feels' more right to me.

I'm giving up on the CBC election results site. Keeps stagnating on me, telling me it's updating when it's not. Over to The Globe and Mail instead. www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/fed...

BREAKING: the new york times has decided that "Vancouver" is comprised of Metro Vancouver, "Toronto" is ONLY the city of toronto, not the 905 belt, and "Montreal" is ONLY the island this is interesting only to like me and 87 other city boundary nerds

Jagmeet Singh in 3rd place in his riding at the moment. Only 15/200 reporting.

I don't know who decided to give the fourth seat beside CBC's At Issue panel to a rotating political hack spouting party lines, but it suuuuucks. We should hear from political parties on election night, obviously. But we get that enough from the riding-by-riding interviews.

When the Conservatives under Stephen Harper won a majority in 2011, they got 39.6% of the vote. Right now, they have 39.9% of the vote. But the collapse of the NDP and Bloc vote to the Liberals create a completely different electoral math.

When NDP vote in a riding goes down and both Lib and Con vote goes up, TV commentators seem to assume the NDP support split between those two parties. Which... we have no way of knowing. Seems just as likely that a share of right-leaning Libs switched to Cons and NDP voters mainly went Lib.

CBC election results page seems to be sputtering a bit, at least for me. Says it's updating but... it's not. Stuck at 9,142 polls reporting for the past 10 minutes and not showing some results they're showing on screen. Globe and Mail site more updated. www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/fed...

Let this be a warning to you all: nobody steals my charts and gets to be Prime Minister of Canada

With all sincerity, Elections Canada is a national treasure. - Voting typically takes less than 15 minutes - We make it easy for citizens to vote, without cumbersome registration hurdles - We have every reason to trust that ballots will be counted fairly, and results reported swiftly

CBC decision desk announcing that there will continue to be a CBC.

Please note that if you use "prime minister elect" to refer to Mark Carney, a Canadian constitutional scholar will come to your home and smash your windows.

The US had no standard color codes for electrical maps before 2000. Each network used to have their own system. www.smithsonianmag.com/history/when...

Probably no easy way around this. But showing a running popular vote total throughout election night (which CBC keeps showing) seems misleading in a country that basically becomes more Conservative the further West you get and counts its results East to West. No way Libs get 50%+ of the final vote

It's always kind of fun when there are ~100 votes counted in a riding. The numbers and percentages are the same!

Has anyone found an election results site that (easily) compares results in a particular riding to the results in 2021 (with new boundaries)? I spend a lot of time loading up Wikipedia to figure out the vote shift in different places.

I really like the NYT's cartogram of Canadian election results, especially how they've highlighted Vancouver/Toronto/Montreal. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

It pains me to say this, but CBC’s election coverage is embarrassingly bad. Graphs, map, and the talking heads all display a shocking lack of even basic understanding of what the early poll numbers mean.

Red=left-wing Blue=right-wing So says Canada, UK, New Zealand, Australia, Japan and probably others I can't think of right now. Like imperial vs. metric, it's the Americans who are weird. 😀

Though this could be the election where the B.C. results really make a difference!* * claim made by B.C. politics junkies every federal election

I know it makes it easier to read. But CBC’s bar-chart-but-not-quite-a-bar-chart drives me bananas.

The 9% decline in NDP vote share in MB undersells how massive this is. It's a 75% decline in total NDP votes. Translate that to places where the NDP won, and it will leave them at 10% in the same ridings.

One year I should do an analysis of how (not) predictive results with one poll reporting are of what the final results in a riding are.

Conservatives are doing *quite* a lot better in some Atlantic Canadian ridings than the polls were projecting, based on @338canada.bsky.social Long Range Mountains in Newfoundland was projected as 48% Lib - 44% Con. Conservatives won it 52%-40%

Still *very* early in the night, but Conservatives seem to be slightly outperforming projections in Atlantic Canada so far. @338canada.bsky.social @ericgrenier.bsky.social

It's striking how less partisan Canadians are compared to Americans. Hard to imagine ever seeing a vote swing this dramatic in the U.S., where the Republican/Democratic shift each election is usually in the low single digits. I think it's healthy for our democracy. Keeps leaders on their toes.

[email protected] has South Surrey-White Rock, my home riding, as a 60% chance of going Conservative. I think the Liberals' chances are a bit higher than that for a few reasons. A 🧵 338canada.com/59032e.htm

I had been reluctant to amplify the theory that Trump's "reciprocal tariff rate" for a given country was based on the dumb calculation: (bilateral trade deficit) divided by (imports from that country) But now USTR has confirmed it. Brief 🧵

james surowiecki has discovered where the completely fabricated trump tariff rate has come from for each country "...for every country, they just took our trade deficit with that country and divided it by the country's exports to us."

“Calculating the average tariff rate for each country is, like, *really* hard. So we just kept trying formulas in Excel until we got something that looked kind of legit.” www.nytimes.com/2025/04/02/b...

NEW 🧵 Is human intelligence starting to decline? Recent results from major international tests show that the average person’s capacity to process information, use reasoning and solve novel problems has been falling since around the mid 2010s What should we make of this? www.ft.com/content/a801...