@amannes.bsky.social
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reposted by
Jason Furman
1 day ago
Some countries that have prosecuted or threatened to prosecute central bankers for the purpose of political intimidation or punishment for monetary policy decisions: Argentina, Russia, Turkey, Venezuela and Zimbabwe.
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Donāt know if who needs to hear this, but writing is hard.
about 11 hours ago
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Well I sure as hell am!
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4 days ago
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Great thread by
@dhnexon.bsky.social
on how Trump foreign policy is basically the Bust Out episode of the Sopranos.
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4 days ago
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We need Congress fully engaged on foreign policy. A paper by former Congressman Lee Hamilton explains why and how! Ultimately, Congress needs its own National Security Council to serve Congressional leadership and coordinate Congressional action.
aaronmannes.substack.com/p/make-congr...
4 days ago
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He can trade it for his FIFA Peace Prize.
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4 days ago
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Pretty sure Border Patrol is only legally permitted to operate within 100 miles of the border (which includes coasts.) Minneapolis is much farther from the Canadian border or any of the Great Lakes. Just saying.
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/08/u...
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Trump Administration Deploying More Border Patrol Agents to Minnesota
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/08/us/politics/border-patrol-minnesota-trump.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share
4 days ago
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In politics, amateurs talk personality, professionals study institutions. Institutional structure is a big reason why Congress is ineffective on foreign policy. This needs to change. I have ideas for fixes besides yelling that Congress needs to do its job!
aaronmannes.substack.com/p/make-congr...
5 days ago
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There are institutional reasons why Congress is AWOL on foreign policy. I offer some modest institutional proposals to change this. We need to think hard on this because we are seeing what happens when the legislature fails to check executive power.
open.substack.com/pub/aaronman...
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Make Congress Relevant (on Foreign Policy) Again
Throwback Thursday (with a little Veeply Round-up)
https://open.substack.com/pub/aaronmannes/p/make-congress-relevant-on-foreign-b13?r=asjkw&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
5 days ago
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There are historical precedents for key players staying put during crucial military operations. The best example has some odd overlap with the Venezuela operation. For moreāplus some quick thoughts on 1/6āread on!
open.substack.com/pub/aaronman...
6 days ago
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Everyone was at the Mar-a-Lago situation room, everyone but JD Vance! What could that possibly mean? We do a little political analysis and history. Also, we share some thoughts on the 5th anniversary of 1/6, which was an assassination attempt on the VP.
open.substack.com/pub/aaronman...
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Why was VP Vance Absent for Venezuela?
And some notes on the anniversary of January 6
https://open.substack.com/pub/aaronmannes/p/why-was-vp-vance-absent-for-venezuela?r=asjkw&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
7 days ago
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reposted by
BeijingPalmer
8 days ago
a very useful thing I learnt from
@amannes.bsky.social
profile of the Venezuelan veep is that she heads up a key intelligence service -
aaronmannes.substack.com/p/venezuelas...
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Venezuela's Veep: Did She Cut a Deal with Trump?
Emergency Throwback
https://aaronmannes.substack.com/p/venezuelas-veep-did-she-cut-a-deal?r=asjkw&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&triedRedirect=true
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What the fuck is optionality? Why canāt Rubio just say options! Must our language undergo further debauchery?
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9 days ago
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Last night I wrote Trump had picked Venezuelaās VP Delcy Rodriguez to run things after Maduroās removal. Looks like Iām right⦠I look at her rise, use her role as VP to understand the Bolivarian regime, and make some guesses about what comes next.
open.substack.com/pub/aaronman...
9 days ago
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VP Rodriguez cut a deal. With Maduro gone sheāll deal to get sanctions relief. Sheāll be publicly defiant, but thatās for show. Sheās a pragmatist. Meanwhile, the awful Venezuelan regime will continue, just under new management.
open.substack.com/pub/aaronman...
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Venezuela's Veep: Did She Cut a Deal with Trump?
Emergency Throwback
https://open.substack.com/pub/aaronmannes/p/venezuelas-veep-did-she-cut-a-deal?r=asjkw&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
9 days ago
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Trump will not ultimately overturn U.S. democracy because he is his own worst enemy. Thatās my optimistic take. Also, the Farrell I refer to is the brilliant political scientist Henry Farrell
substack.com/@henryfarrell
aaronmannes.substack.com/p/its-going-...
11 days ago
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Started something big for the New Year--I'm watching West Wing as my workout series. Didn't see it when it was on, and now I teach about White House decision-making. So I guess it's research? Analysis coming...
11 days ago
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Some New Yearās Day hopeāon why Trump will fail and we wonāt slide into authoritarianism. I give some political science reasons. But it really comes down to knowing that the United States of America is a remarkable and unprecedented entity in world history.
aaronmannes.substack.com/p/its-going-...
11 days ago
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Starting 2026 with a feeling of hope! Iām re-upping my top post of 2025 which does a bit of political analysis that show why the U.S. isnāt sliding into authoritarianism and how weāll continue to be the messy imperfect democracy weāve always been.
open.substack.com/pub/aaronman...
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It's going to be ok, I think
A New Year's Day Throwback Thursday
https://open.substack.com/pub/aaronmannes/p/its-going-to-be-ok-i-think-650?r=asjkw&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
12 days ago
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Hereās a rundown of my most read posts of 2025. My readers love punditry: who is up, who is down, and who to keep an eye on. But my most read post of 2025 is something different, itās a message of hope. Top 5 Down the Hall Posts of 2025
open.substack.com/pub/aaronman...
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Top 5 Down the Hall Posts of 2025
What do my readers really want?
https://open.substack.com/pub/aaronmannes/p/top-5-down-the-hall-posts-of-2025?r=asjkw&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
13 days ago
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In my Veeply Roundup, I have a capsule review of the Netflix nuclear crisis movie House of Dynamite--some serious food for thought. Also a look at Vanceās 2028 prospects and some non-Veep stuff on writing.
aaronmannes.substack.com/p/vance-risi...
13 days ago
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First Veeply Roundup in a while, top story is on how Vance is rising, but he faces troubles ahead. But we also look at Chile, which just elected a new president, but doesnāt have a VP and my own brief brush with literary greatness.
aaronmannes.substack.com/p/vance-risi...
13 days ago
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We havenāt done a Veeply Round-up in a while, so thereās a lot. We've got takes on Vance brokering the Trump-Musk feud (double-edge sword), Chileās VP (there isnāt one), the National Security Strategy (itās bad), and a movie review!
open.substack.com/pub/aaronman...
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Vance Rising and Year-end Odds and Ends
Veeply Roundup
https://open.substack.com/pub/aaronmannes/p/vance-rising-and-year-end-odds-and?r=asjkw&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
14 days ago
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reposted by
Patrick Chovanec
14 days ago
Anything named after Trump should be boycotted, until he is erased from our public life.
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Shorter version of lengthy NYT article in MGT leaving MAGA: She discovered what most of us already knewāTrump is a dick.
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15 days ago
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What the world needs now is TRUST, strong trust! Ultimately society and civilization rests on trust, itās such a powerful thing. But we are running short of it.
open.substack.com/pub/aaronman...
18 days ago
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reposted by
Elizabeth Spiers
19 days ago
If you arenāt familiar with this guy, heās been buying up domains with the names of various right wing figures and orgs and making his own websites for them and it is making them crazy. Hereās his insta
www.instagram.com/wordclown?ig...
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Society, institutions, itās all rooted in trust. There is nothing more valuable than trust. Some practical wisdom touching on the spiritualāmy Christmas gift to everyone. It's Trust all the Way Down: A Sermon
open.substack.com/pub/aaronman...
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It's Trust all the Way Down: A Sermon
A Throwback Thursday Christmas Special
https://open.substack.com/pub/aaronmannes/p/its-trust-all-the-way-down-a-sermon?r=asjkw&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
19 days ago
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I thought this administration wanted a Christian nation? Why are they deporting so many Christians?
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19 days ago
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JD Vance is doing really well, key member of the White House team with the confidence of the president. Or, heās not doing well, wrestling with increasingly Nazi-adjacent MAGA-core. Itās a tale of two JD Vances in Down the Hall.
aaronmannes.substack.com/p/a-tale-of-...
19 days ago
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Been a while since this Veepologist looked at the doings of VP Vance. The latest installment of "Down the Hall" makes up for this. Best way to describe it is from Dickens: It was the best of times, it was the worst of times..."
aaronmannes.substack.com/p/a-tale-of-...
19 days ago
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reposted by
Scott Shapiro
22 days ago
My lord, when youāve lost Josh Blackman
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There were very devout Christians in both sides of the Civil War. Just saying.
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23 days ago
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Hanukkah is one chapter in the ancient tension between Athens and JerusalemāGreek and Jewish civilization. In my regular Hanukkah post I examine this conflict, and of course turn it to vice presidents.
aaronmannes.substack.com/p/hanukkah-a...
25 days ago
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Does Hanukkah offer some perspective on the vice presidency? I make a connection, give it a read and see if you think it holds up!
open.substack.com/pub/aaronman...
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Hanukkah: Athens vs. Jerusalem & Vice Presidents?
Throwback Thursday Hanukkah Special
https://open.substack.com/pub/aaronmannes/p/hanukkah-athens-vs-jerusalem-and-01e?r=asjkw&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
26 days ago
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Indiana standing up to Trump on gerrymandering gives me an excuse to write about the Hoosier state. Thereās something special about Indiana, and not just because it is a top producer of vice presidentsāalthough really, that should be enough!
aaronmannes.substack.com/p/indiana-pr...
26 days ago
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reposted by
Bebo, Chicago Rat Czar š
27 days ago
Everyone else go home ā this is the year we secure ABOLISH ICE on a Chicago Snowplow
chicagoshovels.org
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Why are so many VPs from Indiana? Why are so many TV shows set there? Why did the Indiana state Senate stand up to Trump? Is there something deeper to all of this? Is there even some hope, maybe? Indiana: Profiles in Veepness
open.substack.com/pub/aaronman...
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Indiana: Profiles in Veepness
Why are so many VPs Hoosiers?
https://open.substack.com/pub/aaronmannes/p/indiana-profiles-in-veepness?r=asjkw&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
26 days ago
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Define largest. I think the Brits would like a word. Falklands Armada was pretty big, at least in total numbers of ships.
27 days ago
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In the Caribbean, tactics overshadow strategy. This occurs across policy issues for deep-seated, human reasons. At the core of Veepology is the idea that a good VP can help a president overcome this challenge and provide a broader perspective.
aaronmannes.substack.com/p/the-tactic...
27 days ago
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Trying to figure out what White House chief of staff Susie Wiles was thinking talking candidly to Chris Whipple.
@beijingpalmer.bsky.social
(who would know) gives one answer. But I wonder if she has some kind of long game here.
add a skeleton here at some point
28 days ago
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reposted by
Nome
about 1 year ago
TIL nearly all of the "Miracle Max" scene from Princess Bride was improvised by Billy Crystal, and it took three ten hour days to shoot, because they couldn't get through his improv without everyone (cast and crew) laughing so hard it ruined the audio. Mandy Patinkin bruised a rib holding it in.
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reposted by
Ryan Calo
28 days ago
Dealing with Technologyās Hazards ā Wed, Dec 17, at 2 PM ET REGISTER (FREE)
teachprivacy.com/video-dealin...
@Daniel-Solove.bsky.social
Excited to talk to Dan about my book!
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Video: Dealing with Technology's Hazards
Dealing with Technology's Hazards Wed, Dec 17, at 2 PM ET Daniel Solove and Ryan Calo (U. Washington Law) will discuss Caloās new book,Ā Law and
https://teachprivacy.com/video-dealing-with-technologys-hazards/
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Excellently put. Thanks
@beijingpalmer.bsky.social
add a skeleton here at some point
28 days ago
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Are we asking the right questions about US military ops in the Caribbean? It's hard for political leaders (or anyone) to escape the tyranny of the immediateābut good policy looks at the wider picture. VPs are uniquely placed as advisors to do just that.
open.substack.com/pub/aaronman...
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The Tactical Devours the Strategic in the Caribbean and Beyond
Time, Space, and Decision-making
https://open.substack.com/pub/aaronmannes/p/the-tactical-devours-the-strategic?r=asjkw&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
29 days ago
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reposted by
Amy Spitalnick
30 days ago
Waking up to news of another antisemitic mass shooting, this time at a Hanukkah event in Australia. Iām heartbroken and angry and I donāt know how many other ways to say it: antisemitism is a crisis that is threatening Jews, every single one of us, and the core of our society.
add a skeleton here at some point
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Same! I am also immobilising all Russian assets on my soil!
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 month ago
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Japan is in a war that it cannot win!
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Randall Eliason
about 1 month ago
Once again, can't stress enough how rare it is for a GJ to refuse to indict. The probable cause standard is low and the vote need not be unanimous. In a normal DOJ this would be a screaming sign to drop the case - no way you will convince a unanimous jury at trial beyond a reasonable doubt.
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reposted by
Tom Joscelyn
about 1 month ago
1. Notice that the FBIās Glasheen gets *very* uncomfortable when Congressman Thompson asks him some basic questions about āAntifa.ā They canāt define it. He claims Antifa is the biggest domestic terrorist threat, but thatās inconsistent with the FBI just now ābuilding outā its analysis.
add a skeleton here at some point
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