"Trump said he got a commitment from Xi to purchase soybeans from American farmers, curb the flow of fentanyl and postpone its export restrictions on rare earths" But that TikTok "deal" remains in limbo.... www.politico.com/news/2025/10...

America’s Soybean Farmers Are Panicking Over Loss of Chinese Buyers * China hasn’t booked any U.S. soybean purchases in months * Without a deal soon, one farmer warns of “a bloodbath” * The economics are bad enough that some farmers are already calling it quits www.wsj.com/economy/trad...

"A Country-Specific View of Tariffs" via @NewYorkFed libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2025/10/a-co... "the bulk of cross-country differences in tariff rates is explained by two factors: the U.S.-Canada-Mexico free trade agreement and differing sales shares in tariff-exempt categories"

At least through July 2025, US firms were absorbing most of the tariff burden through compressed spreads between the cost of imported goods paid by the firms & selling prices they received. Read: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/who-paying-trumps-tariffs-so-far-its-us-businesses

The president’s tariff taxes have sent grocery prices soaring and devastated American farmers nationwide. Now, he needs $50 BILLION to fix his mistake. And you wonder how he bankrupted numerous businesses… www.politico.com/news/2025/10...

Tariff impact beginning to show in prices ⚡Citigroup estimates firms have eaten 60% of tariff cost, but that will flip to 40%, with rest paid by consumers ⚡AutoZone tells investors customers will be willing to pay it, since cars won't start without needed parts www.ft.com/content/f4bd...

Indigenous Nations Plan Tariff-Free Trade Corridor Across US-Canada border www.motherjones.com/politics/202...

How are the US and Japan de-risking with China? Despite targeting many of the same sectors, their approaches reveal fundamentally different priorities. A thread on what the legislative data shows: 🧵 www.tradewarlab.com/p/the-politi...

Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results: the Trump administration has launched new Section 232 investigations into imports of robotics, industrial machinery, and medical devices. #tradewar www.reuters.com/world/us/us-...

NEW: Data suggest US businesses have absorbed most of the tariff costs through July 2025, not foreign sellers. There is very little support for Trump’s thesis that foreign sellers are absorbing tariffs by lowering their prices on US imports. More:

If you want to understand the trade war, tariffs, what's happened and what might come next, talk to an international trade law expert. That's what I did when Raj Bhala appeared on the latest episode of our When Experts Attack podcast. whenexpertsattack.libsyn.com/trumps-trade...

How is China reshaping the global economic order? Ka Zeng (@umassamherst.bsky.social) discusses China’s role in the global economy amid economic competition with the U.S. ▶️ Watch: https://www.ncuscr.org/video/china-global-economy/

From groceries to energy bills, Trump's tariffs and economic chaos are increasing costs for Americans.

Tariffs are bad. Illegal ones are worse. (via Bloomberg Opinion)

During Trump’s first trade war (2018–2020), China hit U.S. farmers with tariffs on soybeans and other crops. Exports collapsed. Prices fell. Logic says farmers should’ve shifted away. Many didn’t. Some even planted more. Why? 👇 www.tradewarlab.com/p/why-farmer...

America’s protectionist turn has accelerated at historic speed. Tariffs now average 15.8%, the steepest rise since the 1930s, surpassing even Smoot-Hawley We review the #economics literature to understand the causes & consequences of the free trade backlash! www.tradewarlab.com/p/assessing-...

Corporate influence has quietly become a defining feature of US–China trade tensions. Trade War Lab data shows that as tariffs uncertainty & industrial policy mounted American firms dramatically expanded their lobbying of the US Trade Representative (USTR). www.tradewarlab.com/p/how-corpor...

Tariffs can’t bend the laws of nature. Bananas need tropics, coffee needs altitude. You can't onshore these things. So tariffs just raise prices. The White House just worked this out. So we're getting carveouts. But only if you do a deal with the White House. www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/...

On the latest “When Experts Attack!” episode, @universityofkansas.bsky.social trade law expert Raj Bhala addresses “the greatest disruption in trade since the end of World War II,” including what tariffs mean for Canada. Listen and subscribe. whenexpertsattack.libsyn.com/trumps-trade...

Strong trade keeps peace strong. "Commercial wars always present the possibility of turning into shooting wars. That is one of the main reasons we created first the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade and its institutional successor, the WTO, in the first place". Read more from James Bacchus ⬇️

President Trump’s tariffs are raising government revenues, but how much is the US Treasury actually collecting from US importers after the starts, stops, delays, exclusions, & other factors? And what products & countries are hit? We explore: https://bit.ly/45QWyPc

🚨 We are excited to announce the launch of the Trade War Lab Substack 📈🌏 🔔 Subscribe here: tradewarlab.com 🔗 Or follow us on X @TradeWarLab Let’s make sense of the chaos — together. #TradeWar #tariffs #geoeconomics #substack

US manufacturing contracts for sixth straight month amid tariff drag reut.rs/3UWrCbf

During Trump’s first trade war (2018–2020), China hit U.S. farmers with tariffs on soybeans and other crops. Exports collapsed. Prices fell. Logic says farmers should’ve shifted away. Many didn’t. Some even planted more. Why? 👇 www.tradewarlab.com/p/why-farmer...

The Trump administration's steel tariffs came with a massive surge in steel industry lobbying expenditures. Coincidence? Clark Packard follows the money trail showing how K Street and steelmakers coordinated to boost prices at everyone else's expense 📈

It is a tragic & destructive irony that, in the name of national security, the United States is now injuring the allies that have contributed the most to its economic well-being while leaving China far less disadvantaged. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/new-economic-geography

Breaking News: President Trump’s 50% tariff on imports from India has taken effect, jeopardizing the country’s relationship with the U.S.

Why didn’t U.S. multinationals fight back against the trade war? A new study of 500 firms shows most stayed silent—despite tariffs hitting global supply chains hard. 🧵 www.tradewarlab.com/p/how-multin...

As countries strike tariff deals with Donald Trump to secure market access, they are drawing up alternatives. The president wanted America at the centre of world trade. Things are not going to plan econ.st/45NuOLj Photo: Gilles Sabrié/The New York Times/Redux/eyevine

Text of the US-EU trade deal is out: www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-st... The most important thing is what's not there. Trump had boasted "They gave me $600 billion, and that’s a gift." But guess what? They didn't. He didn't get a penny.

Are American companies fleeing China? A new paper from Vortherms & Zhang finds exits did increase during the 2018–19 trade war, but the story is more complex than a mass departure. Read more: www.tradewarlab.com/p/are-americ...

Average US tariffs on Chinese exports now stand at 57.6 percent and cover 100 percent of all goods. China's average tariffs on US exports are at 32.6 percent and cover 100 percent of all goods, according to ‪@chadpbown.com‬ tracker update:

In 2018, Trump’s tariffs on China cost U.S. businesses & consumers billions each month. Many expected strong pushback. Instead, much of corporate America stayed quiet. New research from Trade War Lab Director Jack Zhang & colleagues explains why: www.tradewarlab.com/p/why-americ...

Xi Jinping masters the dark arts of the trade war

Breaking News: President Trump signed an executive order delaying U.S. tariffs on China for another three months.

"Tariffs are simple. Tariffs are a tax. When you raise tax rates, you get more tax revenue... And so what's happening right now is we have just had the largest tax rise in history that has NOT been passed by Congress. "

COMING APRIL 2026

🚨 We are excited to announce the launch of the Trade War Lab Substack 📈🌏 🔔 Subscribe here: tradewarlab.com 🔗 Or follow us on X @TradeWarLab Let’s make sense of the chaos — together. #TradeWar #tariffs #geoeconomics #substack

Tariffs are generally considered regressive taxes because lower-income households are the ones who are least able to afford the goods we’re importing, @universityofkansas.bsky.social expert @tradewarlab.bsky.social tells @marketplace.org. www.marketplace.org/story/2025/0...

China's strong state control over soybean imports and prices mean a potential embargo requires less coordination than in a free market, @universityofkansas.bsky.social trade war expert Jack Zhang (@tradewarlab.bsky.social) tells @washingtonpost.com. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...

Trade War Lab director Jack Zhang spoke with the @washingtonpost.com as China rethinks its reliance on a key U.S. export: soybeans. Read below: www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...

which i think just means Statista charges people for a chart they could get for free from our website at PIIE? and note Statista has not asked if they can post this chart or charge for it. hmmmm so maybe go to the PIIE website and get the free version? www.piie.com/research/pii...

Bookmarking this valuable tracker on student visa revocations, from @insidehighered.com As of right now, IHE database shows that more than 1,000 international students & recent graduates have had their legal status changed by State Dept. www.insidehighered.com/news/global/...

Reporting for @kshb41.bsky.social, Lily O'Shea Becker spoke with @universityofkansas.bsky.social expert @tradewarlab.bsky.social about what “buy American” means. “The things that have the ‘Made in America’ label have components that are imported from overseas as well.” www.kshb.com/news/local-n...

"This rate of escalation and the impact it's going to have on U.S. consumers and businesses is going to be profound," The Trade War Lab spoke with KSHB41 about our research and how the trade war is already affecting America's heartland communities:

Watch @kshb41.bsky.social as reporter Lily O'Shea Becker takes a look at what's going on at the @universityofkansas.bsky.social in political scientist Jack Zhang’s @tradewarlab.bsky.social. www.kshb.com/news/local-n...

Today, China hit back with an 84% tariff on U.S. goods after the U.S. imposed a 104% tariff on Chinese imports—so expect smartphone and laptop prices to rise. Here's a breakdown from experts on just what Americans might expect to pay more on: www.wired.com/story/tariff...

This was accurate for about 20 minutes. And that's not @chadpbown.com or @piie.com's fault. When trade policy shifts faster than people can even calculate the basic state of play, much less the potential impacts, you have a recipe for continued market uncertainty and instability.

The latest installment in what has now become a daily US-China tariffs series, looking ahead at how long the escalating war of attrition might last and how a truce could be brokered. w/ @christinalu.bsky.social foreignpolicy.com/2025/04/09/u...

Companies bringing manufacturing home stand to gain relative to their peers, but it doesn’t mean they'll escape unscathed, @thealexknapp.bsky.social reports. Read what @universityofkansas.bsky.social expert @tradewarlab.bsky.social told @forbes.com. www.forbes.com/sites/alexkn...