101 years ago: "American-Born Pope As Future Possibility"

100 years ago, the President of the United States treated his cold by having the Army lock him in an air-tight room filled with chlorine gas. It went so well that the First Lady joined him the next day (just to hang out, she wasn't sick). History is interesting.

How did people feel about Congress 100 years ago? About the same.

I think I finally understand the Teapot Dome scandal.

My university is being re-classified as R1. How about that? Pretty cool. carnegieclassifications.acenet.edu/institution/...

A good piece at Fox News about impoundment (in which I'm quoted). We need more like this in outlets that are read by Republicans. www.foxnews.com/politics/con...

"[H]e shall take Care that the Laws be faithfully executed."

Gonna take a victory lap because I said all along that DeWine would pick Husted for Senate—ditto for Vance and Walz as VP. What’s that, you say—did I also get the 2024 election right? I’m sorry, you’re breaking up. www.wosu.org/2025-01-17/d...

Pretty excited about this one.

-administrative responsibilities -grading -8 am class times -not being able to find the classroom -ChatGPT -18-month article review processes -8 am conference slots -budget freezes/ cuts - PhD students' job prospects -did I mention administrative responsibilities -seriously though, grading

Starting a 6-week paternity leave today. Grateful to my university (and Harrison, too!) for making this possible.

Terrific interview w/ @heathbrown.bsky.social on the Trump transition. If you’re looking for a quick but informative update on the process (and various attendant controversies), check this out. www.msnbc.com/alex-wagner-...

“Perhaps it’s the winning party that really faces the toughest question post-election: How do you build public support during an era of relatively slow growth, low trust in government and low satisfaction with the state of the country?” www.nytimes.com/2024/12/20/u...

TFW you watch Jeopardy! and all three contestants miss a response because it's about obscure Vice Presidents and you know there are like 8 other people on the planet who feel the way you do @juliaazari.bsky.social @profdevine.bsky.social www.youtube.com/watch?v=Idrt...

Happy to share my new paper online now @thejop.bsky.social www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... Punchline: state legislators whose districts are in out-of-state media markets are more likely to author and cosponsor policy innovations already adopted in the neighboring state.

I see one Hall of Fame career here.

For my new followers, I hope you'll also subscribe and read @goodauth.bsky.social -- a site about politics and political science that I help to run. The focus is research-informed analysis, not bland punditry or dubious hot takes. Here's an example...

A Q&A that I did on my work with @leehannahwsu.bsky.social that appears in our @nyupress.bsky.social book Green Rush. Cannabis Policy in Pennsylvania youtu.be/STmtMFiLGXY?... via @YouTube Buy Green Rush here: nyupress.org/978147982793...

Check out @djmallinson.bsky.social and I discussing Green Rush on @newbooksnetwork.bsky.social with @gorenlj.bsky.social newbooksnetwork.com/category/pol...

Feeling like “Kamala Harris didn’t go on Joe Rogan” is the new “Hillary Clinton didn’t go to Wisconsin.” (Which is to say: yes, there’s something there, but let’s not overstate things.)

I’m on NPR this morning! Talking Trump VPs w/ @titonka.bsky.social (based on my book w/ Kyle Kopko, “Do Running Mates Matter?”). www.npr.org/2024/03/07/1...

Can't take credit for this headline, but I love it. My op-ed in today's Houston Chronicle. www.houstonchronicle.com/opinion/outl...

My article in The Conversation today on the 2024 veepstakes: “The problem w/ veepstakes media coverage… is that it overstates the VP candidate’s influence on voters & understates the importance of electing a well qualified vice president.” theconversation.com/who-will-be-...

Tomorrow is the last day to submit nominations for the Richard E. Neustadt Award (for the best book on executive politics published in 2023). I'm thrilled to serve on this committee & review so many excellent books. Make sure we don't miss yours! connect.apsanet.org/s9/award-com...

The conventional wisdom about presidential campaign visits is more myth than reality. Read my piece for the Columbia University Press blog: "Three Myths about Presidential Campaign Visits: From Joe Biden's Basement to Donald Trump's Rallies." cupblog.org/2024/01/30/t...

Veepstakes season is upon us, folks. Do it. kansaspress.ku.edu/978070062970...

I see speculation here and there that Trump could pick DeSantis as his VP. Not sure everyone realizes Trump is a resident of Florida now. Picking DeSantis = forfeiting Florida's 30 electoral votes. Not gonna happen.

I've been getting more media questions lately about Trump's VP pick. Here's my current thinking (from email to reporter), FWIW.

An interesting finding from my latest VP research w/ Kyle Kopko.

“People often think campaign visits decide elections. What if Clinton had gone to Wisconsin? What if Biden left his basement more often? My research shows much of the conventional wisdom about campaign visits is just wrong. Most of the time, they don’t make a difference.” udayton.edu/blogs/artssc...

"At most, the 47% video’s release shifted a small number of Republicans from Romney to undecided... The [first presidential] debate brought those undecided Republicans back."

Thankful to finally hold this beautiful book in my hands! And to everyone who helped make it possible.

Most people pay little attention to politics most of the time. The role of campaigns is to help people to make connections between what is happening in government and who is to blame for it or who should take credit.

Footnotes are where the healing happens.

Who were the most popular VP candidates in modern history, among members of their own party? Kamala Harris and Mike Pence (2020). Who were the most disliked VP candidates in modern history, among members of the opposing party? Kamala Harris and Mike Pence (2020). (Data: ANES)

Happy Election Day, Ohio! What's on the ballot today? Here I am breaking down the two major issues (abortion & marijuana). On to Columbus to do some Election Night analysis w/ 10TV (CBS). Tune in if you can. www.livenowfox.com/video/1307743

I like this extra hour in the day thing. Can we do this more often?

My 11yo just asked what’s the difference between quantitative and qualitative research. Poor kid did not know what he was getting into.

If there's one thing ppl need to learn abt the reality of 3rd party effects, this is it: "in past elxns w/ prominent 3rd-party candidates, a majority of their supporters told exit pollsters that, if it had been a head-to-head race, they simply would have stayed home." abcnews.go.com/538/robert-k...

Wells Beach, Maine

Visiting presidential home/museum #30. Millard Fillmore home—East Aurora, NY.

My nominee for greatest bookstore in the world: Book Barn (Niantic, CT).

First time getting cited by Newsmax and its summary of our research is misleading and this is my shocked face.