The latest CBI Industrial Trends Survey found that manufacturing output volumes fell in the three months to September, at a slower pace to the three months to August. Manufacturers expect output volumes to decline again in the next three months.

Here are the key UK economic data releases for this week

Since last year’s Autumn Budget hiked labour costs, UK businesses have faced a tough balancing act. How are they responding? Read our latest blog 👉 www.cbi.org.uk/articles/the...

#Retail sales volumes rose by 0.5% m/m in August (from 0.5% in July), marking a third consecutive month of growth. Underlying momentum was more muted, however, with sales falling by 0.1% over the three months to August.

The @bankofengland.bsky.social has held interest rates at 4%. Our Deputy Chief Economist, @alpeshpaleja.bsky.social says 👇 Read his full response: www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre...

UK inflation remained elevated in August at 3.8%. Higher food and energy prices, alongside passthrough from increased labour costs, will continue putting upward pressure on prices in the near term

UK CPI #inflation remained steady at 3.8% in the year to August (unchanged from July), in line with consensus expectations. Core CPI inflation (excl. energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco) rose by 3.6% (down from 3.8% in July)

Here are the key UK economic data releases for this week

UK GDP was flat in July, in line with market expectations, after a robust 0.4% rise in June. GDP rose 0.2% in the three months to July, and is 1.4% higher than in July 2024, painting the picture of an economy that is growing, if only moderately.

The CBI welcomes the government’s new 'Transforming Business Rates: Interim Report' as a major step forward in the long-awaited reform of the business rates system. This builds on a number of key CBI member recommendations. Read the report here: www.gov.uk/government/p...

“The Chancellor cannot raid corporate coffers again” writes CBI CEO Rain Newton-Smith in The Guardian ahead of November’s Budget. Government must find the right solutions to challenges on tax and regulation — including rethinking manifesto pledges on tax. www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...

Here are the key UK economic data releases for this week

The last week saw a rise in bond yields across advanced economies, reflecting concern in markets about the state of public finances across the G7 Why did yields spike, and why have they remained higher in the UK than elsewhere? Check out our latest note: www.cbi.org.uk/articles/unp...

#Retail sales volumes rose by 0.6% in July (m/m), up from +0.3% in June. The release has been delayed by the ONS, to address quality issues arising from seasonal adjustment. Subsequent revisions showed that retail sales growth for the first half of the year has been revised lower.

Sticky inflation vs a cooling labour market — a tough trade-off for the MPC. In our latest Economy in Brief, @alpeshpaleja.bsky.social unpacks: · Why the MPC is so divided · Mixed signals on UK growth · What’s next for private sector activity Read more: www.cbi.org.uk/articles/eco...

📉 Private sector activity is expected to fall further in the next three months, though expectations a little less negative than the first half of 2025. All major sectors remain in negative territory, underlining persistent weakness in demand. 🧵 More on the outlook below.

Here are the key UK economic data releases for this week

Our latest Service Sector Survey released today showed a continued deterioration in sentiment in the services sector, although the rate of decline eased compared to the previous quarter.

#Retail sales volumes fell at a strong pace in the year to August – the eleventh month in a row of decline – according to the CBI’s latest quarterly Distributive Trades Survey. Retailers expect the pace of decline to ease in September.

Here are the key UK economic data releases for this week

Our latest #manufacturing survey continues to paint an un-pretty picture of activity, chiming with the weakness in this morning's flash manufacturing PMI. More below 👇

The latest CBI Industrial Trends Survey found that manufacturing output volumes fell in the three months to August, after being broadly unchanged in the three months to July. Manufacturers expect output volumes to decline again in the next three months.

UK #CPI inflation rose by 3.8% in the year to July (from 3.6% in June), slightly above consensus expectations. Core CPI inflation (excl. energy, food, alcohol and tobacco) ticked up to 3.8% (from 3.7% in June)

Here are the key UK economic data releases and events for this week

GDP growth in Q2 (0.3% q/q) was slightly stronger than expected in our latest forecast (0.2%). Under the hood, though, growth was mostly driven government spending, while private demand was weak

UK GDP grew by 0.3% q/q in Q2 2025, beating consensus estimates of 0.1%. Nonetheless, this marked a slowdown from the 0.7% growth seen over Q1 2025.

Here are the key UK economic data releases for this week

The BoE MPC voted to reduce rates to 4% today, in line with our latest forecast's expectations. The story of the Bank's projections was broadly unchanged from May, with GDP growth remaining subdued and inflation gradually returning to the 2% target after this year's bump 🧵 of key takeaways 👇

The Bank of England’s MPC voted 5-4 to cut Bank Rate by 25bp to 4.00%. The majority bloc voted for an interest rate reduction due to signs of disinflationary pressures stemming from weak activity and cooling labour market conditions

Here are the key UK economic data releases and events for this week

Weak growth, stubborn inflation The Bank of England faces a tough trade-off, with cautious rate cuts amid a loosening jobs market. Wage pressures are easing slowly, but risks remain. This month's Economy in Brief from @alpeshpaleja.bsky.social breaks it down: t.co/0RouuL0j4W 🔒

Today marks a milestone! 🎉 The CBI is proud to celebrate 60 years of championing business growth, driving change, and influencing policy. Find out more about becoming a member: orlo.uk/Lu9zw Here’s to the next 60 years! 💼 #CBI60 #VoiceOfBusiness #BusinessGrowth

📉 Private sector firms expect activity to fall again through October. The latest CBI Growth Indicator shows continued weakness across the economy, extending a run of negative sentiment that began in late 2024

#Retail sales volumes fell strongly in the year to July, according to the latest CBI Distributive Trades Survey. Retailers expect the ongoing downturn to extend into August.

Here are the key UK economic data releases for this week

#Retail sales volumes rose by 0.9% in June (m/m), following a sharp fall of 2.8% in May. Over the second quarter as a whole, sales rose by a modest 0.2%, down from a stronger 1.3% rise in Q1.

The latest CBI Industrial Trends Survey found that output volumes were broadly unchanged in the quarter to July. Firms expect volumes to fall slightly in the three months to October. #ITS

Great chart from Deutsche Bank, showing just how divided the Bank of England's MPC are at the moment. And split views seem to be picking up, as the labour market loosens. Though divisions within the Committee aren't necessarily a bad thing, of course.

Here are the key UK economic data releases for this week

UK CPI inflation rose by a stronger-than-expected 3.6% in June (from 3.4% in May), marking the highest rate since January 2024. Core CPI inflation also increased to 3.7%, from 3.5% in the previous month

Here are the key UK economic data releases and events for this week

UK GDP contracted by 0.1% in May, marking the second consecutive monthly decline after a 0.3% fall in April, though this follows a surprisingly strong first quarter. GDP grew by 0.5% in the three months to May.

New CBI report: 'Revitalising UK Public Markets'! A bold roadmap to boost the London Stock Exchange’s competitiveness, tackling current market challenges head-on to support investment, drive growth and build long term resilience. Read more: www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre...

The UK economy surprised with strong growth in Q1 2025, but faced domestic and global headwinds in Q2 📉 Our latest Economic Deep Dive cuts through the noise to break down trends in demand, inflation, labour, and investment 🔍 Exclusive to CBI members🔒: www.cbi.org.uk/articles/eco...

Business volumes in the FS sector fell at the fastest rate since December 2023 in the second quarter of 2025, according to the latest CBI Financial Services Survey. Firms expect volumes to stabilise next quarter

Here are the key UK economic data releases for this week

Business surveys - including our own - were always pointing to weaker momentum than official data over Q1. This looks to have continued over Q2 and, taken at face value, suggests that we'll see a sharp slowdown in GDP growth. More below 👇

Here are the key UK economic data releases for this week

The CBI’s latest Growth Indicator showed that private sector firms once again expect activity to fall in the next three months. While expectations are less negative relative to May, they extend a period of pessimism that began late last year.

#Retail sales volumes fell at a sharp rate in the year to June, according to the latest CBI Distributive Trades Survey. Retailers expect sales to decline rapidly again next month.