Lovely finishing plug for @dianecoyle1859.bsky.social's book at #ASSA2026 from the panel on government statistics!

Former BLS commissioner Bill Beach says the agency has lost 25% of its staff since January. 40% of leadership positions are vacant. And DOL leadership “does not seem to support the Bureau.” #ASSA2026 #EconSky

Hello #ASSA2026 attendees! Interested in better nowcasting? We have a top line-up of speakers on the latest and best ways to gauge the state of the economy in real-time at: 🎤 Next Gen Nowcasting: Signatures, Distributions, and Simplified Workflows 📍309 🕣 Sunday, 14:30 EST #econsky

Heading to #ASSA2026? Interested in gauging the state of the economy in real-time—even during crises? Then come to... 🎤 Next Gen Nowcasting: Signatures, Distributions, and Simplified Workflows 📍309 🕣 Sunday, 14:30 EST eppro01.ativ.me/appinfo.php?... #ASSA2026 #econsky

New working paper: nowcasting using regression on signatures! We introduce a new method of nowcasting that uses mathematical objects called signatures. Regression on signatures subsumes the linear Kalman filter & is more robust to disruptions in data series 😍 #econsky arxiv.org/abs/2305.102...

"Mastery of technology must infuse everything we do,” she will say. “We must be as comfortable with lines of code as we are with human sources, as fluent in Python as we are in multiple languages.” New head of MI6 #python www.ft.com/content/5cbe...

If I can tell someone hasn't hand-painted the graphs on their slides instead of using software, it taints them and makes them look sloppy and cheap.

Those of us giving talks on generative AI 😬

Our py-econometrics org has a new package: `maketables` is now installable from PyPi! You can create regression tables for PyFixest, statsmodels, linearmodels, and save them as html, latex, or word. github: github.com/py-econometr... docs: py-econometrics.github.io/maketables/

Hey #econsky, We keep hearing about ticket resellers being a problem. Artists charge $ and resellers use bots to buy tickets in bulk, selling them for $$$. What if econ can help? Here's one little trick to stop ticket resellers. aeturrell.com/blog/posts/o...

Government has published one of those quiet but important documents that might get overlooked as it is not 'newsy'. The headline finding is that £1 of public R&D investment generates £8 in net economic benefits for the UK over the long term www.gov.uk/government/p...

Just yesterday I was on a panel with colleagues from @bankofcanada.ca & @banquedefrance-off.bsky.social and we were discussing the risks of central banks NOT being multi cloud / only using a single provider. I didn't expect to have such a clear example of how those risks could crystallise so soon.

Spoiled for implausibly cringe characters right now; new series of Alan Partridge, and newcomer "Peston" now showing on itv

Folks, it is the year 2025 and Word's grammar checker is suggesting that I should change "fewer" to "less few".

BlueSky data hive mind! Are there any OPEN sets of image data taken from wearables? (I know some exist on secure systems.) #data #rstats #pydata #econsky @odihq.bsky.social @opendatawatch.com Asking for this: aeturrell.com/blog/posts/r...

Attention IO job market candidates: Sometimes speakers in the CMA's external economics seminar series have to cancel at relatively short notice. We would love for these slots to go to JMCs to present their job market paper. Drop me a message if you are interested or share with those who might be.

Really useful and important work on more granular estimates of the productivity of UK industrial segments here by Cliodhna and @joshmartinecon.bsky.social www.productivity.ac.uk/research/lab... #econsky

Incredible spot of #TheStarBuilders in the wild by a friend—and the furthest yet! As seen in the Maruzen bookshop, Kyoto. But if you have friends in Japan, you can also now buy them the new translation (second photo) ❤️🇯🇵💫 Links to buy here: aeturrell.com/thestarbuild...

Smartrappy update: it now analyses Jupyter Notebooks too! smartrappy analyses projects to infer the directed acyclic graph (DAG) of code and data dependencies,whether the data exist at all on disk—essentially it untangles spaghetti code! aeturrell.github.io/smartrappy/

Today I was reminded that Claude Code came out **in February**. Has a coding tool ever become so ubiquitous so quickly?

Time use is important: everyone wants our attention & it's key to understanding productivity. But the way we get time use data hasn't changed much. Could AI open up radical new ways of collecting it? My new blog post suggests so! aeturrell.com/blog/posts/r... #ai @productivity.bsky.social

I'm exited to announce a new resource about making slides with quarto and revealjs. This book is the combination of all the work I have done in this area, reordered and polished up There isn't a lot of new information yet, but this format allows me to add more easily slidecrafting-book.com #quarto

Some R package releases be like: "I'm so pleased to announce the third version of descendR 2 4.5"

Hi Bluesky! I'm excited to share my job market paper (for the 2025-26 market)! It introduces a new extension of RDD where outcomes are entire distributions: Regression Discontinuity Design with Distributions (R3D). Thread below 👇 (1/)

Well, thanks to a great tip off by @simonwillison.net I'm exploring the rarely-open London Transport Museum Depot. And it's great! Underground trains and buses and other transport paraphernalia from the late 19th century up to the modern day.

👇 at school and interested in AI and stats? Even if you're not now, you will be after these! Videos on AI and stats for all school ages by the other William Guy Lecturers and me. Check them out!

UK: yeah we got some BIIIIG data revisions rn US: hold my beer! on.ft.com/4nrjUSQ US hiring growth revised down by 911,000 jobs in year to March

Is there any **causal** evidence of the link between ultra-processed foods and morbidity? Apart from the Kevin Hall RCT: pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31105044/

Vanuatu Bureau of Statistics and the @adb.org are looking for a consultant to spend 90 days, budget USD110,000, helping consolidate recent improvements in Vanuatu's national accounts and help scope a future project moving towards SNA 2025 compliance. #econsky selfservice.adb.org/OA_HTML/OA.j...

Tour de force review on “Economics of Attention” by Loewenstein just published in J Econ Lit @aeajournals.bsky.social #behavioraleconomics

The call for papers for the annual CMA-Durham workshop on market power, dynamism and productivity is out! This year we are particularly interested in submissions on industrial policy, market power in supply chains, and the economics of start-ups and scale-ups. Submit by 25 September.

You hear a lot of people claiming that Nigel Farage gets an undue amount of coverage given the number of MPs in his Reform UK party. I wondered if that was true, so I ran a query against GDELT, which monitors mentions of specific people across broadcast, print, and web news. And.... it is!

A growing body of evidence suggests that the open office undermines the very things that it was designed to achieve.

Very nice work here by some former colleagues: firms that export are mostly more productive *before* they export (ie it's a selection effect), but they do also become a bit more productive once they are exporting.

i like to explore the errors and failure cases of LLMs as much as the next guy, but if you're gonna be serious about assessing whether this stuff is useful you really can't ignore that there are a ton of cases where 40-50% as good for 1% of the cost (or even 10-20% with QA) is extremely exciting

I'm looking for good pedagogical materials on causal inference in (observational) longitudinal data (also just 2-4 time points), e.g. interrupted design, pre-post design. I have a feeling economics has written lots to be imported to cogsci but I see only pieces & no overview. @p-hunermund.com ?

Does anyone know of a blog post somewhere that lays out best practices for ChatGPT prompts having to do with classification of text (in my case, open-ended answers in a survey)? Thanks!

Great evening launching this year's No10 Innovation Fellowship @designmuseum.bsky.social! It was incredible to meet so many talented people enthused about doing the hard yards needed to make the public sector even better. The appetite for reforms and improvements was genuinely very inspiring.

Currently revamping the default output view for the Gelbach Decomposition. Goal is to help both academics but also data scientists in industry to communicate results easily. Are the column and panel headers immediately clear? Any better way to summarize decomp results?

Some personal news! I am temporarily leaving the Bank of England to go on secondment to No10 Downing Street as an Innovation Fellow. It's been an amazing two-ish years working on the links between the real economy & financial system, & leading data strategy in financial stability strategy & risk.

We're all Jerome Powell now

Hi #datascience #pydata world! We have an ad up for a senior data science manager in London or Leeds. You will have a major role in setting how data science is used at one of the UK's most important policy institutions! £108,800-£122,400. www.datascientistjobs.co.uk/job/senior-m... please repost

I'm very proud to have won the Royal Statistical Society's award for best statistical commentary by a non-journalist this year 🥹

Pyfixest continues to hit it out of the park. Huge congratulations @s3alfisc.bsky.social and team!! Coding for Economists will be updated with the quantile regression methods in due course.

Is it a coincidence that this roughly correlates with the rise of the celebrity-authored children's book!? 👀😋

monroeclinton.com/counting-all... Lovely example of a very pure and fun data science project

Weather / Meteorology folks -- how might get information on simulated paths of weather / hurricanes? E.g. what is the probability of a place getting rain, a place getting hit by a hurricane, etc.? Basically what's the place to get the models that make these:

Absolutely delighted to be a Royal Statistical Society William Guy Lecturer for '25/26! In my video lecture, which will be available online for free, I'll be talking about economic statistics (woop woop!) and stupidly smart AI. I'll also be talking at schools, and anywhere else you'd like me to 😀

Introducing smartrappy for untangling spaghetti code! #python #datascience aeturrell.com/blog/posts/i...