My paper on research registries with Eliot Abrams and John List is now forthcoming at Economic Journal: academic.oup.com/ej/advance-a... Very happy to finally have finished up this project, although I learned a ton from working on it.

This was a fun one! Glad to see it in a great home.

I've discovered that you have much more fun as a tourist if you don't know what the exchange rate is.

I feel like I've heard critiques of economics as a discipline since as long as I've studied economics. Has anyone done a historiography of this? I guess it's a sign of the field's influence that people seem to care so much, so maybe it's a good thing. At the same time, I can't help but think...why?

Huge congrats to my amazing colleague and her coauthors on this fantastic paper.

New post on prediction markets, opinion polls, and the New York City mayor's race: open.substack.com/pub/rajivset...

New post on the realization after two decades of Poindexter's dream: rajivsethi.substack.com/p/betting-on...

Seems that I jumped ahead of this a little bit...

Less related to recent events than it may seem, but I wanted to post this at some point: My Retractions paper, with brilliant coauthors Duarte Goncalves and Jack Willis, was accepted at Restud earlier this year, and is now on the journal's website. www.restud.com/retractions-...

An important paper on the role of subjective beliefs on the business cycle, now published in Restud. academic.oup.com/restud/advan...

My paper on algorithmic pricing, joint with In-Koo Cho, is now online at the Journal of Economic Theory. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

My dog will literally climb on top of me while I'm working on my laptop but then start to growl in discomfort if I hug him back. Make it make sense.

Attempted murder of a Jewish governor and his family on Passover is not a headline story for @nytimes.com and @washingtonpost.com. I’m relieved that Shapiro and his family survived the attack.

As an economist, here is my take on how to understand the justification for Trump's tariffs. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kettle_...

I've taught game theory for several years now (maybe like, 10 times?) but somehow it only now just hit me that mixed strategies in Bayesian games are pretty damn weird.

New York Times, Jan. 26, 1935.

The only part I don't like about this is that now we may be forced to spell it "defence."

If I shared the ITYSL meme with Tim Robinson in the hot dog suit every time a Republican said that Putin is out of control, I wouldn't have time to do anything else.

Rubio has like, what, 5 months left on the job?

Roses are red, A noise ball is blue, But when you find out it's noise, The info will not undo. uploads.strikinglycdn.com/files/8779d7...

Chiefs can still win this if Mike Pence has the courage to do the right thing.

Honestly, staying away from social media during the impending collapse of the federal government/American society is a pretty good move for overall mental health.

Today I asked my class if anyone had seen "A Beautiful Mind." Nobody raised their hands. I was in shock, until I realized that they probably hadn't been born when it came out...

If only LA's construction of the LAX people mover had the same urgency of USC's construction of its new football stadium....

🥁🥁 post-doctoral position in information economics and economic theory !! 🥁🥁 (rts / fwds appreciated)

I feel like this deserves more attention than the issues people do seem to be focusing on....

I think there are people coexisting in academia with different ideas of what it’s all about. For some it’s about knowledge acquisition and dissemination, knowledge can be more or less practical, some people want to do good (according to some conception of good) and some of it shades into activism.

Some real interesting papers in this session “Neurofinance, Cognition” today, pushing on the idea that seeming departures from rational behavior wrt risk are actually just evidence of cognitive constraints, like limits on memory or attention

I'll be at the AEA meetings on Friday, participating in a session entitled "Registration, Transparency, and Publication," and with my awesome coauthor presenting our joint work in a session on misspecified beliefs. (Whether I make it to the latter depends on traffic from SFO)

Went to go buy a custom frame today, I think I've officially entered adulthood.

The Hunter Biden pardon is so politically toxic I'm not sure Joe Biden will be able to make it through a Democratic primary in 2028.

If I learned anything about politics over the last year, it's that any major political event will elicit a lot of outrage and then people will forget about it in a few months. Haven't seen any pundits pushing this take, perhaps surprisingly.

I'll be around the SEA Conference in Washington this weekend. Come say hi!

I love LA but hate owning a car.

This is a fantastic tool if you’re looking for people with overlapping interests (as judged by networks) to follow: bsky-follow-finder.theo.io

Doing a thing next week! Excited to tell people about this project.

FWIW, I think my book is great, and I should know, I've read it like 30 times at this point.

Here is where to look if you're considering CS+Econ job market candidates! And if you aren't, you should be. Thanks @gkatzelis.bsky.social for continuing this amazing tradition!

Completely disgusted by Jared Polis. Anyone who thinks that covid was engineered to avoid Jews and Chinese people shouldn't have any career in public service, and certainly not in charge of healthcare. I can never forgive anyone who overlooks that.

US citizens can get vaccines in Canada, right?

I take it no one showed Trump the article saying that RFK Jr thought his diet was disgusting?

Time for some herding!

Did anyone do something like this for theory?

Considering posting here more but somehow I always just gravitate more toward twitter, despite strongly disliking Elon...

Was hard to remember but there were 3 papers I posted for the first time this year. uploads.strikinglycdn.com/files/38ba03... uploads.strikinglycdn.com/files/b62ba2... uploads.strikinglycdn.com/files/ae1acc... I'm very proud of all of them.

What are your favorite papers from this year?

Why is it that no matter how hard I try I always end up with at least 200 tabs open....

What is so hard for everyone to understand, the university as an institution is founded on core, eternal principles: Pandering to donors, juicing college rankings, avoiding legal liability.... ya know, principles.

Thanks for clearing up that I won't be confused!