When women & girls said they would feel unsafe encountering a random man in the woods, it's because of things like this. Men constantly inform us they're predators & consider that normal then act indignant we find them unsafe for children, unsafe for women, & creepy.

Credit to @tobyjrider.bsky.social for coming up with my new favorite retort: You have brought me a solution with no problem.

To the past version of myself who signed me up to teach thee graduate stats course next semester... We are not friends anymore!

"The Consequences of Elite Action Against Elections" is now in print at BJPS (@bjpols.bsky.social) doi.org/10.1017/S000....

🚨JOB ALERT🚨 Washington State University is HIRING an Associate or Full Professor of American Politics who will also serve as the Director of our excellent Foley Institute. An awesome opportunity to be right at the nexus of research and policy! wsu.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/WSU_Jo...

People getting mad here about anyone saying it's good that MTG and Trump are fighting. I teach democratization every semester. The first slide says 'elite fracture.' That's always where it starts. It's good when people with bad politics are fighting one another.

America First? Some Trump Supporters Worry That’s No Longer the Case. (Zolan Kanno-Youngs and @tylerpager.bsky.social, NYT-unlocked) www.nytimes.com/2025/11/14/u...

The Index of Consumer Sentiment is now around 50, a record low. It was near 100 at this point in 2017. Trump's Gallup approval at this point in 2017 was 38. It's 41 now.

The Center for the Study of Democratic Institutions is now acceptable applications for the 2026-27 year. Please share and encourage people to apply! Post Doctoral application apply.interfolio.com/177609 Visiting Scholar application apply.interfolio.com/177613

Happening TODAY! The latest CMB Online Research Workshop event, featuring the great Tyler Simko. Email me if you'd like to attend and I'll share the link!

Since 2015, Trump has never been able to turn out his low-political engagement voters (who are very hard to reach in polls) in elections when his name is not on the ballot. The pattern continues.

Earlier this year, we showed Trump built a remarkable “plutopopulist” coalition in his campaigns, drawing money from both wealthy elites and an unprecedented surge of small, first-time donors. With Tuesday’s elections, though, that coalition seems to be fraying. What happened? 1/ cup.org/4cfm0Az

Our edited volume is now available for preorder! We have a fantastic collection of contributors and think this a great book for any number of American politics classes. www.degruyterbrill.com/document/isb...

The book is real! To celebrate, I will give out five copies to interested early career folks. DM if you’d like one.

It’s no walk in the park to serve in Congress, and I don’t begrudge Golden for stepping away. But it seems likely that his polling numbers among his own constituents factored into the decision. Favorability: 16% favorable | 41% unfavorable Deserves to be Re-elected?: 26% does | 57% doesn’t

Dear @raygunsite.com please make a limited run of POLLING IS NOT A CRIME shirts (with St. Ann's face or not) please and thank you

Filibuster reform comes to the Texas US Senate GOP Primary

At least 15 incumbents lost in the state legislative elections in New Jersey & Virginia, with 6 New Jersey contests still uncalled as of 5:30 pm EST on 11/5. That’s the most general election incumbent defeats in an odd year since 21 were defeated in 2011. All 15 defeated incumbents were Republicans.

What radicalized you against daylight savings time? My toddler...

“.. There were no counties or cities (as of writing) that moved right relative to four years ago. On average, they instead moved 13 points to the left.” @pbump.com #Virginia www.pbump.net/o/what-chang...

Happy to report that my students also got a good laugh out of the original tweet from the KY SOS

All jokes aside, this is a great example of Daniel Hopkins' point that nationalization is driven, in part, by people being more engaged with national rather than local politics.

CONFIRMED: Georgia Democrats have won their first statewide elections for non-federal offices since *2006.* The two Dem challengers, Alicia Johnson and Peter Hubbard, have ousted two GOP Republican commissioners on the state's utility commission.

ANES Data Release! electionstudies.org/data-center/... The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.

The Ctr for Urban Research at @thegraduatecenter.bsky.social (led by @jomoko.bsky.social) has prepared an online map for tonight's NYC mayoral results. Link below in #thread. For now the map is blank, but it'll fill in w/unofficial returns tonight. The map will do more than show the 2025 #s. 1/n

To mark the 20th anniversary of @politicsgenderj.bsky.social past and current journal editors were asked to identify some of their favorite articles - cup.org/4gbsfr7 Where not #OpenAccess these articles are free to read until the end of 2025.

November is off to a mixed start. Pro: article acceptance Con: toddler wakes up at 5 am Win some, lose some.

Me: “The fixation on causal estimates is not the appropriate direction social science…What descriptive analysis provides us with are facts. Facts are nouns. Causal analysis gives us contextual estimates. They are adjectives. In the grammar of social science, we should prefer nouns to adjectives.”

I know we wrote that all politics are national, but this seems a step too far. www.espn.com/college-foot...

For anyone interested in nationalization, have we got a book for you: global.oup.com/academic/pro...

Fondly remembering the time that a reviewer wrote to me and @jsievert.bsky.social that filibuster reform was only a Democratic issue.

Reviewer: Only the Democrats talk about filibuster reform. Someone owes me and @kevinkbanda.bsky.social an apology! rollcall.com/2025/10/31/t...

Economist/YouGov Oct 24-27: Government spending % of Americans who want the government to increase spending on: Veterans 72% Social Security 69% Medicare 64% Education 62% Medicaid 55% The environment 53% SNAP 47% National defense 40% Foreign aid 21% today.yougov.com/politics/art...

I am once again upset with whoever it was that assigned all this reading for my grad seminar. He’s the worst.

It’s officially pub day for Opium Slavery: Civil War Veterans and America‘s First Opioid Crisis! Available at a bookshop near you. Thanks to everyone who made it possible to bring this research to life! 🗃️ @uncpress.bsky.social uncpress.org/978146968953...

The School of Public Policy at the LSE is hiring in political science! Associate or Full. I was the first political scientist hired by the SPP, come be the second! jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...

Pleased to share that the Kennedy School has been authorized to conduct a faculty search in American politics This is as an extraordinary opportunity for us - please share widely with your networks and consider applying academicpositions.harvard.edu/postings/15418

SPPC 2026 will be held in Chicago and has a website: www.luc.edu/politicalsci.... Hope to see you there!

The silver lining is the Professor still has his faculty job, but this is explicitly viewpoint discrimination, a message that there is no such thing as faculty governance. All admin must be aligned with a political party. For all the talk of leftist indoctrination, this is no different from China.

Toddler: I want apple! Me: Ok, I’ll cut one up for you. Toddler: Apple! Apple! Apple! Yay! How’s everyone else’s Sunday starting?

A dinosaur talking with an NPR producer.

Here at our local No Kings. I’d say turnout is perhaps 4X that of June. Sorry to inform Mike Johnson, I haven’t run into anyone paid to be here, or “antifa,” or anti-American. Many veterans. Lots of attendees thanking the pair of Fairfax Country policeman strolling around keeping an eye on things.

Fuel to finish editing this conference paper. I hope.

Re. arguments in the LA redistricting case: the Republican justices' willingness to let federal police reason from race or ethnicity to probable cause for an immigration stop and their apparent unwillingness to let Congress reason from race to anti-discriminatory election procedures is wild.

Adventures in editing my own work: "Indeed, 53 out of the 92 bulls introduced in the House..." Although I do like the idea of MCs letting bulls loose in the House chamber.

This paper was a long time in the making, one of my favorites I’ve ever worked on, and is now live at SPPQ! doi.org/10.1017/spq....

UT Dallas is hiring in international politics, emphasis on conflict. jobs.utdallas.edu/postings/30535

Picked the toddler up and told him we were going to get ice cream. He proceeded to chant, “Ice cream! Ice cream! Ice cream!” for the rest of the car ride.

Me in August: It’s going to be great to get back into attending conferences. Me in October: Who thought it was a good idea to sign up to write and present all these papers?!