Happy women’s college volleyball national championship match day to all those who celebrate.

Here's how title probabilities have shifted since Selection Sunday In a surprise to no one, Nebraska's loss has vaulted everyone's chances significantly upward

BTW @evollve.net continues to be an awesome place for metrics that you can't find elsewhere. Be on the lookout for Mallorie Meyer's serving runs. Pitt has won 52.5% of points with Meyer on the service line -- the 18th highest mark in the country.

Update on how championship probabilities have shifted since Selection Sunday First, on a log scale:

For a linear scale with more visibility for the non-1 seeds, here's a zoomed in version

Here's how our championship probabilities changed from the start of the tournament to the start of the Sweet 16 First up, the log scale (for math nerds)

🏐Cal Poly dancing on 🏐UNI pulls victory from the jaws of defeat 🏐Shaylee Meyers comes up big for Kansas State Weekly recap ⤵️ evollve.substack.com/p/weekly-rec...

And here's our official bracket! First round gets underway this afternoon!

Here are our championship probabilities entering the tournament! Yes, Nebraska's chances are over 4 times as high as anyone else's

Our NCAA Tournament projections are LIVE Check them out as you fill out your bracket this week! evollve.net/stats/ncaa/w...

🏐Kentucky’s title-winning comeback 🏐Avah Armour’s clutch kills 🏐Updated top 25 heading into the tourney Weekly recap⤵️ evollve.substack.com/p/weekly-rec...

NEW just in time for Selection Sunday: Evollve Ratings are live on the FanFlare Sports app! Download the app for scores and rankings ahead of the NCAA volleyball tournament! apps.apple.com/us/app/fanfl...

Still posting the Big Ten projections despite the lack of ACC-level drama because 1. We're not above using Nebraska's dominance to shamelessly get engagement from Husker fans 2. There's still a 2.5% chance that the unbeaten streak ends! Penn St & Ohio St get the last 2 chances

All eyes on the ACC this week, with a three-way tie atop the standings entering the final week of the regular season! Louisville faces each of the other two, while Pitt and Stanford both face Louisville and Georgia Tech

🏐A Seattle stunner 🏐Southern's season-saving 6-0 run 🏐Longhorns back on top of the "what if Nebraska didn't exist" power rankings Weekly recap⤵️ evollve.substack.com/p/weekly-rec...

Updated Big Ten projections: Nebraska's 99.9 has finally ticked up to 100.0, but the question remains -- will the Huskers finish off the perfect season?

Updated Big 12 projections: the Sun Devils can taste it

Updated ACC projections: 3-way tie atop the standings as we hit the home stretch!

🏐UC San Diego on both sides of major upsets 🏐Southern's reverse sweep 🏐Clutch performances in the Fun Belt Weekly recap⤵️ evollve.substack.com/p/weekly-rec...

This was a fun topic to dive into, in part because it allows for comparisons to other sports. The chart below is the key takeaway from the post: Calling a timeout does not appear to help teams trying to stop an extended scoring run from their opponents: 1/

If your team gives up a 5-0 run, you may be hoping your coach calls a timeout But does it actually help? @inpredict.bsky.social dove into the data: evollve.substack.com/p/dont-just-...

Updated SEC projection -- Texas A&M in "so you're telling me there's a chance" mode (yes, but they'll need some help from Oklahoma or Arkansas this week)

Updated Big Ten projections -- Nebraska fans will need to wait at least one more week to see that 99.9% move to 100.0%

Updated Big 12 projections: Arizona State inching closer to a title

Updated ACC projections -- one way or another, this will look a lot different after Pitt vs Stanford on Friday!

🏐UC San Diego gets revenge in improbable fashion 🏐Double clutch performances in College of Charleston vs William & Mary 🏐Nebraska is the best team in our database Weekly recap⤵️ evollve.substack.com/p/weekly-rec...

Updated SEC projections -- Kentucky sweeps their way into the driver's seat!

Updated Big Ten projections -- no real reason to even post these at this point other than for Nebraska fans to retweet and remind everyone of their dominance

Updated Big 12 projections -- Arizona State heads to Colorado next Saturday and we'll find out if the Buffs can pull it off!

Updated ACC projections -- Pitt is the frontrunner, but it may come down to beating Stanford a week from Friday!

🏐A double biggest upset 🏐Abilene Christian's reverse sweep 🏐A new #2 behind Nebraska Weekly recap⤵️ evollve.substack.com/p/weekly-rec...

🏐Texas Tech's first Big 12 win 🏐Eastern Illinois and Canisius refuse to go down 🏐There's Nebraska, and there's everybody who's not Nebraska Weekly recap⤵️ evollve.substack.com/p/weekly-rec...

🏐11-5 set 5 lead not enough to preserve an 18-game win streak? 🏐Bianna Muoneke's heroics in an epic Georgia win 🏐Penn State continues to slide in our rankings Weekly recap ⤵️ evollve.substack.com/p/weekly-rec...

🏐USC Upstate's historic comeback 🏐Kensley Haneline coming up big when it counts 🏐North Carolina enters the top 25 Weekly recap ⤵️ evollve.substack.com/p/weekly-rec...

🏐Southern Miss' revenge 🏐Wolfpack storm back 🏐Ana Burilović's clutchness inspires a site upgrade! Weekly recap⤵️ evollve.substack.com/p/weekly-rec...

🚨new stat alert🚨 We've added points scored to our site! You can now see player points scored on their page, on the team pages, or in the Dig In tool! For example, Ana Burilović is the only player in the country to score 40+ points in a match so far this season! evollve.net/stats/ncaa/w...

Making SIDs' lives 10 times easier You heard it here first!

Here's how our rankings differ from this week's AVCA poll! We're not as high on the LA schools, but our model loves Kansas and Tennessee

🏐College of Charleston's improbable comeback...twice? 🏐Leia Harper's clutch week for Temple 🏐Welcome Auburn to the top 25, and two remaining undefeated teams at the top! Weekly recap⤵️ evollve.substack.com/p/weekly-rec...

With conference play getting underway this week for many leagues, we've put together projections for who will win each league! Here are the power conferences, starting with the ACC:

Here's how our top 25 compares to this week's AVCA poll! Our model isn't sold on Utah, but it believes in the SEC!

🏐 ULM 0.4% comeback 🏐 SLU's Ellie🧊Rink 🏐 UTEP debuts in top 25 Weekly recap ⤵️ evollve.substack.com/p/weekly-rec...

Here's how our current rankings differ from this week's poll We're higher on what Matt Ulmer is doing with the Jayhawks, but voters are giving more respect to Arizona State and SMU

🏐Brown's first power conference win in the Evollve Era 🏐Dominique Phills provides thrills for California 🏐Miami and Kansas📈 Week 3 recap ⤵️ evollve.substack.com/p/weekly-rec...

Iowa State leads the nation in kills per set at 15.35! If they continue that pace, the Cyclones would be the first team since 2021 to average over 15 kills per set evollve.net/stats/ncaa/w...

Over the weekend, Ella Sanders of Towson recorded 26 digs, 17 kills and 3 aces in a win over Lafayette She's the only player in the country with a 25+ dig/15+kill/3+ ace performance all season! evollve.net/stats/ncaa/w...

Here's how our top 25 compares to this week's AVCA poll! We're higher on Stanford and Pitt, but a little lower on Texas and Wisconsin

Week 2 of the NCAA volleyball season is in the books! Recapping the week's most improbable feats ⤵️ evollve.substack.com/p/weekly-rec...

If you've appreciated our work, please consider donating to help us offset the website costs! Thank you for following along with us this volleyball season! www.buymeacoffee.com/evollve

New this year: Evollve weekly recap! 🏐Biggest upset 🏐Biggest comeback 🏐Clutch player of the week ...and our top 25! evollve.substack.com/p/weekly-rec...