Interesting recent episodes of @restisclassified.bsky.social podcast on Crypto AG. I remember being amazed that Crypto AG was still in business in the 2000's as there appeared to be open & widely reported suspicion of them since at least the 1980s. (Clipping: Irish Times, January 24, 1987)

The Dutch navy has escorted the Russian 'research' vessel Yantar out of the Dutch Exclusive Economic Zone in the North Sea last Tuesday, the defence ministry said. A Dutch research vessel, HNLMS Snellius, was tasked with checking the state of seabed infrastructure in the areas where Yantar sailed.

Reno 911 was a documentary

Teriberka (& Sabetta) have departed Pankovo/Gribovaya Bay, possibly for the final time this year - first visit was early June. Fwiw, it appears the last obvious instance of RF interference from Pankovo on Sentinel 1 SAR, was on the day of the test - October 21st.

President Trump's interview on 60 Minutes did very little to clarify his stance on the United States resuming full-scale nuclear tests for the first time in more than three decades. Let's look at some of his statements. 1/11

A movie you’ve seen more than 7 times with a gif

Bonus photo: Theoretical physicist Edward Teller, who never met a thermonuclear weapon he didn’t like, patting a Tsar Bomba and smiling during a visit to a Russian nuclear weapons museum after the end of the Cold War.

(Miami Herald) - The Trump Administration has made the decision to attack military installations inside Venezuela and the strikes could come at any moment, sources with knowledge of the situation told the Miami Herald .. @miamiherald.com www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-...

My apologies - I hadn't had enough coffee! RZK Constanta is actually in Belushya Guba - it left Severny on 28 October, same day Yauza arrived in Severny. It is Teriberka & (possibly) Sabetta in Gribovaya Bay. I say "possibly" as Sabetta seems more reluctant to use AIS. Sentinel 1 SAR from today.

Yauza is leaving Severny this morning, after arriving on 28 October. RZK Constanta and (possibly) Sabetta remain at Gribovaya Bay. Rossita remains at Gremikha. The monitoring vessels are mostly in, or entering the White Sea, however Petrogradskiy is already back in Arkhangelsk.

NEW: Here's the basics of what a return to nuclear testing would look like for the United States. www.npr.org/2025/10/30/n...

Last year, I wrote an article for @foreignaffairs.com on why the US stands to lose the most from a resumption of nuclear testing. www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...

Poseidon test related: The special purpose submarine Belgorod, Poseidon trials support ship Akademik Aleksandrov and the auxiliary Zvezdochka was highly likely missing from their usual piers in Severodvinsk by the 23rd and high likely still missing on the 28th.

If actual nuclear testing resumes, China is set to gain the most. If any one of the "big three", US, Russia and China, tests, I think the other two will follow. The US triggering a new era of live testing would be a mistake, regardless of which admin that makes such a stumble.

1/n - Trump says something about nuclear weapons tests...It’s hard to know what he means. As usual, he’s unclear, all over the map, and wrong. 1. The United States has more Nuclear Weapons than any other country. Wrong. Russia has more nuclear weapons than the United States.

how it feels to do physical activity after the age of 35

Chaos Computer Club found an oopsie: "Using the credentials test:test, it was possible to log in at the ARINC OpCenter Message Browser as U.S. Navy Fleet Logistics Support Wing." www.ccc.de/en/disclosur...

1/5 Kara Sea Activity Caveat: Preliminary findings. On October 28th, when the Poseidon test was conducted according to Putin, there were 6 unidentified ships off the eastern coast of Novaya Zemlya, Kara Sea. No NOTAM, no PRIP, but well off the path for any civilian traffic.

New-construction floating crane PK-400 Sevastopol capsized in Sevastopol (Yuzhnaya Bukhta) today during crane testing. - laid down in Nov 2017, launched in Oct 2019; being built for Admiralty Shipyards (St. Petersburg) - two Admiralty Shipyards workers were killed; another 20 people were injured

The vessels involved in monitoring Burevestnik tests, appear to be departing Matochkin Shar en masse this morning. Some "Mission Accomplished" choreography. But it's not entirely wrapped up yet; as the continued presence of RZK Constanta, Yauza and Teriberka attests.

In today’s Russian papers: nuclear-powered cruise missiles, poisonous snakes and economic pressures: “Russian industry is balancing on the verge of an all-industry collapse.” #ReadingRussia

Back to normal programming www.youtube.com/watch?v=6a-q...

I was hoping I'd get around to doing a full review in the next month or so, once the vessels had gone home - but anyway, just to highlight something: there were, since August, something like 6 or 7 other potential test windows, based on vessel/aircraft movements. Below just shows since September.

Here's a timelapse I've put together showing the departure of vessels from Matochkin Shar on 18-19 October, to take up their test monitoring positions, to their return, beginning on the night of 21 October.

For anyone interested in the Burevestnik test which Putin said occurred on 21 October - the thread below shows the signatures that I was able to observe, that indicated a test was planned/underway, from vessel movements, NOTAMS, rf signals, to aircraft activity.

The day of the test

Clad in his camo once again, Putin announced that Russia tested another Burevestnik, his beloved nuclear-powered cruise missile with "unlimited range." General Staff Chief Gerasimov said the Burevestnik flew 8,700 miles for 15 hours. The test occurred on October 21. t.me/news_kremlin...

Yauza has finally departed the east coast of Novaya Zemlya, having drifted there for more than a month, back and forth in the Kara Sea.

New area closure [blue] for Barents Sea missile launch[es] announced on 20 October - effective 25-27 October + 29 October-3 November (09:00-10:30 + 12:00-13:30 daily) - area closure's southern points modified compared to July 2022 + October 2025 area closures [red]

Looks like Turkey is doing this again - NOTAM issued for November 23/25/26.

Krasheninnikov volcano in Kamchatka. Image taken today by Sentinel-2.

Thrilled today to release our big report on tactical nukes. In writing up all of the effects, it was striking just how unprepared we would be to handle any of these scenarios—and how much the mere presence of these weapons add vulnerability to any crisis. Quick thread on why TNW are so risky:

It had become apparent to myself & @thelookout.bsky.social that there was Russian activity, possibly related to subsurface detection infrastructure, happening in the Barents Sea. This is a map we did back in June of 2024, of selected AIS tracks. It's great to see confirmation from journalists.

🔺Northern Fleet / Strategic Rocket Forces activity 🚀 There is an increased likelihood of a Strategic weapons firing event in the Arctic region, 23 October 2025. ⚠️Activity likely associated with Russian Strategic Forces Exercise Grom 2025. @thelookout.bsky.social @thomasnilsen.bsky.social

Goodnight

The previous Burevestnik test window is dead, long live the next Burevestnik test window. (23 OCT - 28 OCT) Teriberka on the way again from Arkhangelsk. Honestly though, I don't know if they're going to try again or not, we can only wait and see.

As expected, the annual Russian strategic nuclear forces exercise came today and was a rather modest affair. The Northern Fleet Delta IV-class SSBN Bryansk, which finished a lengthy overhaul not too long ago, fired a SS-N-23, Yaars ICBM from Plesetsk and with LRA Tu-95s tvzvezda.ru/news/2025102...

Missile launches during today's RF Strategic Nuclear Forces exercise: - Yars ICBM (from Plesetsk) - SS-N-23 SKIFF (Sineva) by Delta IV submarine Bryansk (from Barents Sea) - # ALCMs by TU-95MS Bear H kremlin.ru/events/presi...

🔺Northern Fleet / Strategic Rocket Forces activity 🚀 There is an increased likelihood of a Strategic weapons firing event in the Arctic region, 22 October 2025. ⚠️Activity likely associated with Russian Strategic Forces Exercise Grom 2025. @thelookout.bsky.social @thomasnilsen.bsky.social

Russian annual strategic nuclear forces exercise Grom estimate: Looks like we will see SS-N-23 from the Barents Sea and Yars ICBM from Plesetsk. Long Range Aviation participation is highly likely but haven't seen any signs of PACFLT Bulava. Will likely happen tomorrow or alternatively Thursday.

Excellent interview with @bentonra.bsky.social for anyone trying to understand Ireland's foreign & defence policy etc. www.youtube.com/watch?v=hv5g...

A nice racetrack contrail, west of Rogachevo Air Base, Novaya Zemlya, visible this morning in Sentinel 2 imagery. However, I am not certain if this is from one of the test monitoring aircraft that is currently operating from Rogachevo. The test monitoring vessels are in position.

Russia readies Barents Sea for annual nuclear strategic exercise Grom (Thunder).

Very interesting catch from @shaunsaviation.com over on the other site tonight. Sounds like an upper stage venting/re-entering over Ireland earlier tonight. x.com/Shauns_Aviat...

What's good for the goose is good for the gander. Why not arm Ukraine with systems comparable to those being used against it? If Putin thinks Typhon is escalatory, he's welcome to stop firing so many comparable missiles at Ukraine. I'd be happy to match his restraint. www.wsj.com/opinion/toma...

Russian Navy Morse code weather from special purpose cargo vessel Yauza, 8345 kilohertz CW, 1803 UTC RIT DE RCRQ 19181 99726 10564 41/97 42003 10013 40025 54000 70121 84/// 22212 0//// 20502 19013 BT AR RCRQ K 72.6N 56.4E Heading North East at 6-10 Knots maps.app.goo.gl/RkrhJaLy4gzb...