My belated take on sandwich guy. 1. I think it is assault for someone to throw a sandwich at me. 2. I think it is not assault for a lumberjack to acidentally bop a coworker with some bark while chopping down a tree. 3. I think ICE/etc being injured by someone while working is case 2.

Curious about using census microdata in your research? 📊 Join us for a webinar on IPUMS International, the world’s leading repository of harmonized census data. 🗓️ 12 Nov 2025 | 🕒 15:15–16:30 UK | 💻 Zoom Register: forms.gle/oqTDNU4Zpn2s... Hosted by the LSE Historical Economic Demography Group.

Econ of Ed (and other) friends: what are the best studies linking in-college interventions to labor market outcomes? Especially interested in those that improve outcomes via different mechanism than completion. E.g. if a college wants to improve earnings of grads, what should they do?

If California has a true, justified belief that something causes cancer, then it must actually cause cancer. If it does not, saying that it is known to the State of California to cause cancer is a Lie and should be treated as false advertising.

My favorite thing about being an academic is realizing how obvious things are after wracking my brain about them for several years.

Econ job market candidate intros. Candidates, communicate: 1) your name, program, & fields, 2) image of JMP title & abstract + Alt Text, 3) #EconJMP, & 4) a link to your website. Employers, browse & interact respectfully. Everyone else, shhhh. 📉📈

Worst case bounds uninformative again.

The Rubin Causal Sermon on the Mount says thus. For binary sin indicator D and circumstances Z, a person is guilty of D if D(z)=1 for any z in the support of Z. Blessed are the never-takers.

the president has destroyed the east wing of the white house without so much as a word of input from anyone else to build a royal ballroom paid for with bribes

Very straightforwardly detained by secret police for speech. I honestly don't know what establishment figures are telling themselves any more to avoid cognitive dissonance over this shit.

Exclusion is just one weird guy in the SUTVA party trying to follow his cool friends into the club.

If there is anything that can be called Christlike, it is giving generously to people even as they kill you. No comment on how prevalent this attitude is or should be among LDS members, it's just really remarkable.

I would think every country would be 100%. Measurement error is my Ultimate Concern for this survey.

This is fucking horrifying.

Read the abstract and thought "this would be great for environmental agreements like the Paris Agreement!" Then I saw the journal - nice catch!

Bring back the click-to-cancel rule and a CFPB that would punish such end runs.

Not legal advice, but if this happens, cancel it as an unauthorized transaction with your card company. No one is allowed to charge you for a service you didn't consent to.

Disney boycott with 2 nonverbal autistic daughters who love Moana is going about as well as expected.

This method looks fantastic for using RD to evaluate effects of policies on inequality, without needing to know the X's that predict inequality.

Hi Bluesky! I'm excited to share my job market paper (for the 2025-26 market)! It introduces a new extension of RDD where outcomes are entire distributions: Regression Discontinuity Design with Distributions (R3D). Thread below 👇 (1/)

The Third Reich didn't last 1,000 years. Pinochet was ousted with a referendum. And the US isn't exactly dealing with the smartest, most competent fascists. Those of you insisting that 2025 is forever need to read a book, touch grass, go to therapy, anything other than trying to make others quit.

They are allowed to do that. They are precisely allowed to do precisely that. Politicians from Left or Right who slobber after the power to suppress dissenting speech are—under our cherished Constitution—impotent.

Mexico is Thor, Skyline Chili is Hawkeye, Indiana Tenderloin is Phil Colson.

A person who inscribes a bullet with "Notices Bulge OWO" does not have any serious opinions about anything and isn't even trying to be taken seriously. Whether there is an environment driving this sort of person toward violence is a different story.

Perhaps Ted Cruz is the hero we deserve? thehill.com/homenews/sen...

Insurers know that one person spending weeks in the hospital on a ventilator is way more expensive than even thousands of injections.

I'm excited to launch a YouTube channel about econometrics and practical coding / productivity tools. Please consider subscribing so that others can more easily find these resources! www.youtube.com/@structurale...

The most censorious time in America since the red scare and its just a nothing story and 98.5% of "free speech advocates" from the previous 10 years either don't give a shit or actively support the current climate.

I read this wondering whether there was going to be some connection to Charlie Kirk. Thank God, there was not.

I wish we could get some adults in the room or at least a kid who is good enough at Civilization that they remember to pay their NATO subscription.

A sneering midwit with inherited wealth got the facts wrong, and accused an honest public servant—Lisa Cook—of fraud. His meddling created a crisis well beyond his portfolio, undermining the Fed. Bill Pulte can do the right thing and resign. If merit still matters, he should be fired.

"Love the sinner, hate the sin" was always good advice, even if it was often given disingenuously.

My 6 year old daughter who is way too into Frozen II, randomly throughout the day: "You are lost. Hope is gone." Me: "Yes, I know, please stop reminding me."

Fox News is featuring Goomba slam poetry during prime time what a time to be alive.

Actually not @theonion.com.

Proud to join multiple Nobel laureates and several hundred colleagues in signing this letter to protest illegal political interference with our statutorily independent central bank. If you are an economist, please consider joining.

I'm surprised I don't hear more about refusing service to ICE. Goon is not a protected class. Tell these guys to get lost when they try to get food. They did it to black people in Jim Crow for no good reason, maybe we can exercise similar discipline for good reason?

Conference Announcement: 16th International Workshop on Applied Economics of Education (IWAEE - www.iwaee.org) will be held on the 15th and 16th of June, 2026. More information, including call for papers, to follow

Here’s the link to comment on the rule. Please do comment. They can make a difference in litigation. www.federalregister.gov/documents/20...

Our friends at the Wilson Sheehan Lab for Economic Opportunities (LEO) are looking to hire pre-doctoral research fellows to begin in Summer 2026. Here is the application link: apply.interfolio.com/172223

Just received this statement from Lisa Cook: "President Trump purported to fire me 'for cause' when no cause exists under the law, and he has no authority to do so. I will not resign. I will continue to carry out my duties to help the American economy as I have been doing since 2022."

Submit your papers now for the SOLE Conference in Denver May 2026! I'll be reviewing the immigration paper submissions along with the wonderful @elisajacome.bsky.social! Info here: mailchi.mp/sole-jole/so...

POTUS blocking profitable development to protect his fossil fuel donors who can no longer compete on price nor efficiency & require political corruption to stay profitable. bsky.app/profile/agwi...

Working on data cleaning yesterday made me realize that randomized assignment to strata was insufficient for random treatment dosage because the treatment dosages were (maybe) selected in later time periods based on early time period responsiveness. Would have been easy to gloss over!

If you’re on the academic job market this year, it’s a great time to submit proposals for external funding based on your JMP or other ongoing work. Make this your back-up plan! See thread below.

Just saw a cicada killer take out a cicada. Yikes!

This is how we end this