Lookout is live. An essay about what remains when prediction fails—and why listening still matters.

In moments like Venezuela, outcomes may hinge less on oil or ideology than on recognition itself. Prestige, in some administrations, functions as leverage.

"Over time, ARkStorm took on a life of its own. The name began to surface whenever an atmospheric river appeared in the forecast, regardless of scale or context. Social media accelerated the drift..."

"The glacier, a river of craggy ice nearly 20 miles long, pours out of the cloud-swathed southern Andes like a mirage."

The $325 million sale of the Connecticut Sun will only intensify WNBA players’ demands for a bigger slice of revenues in the ongoing CBA negotiations.

This earthquake/tsunami could have been more............................................................understandable.

From Kamchatka Life

Dale’s Bar

With one week left for the Senate to pass his rescissions package, Trump singles out the anti-PBS, anti-NPR part of the package and says "any Republican that votes to allow this monstrosity to continue broadcasting will not have my support or Endorsement."

Resistance to ICE raid at Camarillo farm.

I'm not sure how I missed this.....

Only ICE agents.

Why yes, yes it is... ‘the Word Choice of Losers’ There was a lot lost.

Flip the fucking script!

California has joined 15 other states filing suit against NSF & its acting director, alleging it has illegally terminated millions of dollars in grants & has imposed new fees ending or crippling research vital to health, economy & advancement of knowledge. www.latimes.com/california/s...

"Magna Carta — “Great Charter” in Latin — has been used to justify many different causes over the centuries, sometimes on shaky historical ground. But it has evolved into a global symbol of the importance of fundamental freedoms, including habeas corpus."

"It is easier to believe a lie than to learn the truth." -Dale Alan Cox

Inspired me to get a BJ (not that kind).

10 seconds: Does “bang for the buck” refer to fireworks or prostitution?

“Elon Musk now says his group will produce only 15 percent of the savings it promised. But even that estimate is inflated with errors and guesswork.”

european tourism to the united states: freefalling

“A fourth grader who is below basic cannot grasp the sequence of events in a story. An eighth grader can’t grasp the main idea of an essay or identify the different sides of a debate.”

Sorry! I thought you were Ron Vara!

Musk Signals Willingness To Bid More Than $97 Billion To Acquire Respect theonion.com/musk-signals...

What up with Sir Guy Grand in Wisconsin? #TheMagicChristian

Off topic but: New study shows that, when white & minority Lyft drivers drove at identical speeds (N=222,838 incidents), police were 33% more likely to issue speeding tickets to minority drivers & charged 34% more expensive fines, unequivocally revealing bias. www.science.org/doi/abs/10.1...

I must not think bad thoughts…. X

Do yourself a favor and listen to this clip. Probably not what you expect. 😍

California is no stranger to natural disasters. But it might not be earthquakes, wildfires and mudslides residents need worry about most. And it's not a matter of if... but when. #ARkStorm #USGS #Weather_West

The emperors have no clothes.

(1/3) It needs repeating: in 1994, Ukraine was persuaded to give up its nuclear weapons to Russia in return for the US, the UK, and Russia guaranteeing Ukraine’s sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity.

Which US state has the most billion dollar weather and climate disasters? It’s not California and it’s not Florida - it’s Texas. As this article explains, the only state subject to more wildfires than Texas is California. Texas even leads California in acreage burned.

In a 2018 report, the U.S.G.S. looked at what would happen if a magnitude 7.0 earthquake occurred on the Hayward Fault and estimated that 800 people would die and 18,000 would be injured….The cost of property loss and business disruption was estimated to be $82 billion.” #earthquake #USGS #HayWired

You can ignore climate change. The political system can ignore climate change. But the insurance industry cannot ignore climate change.

"fungal infections pose risks to ecosystems ranging from crops to wildlife to humans; these risks are driven, in part, by human and animal movement, and might be accelerating with climate change." - Case, et.al www.nature.com/articles/s41... #fungi #climatechange #floods

I've often wondered what the last gasp of patriarchy would look like.

“Governing a nation is like cooking a small fish – too much handling will spoil it.” - Lao Tzu

"The tariff is a tax on the many for the benefit of the few." - William Graham Sumner

“Whether ours shall continue to be a government of laws and not of men is now for Congress and ultimately the American people.” - Archibald Cox

"In the midst of chaos, there is also opportunity.” - Sun Tzu This could be good.

A very difficult month supporting LA fire response🧑‍🚒 while battling epic misinformation. Now more than ever, it’s critical to call out efforts to mislead. Here’s what we’ve done to push back on bogus info👉🏼 gavinnewsom.com/california-f... #LAfires

I will support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic….

"Reducing partisan animosity...easy" "Reducing support for political violence and anti-democratic behaviors - difficult" #PNAS ##polarization #intervention

The terms “appeasement", "subservience,” and "fawning," are used when individuals attempt to gain acceptance from powerful people, such as a bully. It’s a strategy to avoid bullying or to gain acceptance from an aggressor.

Atmospheric rivers in Fall2022 delivered record heat & precip, triggering rapid ecological changes in ~7,500 West Greenland lakes. ARs melted permafrost & washed liberated nutrients into the lakes causing bacterial blooms that darken them, perhaps irreversibly. www.iflscience.com/atmospheric-...

In keeping with my previous post.

Being a person with deadly, incurable cancer who is nonetheless still alive for an indefinite timeframe gives me an interesting metaphor that helps me deal with things like large-scale corruption in government or commerce. Bear with me for a second while I try to explain.