Great to see coverage of our first full @wasitusie.bsky.social study on RTE (and elsewhere). Kudos @clairebergin.bsky.social and Lionel swan as well as met Éireann colleagues and thanks as ever to @wwattribution.bsky.social for the hugely valuable collaboration www.rte.ie/news/ireland...

The people I work with are not stupid people and our climate predictions of 30 years ago of global warming have proved to be accurate. Just saying. www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cp...

In a UN speech today, President Trump said that "all of these [climate] predictions were wrong". Back in 2019 I led a research effort to digitize old climate model projections and assess how well they did. Turns out they got future warming pretty spot on!

Excited to host a hands-on #IAHS2025 workshop with @sayaliuk.bsky.social & @wilsonchan.bsky.social 🗓️ 6 Oct, 18:00 IST | 📍 Roorkee, India Explore the ROBIN dataset, drought indicators & FlowScreen. More info: iahs2025.com/SEROBIN Register: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F... #ROBINHydro #Hydrology

Just Launched 📢 The WMO’s 2024 State of Global Water Resources Report is now available! In 2024, the water cycle has become increasingly erratic and extreme, swinging between deluge and drought. This is the #StateOfWater. Read the report 🔗 https://bit.ly/469OBWU

📢 New paper! Events like the winter 2023/24 floods are wetter with higher river flows due to climate change. A worst-case “storyline” shows flows could be even higher - anticipating UNSEEN extremes is vital for adaptation. 🔗: doi.org/10.1088/1748... @ukceh.bsky.social @climatecocentre.bsky.social

New analysis from @metoffice.gov.uk showing that the record-breaking hot UK summer of 2025 has been made much more likely by human-induced climate change and such a hot summer would be expected about once every 5 years in current climate. www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/new...

A quick read on a wet start to September for the UK and how a hurricane flipped the weather pattern. liamdutton.substack.com/p/a-wet-star...

With exceptionally dry conditions in many parts of the UK this year, hydrologists at UKCEH address the question of whether #globalwarming is increasing severity of #droughts in a guest post for @carbonbrief.org

The UK has seen widespread drought this summer. But to what extent are UK droughts being impacted by climate change? In a timely piece up on @carbonbrief.org today, @ukceh.bsky.social hydrologists look at whether global warming is making UK droughts worse www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-i...

NEW – Guest post: Is climate change making UK droughts worse? ✍️ Jamie Hannaford, @wilsonchan.bsky.social, Lucy Barker, Stephen Turner ➡️ Read here: buff.ly/boBB8nU

Simple answer: high rainfall on average doesn’t mean there isn’t a problem when it stops raining.

Don't miss our three amazing keynote speakers at the Land and Water in a Changing Climate event at the Royal Society in London on 24 September! Register now to join modellers, industry and practitioners across hydrology to share insights and knowledge. 🔗 🧪 buff.ly/8OdfwQc

The storm that inspired weather forecasting climatelabbook.substack.com/p/the-storm-...

🌟 We're excited to have our water science director Dr Glenn Watts as a keynote speaker at next month's Hydro-JULES conference, Land and water in a changing climate, at the Royal Society. 🖱️ Book your place! enterprise.mitingu.com/ceh-events/l... 🧪

The latest UK Hydrological Outlook forecasts river flows and groundwater levels for August to October. Though recent rainfall helped ease drought pressures in some parts of the country, river flows elsewhere remain unusually low. 📽️ Hear from UKCEH hydrologist @wilsonchan.bsky.social 🧪 1/

Dr Ségolène Berthou @metoffice.gov.uk is a keynote speaker at the Hydro-JULES 'Land and Water in a Changing Climate' event on 24 September. Dr Berthou currently leads activities on the Regional Environmental Prediction collaboration... Register here: buff.ly/UVhq3K4 🧪

The @ukceh.bsky.social Summer School on Hydrological Data was a success! The team has now published an open-access GitHub repository containing the training materials, which is now publicly available as a long-term resource. Check it out here: github.com/NERC-CEH/UKC...

🌊🏜️🌍 New job opportunity @ukceh.bsky.social for a Hydroclimate Scientist to work on the @climatecocentre.bsky.social and @canari-science.bsky.social projects to advance understanding of hydroclimatic extremes in the face of climate change! Apply now: ceh.wd3.myworkdayjobs.com/en-GB/CEH_Ca...

💧 How can we plan for future droughts when past observations are limited? UKCEH hydroclimatologist @wilsonchan.bsky.social explains how ‘hindcasts’ and the UNSEEN method can help us explore rare but plausible scenarios, filling gaps in observations. New blog post: www.ceh.ac.uk/news-and-med... 🧪

@ukceh.bsky.social is looking for a Hydroclimate Scientist to join the team in Wallingford 🌧️☀️ Work on hydrological projections & climate resilience tools—real world impactful science. Apply here 👉 ceh.wd3.myworkdayjobs.com/en-GB/CEH_Ca... #hydroclimate #climatejobs #UKCEH #droughtscience #careers

Really disappointing new policy from NERC banning resubmissions of grant applications Many of us, including me, have won grants on resubmission, using the reviews to improve the application This is is neither fair nor productive www.ukri.org/councils/ner...

The discourse surrounding precipitation changes in a warming climate (both public discussion and even scientific one at times) is complicated by widespread conflation of changes in averages vs extremes (and also actual vs *potential* evaporation/evaporative demand). [Thread]

A quick read on the UK’s reservoir and river levels, and growing signs of some substantial rain this weekend.

The UK Hydrological Summary confirms heightened risk of drought impacts this summer — especially in eastern Britain. June was the warmest on record for England and 2nd warmest for the UK overall. Rainfall showed stark regional contrasts, with some areas seeing less than half of average. 🧵🧪 1/

📍Our monitoring team of researchers recently gathered in Wicklow! Their work helps us learn more about our environment so we can make better decisions about how we use land and take care of natural resources. @researchireland.ie @daera-ni.gov.uk @ukri.org

See more detail with the full UK Hydrological Outlook: hydoutuk.net/latest-outlook Visualise likely river flow trajectories on the Hydrological Outlooks Portal: ukho.ceh.ac.uk 3/3

In summary: River flows in western regions normal to above normal in July, normal in July-Sept Elsewhere, below normal to low flows most likely, with notably or exceptionally low flows persisting in some catchments Groundwater levels likely normal to below normal UK-wide July to September 2/

What is the hydrological outlook for the UK in the weeks and months ahead? Steve Turner talks us through the likely situation for river flows and groundwater levels. See the full outlook: hydoutuk.net/latest-outlook 🧵🧪 1/ #WaterResources @steveturner.bsky.social

📣 New paper: 💧💧💧 In July 2021 record breaking rainfall hit western Europe, we use ensemble boosting to explore different plausible storylines. These show it could have rained for longer, or over a larger area, or in a different place. Are we prepared? doi.org/10.1038/s432...

🌧️ #NewReport: the July 2025 Texas floods were up to 2 mm/day wetter (+7%) than similar past events — mainly due to human-driven climate change. Natural variability alone can't explain this. 📎 Read the report 👉 www.climameter.org/20250704-texas-floods @ipsl.bsky.social

📣 Registration is now open for the HydroJULES 'Land and water in a changing climate' event. This event on 24 September at the Royal Society will bring together modellers, industry and practitioners to share new developments and visions for the future. 🔗 enterprise.mitingu.com/ceh-events/l...

New paper: using multiple metrics to quantify the connectivity of lakes to each other, rivers & ponds. The correlations among these metrics can be used to guide how connectivity is included in studies of freshwater biodiversity. link.springer.com/article/10.1... 🧪 #UKCEH_AquaEco @ukceh.bsky.social

‘Tiny melodies’: musician uses moths’ flight data to compose piece about their decline. www.theguardian.com/environment/... @ukceh.bsky.social

🌧️🌍💧 Our new paper, led by Geert Lenderink, shows recent European extreme rainfall events have localised climate change responses beyond the expected Clausius-Clapeyron rate – potentially enhancing flash floods in a warmer climate. Read it here: doi.org/10.1016/j.wa... @hayleyjfowler.bsky.social

Wide areas of the UK are currently 10-12°C above normal for the time of day and time of the year. Updated every hour: istheukhotrightnow.com

🌊 Streamflow Stripes are here!!! 🌊 Just in time for #ShowYourStripes Day – 21st June 🌍 Our team at @ukceh.bsky.social has created UK river flow stripes to visualise how these have changed over time. 📖 Read more: climatelabbook.substack.com/p/visualisin... #ClimateChange #Hydrology #DataViz

🌦️☀️ UK Hydrological Outlook published for June-August: 💧 River flows likely below normal to low across eastern, central & southern areas. But river flows in northwest Britain likely to be normal to above normal in June, reflecting the late May/early June rainfall, and normal in June-August. 1/ 🧪

A warming #climate is making the atmosphere more thirsty, driving an increase in #drought severity and a 74% expansion of drought area in the 5 years up to the record-breaking 2022: doi.org/10.1038/s415...

North Atlantic Ocean patterns can signal UK summer droughts up to 1.5 years in advance; offering major potential for early drought forecasting. 📢 Published in Nature Communications Earth & Environment! Read it here doi.org/10.1038/s432.... #UKDroughts #Teleconnections #Forecasting

Lucy Barker from @ukceh.bsky.social presenting the current status of the Water Service at the #CopernicusClimate General Assembly — great work, Lucy!

Thread on new paper by @wilsonchan.bsky.social et al: Climate variability conceals emerging hydrological trends across Great Britain ⬇️

Interesting: 'Should we think of observationally constrained multidecade climate projections as predictions?' www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

🌐 Introducing GRIT: the First Global Bifurcating River Network 🏞 developed by Michel Wortmann as part of the NERC Large Grant EvoFLOOD, in the Hydro-Climate Extremes group @oxfordgeography.bsky.social

💧 Stay up-to-date: rainfall, river flow and soil moisture data for May so far can be viewed on our UK Water Resources Portal: ukwrp.ceh.ac.uk #WaterResources #water #hydrology

Previous conditions: For a comprehensive look at rainfall, river flows, reservoir, groundwater levels and soil moisture up to the end of April check out the latest Hydrological Summary for the UK! 🔗 mailchi.mp/ceh/april-20...

UK Hydrological Outlook for May-July ☀️🌈 River flows likely to be below normal across most of UK, with potential for current low to exceptionally low flows persisting in some catchments. Flows in western Scotland and Northern Ireland are likely to be in normal range. 🔗 hydoutuk.net 💧 1/

This Spring (March-April-May) may end up being the driest on record for the UK. This would also make it the driest of any season in a dataset that goes back to 1836. Spring in 1852 currently holds the record for driest season at 100.7 mm averaged across the UK. www.bbc.co.uk/weather/arti...

📢 Excited to share our new paper! We used large ensemble simulations to show that climate variability masks emerging hydrological impacts - and changes in droughts may remain statistically undetectable for decades. 🔗 doi.org/10.1016/j.jh... @ukceh.bsky.social @canari-science.bsky.social