schadenball .com is back for #UCLFantasy 25/26! 👀 Adjustable Mins Points model 📺Improved data viz 📈 Enhanced xPoints model 💰 DFS xPoints (FanTeam, etc.) 🆓 Team-level eG, CS odds, team strength, captaincy, market odds Thanks to all the supporters - you guys are absolute legends!❤️ #UCL

Season-long odds: goals,assists,cards for #FPL (Select players) Market baselines shift due to more than just returns-role changes, mins, sentiment, etc. Could be used to adjust our beliefs Debuting this in our GW2 FPL Script pod (youtube.com/@fplscript) & will continue to track through the season

xA per 90 vs CBIT-R per 90 for all Premier League players (career data) Added recoveries for MIDs and FWDs Position-wise viz in the comments 👇 #FPL

Finishing skill vs npxG p90 for all Premier League players* (career data) *Includes the newest FPL additions Let me know if you want to look at any other players in this viz

xA per 90 vs CBIT per 90 for all Premier League players (career data) Phase I of data extraction for the 2025/26 UCL season is now complete. As part of prepping and training the data model, I’ve visualized some FPL-relevant metrics*. *Includes the newest FPL additions

#CWCFantasy Unfortunately, I won't be publishing an EV model for CWC2025. Instead, the following data will be made available: ➡️Team Strength Model ➡️Player-level eG/eA odds (Tournament-totals & each MD) ➡️Team-level eG & odds movement FPL__Fran's YT channel will also feature all of this data👇. 1/n

#UCLFantasy Ended up just outside the top 10k which is respectable enough However, well done to @schadenball.com who win The Great and The Good, they finished 109th overall! Congratulations to Sukhraj, Obay and @big4fpl.bsky.social who pushed them to the end

#UCLFantasy #UCL Captaincy choices* for #MD16 Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com *INT v BAR lineups will be available before deadline

#UCLFantasy #MD16 Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players) *Lautaro eA priced at 0.14, eG .38, eGI pts 1.93

I know Indian food is much better than British food, but I had no idea they were eating jewellery and gems! No wonder our cooking doesn't have that same sparkle. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

#UCLFantasy #UCL Captaincy choices* for #MD15 Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com *ARS v PSG lineups will be available prior to deadline

#UCLFantasy #MD15: SF L1 Spread Markets eG for select players

Imo, the most effective ways to gain leverage on FH is not to chase low EO punts, but to build team stacks - particularly in defence. It's such a powerful strategy that DFS (daily fantasy sports) tournaments have stacking penalties to combat this There was only one def triple up in these drafts...

#UCLFantasy #MD14 61 POINTS RANK: 88 OP: 1199 (52 pts behind OR# 1) TV: 108.2m Chips used: LL6, WC13 A miraculous stay in the Top 100 after not owning the G-rassy hattrick. Kane will no longer troll me. The second of 2 penalty misses in fantasy football today - Bukayo Saka

#UCLFantasy #UCL Captaincy choices* for #MD14 Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com DOR v BAR and AVL v PSG lineups will be available before deadline *Ferran Torres is a close 4th on 5.85

#UCLFantasy #MD14 Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players) 4-hour deadline KLAXON** 🚨 *Ferran Torres eA not priced ** INT v BAY game eA market unavailable

#UCLFantasy #MD14: QF L2 Spread Markets eG for select players

2 years since we released E1 of the FPL Script (youtube.com/@fplscript) ! - 72 episodes - 50,000 views - 1070+ subs (and counting 🤞🏿) Thank you, everyone, for your support ♥️ we have some amazing viewers and hope the support continues and grows 🙏 - @fplfran.bsky.social and @schadenball.com

#MD13 Market odds eG trends since 20-March Key news affecting eG have been highlighted as much as possible #UCL #UCLFantasy

#UCLFantasy #MD13 : QF Proj. Goals - MD13 🥇Barcelona 2.52 🥈Paris S-G 2.4 🥉Bayern M. 1.57 Proj. Cleansheet - MD13 🥇Paris S-G 38% 🥈Barcelona 37% 🥉Bayern M. 36% Outright Winner - Odds 🥇Barcelona 23% 🥈Paris S-G 22% 🥉Real Madrid 18% MD15-17 data can be found at schadenball.com

#UCLFantasy #UCL : QFs Final Team Strength model update ahead of #MD13

First 10-pack = positive variance Might as well stop playing till the next pack release #PokemonTCGP

Any fellow #PokemonTCGP players got a spare Pachirisu 4♦️, Shieldon, or Cranidos ?

#UCLFantasy #MD12 DAY TWO Top 25 Market eGI points* (To help with captaincy and sub-out decisions) 140-minute deadline KLAXON 🚨 *Arsenal assets have dicey xMins, proceed with caution

#UCLFantasy #MD12 Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players) 85-minute deadline KLAXON** 🚨 *Lewandowski eA not priced ** LIL v DOR, AVL v BRU, ATM v RMA markets are not available

#UCLFantasy #UCL Captaincy choices* for #MD12 Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com (please utilise BAR v BEN lineups) *Merino represents Arsenal Midfielders. All other Arsenal MIDs and DEFs have better EV than Adeyemi and Mbappe, but mins are extremely uncertain

#UCLFantasy #MD12 : RO16 L2 Proj. Goals 🥇Barcelona 2.81 🥈Arsenal 2.67 🥉Inter 2.50 Proj. Cleansheet 🥇Inter 41% 🥈Arsenal 39% 🥉Aston Villa 34% ET prob. 🥇LIL-DOR 23% 🥈ATM-RMA 19.6% 🥉LIV-PSG 14.2% Downloadable files can be found here: schadenball.com

#UCLFantasy #MD11 DAY TWO Top 25 Market eGI points (To help with captaincy and sub-out decisions) 65-minute deadline KLAXON 🚨

#UCLFantasy #UCL #MD11 : RO16 I will be joined by FPL_Mo for a deadline stream at 3.45pm UK time*. Rough agenda: - xP sense check - Discuss lineups for BRU v AVL - Discuss potential MD11 drafts based on latest EV 👉 youtube.com/live/dvRdXe0... *Mo will join about half an hour into the stream

#UCLFantasy #UCL Captaincy choices for #MD11 Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com (Please utilise lineups for the BRU v AVL game)

#UCLFantasy #MD11: RO16 Market eG points for select players A rare instance of all markets being available a day before the deadline!

#UCLFantasy #MD11 : RO16 Proj. Goals - MD11 🥇Dortmund 2.17 🥈Barcelona 2.16 🥉Bayern M. 2.16 Proj. Cleansheet - MD11 🥇Inter 32% 🥈Bayern M. 30% 🥉Arsenal 29% Downloadable files can be found here: schadenball.com

#UCL #UCLFantasy #MD11 Market odds eG trend for all teams from 26-Feb to 3-Mar PSG v Liverpool 👀

#UCLFantasy #UCL : RO16 Final Team Strength model update ahead of #MD11

#UCLFantasy #UCL Captaincy choices for #MD10 Alternatives DAY ONE: Vangelis Pavlidis DAY TWO: Sehrou Guirassy Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com

#UCLFantasy #MD10: KO PO L2 Market eG points for select players (Market eA is only available for 2 games)

#UCLFantasy #MD10 : KO PO L2 Extra-Time % 🥇Milan v Feyenoord 23.6% 🥈PSV v Juventus 20.6% 🥉R. Madrid v Man. City 15.7% NB: Points scored in Extra-Time are counted "CS intact till ET" helps gauge additional risk of team losing CS in ET. N/A implies game cannot go into ET if the team keeps a CS.

#UCLFantasy #MD10 : KO play-off L2 Proj. Goals - MD10 🥇Bayern M. 3.37 🥈Paris S-G 2.99 🥉Atalanta 2.37 Proj. Cleansheet - MD10 🥇Bayern M. 46% 🥈Paris S-G 44% 🥉Milan 40% Downloadable files can be found here: schadenball.com

#UCLFantasy #UCL Captaincy choices for #MD9 Kvicha Kvaratskhelia is BENCHED Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com

#UCLFantasy #UCL #MD9 : KO Play-offs I will be joined by FPL_Mo for a deadline stream starting NOW. Rough agenda: - xP sense check - Discuss lineups for BRE v PSG - Discuss potential MD9 drafts based on latest EV 👉 www.youtube.com/live/Mx1pwsE...

#UCLFantasy #MD9 : KO play-offs Proj. Goals - MD9 🥇Bayern M. 2.65 🥈Paris S-G 2.41 🥉Man. City 1.88 Proj. Cleansheet - MD9 🥇Paris S-G 38% 🥈Bayern M. 36% 🥉Juventus 35% Downloadable files can be found here: schadenball.com

GW25 Assistant Manager Points Potential 📊 No surprises that Liverpool lead in expected value. However, an interesting choice is presented to managers yet again: safer floor or higher ceiling? Based on 250k sims from @elevenify.com data

85 points in #UCLFantasy putting me up to 662 OR Meanwhile in The Great and The Good Ahsan (give us a wave) with @big4fpl.bsky.social @schadenball.com in the top 10

#UCLFantasy #MD8 Proj. Goals - MD8 🥇Bayern M. 5.29 🥈Man. City 3.23 🥉Leverkusen 3.07 Proj. Cleansheet - MD8 🥇Bayern M. 64% 🥈Leverkusen 53% 🥉Man. City 48% Downloadable files can be found at schadenball.com

#UCLFantasy #UCL I will be joined by @fplmo.bsky.social for a deadline stream tomorrow at 6pm UK time - We get lineups for all 36 teams, so we can change mins in the EV model to sense check - Discuss lineups - Discuss potential Limitless drafts based on latest EV 👉 www.youtube.com/live/Q_7J9u6...

#UCLFantasy #UCL Final Team Strength model update ahead of #MD8

Well done to Ashan who leads the #UCLFantasy Great and Good with a whopping 705 and OR of 24! @schadenball.com @big4fpl.bsky.social and yours truly still in the top 10

#UCL #UCLFantasy UCL Matchday podcast will be streaming today at 3pm GMT - UCL Fantasy season so far - @fplinstinctive.bsky.social & EV models - Captaincy recommendation - Adj xMins EV model - Chip strategy - Suggestions to improve schadenball.com content - MOTM modelling Link: shorturl.at/1FIlj

#FPL #GW15 2024/25 49 POINTS OP: 866 OR: 3.68M 📉 TV: 101.9m Chips used: WC To paraphrase Nick Kyrgios, "Can't buy pos var"

#UCLFantasy #MD6 108 POINTS OP: 595 OR: 266📈 TV: 101.4 m Chips used: Limitless Running at a ridiculous 99.16 points per GW 😂 Sadly couldn't outscore my chipless MD5 squad :( Hopefully the WC can get me into DD OR; What an incredible season it's been so far! ❤️ P.S.: Hate Theo for ruining 11/11