State Department deleted records about risk of inadvertent nuclear war from foreign relations publication - records that are still available in public. Trump fired independent committee tasked to oversee the records and seeks to replace it with loyalists. www.washingtonpost.com/investigatio...

Deadline approaching. Apply today to take part in our upcoming oral history training workshop and interview project.

Excited to launch this project with @basicint.bsky.social!

Our new FAS Nuclear Notebook on Russian nuclear forces is now available. We estimate a stockpile of just over 4,300 warheads, modernizations, but also delays. Earlier STRATCOM projection of significant increase in tac nukes has not yet materialized. www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10....

#NPTPrepcom #UN Join me on May 5th at the @nti.org's side event during the NPT Prep Com, where a great panel will be examining how crises, both natural and human-made, challenge the resilience of nuclear facilities. www.nti.org/events/stren...

New from the Congressional Budget Office: “Projected Costs of U.S. Nuclear Forces, 2025 to 2034.” This edition finds total annual costs have jumped to $65.9 billion—up $13.5 billion or 26% since CBO’s 2023 report. Projected costs over the next decade are $946 billion, up $190 billion since 2023.

Back in grad school, Mac organized and had me manage the 2008 election predictions pool for the policy school. He and I legit won 1st and 2nd place. He taught me many lessons on policymaking. Including why we need fair and impartial election officials. Thanks, Mac. cissm.umd.edu/news/memoria...

🚨New open access paper of mine on the connections between climate change and the politics of nuclear arms and disarmament. Thanks to @erc.europa.eu and @belfercenter.bsky.social ‘Rethinking Nuclear Deterrence’ program for the support. academic.oup.com/isr/article/...

New from me: Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth is asking for Pentagon agencies that do work overseas to plan for cuts of up to 75%. These agencies say the cuts will "increase risk to US due to pathogen spread and easier adversary pathways to develop WMD." www.wired.com/story/pentag...

ATTENTION NUKE NERDS: We’re hosting a one-week, in-person OSINT bootcamp to teach a new generation of open-source nuke investigators. If you’re an early- to mid-career nuclear weapons analyst, this bootcamp is calling for you. Apply today ▶️ fas.org/osint-bootcamp-2025/

🚨 Nuke/OSINT nerds—we have an incredible new opportunity for you! This summer, @scientistsorg.bsky.social is hosting a first-of-its-kind Open Source Nuclear Analysis Bootcamp, where you will learn to analyze: - Satellite imagery - Missiles - Fuel cycle - FOIA requests - Much more! Apply by 23 Feb!

The Bulletin should bring in guest DJs. I need better lists of apocalypse bops and metal that really dooms.

I am fairly pleased with this table that I cobbled together for a guest lecture next week on the different narratives about the use of the atomic bomb in World War II, and creating an example of ways in which they can be compared to each other in an overarching way.

Tomorrow: "From Crust to Core: Analyzing North Korea’s Fissile Material and Strategic Resource Production" with Sulgiye Park RSVP here⤵️ cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/crust...

The Secret Pentagon War Game That ​Offers a Stark​ Warning for Our Times. Want to know more about the Proud Prophet wargame discussed in this weekends NY Times magazine? Link to the (heavily redacted) report as well as memos between CIA and DOD below. dnyuz.com/2024/12/02/t...

Are you an early career scholar/practitioner interested in researching and having impact in nuclear arms control and disarmament? If so, apply now for the Atomic Anxiety in the New Nuclear Age 2025 Fellows Scheme. #NukeSky atomicanxiety.com/2024/11/14/2...

Excited for this roundtable next week, co-hosted with the Project on Managing the Atom. Featuring remarks from Rabia Akhtar, @mbudjeryn.bsky.social , Ruhee Neog, Matt Bunn, and Eli Levite. If you're in the neighborhood, drop in. www.belfercenter.org/event/roundt...

Russia notified the U.S. of the missile launch via the nuclear risk reduction centers. The NNRRC is a low-key, essential success case in crisis prevention mechanisms. Generally not good when it’s part of breaking news.

So where do things stand on this whole question of whether Russia launched an ICBM against Ukraine or not? Here's a short 🧵 wrapping up a lot of good observations by experts, plus a few of my own....

Starter Pack for Nuclear Weapons History and Politics. Most of these folks are within the broader #NukeSky world. If I've missed you, please let me know if you would like to be added or suggest anyone else who should be on this! 👉 go.bsky.app/KDiibQK

To new followers and friends, Welcome to the good place. You can also follow our work via @stanleycenter.bsky.social .

🚨 Job Alert 🚨 Stanford’s CISAC is hiring a Research Assistant for the 25/26 academic year for Scott Sagan. Application window closes December 1st. Amazing opportunity to work with one of the best academics in the nuclear & international security field. careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/social-...

Observe the “such as.” (Ongoing thread) Authors talking emerging technologies and nuclear policy run into the problem of defining their terms and making it easier for readers to get. As a shortcut, we employ the “Such as.” It’s a rowdy collection of mostly unrelated technologies.

Nuclear policy starter pack for folks coming from other socials. Will update regularly. go.bsky.app/BWGGzgX

Created a list of folks doing OSINT and satellite imagery analysis in the nukes space. Let me know who needs to be added! go.bsky.app/LrCCmHn

Understanding the India-Pakistan Non-Attack Agreement, the longest-lasting confidence-building measure in South Asia, can inform broader practices of nuclear risk reduction. Read the analysis by Rabia Akhtar & Ruhee Neog, published by the Stanley Center & @rusi.bsky.social: stnl.cr/naa #NukeSky

The Stanley Center is accepting applications for the 2024-25 Accelerator Initiative! The Accelerator Initiative is a career development opportunity for early-career women and those who identify as nonbinary working in nuclear weapons policy. Apply by January 15, 2024: stnl.cr/accelerator #NukeSky

The NRRC is a low key but extremely important part of arms control and crisis communication infrastructure. Even more valuable when tensions rise and arms control prospects dim. Excellent overview of the NRRC from Mathias Hammer for TIME.

The theme song to “Pete & Pete” has a ballistic missile themed intro. When anyone asks how I got into this field, this song will be my answer now. youtu.be/qkGtGt1L6iU?...

Listening to a briefing with stories from “Voices of Ukraine” by Anastasiia Nechytailo. Heroic and heartbreaking testimonies. Incredibly powerful work by WINS. www.wins.org/wins-launche...

Listening to excellent stories in conversation on Operation Auburn Endeavor. With Petre Mamradze, Matt Bunn, and event co-organizer @nickolasroth.bsky.social. “Nuclear Adventures” event in Tbilisi with @stanleycenter.bsky.social .

Excited to be in Tbilisi with colleagues and partners for “Nuclear Adventures,” our project @stanleycenter.bsky.social using storytelling for intergenerational knowledge transfer on risk reduction in practice. Many excellent stories to come. riskreduction.stanleycenter.org

Welcome to the good place, Vin!

Welcome to #Nukesky danzhukov.bsky.social !

NRRCs have significantly contributed to reducing inadvertent nuclear risks. How can the centers do more? Excellent new paper from Rose Gottemoeller and Dan Zhukov. Via @stanleycenter.bsky.social and RUSI @matthewharries.bsky.social . #Nukesky

We're on Bluesky! For those new to us, the Stanley Center for Peace and Security partners with people and organizations to drive global progress on climate change, nuclear weapons, and mass violence and atrocities. Learn more: stanleycenter.org

Eager to dive into this novel. We spend so much time talking about the limits of rationality and what happens when technology escapes our ability to understand it. Good to see a Shelley-like treatment of von Neumann and our modern monsters.

Updating the profile after (mostly) jumping ship from Twitter. Fun fact: Header image is of @nuclearanthro.bsky.social poking around the dial-a-yield controls on a B61.

Nice job @nukestrat.bsky.social @mattkorda.bsky.social with the addition of methodology to the latest 🇵🇰 notebook. Helps reassure readers and other researchers of the credibility of these estimates. A small thing, but strengthens the notebooks even more. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....