Mike
@mcgwh.bsky.social
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Unforgivable
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about 6 hours ago
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How much crazier will Trump get as the Iran war drags on, gas prices rise, food prices rise, the SAVE act tanks in the Senate, and the GOP midterm prospects look increasingly bleak?
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about 7 hours ago
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Bill Grueskin
about 24 hours ago
Every option the Trump administration has to open the Strait of Hormuz is expensive, risky, and unlikely to convince oil-tanker crews and insurance companies that itās safe enough to travel. šš
www.wsj.com/world/middle...
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Trump Wants to Secure Hormuz. Hereās What It Would Take.
One option would be to clear the way for naval escorts by using more-intense air power against Iranian missiles and drones. Another option: seize the territory around the waterway with ground troops.
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/trump-wants-to-secure-hormuz-heres-what-it-would-take-ce55720d?st=vmq4na&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
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Iām partial to this description.
bsky.app/profile/feli...
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2 days ago
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The Strait of Hormuz is open for transit.
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2 days ago
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I remember hearing the same talking points from Cheney & Rumsfeld staffers after Kabul fell in November 2001.
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3 days ago
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Tisiphone
3 days ago
š§µ
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Carl Quintanilla
3 days ago
CENTCOM:
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Good points in this thread. To succeed, tactics must support a coherent strategy which accounts for 2nd and 3rd order effects. That strategy should support long term policy goals The U.S. is operating in a policy vacuum. Success whatever that might be requires more than ordnance and slopaganda
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4 days ago
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Hegsethās reaction after discovering that the enemy gets a vote.
4 days ago
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Trump going with the Leeroy Jenkins strategy. š link āMr. Trump has said both that the war could go on for more than a month and that it was āvery complete, pretty much.ā
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/10/u...
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How Trump and His Advisers Miscalculated Iranās Response to War
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/10/us/politics/how-trump-miscalculated-iran-response.html?unlocked_article_code=1.SVA.rHoI.ummOSkyXOAlo&smid=nytcore-ios-share
5 days ago
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Cameron šŗšøš½š¦
5 days ago
BREAKING: Leaked Pentagon documents reveal highly classified CENTCOM war plans
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Hey NAVCENT, whatās the plan for opening the Strait of Hormuz? NAVCENT :
5 days ago
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How to say you donāt have a plan without saying that donāt have a plan. āGen. Dan Caine said the Pentagon is working on options to get commercial maritime traffic moving. āWeāll look at the range of options to set the military conditions to be able to do that,āā
news.usni.org/2026/03/10/o...
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Operation Epic Escort: Pentagon Weighs Options on Strait of Hormuz Transits - USNI News
THE PENTAGON ā The U.S. is assessing how to reopen the flow of crude oil tankers and cargo ships through the Persian Gulf as the White House makes resuming regional trade a main priority across the go...
https://news.usni.org/2026/03/10/operation-epic-escort
5 days ago
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Bill Grueskin
5 days ago
The US has burned through over 1,000 Patriot interceptors ($4 million each) to stop an onslaught of Iranian drones ($20k to $50k each). Using my last gift link from Bloomberg, which is doing some of the best reporting anywhere on the war. š š
www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
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Iranās Cheap, Plentiful Weaponry Puts US Military Under Unprecedented Strain
As the conflict extends towards a third week, an arsenal of attack drones and ballistic missiles has helped make Tehran unlike any adversary the US has faced.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2026-03-10/iran-s-attack-drones-and-missiles-put-us-military-under-unexpected-strain?accessToken=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJzb3VyY2UiOiJTdWJzY3JpYmVyR2lmdGVkQXJ0aWNsZSIsImlhdCI6MTc3MzE5MDk4MywiZXhwIjoxNzczNzk1NzgzLCJhcnRpY2xlSWQiOiJUQlBERzRLR0NUR0cwMCIsImJjb25uZWN0SWQiOiJGMUM1Mzc1OEY5Qjg0MDZCOUJCNzMyODRDN0RBMEY3QyJ9.KiVs-Pd4OltJzez17jtXoWFXhcPoCGhK05eXCG_LThw
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Institute for the Study of War
6 days ago
NEW: The Russian military simply does not have the capacity to overrun Ukrainian defenses that Putin constantly claims. š§µā¤µļø (1/5) 1/ Ukrainian forces are successfully counterattacking not only in the Oleksandrivka and Hulyaipole directions but also in western Zaporizhia Oblast.
isw.pub/UkrWar030926
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Pro tip: if the Trump administration wants to reduce veteranās disability benefits, it should stop engaging in pointless wars.
6 days ago
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A report by the Natāl Intelligence Council completed before the U.S. & Israel launched attacks on Iran assessed that even a large-scale military assault on the country would be unlikely to topple its theocratic govāt, according to U.S. officials briefed on the work. š
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/07/w...
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Recent U.S. Assessment Found an Attack on Iran Unlikely to Result in Regime Change
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/07/world/middleeast/a-us-intelligence-assessment-in-february-found-that-an-attack-on-iran-was-unlikely-to-result-in-regime-change.html?unlocked_article_code=1.RlA.5HXs.Ztd3kzUo3NMZ&smid=nytcore-ios-share
8 days ago
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Mike
PBS News
8 days ago
Clocks will skip ahead an hour at 2 a.m. Sunday for daylight saving time in most of the U.S., creating a 23-hour day that throws off sleep schedules, plunges early-morning dog walks into darkness and inspires millions of complaints.
https://to.pbs.org/4lfFZns
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This weekend's U.S. clock change brings back debate over daylight saving time
Over the last decade, at least 19 states have passed laws to let them stay in daylight saving time if the federal government allows it.
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/this-weekends-u-s-clock-change-brings-back-debate-over-daylight-saving-time
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Itās been a good week for Toyota dealerships in Erbil. Wonder how much a Hi Lux Quad Cab is going for?
www.iraqinews.com/iraq/iranian...
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Iranian Kurdish militia buys 50 Land Cruisers in Erbil amid rising tensions - Iraqi News
Erbil (IraqiNews.com) ā A car dealer in Erbil, northern Iraq, reported an Iranian Kurdish group recently acquired a big number of automobiles, raising concerns about probable preparations for border a...
https://www.iraqinews.com/iraq/iranian-kurdish-militia-buys-50-land-cruisers-in-erbil-amid-rising-tensions/
9 days ago
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13 countries are on board so far and rumor has it that Wakanda may also participate
thehill.com/policy/inter...
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What we know about Noemās new āShield of the Americasā role
President Trump said Thursday that Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary Kristi Noem would leave her role and be appointed as a special envoy for āThe Shield of the Americas,āā¦
https://thehill.com/policy/international/5769654-trump-appoints-noem-shield-americas/amp/
10 days ago
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Trumpās strategic doctrine in three words, āForget about nextā
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11 days ago
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Given the history of the U.S. abandoning Iraqi and Syrian Kurds⦠āSome Iranian Kurdish leaders said they were hesitant to work with the United States to launch operations in Iran, given the potential costs to their people if the effort failed.ā No paywall.
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/04/u...
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Pro-American Kurdish Forces Are Preparing Possible Iran Incursion
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/04/us/politics/kurds-trump-iran-war.html?unlocked_article_code=1.Q1A.HrBF.7zVIfh1gbFPf&smid=nytcore-ios-share
11 days ago
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Brian Beutler
11 days ago
Markwayne Mullinās tough-guy schtick is extremely cringe, but itās going to become hilarious in his new role as āguy who gets dog-walked by Stephen Miller.ā
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Mike
Shipwreck
11 days ago
Basra Police confirm to Rudaw that a US aircraft has crashed within the borders of the province. Security forces have launched a search operation for the pilot.
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Travis
11 days ago
The wife of the Iraqi President (both her and the President being Kurdish politicians with the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan party), releases a statement saying "leave the Kurds alone" citing various historical events, including "we saw what happened . . . in Rojava"
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Dumb and Dumber but make it for DHS leadership. Special Envoy for the Shield of the Americas?! Also will she take Lewandowski with her?
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11 days ago
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When the answer is yes but youāre not going to lie under oath.
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11 days ago
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Illia Ponomarenko
11 days ago
Suddenly, its turns out that it is not smart to arrogantly shit on an ally that has learned how to down 200 Shaheds every single night and then wipe out and oil refinery or a military airfield with a handful of cheap drones.
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Dare Obasanjo
11 days ago
I was forced to watch TV news when I had breakfast in a diner recently and I strongly resonated with the sentiment that being an intelligent person in America today is like being awake during a surgery.
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Sven-Erik Volberg
11 days ago
I have bandwidth for only so many conflicts so
#Pakistan
šµš° vs
#Afganistan
š¦š« has been ignored but this video of
#Taliban
airdefense is extremely glorious! Remember, they themselves filmed it and decided to post as a propaganda piece. Office jobs have destroyed the jihad!
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Trying to backfill support for the 7th SFGA deployment to Ecuador.
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11 days ago
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Ambassador Ken Fairfax (ret)
13 days ago
During the Iran-Iraq war (in which the USA unofficially but obviously backed Saddam Hussein and Iraq), we lived right on the "insurance line" near the Strait of Hormuz. Dozens of tankers would amass to make a desperate sprint through the strait, each hoping that their ship, and crew, would survive.
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The Trump admins goals were never clearly defined beyond weāre going to bomb shit for a week or two, claim victory, and move on. Not synched with Israel who is determined to wipe out the Clerics, the IRGC and the Basij. The āmowing the grassā policy on steroids and HGH. 1//
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12 days ago
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Primer on Iranās Mosaic Defense Doctrine.
www.intellinews.com/iran-activat...
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Iran activates its Decentralised Mosaic Defence doctrine that could proves to be a major headache for the US
Following the decapitation of the Islamic Republic and the death of the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on March 1, the Islamic Republic has activated ...
https://www.intellinews.com/iran-activates-its-decentralised-mosaic-defence-doctrine-that-could-proves-to-be-a-major-headache-for-the-us-429245/?source=saudi-arabia
12 days ago
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Will Israel target the next Iranian Supreme Leader? While the Trump administration is looking for an exit ramp, Israel is committed to destroying the regime. No paywall
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/03/w...
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Ayatollah Ali Khameneiās Son Emerges as Leading Choice to Be His Successor
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/03/world/middleeast/iran-mojtaba-khamenei-successor.html?unlocked_article_code=1.QlA.xYhk.ZtPwSYva4G9f&smid=nytcore-ios-share
12 days ago
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www.militarytimes.com/news/your-mi...
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US identifies troops killed during actions against Iran
The soldiers, who were assigned to the 103rd Sustainment Command, were killed during an attack by an unmanned aircraft in Port Shuaiba, Kuwait.
https://www.militarytimes.com/news/your-military/2026/03/03/us-identifies-troops-killed-during-actions-against-iran/
12 days ago
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Minna Ć lander š»
13 days ago
āThe consequence of a newly unreliable and even hostile United States, therefore, will likely be significant military buildups by former allies. This will not mean sharing the burden of collective security, because these rearmed nations will no longer be American allies.ā
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America vs. the World
President Trump wants to return to the 19th centuryās international order. He will leave America less prosperousāand the whole world less secure.
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/2026/03/trump-national-security-greenland-spheres-of-interest/685673/?gift=UsIjuFG6i_50utLAz4EGhdhomswuSqEDKEXgzA4umws&utm_source=copy-link&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share
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PBS News
13 days ago
Special correspondent Reza Sayah is in Tehran and reports on what he saw and heard in Iran this weekend.
https://to.pbs.org/4rMc8p5
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On the ground in Tehran, reporter describes tense and volatile conditions
Special correspondent Reza Sayah is in Tehran and joined Amna Nawaz to report on the latest developments in Iran.
https://to.pbs.org/4rMc8p5
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Mike
29 U.S.C. § 157
13 days ago
Trump has set off a chain reaction and anyone who claims they know how this all ends is lying
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Monty Pythonesque
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13 days ago
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Shipwreck
13 days ago
Iranās deliberate targeting of the energy sector introduces a new and dangerous dimension to this war.
thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
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Iran Raising the Costs of the Conflict by Targeting Critical Energy Infrastructure - The Soufan Center
The war with Iran has entered its third day, with Tehran expanding its attacks against U.S. military targets and assets, while also broadening its strikes on oil and energy facilities across the regio...
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2026-march-2b/
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What comes next is uncertain but this raises the question of what Israel will accept after the dust settles. Gift link to the NYT article In the comments
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13 days ago
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April Sharp, MD
14 days ago
I don't know enough derm or dermatologists to give or get a satisfying analysis of this, but as a pediatrician I feel qualified to say "Eww, that's not good."
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Aaron Fritschner
14 days ago
ABC FOX Montana reports Ryan Zinke will not seek reelection to the U.S. House. House Democrats are targeting this seat and have already invested heavily in flipping it. A significant retirement:
www.montanarightnow.com/elections/co...
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Montana Congressman Ryan Zinke to retire, will not seek reelection
Congressman Ryan Zinke announced he will not seek reelection for a fourth term representing Montanaās first Congressional District, citing health issues.
https://www.montanarightnow.com/elections/congressman-ryan-zinke-to-retire-will-not-seek-reelection/article_ce7e1170-c128-4146-8bc2-b6969447e7d1.html
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āNever, never, never believe any war will be smooth and easy, or that any one who embarks on that strange voyage can measure the tides and hurricanes he will encounterā Winston Churchill
14 days ago
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Patrick Chovanec
14 days ago
Two good books I can recommend that deal with the 1953 coup overthrowing Mossadegh with the rich complexity it deserves, instead of reducing it to a cartoon or morality play:
www.amazon.com/Patriot-Pers...
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Worked great in Libya. Itās not like killing a regimeās senior leadership might create a vacuum which will be filled by warring militias and organized criminal elements or give rise to an even more violent and repressive theocratic regime than the one you just schwacked.
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14 days ago
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Tehran understands that it cannot defeat Israel or the U.S. in a conventional, high-intensity war. Instead, the regime seems to be deploying an asymmetric and attritional response designed not for decisive battlefield victory, but rather endurance and survival
thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
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Iranās Asymmetric Escalation After Khamenei - The Soufan Center
A day after the death of Iranās Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Tehran appears to have substantially escalated its response, demonstrating the continued ability to maintain operational command...
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2026-march-1a/
14 days ago
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