@ColinPClarke
@colinpclarke.bsky.social
📤 2231
📥 54
📝 50
I study terrorism, geopolitics, international security
reposted by
@ColinPClarke
Jacob Ware
about 1 month ago
As my friends
@colinpclarke.bsky.social
and Tim Wilson so elegantly wrote for
@fpri.bsky.social
in October 2022, "The ubiquity of violent rhetoric among the far-right is emblematic of another axiom–disagreement is akin to treachery and violence can have a cleansing effect."
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Mainstreaming Extremism: The Legacy of Far-Right Violence from the Past to the Present - Foreign Policy Research Institute
The ubiquity of violent rhetoric among the far-right is emblematic of another axiom–disagreement is akin to treachery and violence can have a cleansing
https://www.fpri.org/article/2022/10/mainstreaming-extremism-the-legacy-of-far-right-violence-from-the-past-to-the-present/
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War Against the Cartels: Prospects and Perils for the Trump Administration’s Military-Led Campaign, co-authored with Ben Connable for The Soufan Center.
thesoufancenter.org/research/war...
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War Against the Cartels: Prospects and Perils for the Trump Administration’s Military-Led Campaign - The Soufan Center
It appears the United States may be preparing to start a major, military-led counterterrorism operation against several Mexican drug cartels, and perhaps also against some gangs in Venezuela and elsew...
https://thesoufancenter.org/research/war-against-the-cartels-prospects-and-perils-for-the-trump-administrations-military-led-campaign/
2 months ago
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thehundred.substack.com/p/the-return...
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The Return of ISIS
#95: With Colin P. Clarke
https://thehundred.substack.com/p/the-return-of-isis
3 months ago
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thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
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Trump Announces a Deal on Phase One of a Gaza Deal - The Soufan Center
Late yesterday evening, U.S. President Donald Trump announced that Israel and Hamas “have both signed off on the first Phase One of our Peace Plan.” Phase One of the Trump 20 Point Plan involves prima...
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2025-october-9/
3 months ago
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aje.io/mo00ko
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“Critical issues” with the agreed Gaza ceasefire
“There's a lot of fingers pointing at him [Netanyahu] saying that the same deal could have been reached a long time ago.
https://aje.io/mo00ko
3 months ago
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Beyond the Drones: Confronting Russia’s Expanding Hybrid War on Europe
thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
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Beyond the Drones: Confronting Russia’s Expanding Hybrid War on Europe - The Soufan Center
In the past month, unidentified drones — widely believed to be Russian — have menaced Europe, intruding into foreign airspace and causing major disruptions, including temporary airport shutdowns. The ...
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2025-october-8/
3 months ago
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Hamas leaders, perhaps facing pressure from hardline Hamas militia commanders in Gaza, have expressed willingness to yield power in Gaza but have not yet agreed to the plan’s requirement that the group’s military wing disarm.
thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
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Hamas Responds to the Trump 20 Point Plan - The Soufan Center
On Friday, Hamas issued a formal response to President Donald Trump’s “20 Point Plan” for a resolution of the conflict in the Gaza Strip, stating conditional acceptance of parts of the Trump initiativ...
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2025-october-6/
3 months ago
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reposted by
@ColinPClarke
Jess Davis
3 months ago
From the Insight Monitor archives, here's a look at how states employ criminals for targeted killings and transnational repression:
newsletter.insightthreatintel.com/p/state-secr...
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State Secrets: Hiring Criminals for Targeted Killings (and more)
The intersection of state and criminal threats
https://newsletter.insightthreatintel.com/p/state-secrets-hiring-criminals-for?utm_source=publication-search
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Islamic State’s Sahel Province (ISSP) has emerged as a formidable entity in the global and African jihadist landscape, leveraging sophisticated strategies to internationalize its operations and expand its reach.
thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
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Does the Sahel Pose a Transnational Terror Threat? - The Soufan Center
In late February, Moroccan counterterrorism authorities arrested a dozen people accused of planning attacks on behalf of the Islamic State’s (IS) Sahel branch. The plot reportedly involved the remote ...
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2025-october-1/
3 months ago
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Winning the Battle, Not the War: Moldova’s Fight Against the Kremlin’s Hybrid Arsenal
thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
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Winning the Battle, Not the War: Moldova’s Fight Against the Kremlin’s Hybrid Arsenal - The Soufan Center
On Sunday, Moldova held pivotal parliamentary elections that delivered a victory for the pro-European Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS).
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2025-september-30/
3 months ago
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reposted by
@ColinPClarke
John Horgan
5 months ago
The Islamic State Prison Camps in Syria are a Powder Keg by
@drjchernov.bsky.social
and
@colinpclarke.bsky.social
warontherocks.com/2025/08/the-...
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The Islamic State Prison Camps in Syria are a Powder Keg - War on the Rocks
There are approximately 50,000 veteran Islamic State members and their families currently being held at 27 prisons and detention centers across northeast
https://warontherocks.com/2025/08/the-islamic-state-prison-camps-in-syria-are-a-powder-keg/
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reposted by
@ColinPClarke
John Horgan
4 months ago
Think I’ll keep this one. Thank you
@colinpclarke.bsky.social
and The Soufan Center for inviting me to share some thoughts at the Global Summit on Terrorism and Political Violence.
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reposted by
@ColinPClarke
Jacob Ware
3 months ago
A must-watch
@velshi.com
segment featuring
@colinpclarke.bsky.social
and
@milleridriss.bsky.social
covering the “incredibly dangerous” great replacement theory and its mainstreaming on the American right. One of the gravest threats to American lives today.
www.msnbc.com/ali-velshi/w...
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The ‘incredibly dangerous’ conspiracy theory becoming increasingly mainstream on the right
The "Great Replacement” is a far-right conspiracy theory that posits elites are conspiring to replace America’s white, Christian populations with nonwhite immigrants. It has gone from fringe manifesto...
https://www.msnbc.com/ali-velshi/watch/the-incredibly-dangerous-conspiracy-theory-becoming-increasingly-mainstream-on-the-right-248008773509
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reposted by
@ColinPClarke
John Horgan
6 months ago
Finally, someone talking sense. Unsurprisingly, it’s the excellent
@colinpclarke.bsky.social
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reposted by
@ColinPClarke
Jacob Ware
6 months ago
A warning from
@colinpclarke.bsky.social
and Chris Costa amid threats from
#Iran
backed non-state actors: "Even as terrorism remains a live issue, there is a clear mismatch between the level of the threat and the resources allocated to combat it."
@foreignpolicy.com
foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/25/c...
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Terrorism Means Something Different Now
The firewall between violent nonstate actors and conventional warfare has become highly permeable.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/25/counter-terrorism-iran-united-states/
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reposted by
@ColinPClarke
Louis Klarevas
6 months ago
Very proud of my former student
@colinpclarke.bsky.social
for his opinion piece in the
@nytimes.com
identifying what Iran is likely to do after being bombed by the US. One option: attacking US bases in Middle East, which is underway right now.
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/22/o...
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Opinion | How Iran Might Strike Back
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/22/opinion/iran-nuclear-strike-israel-war.html?unlocked_article_code=1.Q08.aA1b.7QmD9pgHdDkR&smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
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Captured Gaza records show that Iran, Hezbollah plotted with Hamas to destroy Israel
www.timesofisrael.com/captured-gaz...
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Captured Gaza records show that Iran, Hezbollah plotted with Hamas to destroy Israel
New study, based on classified documents, reveals terror group's shift from defense to a multifront assault plan, culminating in October 7 invasion; warns Hamas will try again if it recovers
https://www.timesofisrael.com/captured-gaza-records-show-that-iran-hezbollah-plotted-with-hamas-to-destroy-israel/
9 months ago
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reposted by
@ColinPClarke
My latest for
@foreignpolicy.com
A metastasizing threat will only remain localized for so long.
foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/17/i...
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The Islamic State Is Making a Comeback
A metastasizing threat will only remain localized for so long.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/17/islamic-state-syria-comeback-terrorism/
11 months ago
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My latest for
@foreignpolicy.com
A metastasizing threat will only remain localized for so long.
foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/17/i...
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The Islamic State Is Making a Comeback
A metastasizing threat will only remain localized for so long.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/17/islamic-state-syria-comeback-terrorism/
11 months ago
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reposted by
@ColinPClarke
GNET
11 months ago
Today, Clara Broekaert and
@colinpclarke.bsky.social
analyse the horrific New Year's Day attack in
#NewOrleans
. They explore the pivotal role tech played in carrying out this - and other - Islamic State-inspired plots.
gnet-research.org/2025/01/30/t...
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The New Orleans Attack: The Technology Behind IS-Inspired Plots - GNET
https://gnet-research.org/2025/01/30/the-new-orleans-attack-the-technology-behind-is-inspired-plots/
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reposted by
@ColinPClarke
Jacob Ware
11 months ago
My IntelBrief with
@colinpclarke.bsky.social
for The Soufan Center. "When explaining what his ultimate wish was, the
#Nashville
gunman wrote, 'A better, neater, cleaner world by eliminating all undesirables; we must aid the Aryans regardless of our race.'"
thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
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The Nashville Attack Displayed Several Hallmarks of Modern Terrorism
News chyrons flashed across the screen last week with reports of another school shooting in the United States, this time in Nashville, Tennessee. But this wasn’t just the latest in America’s macabre n...
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2025-january-30/
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Syria’s New Leader Calls on Countries to Drop Terror Designation and Lift Sanctions
www.nytimes.com/live/2024/12...
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Syria’s New Leader Calls on Countries to Drop Terror Designation and Lift Sanctions
Ahmed al-Shara stressed diplomacy in an interview but criticized Israel’s advance into Syrian territory. A statement said to be from Bashar al-Assad, the ousted leader, defended his decision to leave ...
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/12/16/world/syria-assad-rebels-news?smid=bs-share
about 1 year ago
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How Hezbollah Diversified Its Funding my latest in
@foreignpolicy.com
with Clara Broekaert
foreignpolicy.com/2024/11/25/h...
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How Hezbollah Diversified Its Funding
The so-called “crime-terror nexus” is alive and well, and only multilateral cooperation can break it.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/11/25/hezbollah-funding-crime-terror-nexus-trump/?tpcc=recirc_latest062921
about 1 year ago
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Islamic State is primed to be thorn in the side of incoming Trump administration
www.theguardian.com/world/2024/n...
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Islamic State is primed to be thorn in the side of incoming Trump administration
The terrorist group has been looking to be active this holiday season, with online chatter about attacks increasing
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/nov/23/islamic-state-trump-administration
about 1 year ago
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www.voanews.com/a/foreign-fi...
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Foreign fighters flocking to Islamic State in Somalia
Just-released report based on intelligence from UN member states warns IS affiliate is growing, gaining ground against rivals
https://www.voanews.com/a/foreign-fighters-flocking-to-islamic-state-in-somalia/7871573.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
about 1 year ago
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The Ripple Effects of War in the Middle East Create Fertile Ground for Violence in the West
thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
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The Ripple Effects of War in the Middle East Create Fertile Ground for Violence in the West
The Hamas attacks of October 7 and the Israeli retaliation, part of a broader regional conflict in the Middle East, have led to a drastic increase in antisemitic and Islamophobic incidents across West...
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2024-november-21/
about 1 year ago
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about 1 year ago
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www.icct.nl/publication/...
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Counter-terrorism Implications of a Second Trump Presidency
With the recent US presidential election ushering Donald J. Trump back into the White House as the 47th President of the United States, there has been much speculation on what foreign policy could loo...
https://www.icct.nl/publication/counter-terrorism-implications-second-trump-presidency
about 1 year ago
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The continued threat posed by Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP) aka "ISIS-K" should be among the Trump Administration's top counterterrorism priorities upon assuming office in January.
www.nytimes.com/2024/03/31/o...
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Opinion | We Still Haven’t Figured Out How to Beat ISIS
Stripping the Islamic State of its self-proclaimed caliphate is not the same as beating it.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/31/opinion/isis-russia-terrorism-attack.html
about 1 year ago
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ISIS arrests are spiking in Canada and youths are driving the resurgence
globalnews.ca/news/1085715...
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ISIS arrests are spiking in Canada and youths are driving the resurgence | Globalnews.ca
Why terror plots linked to the Islamic State are increasing.
https://globalnews.ca/news/10857151/youths-social-media-isis-resurgence-national-security-threat/
about 1 year ago
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reposted by
@ColinPClarke
Sune Engel Rasmussen
about 1 year ago
Israeli airstrikes are hitting deep into Lebanon, targeting single Hezbollah members among displaced families, killing scores of civilians. Such attacks have made Lebanese wary of sheltering Shias. Some say that's exactly what Israel wants. Our story:
www.wsj.com/world/middle...
#iran
#israel
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Israeli Strikes in Lebanon Stir Fears of Sectarian Strife
Lebanon’s religious fault lines are straining as Israel’s war with the Hezbollah militant group grinds on.
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israeli-strikes-in-lebanon-stir-fears-of-sectarian-strife-489ed288?st=MqmpN3&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
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Fight and Talk as Conflict Continues to Rage Across the Middle East
thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
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Fight and Talk as Conflict Continues to Rage Across the Middle East
Negotiations to end the fighting between Israel and Lebanese Hezbollah appear to be reaching an endgame. The conflict, which has raged since the October 7, 2023, Hamas attack, has caused the displacem...
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2024-november-18/
about 1 year ago
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reposted by
@ColinPClarke
Aaron Y. Zelin
about 1 year ago
Hizballah infographic on its ops the past two months
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www.nytimes.com/2024/11/17/u...
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Biden Allows Ukraine to Strike Russia With Long-Range U.S. Missiles
With two months left in office, the president for the first time authorized the Ukrainian military to use the system known as ATACMS to help defend its forces in the Kursk region of Russia.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/17/us/politics/biden-ukraine-russia-atacms-missiles.html?smid=url-share
about 1 year ago
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Quantum Computing and the Evolving Cyber Threat Landscape
thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
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Quantum Computing and the Evolving Cyber Threat Landscape
Malicious cyber activity and cyberattacks have surged in 2024, partly driven by the rapid advancement and low cost of relevant technologies, making attacks more sophisticated, faster to deploy, and mo...
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2024-november-15/
about 1 year ago
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Ok, looks like I'm about to become more active on this site. Feel free to follow me for analysis on terrorism, counterterrorism, U.S. foreign policy and all things national security-related.
about 1 year ago
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reposted by
@ColinPClarke
Nikolas Gvosdev
over 2 years ago
Per
@colinpclarke.bsky.social
interesting that many of these global flashpoints are occurring along keystone linkages that are becoming more important as global supply chains reorient.
thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
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IntelBrief: Bordering on Instability: Global Flashpoints that Could Lead to Escalation
While the international community has been focused on preventing further escalation of the war in Ukraine since Russia’s February 2022 invasion, other flashpoints around the globe should not be igno...
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2023-september-8/
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Our latest Soufan Center infographic #BRICS
over 2 years ago
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reposted by
@ColinPClarke
Jacob Ware
over 2 years ago
My latest, with
@colinpclarke.bsky.social
in the LA Times, analyzes how far-right terrorists choose their targets—and argues that furious, bipartisan condemnation in the wake of white supremacist terrorism is essential in preventing future violence.
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American political leaders have a hard time condemning racist shootings like the one in Jacksonville...
United fronts in the face of far-right violence have the potential to deter would-be copycats. Meaningful gun reform seems unimaginable, but we should be able to get the rhetoric right.
https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2023-08-29/jacksonville-shooting-racial-motivation-far-right-terrorism
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https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/16/us/politics/niger-coup-terrorism-russia.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
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Coup in Niger Upends U.S. Terrorism Fight and Could Open a Door for Russia
The military takeover could force the Pentagon to withdraw 1,100 American troops and close drone bases in the West African country.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/16/us/politics/niger-coup-terrorism-russia.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
over 2 years ago
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Always cool to see it in print
@nytimes.com
over 2 years ago
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"The Wagner Group Is Always Ready for a Coup," my latest for the NY Times assessing the fallout from the coup in Niger and what it might mean for Wagner Group
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/11/opinion/wagner-russia-prigozhin-bazoum-niger.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
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Opinion | The Wagner Group Is Always Ready for a Coup
The ouster of Mohamed Bazoum by Niger’s military presents an important opportunity to Russia’s Wagner group.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/11/opinion/wagner-russia-prigozhin-bazoum-niger.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
over 2 years ago
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reposted by
@ColinPClarke
My thoughts for the New York Times on Prigozhin's aborted mutiny in Russia and what Putin may seek to do next
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/04/opinion/putin-prigozhin-wagner-group-russia.html
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Opinion | Putin Created a Beast, and Now He Has No Idea How to Rein It In
After Yevgeny Prigozhin’s failed mutiny, Vladimir Putin must now figure out what to do with Wagner troops in Latin America, the Middle East and Africa.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/04/opinion/putin-prigozhin-wagner-group-russia.html
over 2 years ago
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Our latest Soufan Center inforgraphic: Russia-Africa Summit
over 2 years ago
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https://www.newsweek.com/us-nightmare-scenario-niger-coup-gives-wagner-group-opportunity-1817076
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U.S. in "nightmare scenario" as Niger coup gives Wagner Group opportunity
The Russian mercenary group could benefit from the current turmoil in the western African country.
https://www.newsweek.com/us-nightmare-scenario-niger-coup-gives-wagner-group-opportunity-1817076
over 2 years ago
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https://newrepublic.com/article/174571/putin-spy-mess-making
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Putin Is in a Spy Mess of His Own Making
Prigozhin’s mutiny was the “first marker of the cracking of the regime,” according to one Ukrainian intelligence source.
https://newrepublic.com/article/174571/putin-spy-mess-making
over 2 years ago
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New puppy just dropped 🐶
over 2 years ago
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https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2023-july-21/
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IntelBrief: The Impact of the Ukraine War on Türkiye’s Relations with Russia
Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine has set in motion a chain of events that have significantly impacted longstanding alliances, leading to the expansion of NATO and closer partnerships between a r...
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2023-july-21/
over 2 years ago
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https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2023-july-20/
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IntelBrief: Are We Entering an Era of Climate-Related Conflict?
Broadly speaking, extreme climate change is manifesting in different ways around the world – from scorching heatwaves, raging wildfires, and droughts to massive flooding, rising ocean temperatures, ...
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2023-july-20/
over 2 years ago
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https://unherd.com/thepost/wagner-is-still-policing-putins-empire-in-africa/
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Wagner is still policing Putin's empire in Africa
Several hundred Wagner Group troops have this week arrived in the Central African Republic (CAR), ahead of a key referendum at the end of this month. The vote, proposed by President Faustin-Archange T...
https://unherd.com/thepost/wagner-is-still-policing-putins-empire-in-africa/
over 2 years ago
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