Given the recent developments south of our border, I examined data from the newly released 2024 American National Study to find some reassurance. In 2024, most Americans opposed political violence. I hope this hasn't shifted in light of recent events. 🧵

OK, so curious what @patricksturg.bsky.social thinks of this. In the raw F2F @britishelectionstudy.com from 2024, the raw (unweighted) vote share is 44% Labour, 20% Conservatives. This seems a big over-statement of the actual lead?

Nouvel article dans @actapolitica.bsky.social sur les préférences musicales et politiques. Entres autres, les électeurs deS partis conservateurs (PCC/PCQ) écoutent plus de métal et de country que leurs confrères et consœurs. Soulève des enjeux dans un monde de plus en plus numérisé. bit.ly/4oTixgX

🚨 Nouvel article en libre accès @cjps-rcsp.bsky.social! En mise à jour d'un syllabus en méthodes? Avec @yannickdufresne.bsky.social, Anne-Sophie Charest, @skelalex.bsky.social, et @nadjim10.bsky.social, nous offrons une introduction aux enjeux de la calibration des sondages — en français! 1/4

% des discours en Français et Anglais au Congrès de leadership du Parti libéral du Canada!

#OpenAccess from @cjps-rcsp.bsky.social @cambridgeup.bsky.social Working the Crowd: Citizen Forecasting, Sophistication and Diversity in Canadian Federal and Provincial Elections - cup.org/4aMdVTx Philippe Mongrain @nadjim10.bsky.social Brian Thompson Collart & @yannickdufresne.bsky.social

Appreciate the shoutout from @poqjournal.bsky.social! I show misalignment btwn Black Americans’ expressed partisan & ideological identities (red line below) stems from unfamiliarity w/ terms “liberal” & “conservative,” making the standard, oft-used lib-con measure invalid for this population.

How did different racial/ethnic groups move over the course of the campaign? Here is data from our two-wave NORC panel showing that Harris increased support over Biden among Black, Hispanic & white citizens between late winter & fall 2024.

Excited to share CHES Canada! We (with @jellekoedam.bsky.social) published a note in the CJPS in which we present the data from this latest addition to the Chapel Hill Expert Survey. You can access the note here doi.org/10.1017/S000...