Diskusjonene om EUs klimamål ruller videre, helt parallelt med de internasjonale klimaforhandlingene. Nå har miljøkomiteen i Europaparlamentet gjort sitt vedtak, og kanskje er resultatet at EUs klimamål for 2035 faller innenfor intervallet Stortinget antok. 1/n www.endseurope.com/article/1939...

New #FATESmodel job focused on fire modeling at UCIrvine :) recruit.ap.uci.edu/JPF09965

If you want more figures on the UNEP Emissions Gap Report emission trends (Chapter 2), then you can't go past @wflamb.bsky.social page... This is the change in total global GHG emissions from 2015 to 2014. Figures and data here: lambwf.github.io/UNEP-Gap-Rep...

Updates of monthly car sales data in the last few days. robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/

Global Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions rise again in 2024, up 2.3%. This is our collective progress, 10 years after the Paris Agreement. www.unep.org/resources/em... 1/

"Here is the graph, which is so wild, the climate scientist had to call a colleague & check it" It is true actually! In the Global Carbon Budget we do not usually show the LUC like this, because of interannual variability & uncertainty. But it is what the data says! politiken.dk/klima/art106...

In Hurumlandet, farmers are adapting to a changing climate. Longer growing seasons bring new opportunities, but also more challenges. Norwegian agriculture must change course to keep up. (Translation by google translate)

There is increasing talk about overshoot of 1.5°C, particularly that *now* we can only achieve 1.5°C by first overshooting 1.5°C. Well, sorry to tell you, 1.5°C have always been overshoot scenarios. Here from the original 'SSP' 1.5°C scenarios published in 2018. [Overshoot is a scenario design]

Sales of non-diesel heavy trucks in the Chinese domestic market reached 57% of the total in September. LNG truck sales are still doing well, but the growth is largely in battery trucks.

The National Party of Australia dumped its Net Zero policy as Australia is moving too fast, & faster than its peers in the OECD. Well, fossil CO2 emissions in the last 10 years have gone down * -0.5% per year in Australia * -1.4% per year in the OECD Australia is somewhat of a laggard...

Norway's fleet of hydrogen fuel-cell passenger cars has halved in size since its peak less than three years ago. The all-time peak was 0.0084% of the fleet.

Where are we on climate action? The bottom black line is countries that submitted new commitments (on time), the dotted line is global emissions. Blue shading are the commitments. That is the progress 10 years after Paris... unfccc.int/process-and-...

#EGU26 session on Maritime transport and climate impact. Abstract including the topic of climate and air quality impacts of currently implemented and upcoming emission regulations in the shipping sector, as well as the introduction of alternative fuels are welcomed. Submission deadline: 15.01.26.

Four-minute video worth your time. Over 2021-24, the EU sent €930 billion more out of the country to import fossil fuels instead of investing domestically. EVs and heat pumps are obvious ways to reduce this waste, but there are more.

Interesting climate/energy policy developments in China.

Hurray, the Oxford Handbook of Norwegian Politics is out! It includes a chapter on climate and nature protection with general insights about the different nature of the two policy areas. How would such a comparison would look like in your country? 1/n academic.oup.com/edited-volum...

ACEA have released their September numbers for Europe. 1/2

"The global oil market may be at a tipping point as signs of a significant supply glut emerge" writes the IEA. Tepid demand due to "subpar economic conditions, increasing vehicle efficiencies, & robust electric vehicle sales in many markets." 😮 www.iea.org/commentaries...

I am not sure the NRK Debatten on costs of climate policy was that helpful... tv.nrk.no/serie/debatt... In simplified terms, the IPCC is clear, mitigation costs less than impacts, & more mitigation leads to more benefits (with high confidence). The IPCC text is hard to pass, so a thread... 1/

In which they don't discuss why they called it "carbon emissions" in the title when the report they're covering is actually about the amount of carbon in the atmosphere. Have to assume they think these are the same, but they're not. Such is our collective misuse of the word "emissions".

It's not long ago that most of us never even asked the question where the rubber on our tyres went when we realise we have to replace the worn ones. The obvious answer is: directly into nature. New report shows that car tyres are the largest source of microplastics in Norway's natural environment.

Finland has a goal to be net zero GHG emissions by 2035. Emissions were declining, the LULUCF removals were strong, the plan was looking good, but then LULUCF collapsed. Net GHG emissions have actually risen over the last decade! www.treasuryfinland.fi/investor-rel... 1/

Uncertain climate effects of anthropogenic reactive nitrogen www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Just added a simple list of the most recent updates to my vehicle sales page. robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/

📢 Our next seminar is coming up! 🗓️Join us next Wednesday at 13:00 CET on zoom

One of the most dramatic "blips" at a global level, ever. robbieandrew.github.io/internationa...

Smarter car chargers. Seems a no-brainer: Add a battery to the charger so it can store off-peak power, and the grid-connection specs are lower.

On the last point on "desired demand". I guess people / industry always want to consume more, the price will limit demand at some level, with limited supply affecting price. Either way, the growth is in line with recent trends, I would say, which should not be so limited by current supply. 2/2

"USA threatens Norway with trade measures and visa denials" if it doesn't withdraw support for the IMO plan, which has been led by Norway. The climate and environment minister says "I understand that the threat Norway received was the same general threat other countries have received."

Don’t miss Prof. Trude Storelvmo’s talk on Arctic mixed-phase #clouds, connecting insights from small-scale processses to large-scale #climate impacts. 🌍☁️ 📆 Wednesday 29 Oct at 1pm (CET) on Zoom! epfl.zoom.us/j/6156668523...

Norway's government presents its suggested budget for 2026 today. Includes reducing the sales-tax exemption for BEVs from 500,000 kroner to 300,000 kr: a 500,000 kr (~USD50,000) BEV will cost 50,000 kr (~USD5,000) more.

Hvor mye har du fått med deg av statsbudsjettet? Ta vår budsjett-quiz, og les reaksjonene fra CICEROs forskere

Regjeringens forslag til statsbudsjett vil forsinke den norske klimaomstillingen, mener CICERO-forskere.

Oh, this is really cool...

Wow, thanks for finding that. I had sort of forgotten about it. I have been looking for an article that summarises these issues. I was looking in the wrong place...

Widespread mortality of warm-water coral reefs is under way, according to the 2025 Global Tipping Points Report. Relying on temperature overshoot — when global temperature rise temporarily exceeds and then returns to or below 1.5°C — increases the risk of reaching additional tipping points.

A Maximum Sectoral Effort "can reduce Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) by >50% globally, increase [the] role of the land sink in storing carbon, & more evenly distribute CDR contributions & associated side-effects across regions compared to CO2 pricing alone" iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1... 1/

Olje og gass er den næringa i Norge som står for størst utslipp. Skal vi bli et lavutslippsland, må også denne sektoren kutte kraftig. I første omgang gjøres dette ved å hente strøm fra land. cicero.oslo.no/no/artikler/...

Update of the Global CCS Institute's report due out today, webinar starts in under an hour.

NOAA data show Mauna Loa was about to be deluged, but perhaps the US government shutdown has saved it just in time? robbieandrew.github.io/ppm/

Fra oppdrettsanlegg til Ikea-madrasser: Startups vinner priser for kreativitet og innovasjon. Men hvordan bidrar de egentlig til en bærekraftig omstilling?

Why didn't Chinese fossil CO2 emissions peak in 2013? It looked like Chinese emissions might peak in 2013, after declines in 2014 & 2015, but since then, improvements in the CO2 efficiency of the economy slowed significantly. CO2 will peak if efficiency improvements return. See ALT text. 1/

US: How much it costs to drive an EV depends on where you charge (home or fast charger), electricity prices, and gas prices, and these last two vary a LOT by state. You can look up your own state here.

– Den største utfordringen i næringslivets omstilling ligger ikke i teknologien, men i tankesettet.

There is a lot of talk about a peak in Chinese fossil CO2 emissions. Carbon Monitor already has estimated a decline in Chinese CO2 in 2024 (last year) of -0.44%. carbonmonitor.org/variation The Global Carbon Budget has a 0.7% increase in 2024. Across two datasets, we don't know if up or down!

Even the newest coal plant in the US has been taken offline for two years to fix problems. That's 932 GW taken off the grid all at once, for two years.

"It is the model with the most scenarios that has the largest influence on 1.5°C scenario findings. Individual studies have only a small or negligible impact on most findings," says @idasogn.bsky.social cicero.oslo.no/en/articles/...

How much must coal go down by 2050? Well, it depends on the model... AIM has small reductions & few scenarios, REMIND has high reductions & many scenarios. Statistics presented in IPCC therefor give high reductions. Without REMIND, reductions lower (red line with R) www.nature.com/articles/s41...

My estimates of how much Norway's CO₂ emissions have been reduced as a result of EVs, PHEVs, and biofuels. robbieandrew.github.io/EV/

I regularly update an internal database of monthly cement production in a bunch of countries, as part of my global cement emissions dataset. I've just pushed a new version to Zenodo.