The drop in CO2 uptake on land (LULUCF) in Finland and Sweden isn't without political consequence. Finland and Sweden now asking the EU for more flexibility. Norway has also made similar comments (but is not an EU member country). www.euronews.com/my-europe/20...

Very interesting piece about China's changing approach to pricing renewables generation in its grid.

Sorry, but disagree with @hausfath.bsky.social here. You open Pandora's box, you ain't closing it again. We've already seen with Paris that well intentioned international agreements do not translate into physical reality and SRM governance is a much harder problem. Zero is the only safe level. /1

Largely due to replacing on-platform gas turbines with connections to land-based hydro and wind, Norway's oil and gas sector is burning natural gas at levels last seen more than 20 years ago.

The @ipcc.bsky.social has completed its selection of authors to their seventh assessment report. CICERO will contribute with six authors and one review editor to the world’s most comprehensive and widely used climate assessment.

It is great to see five contributors to IPCC AR7 coming from little @cicero.oslo.no in Oslo, Norway (where?) with only 100 or so employees (including admin and comms). Who are they? 1/

I am ready for a new cycle of @ipcc.bsky.social report-making. I am far from the only Norwegian, joining the crew of 6 from @cicero.oslo.no. I am the only one from @statsvitenskap.bsky.social, but quite a lot political scientists are involved. Wish us luck!

New paper by a colleague.

I track monthly cement production data for a number of countries. Interesting to note that Russia's production of cement - a key commodity for infrastructure - is down considerably in the last few months compared to 2024.

Just moved a chart that was kind of hidden on my website, now more easily accessible on Singapore's page here: robbieandrew.github.io/country/?cou...

"I don't think it was fully realized how much pollution removal would affect the regional climate" says CICERO researcher @bjornsamset.bsky.social Bjørn Samset in a recent story in @newscientist.com www.newscientist.com/article/2494...

US fossil fuel CO2 emissions are set to rise 1.8% in 2025, according to the US Energy Information Agency. Is this because of Trump? 1/

Folk som blir skremt av klimaendringene, lammes ikke av frykt. De har en mangfoldig palett av følelser, som inkluderer moralsk sinne og kollektiv skyld, men også kjærlighet til naturen og positive følelser rundt kollektivet og kollektive handlinger.

Wow…

This is a fascinating development. Lawyers: Does DOE dissolving the climate report research group and declaring the lawsuits "moot" imply that the report cannot be used as the basis for any future lawmaking? Is there also responsbility for damage from misinformation? www.law.cornell.edu/wex/moot

There are passionate views on the GWP*. I have been rereading IPCC & the GWP* indicates "greater climate benefits from rapid & sustained methane reductions over the next few decades than if such reductions are weighted by GWP100". If you want CH4 to go down, you want GWP*. But... 1/

I Norge er tilliten til forsking generelt høy, men klimakommunikasjon møter flere utfordringer. Desinformasjon, alternative fakta og fryktbaserte budskap kan skape usikkerhet og hindre effektiv formidling.

En fersk rapport viser at barn ønsker å være mer involvert i klimaspørsmål. De etterspør kunnskap om hvordan klimaendringene påvirker deres liv og framtid.

Norwegian elections resulted in continued Labour minority rule. Greens are happy with best election results ever, other small green parties lost votes. Record high support for populist right Fremskrittspartiet. Devastatingly bad result for the conservatives. What does it mean for climate policy? 1/

"Oil companies typically asked the Railroad Commission for permission to flare 10 days after they had already burned the gas." Oil and gas companies in Texas follow the rules, but permits are almost always (99.6% rate) granted to flare gas that they don't want to capture.

See my comments 🇨🇭 broadcasting 3/end www.srf.ch/play/tv/tage...

Our finalised paper on flat10MIP is finally up in GMD! This is the experimental protocol which allows for a simple, emissions-driven evaluation of TCRE, ZEC and climate reversibility in CMIP7. Thanks so much to all who ran these simulations as a proof of concept! gmd.copernicus.org/articles/18/...

I still can’t quite believe @benmsanderson.bsky.social managed to pull this grassroots MIP-thing off (with no funding and no workshop and no CMIP infrastructure). My contribution to this paper was tbh mostly reigning in numerous more outlandish ideas, but that’s a lot of emotional labour, y’all.

Our director, the formidable Kristin Halvorsen, is coming to the end of her term in charge of CICERO. Some big shoes, but hopefully someone is out there with a big picture perspective on linking climate science, communication and policy who can fill them.

CICERO is searching for a new Director @cicero.oslo.no www.finn.no/job/ad/42528...

It’s not just fossil fuels at risk of becoming stranded — without good policies, even decentralized renewables could be left behind. We have looked at this issue in this paper.

According to estimates by motorintelligence.com, sales of Teslas in the US have picked up in July and August.

60%-70% of new pure-electric heavy trucks sold in China in the last year were rechargeable, and 30%-40% were battery-swappers. www.cvworld.cn/news/Onedata...

The DIAMOND project has made an important milestone: the first draft release of six open integrated assessment models (IAMs) that are emblematic in both scientific and policy processes. Now is the chance to contribute and provide feedback! preview.mailerlite.com/y7x9l4x1r1

The other thing this figure shows is the big increase in India's imports of natural gas in 2024 because of government demands that gas-fired power stations produce more electricity that summer. The extra LNG must have cost those companies a pretty penny. robbieandrew.github.io/india/

With sufficient data in for July, the year-to-date estimate of India's fossil CO₂ emissions is now +0.3%. See: robbieandrew.github.io/india/

The most effective policy against Norway's fossil fuels is to stop using them. Frankly, Europe still loves Norway's oil and gas. Climate policy in Europe is probably the biggest determinant of fossil fuel production in Norway. 3/

To be clear, we really do not need to and should not be having to use our time 'debating' this fantastical nonsense in 2025. There are enough real bits of actual climate science to do. The collective brainpower expended on this by so many scientists could have been -much- better spent.

Norwegian general election one week away. Climate issues are hardly discussed by politicians, but the election result may have profound impact on Norwegian climate governance. I talked about this with Green European Journal.

"While reforestation can contribute significantly to tackling climate change, its global potential is only a fraction of what’s been claimed" @pepcanadell.bsky.social theconversation.com/the-climate-... Article: www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

I thought it was odd that this 2024 article said that tiny Mauritius was the third-largest provider of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Indian solar. Now I learn that Mauritius actually means "USA", because substantial private US funds are channeled through Mauritius. Singapore too. Tax reasons.

I never thought I would be spending my time explaining the scientific method to one of the most well funded research institutions in the history of humanity, but here we are. But it was so uplifting to see so many brilliant scientists provide context to every point in this thing. You guys rock.

Thank you @andrewdessler.com for coordinating this epic effort out of nowhere in a matter of days/weeks. Also special kudos to @ecoclimatelab.bsky.social for doing a non-trivial quantity of cat-herding on the CO2 & greening chapter (quoted below). Such a ludicrous thing to have to write in 2025...

US tariffs on India are likely to hit India's solar industry pretty hard. Blue is value of exports to the US, black is everywhere else. (Chart from Bloomberg)

All aspiring political science researchers: you now have the chance to become a PhD research fellow, while earning a propper salary, exploring whatever topic you prefer and work with top-notch research in a supportive and friendly environment. Please consider applying and become my new colleague!

What a situation we're in. ▸He said countries were “destroying themselves” with wind energy and said, “I hope they get back to fossil fuels.” The most powerful country in the world is now punishing other countries for addressing the climate crisis.

The Global Carbon Budget & Indicators of Global Climate Change activities manage to annually update data & analysis, some of which is rather complex (GCB). I am not sure that updating datasets is really the problem here (though, there are issues). www.nature.com/articles/d41... 1/

The first shipment of CO₂ captured a couple of months ago at a Norwegian cement plant has now been injected into the subsea storage site.

China's NEA releases electricity data for July. The overall utilisation rate of generating capacity continues to trend down as more and more solar in particular is added. In July 2023, grid-scale solar generated at 16% of its nameplate capacity. Important to remember this when comparing capacity.

"The 65-turbine project had obtained all necessary permits from the Biden administration, and nearly 70% of the turbines have been installed. The developers ... had said it was on track to produce enough electricity for more than 350,000 homes in Rhode Island and Connecticut by next spring." 🎁🔗

Just added: Russia's reported monthly production of fossil fuels. Russia stopped reporting crude oil production in early 2023, and of course other production stats need to be taken with a few pinches of salt. robbieandrew.github.io/country/?cou...

Go Team! 🇳🇴 cicero.oslo.no/en/articles/.... @glenpeters.bsky.social @benmsanderson.bsky.social @elinlb.bsky.social @janasillmann.bsky.social @mtlund.bsky.social

Norway had significant tree planting in the 1960s to 1990s, which is often used to explain the reason for CO2 uptake in forests today. Tree planting is on the increase again. It is required by law, but natural regeneration is allowed. More figures on Norway: robbieandrew.github.io/country/?cou...

Big growth in sales of EVs in Turkey this year. July sales have just been released, and show BEV car sales up 176% from last July, while petrol+diesel cars are down 36%. robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/