“Without moral leadership to complement its material strength, China’s global role remains that of a power to be managed—and, perhaps, feared—but not one to be followed,” writes @zoe-liu.bsky.social.

@zoe-liu.bsky.social examines China’s short- and long-term goals—and the factors that will lead to success in the U.S.-Chinese competition.

US-China Relations: What Comes Next? Hear from our panel of experts during our Rapid Response webinar on November 3 at 12 pm ET 🌐 Thomas Christensen 🌐 @edwardfishman.bsky.social 🌐 Zongyuan Zoe Liu 🌐 Matt Turpin 🌐 @juliangewirtz.bsky.social Watch the conversation: youtube.com/live/PoraRsK...

Beijing may have learned to navigate a tariff war with the United States, but the true test lies in whether it can shift from a defensive posture to a sustainable new model of growth, argues @zoe-liu.bsky.social.

My latest at @foreignpolicy.com explains why dollar-backed stablecoins are economic challenge and political threat viewed by the CPC. I show China's evolving policies towards blockchain and crypto. I also explain how China is most likely to respond. foreignpolicy.com/2025/08/19/c...

Exciting news: GOD, GUNS, and SEDITION is out today in paperback! My @cfr.org and @columbiaup.bsky.social book, co-authored with @hoffmanbruce.bsky.social, tells the story of far-right terrorism in America and beyond—a topic that sadly remains as relevant as ever. bookshop.org/p/books/god-...

I am happy that the paperback of "Sovereign Funds: How the Communist Party of China Finances Its Global Ambitions" is now available! Get a copy and chat with me, or to impress your in-laws! 😊 a.co/d/al0rW31

My latest piece @projectsyndicate.bsky.social explains China's sentiment to Trump's tariffs. BJ views it has weathered it well and emerged more confident, more self-reliant, and more convinced its long game is paying off. Trump's tariffs have also turbocharged China's tech ambitions.

Next on our Forward Thinkers list is @zoe-liu.bsky.social, Senior Fellow for China Studies @cfr.org.

Giving China a stake in Ukraine’s reconstruction could transform it from a passive pro-Russia bystander into an active participant in peacemaking, write @zoe-liu.bsky.social and Thomas Graham.

Re President Xi's state visit to Russia, my colleague @cfr.org Tom Graham and I wrote @projectsyndicate.bsky.social on China's role in Ukraine. Trump said Xi can help end the war. We beg the difference. We show why China is needed for an enduring peace but cannot swiftly deliver an end to the war.

What's happening with the trade war and geopolitical competition with China? Next on the @csis.org Capital Cable #112 featuring: ▪️ @zoe-liu.bsky.social ▪️ Evan Medeiros ▪️ @victordcha.bsky.social ▪️ Mark Lippert 📆 5/8 • 9:30 am EDT Watch here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=rQlb...

Several news stories today report that China is signaling openness to trade talks, which fits with patterns of Chinese diplomacy. As I wrote recently: "Beijing has shown a strong capacity for retaliation and a tactical openness to negotiation, but not a willingness to kowtow."

As I argued in my latest @foreignaffairs.com article, the concentration of authority allows the Chinese leader to make sweeping policy decisions unchallenged and to reverse course just as swiftly. Re"China signals opening for trade talks with US" on.ft.com/4d7EovN

Beijing has spent years preparing for an economic confrontation with Washington, writes @zoe-liu.bsky.social. “Unlike during the first Trump administration, China is now, if necessary, ready to decouple from the United States.”

"the United States will always run a trade deficit with China because Americans have no desire to reclaim low-end manufacturing jobs from Chinese factories. The challenge Trump faces is how to structure that deficit in a politically durable way"

My latest @foreignaffairs.com I explain why this time Beijing, if necessary, is ready to decouple from the US. Chinese leadership harbor no illusion that China can win a trade war with the US. But they are willing to risk one that Trump might lose. www.foreignaffairs.com/china/how-ch...

I recently had the privilege of joining @bilalhafeez.bsky.social on Macro Hive to discuss a wide range of issues in the context of US-China trade tensions. I enjoyed the conversation greatly! We covered how, why, and broader implications. Check it out and share with me your thoughts! 🙂 @cfr.org

At a @cfr.org briefing with my distinguished colleagues, I explained how China’s leadership is prepared to respond to rising trade tensions despite not wanting a trade war and why China has the flexibility to pivot quickly. youtube.com/shorts/RtuYb...

@adamposen.bsky.social convincingly explains why the Trump admin may have chosen to go to an unwinnable trade war. "U.S. economy will suffer more than the Chinese economy will, and the suffering will only increase if the United States escalates." www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...

I had the privilege to write for The International Economy amid other prominent thinkers discussing the proposed Mar-a-Lago Accord. I argue it is not a magic wand. As it is envisioned, it is unlikely to achieve the desired goal of trade rebalance. Full collection in pdf:

Recent events made me think of a @foreignpolicy.com piece I wrote in 2022 on how China prepares for an economic war. While this piece has aged well, I am not happy. I am saddened normal people & businesses are becoming collateral damages in great power competitions. foreignpolicy.com/2022/06/16/c...

At a recent @cfr.org event, I discussed with my colleague Rush Doshi why China is NOT desperate for a deal with the Trump administration. A deal is something nice to have, but not a must have. This time China is more prepared, experienced, and capable of retaliation. youtu.be/R8wc3MUWj1Q?...

My latest @foreignpolicy.com on what it takes to get a Trump-Xi grand bargain. To succeed in negotiations with China, Trump administration needs to present Chinese leadership with a dilemma rather than a direct confrontation. @cfr.org 🧵1/9 foreignpolicy.com/2025/01/29/t...

The United States needs to act now to maintain its leadership in outer space, argues a new CFR Task Force. Read the recommendations for how to make space a national priority:

Trump's foreign policy announcements have made me think about a game most of us have played: Monopoly. 🎩 I wrote about this in my @foreignpolicy.com piece, in the context of exploring how Trump and Xi could to redefine US-China relations.

“In the West, money influences politics, but in China it is the opposite: politics influences money.” Read Zongyuan Zoe Liu on what it will take to reverse China’s present economic stasis:

I dug into data and made 5 charts @cfr.org to show how Trump’s Mexico tariffs if effective could shift gears in US auto market and why such tariffs may further elevate the comparative advantage of Chinese EV makers at the cost of US automakers. 🚗 All 5 available link: www.cfr.org/blog/tariff-...

My latest @foreignpolicy.com on what it takes to get a Trump-Xi grand bargain. To succeed in negotiations with China, Trump administration needs to present Chinese leadership with a dilemma rather than a direct confrontation. @cfr.org 🧵1/9 foreignpolicy.com/2025/01/29/t...

In about 500 words @cfr.org I explained why I think the Chinese government will do big stimulus in Spring 2025 and why this does NOT mean abandoning self-reliance/sufficiency. The biggest challenge to the Chinese economy is not foreign tariffs but comes at home. www.cfr.org/blog/rebalan...

I am happy to share: my interactive tracker that visualizes China's overseas airport investment is now live @cfr.org! 🛬✈️ Plz use "filter" on the map to play with it. Many thanks to my colleagues for their help! You can request data from me FOR FREE! 🆓 www.cfr.org/tracker/trac....

I previously researched & wrote about China's pension system, what the gov has done to fix its problems, and why problems are hard to fix. Bloomberg reporters referenced my article published in 2023 via Foreign Policy. A paywall-free version is now available @cfr.org www.cfr.org/blog/what-ch...