It is as though China were taking a page from the American playbook from World Wars I and II (..). In those two wars, the US entered last, suffered the fewest casualties, and was positioned to frame the political settlement after the shooting had stopped. nationalsecurityjournal.org/china-will-n...

The key question for NATO’s future is whether the United States will remain fully engaged on the continent and how German-Russian and German-Chinese relations will evolve going forward. My latest for RCD. www.realcleardefense.com/articles/202...

Worth reading by Le Figaro’s brilliant Laure Mandeville—including a few quotations from me. En cas d’invasion de Taïwan par la Chine, le scénario d’une diversion de Poutine en Europe www.lefigaro.fr/internationa...

Happy Easter!

Reportedly, Army planners are w weighing force reductions of up to 90,000 active-duty soldiers. If this story is confirmed and the reductions implemented, this will have more impact than all the debates about the future of NATO. Facts on the ground. www.military.com/daily-news/2...

„At the core of this unprecedented turmoil in transatlantic relations is what appears to be a fundamental shift in the United States’ relationship with Russia, which is the larger context of the Ukraine cease-fire negotiations.” My take for 19FortyFive www.19fortyfive.com/2025/03/dona...

Recommended.

No more Q, thank you @andrewmichta.bsky.social! #sivispacemparabellum www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impa... via @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social

“Russia will take the West seriously and heed its warnings only if it sees that we possess the military capabilities and, most importantly, the intestinal fortitude to deter aggression and, if need be, defend our interests with force.” My latest. www.19fortyfive.com/2025/01/russ...

We find ourselves in an environment increasingly reminiscent of the late 1930s, where the overarching balance of power is becoming ever-less stable. www.19fortyfive.com/2024/12/the-...

We need to relearn that the effectiveness of our weapons doesn’t rest solely on the relentless pursuit of the technological holy grail, but that these are tools that must be crafted to consider the geography and type of fight the enemy is likely to favor. www.realcleardefense.com/articles/202...

The United States should encourage, work more closely with, and reward those allies that spend the money and share the risk to ensure their own defense and to resource NATO’s regional plans with real exercised capabilities—the Northeast corridor in NATO. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

It was an honor to testify at this important hearing. www.youtube.com/live/hUJrrZm...

Today’s hearing on on Ukraine on Capitol Hill including my testimony www.csce.gov/press-releas...

“Assuming China sticks to its Taiwan timeline, the next secretary has two years to prevent World War III.” I’ve warned repeatedly that the next two-three years will be decisive in both the Atlantic and the Pacific theaters. Rearmament must be top priority. www.wsj.com/opinion/two-...

“By bringing Pyongyang into the fight, Moscow has dropped all pretense that it is concerned about horizontal escalation.” cepa.org/article/russ...

No amount of AI assisted systems or long-range precision fires can compensate for the stark reality that the United States needs to design and manufacture weapons that it can deploy in large numbers. www.realcleardefense.com/articles/202...

“The United States should encourage, work more closely with, and reward those allies that spend the money and share the risk to ensure their own defense and to resource NATO’s regional plans with real exercised capabilities.” My take. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

Thank you for your service! God bless! #VeteransDay2024

www.csce.gov/press-releas.... I look forward to testifying next week.

@andrewmichta.bsky.social Director of the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative The world today is more fractured than at any time since the end of the Cold War. We are heading for a period of protracted systemic instability, with #Europe,-- alt👀 ⁦⁦ My take. ⬇️ www.realcleardefense.com/articles/202...

#Germany #Ukraine x.com/andrewmichta... Andrew A. Michta @andrewmichta.bsky.social 👏🙏 If confirmed, this is the worst moment for such a decision by #Berlin. It sends exactly the wrong message. It should be reversed immediately. #ArmUkraineNow #StandWithUkraine 🔴 www.politico.eu/article/germ...

Connecting this to @andrewmichta.bsky.social call in City Journal piece for domestic industrial rejuvenation. www.city-journal.org/article/waki...

Very important essay from @andrewmichta.bsky.social: Strategic prioritization is key; must avoid "everything is a priority" approach but also ability to recognize legacy priorities may diminish as geopolitical/geoeconomic conditions change. 1/ www.city-journal.org/article/waki...

It’s time for an American national security strategy that doesn’t merely speak about “maintaining the rules-based international order” in normative terms, but draws a geostrategic map of the world that favors US interests—as well as those of its allies. @politico.eu www.politico.eu/article/west...

My comments on the importance of continued US aid to Ukraine via Newsweek www.newsweek.com/afghanistan-...

A path to Ukraine’s membership in NATO—via AtlanticCouncil, including my endorsement. Please share. #StandWithUkraine.

While several @NATO members continue to fail to meet the 2% defense pledge, Putin approved a 10,775 trillion rubles defense budget for 2024—that’s 70% more than in 2023, 2.3 times more than in 2022 and three times more than in 2021. About time we wake up…

Preparing to teach regional security, @andrewmichta.bsky.social in @politico.eu noting what U.S. policymakers need to be doing: "The U.S. ... has to decide which geopolitical hubs are critical to its homeland security and the continued prosperity of its citizens. 1/

I know @andrewmichta.bsky.social, Elbridge Colby & others have continued to warn about defense industrial base. I want to expand because we've seen 2 of 3 Mike Pompeo "lighthouses" (Ukraine, Israel) experience shortages, with Taiwan still on the horizon. 1/

Remember many conversations with @andrewmichta.bsky.social @radiofreetom.bsky.social and Derek Reveron in the halls in Newport that U.S. policy was too reactive, letting Moscow and Beijing set the table. www.city-journal.org/article/a-wa...

Greeting y’all. Phil O’Brian suggested I try this platform. Good to be here.