Today I summarize our Nature papers in a piece at EconLog. Empirical social science started badly but is measurably improving: www.econlib.org/econlog/econ...

"You can write brilliantly about anything. Consider Matt Levine. I have no interest in finance... But the first time I read Matt Levine’s finance newsletter, I thought “I am going to read this approximately every day for the rest of my life”" economistwritingeveryday.com/2026/04/30/h...

Core inflation is at 3% and stocks are hitting all time highs during a war. A central bank with a real 2% inflation target would be raising rates here economistwritingeveryday.com/2026/04/23/r...

SCORE, a collaboration of 865 researchers, is now released as three papers in Nature, six preprints, and a lot of data (cos.io/score/). SCORE examined repeatability of findings from the social-behavioral sciences and tested whether human and automated methods could predict replicability.

What happens when the interests of the military-industrial complex conflict with the interests of oil producers? economistwritingeveryday.com/2026/03/12/i...

My debut piece for EconLog. I cover how we now put some sports bets in the same regulatory category as corn futures: www.econlib.org/econlog/will...

Markets see political turnover in the US and across the world this year: economistwritingeveryday.com/2026/02/05/f...

Seems like Congress should amend the War Powers Act to add a "List of Countries We Definitely Aren't Authorizing The President To Attack Now, No Not Even For A Few Days, No Not Even If He Says Its An Emergency" and the list should start with every NATO country

The real winner of Bluesky vs Twitter seems to be LinkedIn economistwritingeveryday.com/2026/01/15/t...

Heading to Philly #ASSA2026

I check back in on the predictions that markets and professional forecasters made last January to see how they turned out: economistwritingeveryday.com/2026/01/01/h...

Cool dataset alert: economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/12/04/b...

Happy Thanksgiving economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/11/27/t...

As of now tariffs are raising Americans' costs by about 2%:

12 states representing 21% of US high schoolers passed mandates for personal finance classes just since 2022. This sounds like a good idea that will enable students to navigate the modern economy. But does it work in practice? economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/11/13/d...

My paper on the consumer financial impacts of Missouri's 2005 Medicaid cut with @1armedeconomist.bsky.social and Slava Mikhed is finally out in the fall issue of AJHE: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Morgan Housel's new book is pretty good:

Kihwan Bae of @kneecenter.bsky.social and @1armedeconomist.bsky.social of @provcollege.bsky.social evaluate the effect of Certificate-of-Need laws on health care workers. #CertificateOfNeed #HealthCareWorkers #Wages #Employment

Why are there 60+ songs called "Better Man" and only one called "Better Woman"?

Where to find data if the government shutdown takes it down: economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/10/09/t...

The young have always been more optimistic than the old, but this is no longer the case, at least according to the Michigan consumer sentiment survey:

RIP Current Population Survey Food Supplement 1976-2024 www.wsj.com/economy/trum...

The last time inflation was at or below 2.0% was February 2021. The Fed just cut rates despite inflation being at 2.6%. If you didn’t know about their 2% target & looked only at their actions, what would you guess their target is? economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/09/18/i...

The Fed is about to make a mistake: economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/09/11/d...

New replication project for Health Behavior research. They offer funding if you try to replicate a paper this fall: www.cos.io/rphb

Physically showing up to class is one thing I can still be sure the AI isn't doing for you: economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/08/14/w...

Parents work longer instead of retiring in order to keep health insurance for their adult kids: economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/08/07/p...

Making a clean panel dataset of the historical demographics of US states available here: economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/07/31/s...

New dataset gives exact dates for when every state passed and repealed their Certificate of Need laws: ciceroinstitute.org/blog/compreh...

Iowa just joined Connecticut, Kentucky, Michigan, Vermont, and West Virginia in the club of states to repeal Certificate of Need requirements for Birth Centers in the past 2 years: economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/07/17/f...

What I learned trying to stump frontier AI models: economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/07/10/w...

At this point John Maynard Keynes himself would be saying to cut the deficit, but we're about to make it bigger: economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/07/03/t...

Healthcare should be a macroeconomics topic www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

ADP reports that the US economy lost jobs in June for the first time since March 2023, and only the second time since 2020:

Technologies like hydrophones and satellites, if used well, will increasingly make public waters more “excludable” and reduce “tragedy of the commons” overfishing: economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/06/26/e...

Of people who said they were 100% sure they would start a business in the next 2 years, only 20% actually did. Intentions are very different from actions (according to the Germany Socioeconomic Panel)

When your survey is just 2 years old, it is easy to set records, but still striking: Consumer sentiment at record lows, consumers cutting discretionary spending at record highs in response economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/06/19/l...

Data on teaching loads are surprisingly scarce, but here's the best I can figure: Full-time tenured or tenure-track professors in the US teach an average of 4.72 undergraduate courses & 0.91 graduate courses, for a total of 5.63 courses per academic year. economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/06/05/t...

Someone must track total bond issues by industry sector right? I couldn't find this for all companies, but I used Compustat data to calculate debt trends for public companies: economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/05/22/c...

Princeton is offering an online PhD Macrofinance class this summer that is free and open to PhD students at all schools: initiative.princeton.edu/2025-macrofi...

Population is still a big predictor of state-level regulation, on top of the red/blue dynamics people expect: economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/05/15/t...

If you had to increase the value of total US manufacturing output- if you were going to be paid based on a fraction of real US manufacturing output 10 years from now- how would you do it? economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/05/08/h...

For anyone with datasets to share- I used to just post mine on OSF, but I'm getting about 10x the views on each dataset since I put them on Kaggle economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/05/01/k...

I've never signed onto any petition or open letter of economists before, but this one seemed like an open and shut case: anti-tariff.org

What stays strong in a world where the dollar is deliberately weakened? economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/04/17/t...

A 90-day tariff pause.... then what? economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/04/10/t...

Roger Lowenstein told the story of LTCM in his 2001 book “When Genius Failed“. I finally got around to reading this classic of the genre this year, and I’d say it is still well worth picking up. The story is well-told, and the lessons are timeless: economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/04/06/w...

Me back in October: "because of the ability of the President to raise tariffs unilaterally, I see Trump as the bigger risk when it comes to economic prosperity" economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/10/31/t...