Call for abstracts open to participate in the 'Empirical Criminal Law and Empirical Research on Sentencing' mini-conference law.prf.cuni.cz/empiricalcri... next January in Prague. I'll be there presenting 'How to Model Endogenous Legal Factors in Sentencing Research' with @andrzej-uhl.bsky.social.

It looks like sentence inflation is not an issue in Cardiff

NEW - Revisiting the Link between Politicians’ Salaries and Corruption - https://cup.org/4dxY7XU - Marko Klasnja, Mihály Fazekas & Ahmed Al-Shaibani #OpenAccess

Yet another criminology article with hallucinated references published in an @elsevierconnect.bsky.social journal. I reported it over a month ago to the journal, but the paper is still online and not retracted www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Never, ever, write chapters in edited volumes. No one can read them, they are trees that fall in a forest when there is no one around to see it. Do yourself a favor, and post a preprint, or start a blog. It will likely have 1000 time more impact.

@andrzej-uhl.bsky.social showing how anyone could design amazing graphs; no coding skills necessary.

In standard scientific reports in psych 96% of first mentioned main hypotheses are supported. In Registered Reports, this is 46%. The 96% is clearly biased (given true H1 rate and power). Lack of transparency means we do not know the true baserate. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

To students looking for PhD opportunities in #CriminalJustice. 3XPhd (fully funded) positions to work with Jakub Drápal & @msoltes.bsky.social on their latest ERC project, from Charles University (Prague), imho the leading research centre on #Sentencing worldwide. www.prf.cuni.cz/sites/defaul...

New paper Co-authored w Dr Chae Rose: The Morality of Speeding & the Conditional Relevance of Controls: rdcu.be/eYEQR #SituationalActionTheory #MoralRules #MoralContext #SpeedingDecisionMaking #ConditionalRelevanceOfControls

New paper with @andrzej-uhl.bsky.social detailing the findings of his experimental study of #Corruption within the framework of #SituationalActionTheory. Full article: Revisiting Bad Apples and Bad Barrels: Person × Setting Interactions in Corruption www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Time for a new wave of PADS+ data collection. Visiting the PADS+ office meeting Kyle and Beth, and our new research assistants (Katie, Rhianna, Giulia) who will be doing the most important job interviewing the participants. And of course it was time for a coffee!

'Exploring the effect of motor #traffic on street #crime'. New preprint with @toby-davies.bsky.social jmpinasanchez.github.io/static/Traff... When neighbourhoods are affected by 'heavy traffic' perceptions of vandalism, burglary and theft grow from 6% to 9%, and that is most likely an underestimate.

Politicians too often think that crime problems can be solved by passing a new law, because that’s what they know how to do. Sometimes a new law is needed, but much more often the solution lies in better implementation of existing laws, or in doing things that have nothing to do with criminal law.

Well this is fascinating: only 1% of 300 members of the public felt a police officer should be dismissed for taking sick leave to go to a family event after being denied annual leave, and only 24% would dismiss an officer who liked a racist WhatsApp joke. doi.org/10.1007/s112...

PhD advisors: read the classics in your field The classics in my field:

New at JQC: Dan Nagin, Christoph Engel, and I use a lab experiment to examine a key mechanism of informal socail control: when can offenders be deterred by bystanders with the capacity to punish? link.springer.com/article/10.1...

New pub alert 🍾 The most challenging yet rewarding paper I’ve worked on: 3y from idea to publication in BJC! I explore how unstructured spare time shapes individual and temporal differences in crime, and propose a spare time model in criminology. doi.org/10.1093/bjc/...

In our new paper, published in Deviant Behaviour, we combine experimental video scenarios and process tracing to open the black box of criminal decision-making. New insights for Situational Action Theory. By C. Herrmann, @andrzej-uhl.bsky.social, and K. Treiber www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Very fresh out of the oven! Our last paper with @nicotrajtenberg.bsky.social. Has loads of cool plots for everyone to enjoy (?) www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

This seems v. relevant to crim methods debates: people often lack insight into their own decision-making processes. If you ask them (e.g. in an interview) why they did something, they confabulate, come up with post-hoc rationalizations, miss factors that must have influenced their choice Link below

I am using this for the upcoming pitch for our Quantitative Pathway in Criminology. Want to change the world? Learn some data analysis.

The second edition of The Effect is now available for preorder! This version has a whole new chapter on Partial Identification, a considerable update on staggered treatment and control variables in DID, and zillions of other little updates throughout. www.routledge.com/The-Effect-A...

Cumulative risk as a marker of social context New open access paper by myself and Kyle Treiber in which we suggest and preliminary test an explanation of the phenomenon of cumulative risk in the study of crime doi.org/10.1002/cbm....

Just published SAT inspired paper by Saeed Kabiri in Journal of Criminal Justice: Hunting in the digital jungle: Exploring cyberstalking with higher order moderation in situational action theory.

New post! smallpotatoes.paulbloom.net/p/is-it-natu...

Nice thread on graphs!

ggplot2 figures are great but imho a touch of Canva/PowerPoint can bring them to another level (before-after)

Please, I’m begging you: use ordinary language when choosing titles for your articles. Should readers really need to know what both “servitization” and “entrepreneurial bricolage” mean to know what your article is about? (Yes, I know I’ve said all this before.)

🚨New paper🚨 Judges (🇵🇱) make suspended sentences longer compared to what they’d give the same offender if they hadn’t suspended his/her sentence. This might increase prison populations, even though judges’ intention was to keep offenders out of prison: link.springer.com/article/10.1...

New post! smallpotatoes.paulbloom.net/p/its-fine-i...

🚨Preprint🚨 Political psychologists might have got the personality-level predictors of punitiveness wrong by using circular research design and vague operationalizations A manuscript with Malia Marks and Paweł Ostaszewski (accepted by Political Psychology) osf.io/preprints/ps...

New open access paper by Christoph Hermann: A framework for testing theories of criminal decision-making using VR scenarios and process tracing and its application to situational action theory. Link: t.co/PFyh3cRiVM

JQ has just published the new research on white-collar criminals after prison by Diana Sun & Michael Benson. Looks like some aspects of reentry (stigma, publicity) are tougher on middle-class offenders despite all the social support they otherwise enjoy www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Hier ist das Wahlergebnis umgerechnet auf die gesamte Bevölkerung. Der neue Bundestag wird gewählt von nur 51% der Menschen in Deutschland. Es gibt mehr Menschen ohne deutschen Pass, die von der Wahl ausgeschlossen werden, als AfD-Wähler. Wen repräsentiert der Bundestag?

Oldies but goldies 'Rejection of rejection: a novel approach to overcoming barriers to publication' "Dear Prof. [insert editor name] Thank you for your rejection of the above manuscript. Unfortunately, we are not able to accept it at this time..." www.bmj.com/content/351/...

Social category differences in crime RATES is rather something that needs to be explained than something that explains. People do not commit acts of crime just because they are, for example, male, 16 years old, working class or belong to a specific ethnic group.

Our article 'A Crisis of Political Trust?' led by @viktorv.bsky.social is now out in @bjpols.bsky.social! We use >3,000 surveys in 143 countries between 1958 and 2019, finding that trust in representative institutions has generally been declining in recent decades. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

I’ve had this situation where dodgy journals cited my research in reference list only (no mention in the main text) even though my topic wasn’t even vaguely relevant to their paper. Is it just poor editing? An invitation to a citation ring? An attempt to advertise their paper through email alerts? 🤔

Some celebrate women in science by misnaming one of the greatest female scientists in history and pretending she only used her husband’s name (she didn’t). Even worse are angry tribalistic comments posted only bc that name doesn’t reveal her nationality. It should be about basic respect, not about🇵🇱

People are rule-guided creatures. The causes of their actions are situational, an outcome of how they see and choose their action alternatives when responding to motivations in the circumstance, a result of the interaction of their propensities and the settings inducements.

Suspects weren’t any more likely to resist arrest by female officers than arrest by male officers (🇧🇷). Which will come as no surprise to actual police but probably will to women haters on social media.

A key reason why the US murder rate is so much higher than Britain’s: they have access to more guns 🔗 www.thetimes.com/article/7c54...

Excited to announce the 3rd run of our PhD conference for doctoral students researching in areas of criminology and criminal justice! We welcome submissions from PhDs at any stage of their degree, from the UK and abroad.

A new SAT inspired paper by Herrmann, Uhl, & Treiber: "Peeking into the Black Box of Offender Decision-Making: A Novel Approach to Testing Situational Action Theory's Perception-Choice Process" www.crimrxiv.com/pub/xt9mzi8o...

E.g. prison sentences of 20+ years are given for drug supply offences, when there is little evidence that they have any more deterrent than 10 year sentences.

People, just stop doing Frontiers special issues. Find a nice diamond open access journal, and self-publish and collaboratively peer review the set of papers you all want to write. Do not give Frontiers money. They add no value. If anything, they hurt your reputation. MDPI is of course even worse.