Rodney Fort 🐀
@rodneyfort.bsky.social
📤 827
📥 167
📝 970
Sports economist. Emeritus Professor of Sport Management, University of Michigan.
reposted by
Rodney Fort 🐀
Dean Oliver
about 14 hours ago
Since The Trade, - Anthony Davis has been worth 0.6 wins above replacement (WAR) - Luka Doncic has been worth 7.2. And that's ignoring the playoffs as well as the projected future.
espnanalytics.com/nba-net-ptsWAR
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Dems: Touch football, right? Repubs: Yep. Absolutely. Dems: So your shoulder pads, helmets, and spikes are just protective, right? Repubs: Yep. Absolutely. Dems: Then good luck! And may best team win!
1 day ago
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What he said. And what his quotes of others say. Good work here.
www.extrapointsmb.com/p/forget-com...
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Forget "competitive harm." Just release the NIL files.
Keeping House data private doesn't help anybody ... except probably agents.
https://www.extrapointsmb.com/p/forget-competitive-harm-just-release-the-nil-files
1 day ago
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Stefan Szymanski
5 days ago
Tariffs disrupting research
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$4.19 where I live.
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5 days ago
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One can agree or not with the values “sellout”. But how can anyone explain the $millions payment? I guess it’s not a Trump “deal” without the lucre. (And I for one am watching for the predictable repeat blackmail.)
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5 days ago
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University of Michigan Sport Management is hiring for an open rank tenure-line position in sports economics. Contact: Richard Paulsen
[email protected]
Announcement
apply.interfolio.com/176980
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Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
https://apply.interfolio.com/176980
5 days ago
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All *employers* want wages a secret. Power to reduce pay. Typical union response in pro sports was a survey shared with all players. If the CSC really cared about athletes it would take on this role. Not holding my breath.
www.sportico.com/leagues/coll...
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Colleges Hide Athlete Pay Data Behind ‘Competitive Harm’
Nebraska, like other public FBS schools, won’t disclose even top-line totals of its House v. NCAA distributions, claiming that info is a trade secret.
https://www.sportico.com/leagues/college-sports/2025/college-athlete-pay-public-records-hide-1234875974/
6 days ago
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Victor Matheson
7 days ago
I think 2 things here: 1. The chance that Trump forces FIFA to move games out of Boston or other blue cities is now 0%. 2. The winner of the prize is pre-ordained in order to get the answer in part 1. Just total corruption (and for once I am not talking about FIFA!)
apnews.com/article/fifa...
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FIFA announces new peace prize to be awarded at World Cup draw in Washington
FIFA has announced the creation of a peace prize, which it plans to award for the first time at the World Cup draw on Dec. 5 in Washington.
https://apnews.com/article/fifa-peace-prize-trump-infantino-682042bcb23ba0e02dcc5f1e88894ffd
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Clay Collins
7 days ago
Got an email from someone interested in being a potential PhD advisee. Entirely AI written letter, complete with hallucinated citations. That’s a first.
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Great stuff here. An element of accounting typically ignored by ADs wishing to cut a sport for… other reasons.
www.sportico.com/leagues/coll...
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This Private University Is Adding Sports to Make Money—Again
Fairleigh Dickinson is adding men's fencing in an attempt to drive profit. It's a different type of accounting that includes paid tuition.
https://www.sportico.com/leagues/college-sports/2025/fairleigh-dickinson-mens-fencing-sports-revenue-profit-1234875711/
8 days ago
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Dean Oliver
9 days ago
Update on the rookies, looking at their season timelines of total Net Pts - Coward started great, but James has caught him - Knueppel had his best game yesterday - Edgecombe and Harper both positive and using 20+% of possessions Obviously plenty of noise in their development.
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Dean Oliver
12 days ago
This is the Wins Above Replacement for 3-1 Denver thus far. - Gordon, Jokic, and Murray essentially tied with 0.8 each - Cam Johnson hasn't even been good yet. - In the past few years, Jokic doubled or even tripled the next best of his teammates in this metric. It's still early.
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Andy "Andyfa" Schwarz
13 days ago
Under the Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution, "no person constitutionally ineligible to the office of President shall be eligible to that of Vice President of the United States". So, no Trump cannot run for VP .
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Rodney Fort 🐀
daniel f stone
15 days ago
According to Google AI I have coined the term "affective polarization" 😆
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Eric Fisher
17 days ago
So yes, tons of local factors back in Montreal, but a deeply troubled economic state across MLB, DC’s own history, and the opportunity for the league to make a huge score in what would be a record sale to the Lerners all part of this, too
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It was never about trade. It was always about “Do everything my way, put $ in my pocket, and love me.”
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/25/w...
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Trump Announces Tariff Increase on Canada Over Reagan Ad Spat
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/25/world/canada/trump-tariffs-reagan-ad.html
17 days ago
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Stefan Szymanski
18 days ago
I'm hoping this might get me an invitation to the new ballroom
www.michigandaily.com/opinion/op-e...
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Why Trump would be perfect for an honorary U-M doctoral degree
Awarding Trump an honorary doctoral degree would be an opportunity to recognize the long way the University has walked in less than two years. U-M juniors may still remember times when the campus code...
https://www.michigandaily.com/opinion/op-eds/faculty-working-group-on-institutional-reflection-why-trump-would-be-perfect-for-an-honorary-u-m-degree/
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Tangotiger
19 days ago
Pure luck would suggest 66% (79/120). Being off by 3 (79 v 76) is just over half a standard deviation, suggesting that there's nothing other than Random Variation at play after the first game. There's no momentum, there's no reverse-momentum. There is just chaos. Which is why we watch
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Stop calling this efficiency. It’s simple cost cutting so that profits look higher for a quarter, before revenues fall. Do better
@nytimes.com
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19 days ago
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Keith Law
20 days ago
75 winners to date, 72 of them white men ... which will be 73 after this ballot
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Dean Oliver
20 days ago
Obscured by Wemby's magical performance, Stephon Castle had the third best game of his career last night, adding +5.8 net points despite going 5/10 from the line. It becomes his best game if he makes 7/10.
espnanalytics.com/nba-box?id=2...
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Advanced Box - ESPN Analytics
Models and data visualization from ESPN Analytics. NBA & NFL Draft, schedule analysis, receiver scores and more.
https://espnanalytics.com/nba-box?id=20251022-0022500004
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Well, the article clearly states that Republicans did their own blocking of Democrat fed worker pay bill. So why the one-sided headline? Do better
@nytimes.com
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/23/u...
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Democrats Block Federal Worker Pay Bill as Shutdown Drags On
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/23/us/politics/democrats-shutdown-federal-employee-pay.html
20 days ago
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Full employment for lawyers.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/674...
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NCAA will not implement ‘5-for-5’ eligibility rules anytime soon, internal memo says
The NCAA to keep four-year eligibility rule through 2026-27, ending the debate (for now) about a "five-for-five" model.
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6741377/2025/10/22/ncaa-will-not-implement-5-for-5-eligibility-rules/
20 days ago
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Dean Oliver
21 days ago
Because our NBA Power Index (BPI) uses player availability info, we report two different values for each team: playoff BPI and current BPI. The Lakers without LeBron, for example, have a playoff value of 2.7 and a current BPI of just 0.3. See here:
www.espn.com/nba/bpi/_/vi...
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Defector
21 days ago
Why are there still Pirates fans?
defector.com/why-are-ther...
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Why Are There Still Pirates Fans? | Defector
PITTSBURGH — Baseball is one of those sports where most fans head into Opening Day at least with a hint of hope. How else do you explain 48,000 showing up for the Rockies’ home opener? This year, the…
https://defector.com/why-are-there-still-pirates-fans
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Eric Fisher
21 days ago
There's more than just Nielsen math explaining the NFL's viewership surge so far this season.
frontofficesports.com/nfl-ratings-...
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NFL Ratings Up Big, and League Says It’s More Than Nielsen Math
The NFL’s viewership surge so far this season is transcending any lift deriving from Nielsen’s new Big Data + Panel measurement process.
https://frontofficesports.com/nfl-ratings-up-big-and-league-says-its-more-than-nielsen-math/
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The earliest press article I have on “big $” ruining baseball is 1901, when the AL, NY especially, began competing with the NL. MLB seems to have done quite nicely for owners since then.
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21 days ago
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Um, there is a clear difference between selling what you have and borrowing at a rate of interest for current production, covered by future revenues. My UG sports finance students even know this. Sheesh.
www.sportico.com/leagues/coll...
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The Twisted Rhetoric of College Sports’ Investment Ambitions
College sports leaders are courting institutional capital, but they're sensitive to terms like "private equity" when they discuss them in public.
https://www.sportico.com/leagues/college-sports/2025/college-sports-investment-twisted-rhetoric-1234874345/
21 days ago
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“Big” is in the eye of the beholder. If it isn’t a full revenue sharing payroll cap, then it isn’t as big as it can be.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/673...
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Silver says WNBA players are 'going to get a big increase' in pay
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6736980/2025/10/21/adam-silver-wnba-players-pay-increase/
21 days ago
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Eric Fisher
27 days ago
Islanders owner Jonathan Ledecky confirmed the forthcoming NHL expansion fee will be at least $2 billion.
frontofficesports.com/nhl-expansio...
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NHL Expansion Fee Soars to $2B As League’s Value Surges
The quiet part is now being said out loud regarding NHL expansion, with a minimum $2 billion fee to be required.
https://frontofficesports.com/nhl-expansion-fee-soars-to-2b-as-leagues-value-surges/
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Uh oh.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/672...
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Big Ten private capital talks to continue as Michigan regents rail against plan
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6723936/2025/10/16/big-ten-private-capital-michigan-usc/
26 days ago
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Rodney Fort 🐀
JJ Cooper
27 days ago
So yesterday marked the beginning of the winter ball season. But it also was the first day of winter ball under a new agreement between the winter ball leagues, MLB and the MLBPA. How the new deal may lead to more affiliated players playing winter ball:
www.baseballamerica.com/stories/new-...
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New MLB, Winter Ball Deal Opens Door For More Players To Participate
The agreements could make up to 60 more players per organization eligible to play winter ball.
https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/new-mlb-winter-ball-deal-opens-door-for-more-players-to-participate/
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Eben Novy-Williams
27 days ago
If there's one main takeaway from me on
@sportico.bsky.social
's latest NBA valuations, it's this: The league is moving toward an NFL-style model. It's gotten closer to fixed costs, and the league-wide media distributions (now $143M) have grown into a significant revenue stream.
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Dean Oliver
27 days ago
What's amazing (in a geeky way) is how the orange and light green curve have the same slope for a decent range. That means that his usage and efficiency corresponded to a constant average productivity in that range. That is not guaranteed at all. 2/2
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Rodney Fort 🐀
The New York Times
27 days ago
From
@theathleticfc.bsky.social
: Real Madrid is seeking to boost its record $1.2 billion in revenue with a historic shift in the team's 123-year-old business model.
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Real Madrid are exploring historic, controversial change in their ownership model
Big change could be on the way to the Spanish giants, whose ownership model has not changed in 123 years
https://nyti.ms/4n9Rg87
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add a skeleton here at some point
27 days ago
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Senator Patty Murray
27 days ago
Increase a little bit? Who is he talking to?? Health care premiums are set to increase in Leader Thune's home state of South Dakota by TWO HUNDRED AND THIRTY FIVE PERCENT (235%!!!) next year.
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Why do media writers use “the federal government” when the clear subject is the current occupant of the White House and his cronies and toadies. While they are trying to be “the” fed gov, they aren’t. Granting them that title is an admission of defeat.
27 days ago
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Field of Schemes
28 days ago
Even if Illinois Rep. Kam Buckner's transparency bill is just the opening of negotiations on the Bears stadium, it's a start — especially given how often sports projects get rushed through the approval process without much public oversight.
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Illinois bill would require sports projects to include independent analysis, public hearings, repayment of lost tax revenue
In the midst of all the Chicago Bears stadium drama, in which team owners are still requesting around $1 billion in infrastructure spending and tax breaks, Illinois state representative Kam Buckner ha...
https://www.fieldofschemes.com/2025/10/15/23250/illinois-bill-would-require-sports-projects-to-include-independent-analysis-public-hearings-repayment-of-lost-tax-revenue/
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They will be less “bloated”. But bloated will remain as long as athletes remain restricted in acquiring the economic contribution they make to their teams. There’s still a non-negotiated cap and the CSC will still reduce compensation unilaterally.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/671...
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Will college football’s revenue sharing era usher bloated coaching contracts out of style?
Schools hope the balance may finally shift in this cycle: Instead of asking for so much guaranteed long-term money, put it into the roster.
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6717969/2025/10/15/college-football-revenue-sharing-coach-buyouts/
28 days ago
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This is a good read.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/670...
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How money — from NIL to new revenue sharing — is changing college hockey recruiting
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6707089/2025/10/15/ncaa-hockey-gavin-mckenna-nil/
28 days ago
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Probably Quixotic, but I’ll root for it. (Thanks, Neil)
www.fieldofschemes.com/2025/10/15/2...
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Illinois bill would require sports projects to include independent analysis, public hearings, repayment of lost tax revenue
In the midst of all the Chicago Bears stadium drama, in which team owners are still requesting around $1 billion in infrastructure spending and tax breaks, Illinois state representative Kam Buckner ha...
https://www.fieldofschemes.com/2025/10/15/23250/illinois-bill-would-require-sports-projects-to-include-independent-analysis-public-hearings-repayment-of-lost-tax-revenue/
28 days ago
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Dean Oliver
29 days ago
The *defensive* relationship between productivity, usage, and efficiency is different because lower efficiency means fewer points allowed per possession (not higher, with offense). Usage is also more balanced, ranging from about 18% to 27% on a season basis.
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www.chicagotribune.com/2025/10/13/i...
29 days ago
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Rodney Fort 🐀
SIEPR
29 days ago
Is
#AI
the century's third speculative bubble? Yes, say SIEPR's
@jaredb-econ.bsky.social
and
@weakinstrument.bsky.social
in a
@nytimes.com
op-ed. They lay out the reasons and examine whether the fallout could be better or worse than the internet, housing bursts. Free link 👇
tinyurl.com/nhjcm62v
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Opinion | The A.I. Bubble Looks Real
The A.I. boom is likely a speculative bubble. Like the dot-com bust and the housing crisis, its pop is going to hurt.
https://tinyurl.com/nhjcm62v
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I think they do both. Because data generate general tendencies while specific situations subject to the variance. So I’ll pitch left against lefty *and* replace a pitcher by “feel”.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/671...
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The MLB playoffs put managers in the spotlight. Should they rely on data or intuition?
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6713590/2025/10/14/mlb-playoffs-data-intuition-decisions-managers/
29 days ago
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Rodney Fort 🐀
USA TODAY Sports
about 1 month ago
A member of the U.S. House of Representatives is raising questions about — and demanding answers from — the recently created College Sports Commission
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College Sports Commission 'sowing new chaos in college athletics', U.S. Rep demands answers
A member of the U.S. House of Representatives is raising questions about — and demanding answers from — the recently created College Sports Commission
https://bit.ly/4oex59S
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reposted by
Rodney Fort 🐀
Steve Berkowitz
about 1 month ago
U.S. Rep. Lori Trahan, D-Mass., is raising questions about — and demanding answers and documents from — College Sports Commission concerning its procedures for approving athletes’ NIL deals with entities other than their schools:
www.usatoday.com/story/sports...
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College Sports Commission 'sowing new chaos in college athletics', U.S. Rep demands answers
A member of the U.S. House of Representatives is raising questions about — and demanding answers from — the recently created College Sports Commission
https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/college/2025/10/11/u-s-representative-lori-trahan-demands-answers-from-college-sports-commission-nil/86640053007/
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Rodney Fort 🐀
Rachel Bachman, WSJ sports reporter
about 1 month ago
In the player-pay era, no school is embracing the NFL model more than Oklahoma. “What better place than a higher-education institution to say, ‘Let’s be honest. Let’s look at the facts and then let’s meet what’s in front of us.'"
www.wsj.com/sports/footb...
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How Oklahoma Football Became the SEC’s NFL Team
The Sooners’ overhaul includes a GM on equal footing with the head coach, an athletic-director search led by the former CEO of AT&T and a front office modeled after the Philadelphia Eagles.
https://www.wsj.com/sports/football/oklahoma-sooners-overhaul-philadelphia-eagles-f9b809ca?st=eccdFK&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
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