Patrick Cronin
@patrickmcronin.bsky.social
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Asia-Pacific Security Chair, Hudson Institute & Scholar in Residence, Carnegie Mellon University
emma-assets.s3.amazonaws.com/0oueb/20e163...
My latest publication on US-North Korea and the U.S.-South Korea alliance
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https://emma-assets.s3.amazonaws.com/0oueb/20e1632840e481dbccb943cba052646b/US-ROK_Policy_Brief250711__GW_.pdf
3 months ago
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Patrick M. Cronin, “North Korea Diplomacy: Necessary, Likely, and Problematic,” Korea On Point, July 4, 2025,
koreaonpoint.org/articles/art...
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3 months ago
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Our English-language panel discussion on prospects for U.S.-North Korean diplomacy and implications for South Korea at Korean Association of International Studies held this year in Yeosu
www.youtube.com/live/AmUlhWO...
#CheyInstitute
#Hudson
#KAIS
#Trump
#Kim
#Lee
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[한국국제정치학회] 2025 하계학술대회(2025.06.26.)_사파이어Ⅰ
YouTube video by KAIS 한국국제정치학회
https://www.youtube.com/live/AmUlhWOosH4?feature=shared
3 months ago
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youtube.com/watch?v=cNAtqZXs_jU…
Singaporean worldview in ten soundbites from Foreign Minister of Dr. Vivian Balakrishnan at Hudson Institute on June 6, 2025
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https://youtube.com/watch?v=cNAtqZXs_jU…
4 months ago
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Defense & Aerospace Report Podcast “Washington Roundtable” June 6, 2025
defaeroreport.com/2025/06/06/d...
My comments 34:30-49:00 34:30 Shangri-La Dialogue 40:00 Korean election 43:00 Taiwan, China, allies, shipbuilding, DF-5
#ShangriLaDialogue
#Korea
#Taiwan
#Singapore
#China
4 months ago
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www.youtube.com/watch?v=RHmz...
My interview on Arirang News Inauguration Special on the outlook for US-South Korean relations as President Lee Jae-myung assumes office. My 10-minute segment of the live broadcast is from 1:35:50-1:44.50.
#LeeJaemyung
#Korea
#US
4 months ago
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I sit down with Singapore Foreign Minister Vivian Balakrishnan this Friday at 3 pm EST; watch online or in person at Hudson Institute
#Singapore
#ForeignMinister
#ASEAN
#US
#IndoPacific
#trade
#security
#technology
www.hudson.org/events/evolv...
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The Evolving Indo-Pacific Order with Foreign Minister of Singapore Vivian Balakrishnan
https://www.hudson.org/events/evolving-indo-pacific-order-foreign-minister-singapore-vivian-balakrishnan
4 months ago
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My analysis of the
#Korean
election and the new
#Lee_Jae_myong
government & its implications for US-Korea relations with this "Washington Brief" #50 program moderated by Amb. Joseph DeTrani & panelist Alexandre Mansourov
www.youtube.com/watch?v=ViDw...
WashingtonBrief.org
washingtonbrief.org
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Washington Brief Ep. 50: Korea Presidential Election: Amid polarization and uncertainty
YouTube video by The Washington Times Foundation
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ViDw13ZfYXY
4 months ago
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US Beacon for Science May Be Dimming
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/03/u...
#MarciaMcNutt
: “We are embarking on a major experiment in restructuring the innovative engine in America &China is the control."
@ardemp.bskyverified.social
@rhuganir.bsky.social
@mathias-unberath.bsky.social
@insitro.bsky.social
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The U.S. Lit a Beacon for Science. Under Trump, Scientists Fear It’s Dimming
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/03/us/trump-federal-spending-grants-scientists-leaving.html?smid=bs-share
4 months ago
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defaeroreport.com/2025/05/30/d...
My comments from ~9:30 On defense, budget reconciliation and Asia ~14:30 On trade, steel, and strategic decoupling ~46:20 On US-China heading into Shangri-La Dialogue ~50:30 On driving away students and talent
#trade
#China
#tariffs
#visas
#SLD
#steel
#decoupling
4 months ago
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"I have watched the demolition of the capacity to read & engage with books. We have...begun to lose our attachments to the meaning of words and sentences, which we once trusted to carry the precious freight of communicating..." Nicole Krauss
#reading
#writing
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
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Opinion | The end of writing and reading will be the end of freedom
Why graduation season is so heartening to me.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/05/22/ai-reading-writing-graduation-books/
4 months ago
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Delighted to discuss my recent report on "Strategic Alignment in an Era of Uncertainty: Next Steps for the US-South Korea Alliance" with Scott Snyer on KEI's "Eye on Korea" program
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Miuz...
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South Korea Might Change - Should the Alliance? | Eye on Korea Ep. 11
YouTube video by Korea Economic Institute of America
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MiuzjvFGBdk
4 months ago
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Patrick M. Cronin, The Future of Nuclear Deterrence in the Indo-Pacific, May 19, 2025
perryworldhouse.upenn.edu/news-and-ins...
4 months ago
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Defense & Aerospace Report Podcast “Washington Roundtable” May 23, 2025
defaeroreport.com/2025/05/23/2...
open.spotify.com/episode/3llz...
This week's discussion with host Vago Muradian, Patrick Cronin, Jim Townsend, Dov Zakheim & Michael Herson
4 months ago
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perryworldhouse.upenn.edu/news-and-ins...
Nuclear deterrence cannot be taken for granted
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The Future of Nuclear Deterrence in the Indo-Pacific - Perry World House
We are entering a new nuclear age. Although no nuclear weapons have been used in conflict since World War II, the world is riven by great-power rivalries, regional instability, and revolutionary techn...
https://perryworldhouse.upenn.edu/news-and-insight/the-future-of-nuclear-deterrence-in-the-indo-pacific/
4 months ago
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www.arirang.com/news/video/3...
Patrick M. Cronin and Go Myong-hyun, “Tracking North Korea’s Military Ambitions and Diplomatic Moves,” Arirang News program “WITHIN THE FRAME,” April 23, 2025
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Arirang TV
Korea for the World, the World for Korea! 한국을 대표하는 글로벌 방송! As a global broadcast representing Korea, Arirang TV strives to promote the right understanding of Korea around the world and bring the globa...
https://www.arirang.com/news/video/33912?lang=en
5 months ago
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Patrick M. Cronin and Go Myong-hyun, “Tracking North Korea’s Military Ambitions and Diplomatic Moves,” Arirang News program “WITHIN THE FRAME,” April 23, 2025
#NorthKorea
#satellites
#Russia
#Ukraine
#China
www.youtube.com/watch?v=LkRe...
5 months ago
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Historian Yuval Noah Harari asks, if rival national fortresses replace a liberal world order, how can they "peacefully resolve their economic & territorial disputes if there are no universal values or binding international laws?"
#Melian_dictum
#whodeterminesstrength
www.ft.com/content/06cc...
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Yuval Noah Harari: Trump’s world of rival fortresses
In the US president’s vision of post-liberal global disorder the weak should always surrender to the strong, writes the historian, philosopher and author
https://www.ft.com/content/06cc7b0f-3e32-4164-b096-ff92a1532236
5 months ago
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America lost a giant yesterday at a moment bereft of leadership. Richard L. Armitage, former deputy secretary of state under President George W. Bush, died unexpectedly on Sunday April 13 at the age of 79. The cause of death was a pulmonary embolism.
armitageinternational.com/news/remembe...
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Remembering Richard L. Armitage - Armitage International
Richard L. Armitage, former deputy secretary of state under President George W. Bush, died unexpectedly on Sunday April 13 at the age of 79. The cause of death was a pulmonary embolism.
https://armitageinternational.com/news/remembering-richard-l-armitage/
5 months ago
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defaeroreport.com/2025/03/28/d...
today’s Washington Roundtable
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Defense & Aerospace Report Podcast [Washington Roundtable Mar 28, ’25] - Defense & Aerospace Report
On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Washington Roundtable, Dr. Patrick Cronin of the Hudson Institute think tank, Michael Herson of American Defense International, former Pentagon Europe chief J...
https://defaeroreport.com/2025/03/28/defense-aerospace-report-podcast-washington-roundtable-mar-28-25/
6 months ago
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My discussion with Prof. Lim Eun-jung of Kongju National University and Arirang News "Within the Frame" host Kim Mok-yeon on Trump trade and defense policy and South Korea
www.youtube.com/watch?v=CGQH...
#Korea
#US
#trade
#tariffs
#tech
#NorthKorea
#SecDef
#China
#Trump
#ArirangTV
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How will Trump's transactional diplomacy influence ties with allies like S. Korea?
YouTube video by Arirang News
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CGQHb3eszEU&list=PLrbGky8XSVFha_wo-VX3AzVRkI7WnCIj4&index=1
7 months ago
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Zvi Hauser & Andrew Saidel challenge Japan to become a more significant global player in Middle East diplomacy and a counterweight to Chinese influence
www.israelhayom.com/2025/03/10/t...
#Japan
#Israel
#MiddleEast
#China
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The Middle East is waiting for Japan
Japan is a strategic ally of the United States. The cooperation between the two nations, which is evident in the Indo-Pacific region, can and should extend to
https://www.israelhayom.com/2025/03/10/the-middle-east-is-waiting-for-japan/
7 months ago
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"Trump wants to win business deals, not engage in military conflicts," and other thoughts in my interview with the monthly Japanese magazine, Chuokoron
#US
#Japan
#China
#Trump
chuokoron.jp/internationa...
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異次元の米中競争と日米同盟の行方｜国際｜中央公論.jp
石破首相に「うれしい驚き」 ――2月7日にワシントンで日米首脳会談が行われました。トランプ氏が石破首相に法外な要求を突きつけるのではないかと心配されましたが、日米同盟の強化など日本側の期待に沿う内容で合意し、共同記者会見の雰囲気も穏やかでした。 ト...
https://chuokoron.jp/international/126571.html
7 months ago
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soundcloud.com/defaerorepor...
My thoughts this week: Trump demonstrated political dominance, but policies are still in flux (24:30); Panama port deal generally supports a US reassertion of maritime power (27:00); & China tariffs are early innings of US-China negotiations (41:35)
#Trump
#Panama
#Xi
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Defense & Aerospace Report Podcast [Washington Roundtable Mar 07, ’25]
On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Washington Roundtable, Dr. Patrick Cronin of the Hudson Institute think tank, Michael Herson of American Defense International, former Pentagon Europe chief J
https://soundcloud.com/defaeroreport/defense-aerospace-report-podcast-washington-roundtable-mar-07-25
7 months ago
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www.nytimes.com/2025/03/06/o...
#DavidBrooks
: “Lincoln believed that you succeed in a democracy when you treat others as friends and not as enemies….”
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Opinion | Trump Is an Angry Little Boy on a Great White Horse
Trump lives for perpetual conflict and endless domination games — not a great fit for democracy.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/06/opinion/trump-speech-approval.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share
7 months ago
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www.smh.com.au/world/north-...
Not a good sign when respected allies think this is so; McGregor’s ‘inverse Nixon’ — to side with Putin to drive a wedge between allies
#Putin
#allies
#Trump
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It’s clear that Trump is an agent of Putin. All US allies should be alarmed
With the US president parroting Putin talking points, America’s allies must rethink their security strategies.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/it-s-clear-that-trump-is-an-agent-of-putin-all-us-allies-should-be-alarmed-20250303-p5lghu.html
7 months ago
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on.ft.com/3EYZ8sG
Military delegates lose sway at China’s signature political gathering Military officers face the perils of peace: for the PLA, it's 'discipline violations'; Xi's assertion of military control reduces delegation to the National People's Congress
#PLA
#Xi
#discipline
#NPC
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Military delegates lose sway at China’s signature political gathering
Xi Jinping’s purges have cast shadow over Beijing’s rubber stamp legislature
https://on.ft.com/3EYZ8sG
7 months ago
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Love or hate this thoughtful essay on 'zero-sum' thinking by
@damiencave.bsky.social
, my takeaway is this: Americans who believe the postwar system has sapped US power fail to see that rules, alliances & globalization have also enriched Americans.
#zerosum
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/01/w...
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Welcome to the Zero Sum Era. Now How Do We Get Out?
Zero-sum thinking has spread like a mind virus, from geopolitics to pop culture.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/01/world/asia/trump-zero-sum-world.html#after-story-ad-10
7 months ago
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So sorry President Zelensky just cancelled his scheduled speech at Hudson. But quite understandable under the circumstances
7 months ago
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Defense & Aerospace Report “Washington Roundtable” February 28, 2025
defaeroreport.com/2025/02/28/d...
19:04 Dismissal of senior officers 34:40 Budget cuts don’t help S&T competition 36:00 Cost of dismantling USAID 51:37 China hawks remain as Trump-Xi jockey for talks & Asia watches Ukraine deal
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Defense & Aerospace Report Podcast [Washington Roundtable Feb 28, ’25] - Defense & Aerospace Report
On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Washington Roundtable, Dr. Patrick Cronin of the Hudson Institute think tank, Michael Herson of American Defense International, former Pentagon Europe chief J...
https://defaeroreport.com/2025/02/28/defense-aerospace-report-podcast-washington-roundtable-feb-28-25/
7 months ago
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A Shot Across the Bow: China Signals New Era of Sea Power in the Southwest Pacific
thediplomat.com/2025/02/a-sh...
@anne-mariebrady.bsky.social
Signals permanent South Pacific presence; blue-water logistics; ability to cut air & sea links w/o warning; Xi's desire for a "community of oceanic destiny"
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A Shot Across the Bow: China Signals New Era of Sea Power in the Southwest Pacific
The live-fire exercises were a demonstration of China’s growing sea power in Australia and New Zealand’s immediate periphery – and meant to normalize the PLA presence there.
https://thediplomat.com/2025/02/a-shot-across-the-bow-china-signals-new-era-of-sea-power-in-the-southwest-pacific/
7 months ago
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warontherocks.com/2025/02/rewi...
Given where we are today, my challenge to the administration for reforming, not discarding essential foreign assistance
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Rewind and Reconnoiter: Soft Power Shouldn't Be Taken Lightly - War on the Rocks
In 2014, Patrick Cronin wrote "USAID & the National Interest," where he defended the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) from
https://warontherocks.com/2025/02/rewind-and-reconnoiter-soft-power-shouldnt-be-taken-lightly/
7 months ago
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Trump tariffs & economic curbs on China indicate: 1) Search for bargaining leverage ahead of talks with Xi; 2) Groundwork for full decoupling; 3) ongoing protectionism; 4) Futile effort at wresting concessions; 5) Overreach subject to legal challenge & reprisal?
www.nytimes.com/2025/02/26/u...
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Trump’s New Crackdown on China Is Just Beginning
The administration is positioning itself to clamp down on Chinese investment and access to technology. But the wild card may be the president himself.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/26/us/politics/trump-china-crackdown.html
7 months ago
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Q: Does Trump's Ukraine reversal suggest Taiwan abandonment? A: 1) Trump may strike a BIG-POWER DEAL; 2) Trump might NOT RESPOND to blockade/invasion; 3) Trump will defend TAIWAN if it INVESTS more in defense & US; 4) depends on FINAL UKRAINE PEACE ACCORD.
#Taiwan
www.nytimes.com/2025/02/25/w...
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Taiwan Watches Trump Undercut Ukraine, Hoping It Won’t Be Next
As President Trump turns toward Russia, Taiwan grapples with its reliance on U.S. support in the face of conflict with China.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/25/world/asia/trump-ukraine-taiwan.html
7 months ago
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www.wsj.com/world/trump-...
Is Trump's embrace of Putin a serious plan to split the Russia-China entente? Possible Answers: a "reverse Nixon," "the reverse of a 'reverse Nixon,'" a "reverse Kissinger"(
@jteurope.bsky.social
), or simply "a fantasy," as Admiral Paparo has said.
@yarotrof.bsky.social
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Washington’s Embrace of Putin Aims to Drive Wedge Between Moscow and Beijing
Unlike Nixon and Kissinger’s gambit in the 1970s, the strategy threatens to divide the West.
https://www.wsj.com/world/trump-putin-russia-china-policy-e73aeea6?mod=hp_lead_pos4
7 months ago
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On today’s Defense & Aerospace Report Podcast for the Washington Roundtable, I talk about China, Taiwan, and Asia between the timestamps 43:30-55:30.
defaeroreport.com/2025/02/21/d...
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Defense & Aerospace Report Podcast [Washington Roundtable Feb 21, ’25] - Defense & Aerospace Report
On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Washington Roundtable, Dr. Patrick Cronin of the Hudson Institute think tank, Michael Herson of American Defense International, former Pentagon Europe chief J...
https://defaeroreport.com/2025/02/21/defense-aerospace-report-podcast-washington-roundtable-feb-21-25/
7 months ago
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James Crabtree: Trump's power politics opens opportunities for China; even if Taiwan grand bargain remains elusive, US alliances may fragment & China hawks may find policy coherence challenging
foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/18/t...
#China
@ForeignPolicy @POTUS @leehsienloong
#Taiwan
#alliances
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Trump Could Make China Great Again
Beijing won’t say so in public, but it sees new geopolitical opportunities.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/18/trump-us-china-hawks-pivot-asia-pacific-europe-russia-nato/
7 months ago
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C. Raja Mohan on why "multialignment" may gain traction...although the massive power asymmetry between India & China means New Delhi would lean even closer to Washington should Pres Trump pursue entente with Beijing
foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/18/m...
#multialignment
#RajaMohan
#India
#Trump
#China
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India Sees Opportunities as Trump Jettisons the Western Order
As Washington abandons allies and accommodates adversaries, New Delhi is in a sweet spot.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/18/modi-trump-india-us-china-russia-europe-ukraine/
7 months ago
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www.newsweek.com/trump-putin-...
Thoughts on Taiwan, including: "Realistically, the most likely outcome of high-level talks would be a fourth U.S.-China communiqué aimed at stabilizing the cross-strait status quo and fostering economic relations between the two nations."
#Taiwan
#China
#Trump
#Xi
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Taiwan may have reason to worry about Trump
The U.S.-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia—without Ukraine's participation—give a glimpse at how Trump may handle a crisis over Taiwan.
https://www.newsweek.com/trump-putin-russia-ukraine-war-talks-worry-taiwan-china-threat-2032457
7 months ago
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