David Waldron
@davidawaldron.bsky.social
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Economist in Indianapolis. Dataviz, labor markets, education, workforce development. waldrn.com
Monthly U.S. fentanyl overdose deaths have fallen more than 60% from their peak in mid-2023āfrom nearly 7,000/month to around 2,600. That's ~4,000 fewer Americans dying every month.
17 days ago
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Since the yield curve inverted in 2022, the U.S. economy has gone a record 45 months without entering a recession.
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 month ago
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One under-reported story about the economy over the past 15 years is that concerns about increasing healthcare expenditures turned out to be mostly unfounded. The CBO projected that healthcare would make up an increasing share of the economy, but spending mostly remained flat.
5 months ago
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I recently wrote a little bit about the āstruggling college graduatesā narrative. Two main points: 1. The timing of the trend suggests it is not related to AI 2. Recent college graduates are still faring better than young people without college degrees
www.incontext.indiana.edu/2025/sept-oc...
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What's behind the decreasing college graduate unemployment advantage?
Labor force participation among young non-college people has declined over the past two decades. Does that explain the shrinking unemployment advantage for college graduates?
https://www.incontext.indiana.edu/2025/sept-oct/article1.asp
5 months ago
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We hear a lot about the promise of middle-skills jobs, with a heavy emphasis on blue collar trades. But in the past four decades, those are the jobs where wages have fallen below the median wage.
6 months ago
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The yield curve inverted in April 2022, typically signaling recession within 6-24 months. But 38 months later, the U.S. economy still hasnāt entered recessionāthe longest streak since 1978.
8 months ago
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This chart shows the common evolution of economic development in OECD countries and China: Beginning as agricultural economies, industrializing, then ultimately becoming service-based (tertiarization).
blog.waldrn.com/p/what-happe...
10 months ago
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Median number of authors on an top econ journal publication: 1963-1983: One 1993-2011: Two 2024: Three
10 months ago
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Two quick updates: First, the analysis script is available here:
github.com/dawaldron/bo...
Second, I've realized that there was a mode change that I didn't note in the initial post. The Monitoring the Future survey switched from paper forms to electronics tablets between 2018 and 2020.
add a skeleton here at some point
11 months ago
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Hereās my latest post on the concerning trend of American boys becoming less supportive of gender equality.
blog.waldrn.com/p/american-b...
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American boys have become less supportive of gender equality
A survey of 8th and 10th graders shows a sharp drop in the percent of boys who believe that women should have the same opportunities as men
https://blog.waldrn.com/p/american-boys-have-become-less-supportive
11 months ago
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A concerning trend has emerged among American boys. The share of 8th and 10th graders who support gender equality has dropped from 2018 to 2023.
11 months ago
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ā¾ļøNew side project for baseball fans: Minimalist newspaper-style MLB box scores, available daily at
waldrn.com/boxscores/
. Code available at
github.com/dawaldron/ba...
for those interested.
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Baseball Box Scores - April 06, 2025
https://waldrn.com/boxscores/
12 months ago
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reposted by
David Waldron
Joey Politanoš³ļøāš
about 1 year ago
Today's annual benchmark revisions to jobs data turned tech job growth from bad to worseāinstead of only slow growth from late 2023 through 2024, the industry has actually been losing jobs at a rate not seen since the Great Recession
add a skeleton here at some point
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reposted by
David Waldron
Sam
about 1 year ago
āActually itās good that a bunch of teenagers are unilaterally firing thousands of government employees because they have ChatGPTā i canāt get over how unfathomably stupid the average SF venture capitalist is
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Here's a map of where high-tech manufacturing is located in the U.S.:
about 1 year ago
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āHigh-techā sounds like the future, but American high-tech manufacturing has been declining for decades.
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The decline of high-tech manufacturing in the United States
America's major high-tech manufacturing industries have not escaped the general decline in manufacturing employment.
https://blog.waldrn.com/p/the-decline-of-high-tech-manufacturing
about 1 year ago
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Indiana lawmakers are considering cutting the benefits duration for UI. Some potential effects include a less efficient labor market, lower re-employment wages, higher risk of poverty for unemployed workers.
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What would happen if Indiana cut unemployment benefits?
Shortening the potential benefits period for unemployment insurance could make workers worse off and our labor market less efficient.
https://open.substack.com/pub/davidwaldron/p/what-would-happen-if-indiana-cut?r=1s91xf&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
about 1 year ago
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1935 report on unemployment compensation in Indiana uses log scales for several charts
#datavizš
about 1 year ago
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Hereās a map of when housing structures were built in the United States
over 1 year ago
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Thereās more pickup trucks on the road than ever before. There are increasingly used for personal use only, rather than being used for work.
over 1 year ago
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Hereās a 3d render of Lego Mount Rainier
over 1 year ago
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reposted by
David Waldron
Hereās a map of Indyās foreign-born population as of 2022.
#gischat
#Indianapolis
over 1 year ago
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Hereās a map of Indyās foreign-born population as of 2022.
#gischat
#Indianapolis
over 1 year ago
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reposted by
David Waldron
Alice Evans
over 1 year ago
Happy International Menās Day! š„³ Icymi: whatās hurting the least educated men? And how might that change?
open.substack.com/pub/dralicee...
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reposted by
David Waldron
ProdigalHoosier
over 1 year ago
Where are my
#HoosierSky
folks? Building a (non-sports)
#Hoosier
Starter Pack. Where is everyone
@micahpollak.com
,
@goodtroublein.bsky.social
,
@jesseforindy.bsky.social
,
@john-m-indy.bsky.social
,
@indyfromspace.bsky.social
,
@melbaunicorn.bsky.social
&
@firerokita.bsky.social
?
go.bsky.app/RFzF6yf
add a skeleton here at some point
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reposted by
David Waldron
Jesse Rothstein
about 2 years ago
My letter to the NYT editor. I sent it yesterday; we will see if they run it. I'll put links in this thread.
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#30DayMapChallenge Day 2: Lines CONUS runway orientation Inspired by
trailsofwind.figures.cc
over 2 years ago
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#30DayMapChallenge Day 1: Points 100,000 Indianapolis street lights. (With a subtle color difference based on whether they are listed as HPS or LED)
over 2 years ago
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Percent of recipes including herb/spice/seasoning by cuisine.
over 2 years ago
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reposted by
David Waldron
Anne T. Byrne
over 2 years ago
Question for šš #Econsky: whatās an online resource you like and think everyone should know about?
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reposted by
David Waldron
Cara Jackson
over 2 years ago
Multiply by 37: A Surprisingly Accurate Rule of Thumb for Converting Effect Sizes from Standard Deviations to Percentile Points
edworkingpapers.com/ai23-829
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Multiply by 37: A Surprisingly Accurate Rule of Thumb for Converting Effect Sizes from Standard Devi...
Educational researchers often report effect sizes in standard deviation units (SD), but SD effects are hard to interpret. Effects are easier to interpret in percentile points, but conversion from SDs ...
https://edworkingpapers.com/ai23-829
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