Woohoo! This is fantastic. Previously it has only been possible to approximate the 2PP flow from most non-classic 2CP candidates.

The podcast is back for 2026. Yesterday I interviewed @georgehasanakos.bsky.social from DemosAU about the surge in support for One Nation, the split in the Coalition, and how pollsters will deal with these challenges #auspol

Our latest federal poll in Capital Brief today. (change since last election) PV: ALP 30 (-4.6) ONP 24 (+17.6) L/NP 21 (-10.8) Grn 13 (+0.8) Oth 12 (-3.0) Seat Projection: ALP 87-95 ONP 29-36 Lib 9-18 Nat 1-5 Grn 0-2 Oth 6-11 demosau.com/news/hanson-... #Auspol

Our nation-wide Federal Poll out today as reported in Capital Brief. Primaries (change since last election) ALP 29 (-5.6) L/NP 23 (-8.8) ONP 23 (+16.6) Grn 12 (-0.2) Oth 13 (-2.0) TPP: ALP 52 L/NP 48 (+3.2 to L/NP) Our Post: demosau.com/news/one-nat... #auspol

🚨 FIRST ON 6 NEWS: New polling from DemosAU shows the Coalition holding its lead in Victoria, while Brad Battin has increased his standing as preferred premier The Greens are just 7% behind Labor in statewide upper house polling, while One Nation has risen from 2% to 11% since the last election

kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2025/11/demo... #DemosAU: Liberals Increase Lead Ahead Of Budget #politas

Our NSW State Poll out today. VI, PP & Top Issue. Primaries (change since last election) ALP 37 (nc) L/NP 30 (-5.4) Grn 13 (+3.3) Oth 20 (+2.1) TPP: ALP 59-41 (+4.7 to ALP) Our post here: demosau.com/news/labor-o... Full report here: demosau.com/wp-content/u... #auspol #nswpol

Our Qld State Poll out today. VI, PP & issues. Primaries (change since last election) LNP 37 (-4.5) ALP 29 (-3.6) ON 14 (+6.0) Grn 12 (+2.1) Oth 8 (nc) TPP: LNP 54-46 (+0.2 to LNP) Our post here: demosau.com/news/lnp-mai... Full report here: demosau.com/wp-content/u... #auspol #qldpol

Our SA state poll in conjunction with Ace Strategies is out today with a headline TPP of 66-34 Labor. We also have Upper House VI, Issue questions and personal ratings. Full report: demosau.com/wp-content/u...

#DemosAU/Ace Strategies SA (state) ALP 47 Lib 21 Green 13 others 19 2PP 66-34 to ALP. Follows a YouGov 67-33 in May. Insane numbers. An Opposition that should be helped by federal drag is in danger of oblivion. #saparli www.indailysa.com.au/news/opinion...

Our poll of Green held Brisbane, Griffith & Ryan shows a tight contest for the 3 seats that will have a big impact on the election result. PV: LNP 36 (+0.4) Grn 29 (-1.7) ALP 29 (+2.7) n: 1087 mode: internet panel date: 7-15 Apr 25 Report + Methodology: demosau.com/news/the-bat... #auspol

My comments on why the personality of leaders is important to voters but not the driving force. "What is driving voters’ intentions is habits of a lifetime, the state of the economy, how well things are going for them, where they come from." #auspol www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/que...

Our NSW poll has a 2.4% TPP swing for the Fed L/NP. State Labor is in decent position thanks to Minns and Greens absorbing vote losses Federal TPP: L/NP 51-49 State TPP: ALP 54-46 Date: 24-26 Mar n: 1013 Full report and methodology statement here: demosau.com/news/nsw-pol... #auspol #nswpol

Which public institutions are trusted the highest to the lowest in Australia? 1. Bureau of Meteorology (net trust 53%) 2. CSIRO (47%) 3. Australian Electoral Commission (42%) 4. Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) (35%) 5. Therapeutic Goods Administration (32%) 1/2 #auspol

Our Vic poll provides hope for Fed Labor and the State Libs. The swing against Fed Labor is moderating. State Libs will be buoyed by Battin's 43-30 Pref Premier lead. State TPP: L/NP 52-48 Federal TPP: ALP 51-49 Date: 17-21 Mar n=1006 More here: demosau.com/news/victori... #auspol #vicpol

DemosAU Victoria Poll - Date: 17-21 March Sample: 1006 State TPP: L/NP 52 ALP 48 Federal TPP: ALP 51 L/NP 49 More details here: demosau.com/news/victori...

DemosAU Victoria Poll - Date: 17-21 March Sample: 1006 State TPP: L/NP 52 ALP 48 Federal TPP: ALP 51 L/NP 49 More details here: demosau.com/news/victori...

DemosAU WA pre-state election poll TPP: ALP 57 Lib 43 PV: ALP 43 Lib 30 Nat 5 Grn 11 Oth 11 Pref Prem: Cook 47 Mettam 32 WA Right Direction?: Yes 49 No 30 Methodology Statement: demosau.com/wp-content/u... #auspol #waelection

Today the West Australian has published our pre-election poll of WA state voting intention which gives WA Labor a 57-43 lead over the Liberals on a two-party preferred basis, making it a third successive landslide. #auspol

Done be fooled, the election result is not a foregone conclusion. Read my blog on why a Labor majority, a Coalition majority and a hung Parliament are all realistic options #auspol demosau.com/news/austral...

Our Qld Federal Poll in the Courier Mail today: LNP 39 (-0.6) ALP 31 (+3.6) Grn 12 (-0.9) ONP 10 (+2.5) Oth 8 (-4.6) TPP: LNP 53-47 (+1.0 to ALP) #auspol #demosau demosau.com/news/queensl...

Our Qld State Poll in the Courier Mail today: LNP 40 (-1.5) ALP 30 (-2.4) Grn 12 (+2.1) ONP 10 (+2.0) Oth 8 (-0.2) TPP: LNP 54-46 (+0.2 to LNP) #qldpol #demosau demosau.com/news/queensl...

With billionaires being in the news a lot lately, #DemosAU decided to do a poll. It found Australians believe: 👉Billionaires have too much influence in politics (77%) 👉They should pay more tax (81%) 👉 They earn their wealth at the expense of ordinary people (69%). #auspol

Our latest federal voting intention poll is published in PollBludger www.pollbludger.net/2025/02/06/f... #auspol

I've started doing a series of videos on Instagram and TikTok with political, polling and election analysis. If you're interested in following please check me out at: georgeelections #auspol #politics #elections

Our latest federal voting intention poll shows the primary vote and two party preferred vote below in graphs. It's a very close contest between Labor and the Coalition. demosau.com/news/new-pol... #auspol #polling #elections

My last-election aggregate thinks this poll is pretty good for Labor but is cautious because it only has two polls by DemosAU; it cuts Coalition lead to 50.2-49.8.

#DemosAU ALP 33 L-NP 38 Green 12 ON 7 others 10. 2PP (last-election prefs) 50-50 (that is low for Labor off those primaries, normally would be 50.8, could be rounding or minor party mix factors) demosau.com/news/new-pol...

3/ While 34% said the law would be effective in preventing under 16s from accessing harmful content. #auspol

2/ But there remains caution over if the law would work. A majority (53%) responded that ‘the law would be ineffective as under 16s will get access using their parents or older friend’s social media accounts’. #auspol

1/ Almost two-thirds of Australians support the federal government’s ban on social media accounts for under 16s, with strongest support coming from parents. Our online poll of 809 Australians found 64% supported the law, 24% opposed and 12% said Don’t Know. #auspol

The 66% of people spending less on Christmas is across all age demographics – from 18-year-olds all the way up to over 55’s – and the research found it didn’t matter if they were renting or had a mortgage, they are still feeling the pinch. www.crikey.com.au/2024/12/09/c... @jasemurphy.bsky.social

66% of Australians say they will cut back spending on Christmas this year due to the cost of living. We surveyed 2,010 Australian adults and our poll also found Kmart was the most popular retailer for Christmas gifts, followed by Amazon. #Auspol #Christmasspending

In our poll of more than 6,000 adults We also tested the statement: "Safety of nuclear plants is a concern for me" we found that 55% men agreed with the statement as well as 65% of women. #auspol

We explored Australians' attitudes to nuclear in a poll commissioned by the Australian Conservation Foundation. We found 26% of women thought nuclear energy would be good for Australia, compared with 51% of men. Here's a good write-up by @lisacox.bsky.social in the @australia.theguardian.com

DemosAU's research, commissioned by the Australian Conservation Foundation, shows just 26% of women think nuclear would be good for Australia, compared to 51% of men. It's the sharpest divide in attitudes between men and women that I have seen on any issue.

Great to chat with @patskarvelas.bsky.social on ABC Radio National's program this morning on the stark gender divide on the issue of nuclear power. You can listen to my ABC Radio National interview here www.abc.net.au/listen/progr...

DemosAU’s monthly polling in Jan 2024 showed Labor’s primary vote for men aged 18–34 sat at 31%. By the end of the campaign this had risen to 39%. Could those TikToks of Steven Miles bench pressing and hanging out with influencers have bumped up his vote? There could be some truth to that.

The Greens vote collapsed because Steven Miles did very well with the 18–34 y.o's, especially in the inner city. He took a slice of the Green vote and brought it over to #Labor. This is why the Greens went backwards in the inner city, falling well short in all their targets & losing South Brisbane.

I've written an analysis piece on voting trends from the Queensland election. It answers questions on why the Greens voted collapsed, which surprising demographic voted for Steven Miles, and if there's a way back for Labor in regional QLD. #Auspol demosau.com/news/queensl...