The newest section of ISBA has been formed to promote Bayesian methods in the social sciences! Find out more 👇

I'm super excited to announce that ISBA @isba-bayesian.bsky.social has voted to start a new section on Bayesian Social Sciences! It will be a great way to further collaborations with many disciplines in the Social Sciences and Humanities. bss-isba.github.io

Really nice coverage of our work on bonobo syntax with Simon Townsend and Martin Surbeck, by @rfieldmouse.bsky.social. Thanks so much, Rachel! www.nature.com/articles/d41...

A great overview of SBI by @fxbriol.bsky.social If you missed the conference, check out his slides!

Do diversification rates and molecular evolution covary? Maybe, maybe not, but it’s surprising how much falls into place if we assume they do doi.org/10.1093/sysb...

The wonderful Niamh Cahill is recruiting a PhD student (co-supervised by me!) to work on estimating and projecting population exposure to extreme sea levels. Please contact me if interested!

I am pleased to announce that together with some friends, we are organising a workshop on Non-Reversible MCMC Sampling, taking place at Newcastle University from 8–10 September 2025. Details on the programme and registration can be found at the workshop website (sites.google.com/view/probai-...).

Exciting new opening @nccrlanguage.bsky.social with the option of permanent extension. If you work in cutting-edge stats and are interested in joining a highly inter-disciplinary, vibrant community, don't hesitate to apply at tinyurl.com/3fxwjk8e

New on the blog: Using Bayesian tools to be a better frequentist Turns out that for neg. bin. regression with small samples, standard frequentist tools fail to achieve their stated goals. Bayesian computation ends up providing better frequentist guarantees. www.martinmodrak.cz/2025/07/09/u...

New preprint on arXiv, led by PhD student Antoine Luciano:  Permutations accelerate Approximate Bayesian Computation. arxiv.org/abs/2507.06037

New paper, led by @ambresalis.bsky.social and just out in Scientific reports: Birds combined calls more than 11 million years ago www.nature.com/articles/s41...

This. ⤵️ Some of us are manifesting for the algorithm to be called Metropolis-Rosenbluth-Teller-Hastings, or MRTH. It better recognizes the scientists who had an instrumental role in the original paper. It's what I use in my papers and lectures. I hope it will eventually become the standard name!

Is language complexity more likely to evolve in small, isolated populations? We test this idea using global occurrence of one particular form of morphological complexity - polysynthesis (complex word forms that embody whole phrases) www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Enjoying discovering Singapore, and ready for BayesComp 2025! I'll be giving a talk tomorrow (Wed) on Saddlepoint Monte Carlo and its application to exact Ecological Inference. Come say hi at 16:10 in room LT51 - it's a cool paper, I swear! arxiv.org/abs/2410.18243

Sloppier-than-usual academic spam. 😬 I'd never thought of publishing a paper whose title would be my name. Sounds like a highly efficient plan, it would eliminate the whole headache of trying to pick a good title! 🙄

The Scientific Committee welcomes proposals for Invited Sessions for the 2026 #ISBA World Meeting. Please submit proposals using this form: forms.gle/5G3xJWJaaE6Q... Proposals will be accepted until 11:59pm (anywhere on Earth) on 6 July 2025. Also see the conf. site: isba2026.github.io

This looks like a great workshop: ➡️ An Introduction to Bayesian Methods for the Social Sciences, Lugano (Switzerland), 18-22 August 2025 Bayesian regression, network models, Bayesian clustering… www.usi.ch/en/education...

Phew, that was close! Congrats to Nicusor Dan for becoming President of Romania 🇷🇴 Besides his tremendous work in Bucharest in the past 20 years, he's a double golden medalist 🥇 at the International Math Olympiad. Confident in how he will lead.

❗️❗️ We are organising the first edition of the “Bayes in Bayonne: Methods Workshop for Linguistics and Cognitive Sciences” on the 17th June, at the Iker lab of the CNRS in Bayonne!!! All the relevant information and link to registration can be found here: bayes-bayonne-workshop.gitlab.io

I have been working on a new R package, blvim: github.com/fabrice-ross... A short introduction to the package is given here: fabrice-rossi.github.io/blog/posts/b... BLV models are useful in archaeology, but their results are very sensitive to their core parameters.

Two Fully-Funded PhD positions at Auckland Uni! Come help us understand the past and future of global cultural and linguistic diversity. #linguistics #evolution #academia #phd www.findaphd.com/phds/project...

La juge est menacée de mort sous protection policière à cause de ce genre de propos alors que : - Elle est pas au syndicat de la magistrature - Elle n'a pas jugé seule, ils étaient 3 - Je sais pas combien ça fait de juges, mais Le Pen a fait 45 recours en 10 ans. Tous ont échoué.

Recent preprint on arXiv : Phylogenetic latent space models for network data What if we observe a network, and believe that a phylogenetic tree explains the interactions?

The University of Auckland offers 2 fully funded 3-year PhD positions to study global cultural and linguistic diversity. Applicants must have relevant degrees and progra… https://www.findaphd.com/phds/project/understanding-the-past-and-future-of-global-cultural-and-linguistic-diversity/?p183755 #phd

This looks amazingly cool. Looking forward to reading what comes out of this PhD.

TIL that phytools::fitMk has a (hidden, undocumented) logscale parameter. By default, logscale=FALSE, but setting logscale=TRUE improves convergence.

🚀 Exciting news! We're proposing a new *Bayesian Deep Learning* section within @isba-bayesian.bsky.social . If you support this initiative, add your name to the petition and help make it happen! 🔗 Petition: tinyurl.com/527vaamz Sinead Williamson, Theo Papamarkou @vincefort.bsky.social Sara Wade 1/2

3 year PDRA position as part of the OCEAN project (www.oceanerc.com) to work with Gareth Roberts, myself and other OCEAN Researchers on a range of topics around scalable distributed computation. Details at warwick-careers.tal.net/vx/appcentre...; please share with anyone who might be interested.

A friend included this anti-acknowledgement section on her PhD thesis. She also added the proposition: “Systematic bullying and undermining of girls and women in STEM starts early on and is the reason why they do not stay in science and related fields.” Absurd we still need to go through this 🧪👩‍🔬

Nature published a misguided op-ed on using LLM's in peer review. The author suggested LLM's could be an aid. But I was interested in a larger question. Can ChatGPT do a peer reivew? So I uploaded a first-submission manuscript for it to review. I also have human reviews for comparison.

Unbelievable news. Pancreatic is one of the deadliest cancers. New paper shows personalized mRNA vaccines can induce durable T cells that attack pancreatic cancer, with 75% of patients cancer free at three years—far, far better than standard of care. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Federico Pavone, Daniele Durante, Robin J. Ryder Phylogenetic latent space models for network data https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.11868

New preprint presenting a method that can be seen as a new way to complement phylogenetic approaches in comparative linguistics, together with Frederic Blum (PhD student at DLCE/Leipzig). From Isolates to Families: Using Neural Networks for Automated Language Affiliation doi.org/10.48550/arX...

Check out our new method for summarising BEAST trees. The CCD0-MAP tree gives much more accurate results than MCC tree. It returns the tree that maximises the product of sampled clade probabilities regardless of whether that tree was sampled. Highly recommend :) journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol...

You publish papers in statistics journals and you're proud of them? But, when your friends ask "are you coming to AISTATS with us?", you feel sad and you regret not to submit papers to conferences? Well, this message is for you! There is now a Journal-to-conference track at #AISTATS2025!

Consider 2 sequences of random variables which converge at different rates, e.g. n^α (Xₙ−x) = O(1) n^β (Yₙ−y) = O(1) with α≠β. Does it follow that Xₙ and Yₙ are asymptotically independent? Or at least, that 𝔼[Xₙ∣ Yₙ] = 𝔼[Xₙ](1+o(1))? Intuitively it seems true!

🏰 PhD position on computational modelling | collective dynamics | cultural evolution 🏰 Get in touch with any questions you might have and join me in beautiful Marburg! stellenangebote.uni-marburg.de/jobposting/c... (Deutsch) stellenangebote.uni-marburg.de/jobposting/3... (English)

Terrifying and devastating

La société #française de #Statistique est maintenant sur @bsky.app :) Statistiquement vôtre

Happy new year! 2025 marks the start of a new role for me, as Associate Editor of Bayesian Analysis. Send in your papers! projecteuclid.org/journals/bay...

5 EPSRC PhD projects available at UCL Statistical Science. More information: ucl-epsrc-dtp.github.io/2025-26-proj... www.ucl.ac.uk/epsrc-doctor... The deadline for applications is: 13:00 UK time on 28 Jan 2025.

The International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) has joined Bluesky. You can follow the account at @isba-bayesian.bsky.social to stay updated on events, publications, and discussions within the #Bayesian community. Please add the account to your starter packages.

Check out @stephenjwild.bsky.social's Bayesian starter pack go.bsky.app/UfgChHe

Congratulations to Dr Charly Andral who succesfully defended his PhD at Paris-Dauphine yesterday! His doctoral work was supervised by Christian Robert and Randal Douc; I was delighted to be part of the jury.

Bayesians! Are you a member of ISBA? Are you into applications in the Social Sciences? We are starting a new ISBA section on Bayesian Social Sciences. This requires a petition, signed by at least 30 ISBA members. You can add your name here: docs.google.com/document/d/1...