Eyes on Moldova, If sundays election goes to commies it would be pandora's box for region and Europe as whole. A stepping stone to balkans. www.dw.com/en/is-this-t... Important speech

RUS Incursion into Estonia. Data on ground tracks is not public. Also length of 12minutes could be approximate. But let's assume: Here are possible ground tracks for various nominal cruising speeds. I would say 300-350kts is likely. It's not small, nor a mistake. Articl.4 is warranted.

Some non-original thoughts on russian "special drone operation", was it military or political or both? thread->

Gotland power outage occured at 19:22UTC according to (www.svt.se/nyheter/loka...) No ships with AIS near HDVC link cables at the time. @auonsson.bsky.social

Newson will re-gain National Guard command by tomorrow noon by the ruling of federal judge. Remains to be seen What is Trump's response. a King or President? www.youtube.com/watch?v=gbMs...

Status of Task Force 51 on #ICE operations in LA Commander: Maj Gen Sherman, NG - 2100 persons of 79th Inf BCT already deployed, 1000 of which have been on missions so far - 700 persons 2nd.Btn 1st MarineD undergoing crowd control training to be deployed within 48hours ...cont 1/n

Is it normal to call EEZ border as common state border on issued NAVTEXT? Interestingly this is the case for RU NAVWARN 107/25 for FIN border. COMMON state border is mentioned, but nearest common point is FAR from last stated coordinates. Also should remember RU "borders checking" plan 2024

Russia has detained a Greek-owned, Liberia-flagged oil tanker GREEN ADMIRE as it was leaving Estonia for Rotterdam. Allegedly this took place inside Russian waters but judging from the AIS-track she initiated irregular maneuvering already in Estonian waters. news.err.ee/1609697907/r...

Here are some event timelines from JAGUAR (MMSI 626313000) incident with Estonians. Clearly JAGUAR did not comply with course change. Hornets have been active over the bay area next morning. Supersonic scramble was later than other operational flights spotted over Kotka. bsky.app/profile/auon...

Lets just tell them to wait until we are ready, Problem solved, just ask nicely! Have to say not feeling urgency in Finnish planning either. Many big orders are waiting to be placed. Too little too late like pre-1939?

Patrushev babbling in Natsionalnaja oborona (defence magazine) about Finnish stance and blaming NATO/West on damage to undersea infra. Claiming West accelerating actions to damage russian infra. Both NN PolarBear and Eagle S damaged also kalingrad cable. But not mentioned in article? Soon to come?

Very honest and frank interview with Zelensky's former advisor Igor Novikov. Agreed with so many if not all of his views and analysis. www.youtube.com/watch?v=kM_2...

U.S.A. -> u sa

Swedish Coast Guard is investigated the exact spot and area where "accidental" cable ripper ship VEZHEN passed a month ago. This is likely the explanation to yesterday's "new" cable damage. If this was discovered last days, I wonder how thorough the Swedish investigation was.

New cable broken on Baltics. Claimed to be between Finland - Germany and occured near Gotland, Which would make it C-LION1. This would be 3rd time for the cable. Exact timing and location has not been revealed www.aftonbladet.se/nyheter/a/LM... www.iltalehti.fi/ulkomaat/a/a...

Here are speeds for VEZHEN (MMSI: 229659000) as she crosses and possibly breaks LVRTC cable between SWE - LAT. Speed drop occurs already 21 hours earlier just over C-LION1 cable south of Hanko. Data from aprs.fi

Swedish Patrol Vessel KBV 033 is some 6nm from Vezhen. It's moving towards that direction but not quite directly towards it. But seems to be slowing now, so might turn.

Someone is saying "Fuck you" to NATO.

Press (WP, HS) claims according to sources in SUPO, which is leading investigation, and other intel sources that "It could have been accident" "No proof of intentional sabotage". I say Finnish officials are not so incompetent. There is bigger game ongoing and this ...needs to be silenced...

Now this is echoed by HS, IS claiming to sources from SUPO (leading the investigation) Ship stopped after 1st cable, gathered anchor by x amount, then cut 4 more cables, was told to gather anchor by FINBG. Both events show similar ship movement. 1/2

Interestingly, FNS VAAHTERAPÄÄ did not care about EAGLE S crossing defunct Nordstream pipes at the middle. Or if it did, AIS was off. Could this mean missing anchor was already found elsewhere and there is no need?

Images of EAGLE S bow area released by Finnish police. Clear damage, suspected to have been made by anchor chain

~ STORY OF EAGLE S - THE SHIP WHO COULD ~ TIMELINE OF EVENTS ON 25TH DECEMBER 2024 25TH 02:25UTC EAGLE S (MMSI 518998865) VOYAGE FROM UST LUGA, RUSSIA BEGINS. EAGLE S ACHIEVES AND RETAINS STEADY SPEED OF APPROX 12KNOTS

Interesting item on EAGLE S vetting report, Both anchor lights are INOP. Posted to public by Michelle Wiese Bockman of Lloydslist: x.com/Michellewb_/...

Presser by President of Finland on ESTLINK and EAGLE S incident. Ship was ordered by radio to move to Finnish territorial waters, initially didn't respond to hail, but then responded and complied. Also earlier officials revealed that ship was ordered to raise anchor, so Turva or other ship was near

Status of Finnish Media "Investigative journalism" ..While it's evident that EAGLE S was matching time&location + is in "custody" of FIN Coast Guard IL, IS: Names Xin Xin Tian 2 YLE: 2 ships, but only naming XinXin MTV: Names EAGLE S, by referring to @auonsson.bsky.social

Borderguard OH-HVI visited EAGLE S

General info about ESTLINK2 Presentation in Estionian: www.eees.ee/images/EEES/...

Well, this is interesting: "Lloyd's List gave readers a rare insight when a tanker vetting report undertaken at Skagan anchorage last month for Russia-trading Cook Islands-flagged LR1 tanker Eagle S (IMO 9329760) fell off the back of a truck and made its way into my hands."

Baltics planned to decouple from Russian Electric network on Feb 2025. Severed ESTLINK2 between Finland and Estonia is direct current. So not directly contributing to network stability, but having enough power reserves from abroad will be important to baltics. elering.ee/en/baltic-ts...

ESTLINK2 cable case: In case ship is to be blamed of this, EAGLE S (MMSI 518998865) is clearly best candidate, as already reported by @auonsson.bsky.social Here speed, depth analysis.

Wall Street Journal claims Captain of Yi Peng 3 was persuaded by Russian intelligence services to cut cables. Based on info from unnamed investigators. -Hard to say how reliable, but well.. easily believable explanation at least. -Article has error on cable routes www.wsj.com/world/europe...

"Since 2014, JEF members have delivered an average real-terms defence expenditure increase of 150%, compared to 108% for the rest of NATO’s European members. However, the UK has delivered the lowest increase" rusi.org/explore-our-...

There is intense naval activity around suspected cable sabotage ship Yi Peng 3. 2 x RIBs in water, navy and coast guards vessels are maneuvering around YP3. 7 ships total. Besides known units during night A516+A512 (DE) arrived: ship roles are carrying fuel/supplies/ammo and act as command posts.

Really good animation + ATC traffic of the DHL crash on Vilnius www.youtube.com/watch?v=uaDY...

Cable repair ship CABLE VIGILANCE IMO: 9329930 arrived to the stricken C-Lion 1 cable in Baltic Sea, from Calais. In the area is still FI Coast Guard ship TURVA, stationary last 24h. DK authorities has lit up a Virtual AtoN on AIS, cautioning others. Poetically, even the chart icon is damaged =)

Looks like ships Belos (SE) and Turva (FI) are investigating not only broken comms cable C-Lion 1 but also Nordstream at the moment. During the day they have been stationary over both the pipelines and the cable. Those are right next to each other. Curly line = cable. Replay: marinetraffic.com

DHL Cargo B737 flight BC18D crash on Vilnius (EYVI). He is running ILS Z Approach on RWY19. There is slight overshoot on capture, but returns to centerline just behind FAP.

DHL/Swift flight BCS18D was jammed from Kaliningrad on its final 34 minutes before crashing into a house in Vilnius. So were at least 6-20 other aircraft in the area at that time. The Kaliningrad jammer has been operating for almost a year and might or might not be related to the crash.

We remember recent bomb packages found placed by russian actors. Now you ask could they be so stupid to continue? YES they could. Someone gave order wayback - they will continue to execute without critical thinking, or even knowledge of whats on western media.. But TRUE CAUSE is STILL UNCLEAR

Helsingin Sanomat visited Yi Peng 3 ship's management company Win Enterprise Ship Management and interviewed them briefly. They also visited the address of the OWNER, Ningbo Yipeng Shipping Co., LTD. Address was empty. It's currently marked as a “Military Management Zone”. www.hs.fi/kirjeenvaiht...

BAD DUBEN German Patrol Vessel (IMO: 9830032) Just popped into existence 22th 19:20 UTC Right next to YI PENG 3. She was last seen on Skagerrak 11:00 UTC and has left Wilhelmshaven at 21th 17:30UTC

Baltic Sea, Nov 21 2024, naval activity in summary. Chinese freighter detained by Danish patrol boat Russian corvette loitering vs Danish frigate patrolling Swedish navy investigating sabotage Russian weapons transport turning around Algerian navy, rescue vessel, no idea Too much. Posts below.

”Black Sea Fleet SKR-734 Merkuriy arrives in the Skagen roads”

Next Year we'r gonna B'et Em BOYS!! @auonsson.bsky.social @pekka.bsky.social

What we should do is dig further. Who owns the ship? Are there holes in present data? Are there other ships? What can other open sources give us? Who is the crew? And so on. It is hard, but it pays of.

This one is puzzling me. Especially why the stop for 1H? Wait for winds to calm or pickup anchor? Proof of dragging something or noncence? Throw your ideas!

I see starboard anchor there. What do you see? Photo from Reuters Article taken 19th under the Belt Bridge www.reuters.com/world/europe... @pekka.bsky.social @auonsson.bsky.social

YI PENG 3 Submarine cable incident: Timeline of events with animations = Story of YI PENG 3 = One day She was casually sailing shoutwards on baltics.. Thread/

Current situation: YI PENG 3 has been at anchor overnight in the Kattegat, with HDMS SOELOEVEN next to it in 0.5nm distance. During night HDMS HVIDBJOERNEN steamed towards them and turned AIS off 3 hours ago. Most likely it has been on scene for past 2 hours already.