CFBD Model Pick'em - Postseason Edition Congrats to @CarterSmotherm2 for taking the top spot for postseason games. Top 5 Models by Composite Ranking 1. @CarterSmotherm2 2. @Nex_27 3. u/NotSoSuperNerd 4. @johnbedwards.io 5. @CFB_Geek

Indiana winning the national title is one of the most improbable achievements in college football history. This map shows where that roster came from: under-recruited players, portal additions, and a truly national footprint.

Updated Elo chart for 2025 National Champion Indiana Hoosiers. Indiana gives the B1G three straight national championships, including two undefeated championships in that span.

🚨 New contest alert 🚨 The College Basketball Computer Model Pick’em is live. If you’ve enjoyed the CFB version, this is the next level, built specifically for college hoops modelers. 🏀📊

🚨 New contest alert 🚨 The College Basketball Computer Model Pick’em is live. If you’ve enjoyed the CFB version, this is the next level, built specifically for college hoops modelers. 🏀📊

Normally, I'd wait until after the NCG, but I really wanted to see Indiana's Elo chart at this point. They were basically a vertical line from 2023 to 2024. That trend has continued into 2025.

🚨 Model Pick'em Final Regular Season Update 👑 Congrats to u/hypercube42342 for taking the 2025 season crown and winning 3 of 4 categories! Top 5 Overall Models by Composite Ranking: 1. u/hypercube42342 2. @CFBNumbers 3. @jhnhrris 4. @Stephen_Hill 5. @YCtheflea

Vandy sits No. 1 nationally in CollegeBasketballData.com's Adjusted Offensive Efficiency metric, and this shot map tells the story: 🚀 Heavy volume at the rim 🎯 Concentrated right-wing threes 📈 Strong interior shot diet The formula is working.

Which CFP teams have been most dominant in the trenches? This chart measures opponent-adjusted line yards per rush. Indiana, Miami, and JMU have all built their successes on both setting up and stopping the run. Ole Miss, not so much.

Here’s where every FBS team lands when you compare Team Talent Composite to current Elo ratings. CFP qualifiers are circled. ND sits way up in elite territory with the top Elo rating… but no playoff spot. Pretty tough spot for them. Do you think the committee got it right?

Field goals aren’t supposed to be automatic… but some of these guys didn’t get the memo 😅 Here are the PAAR leaders through Week 14. Tate Sandell is basically printing points.

Who’s been the most efficient QB this season? Here are the leaders in opponent-adjusted EPA/dropback (WEPA) through Week 14. Julian Sayin tops the list, with Diego Pavia and Jayden Maiava close behind.

2026 men’s hoops landscape so far 👀 ➡️ Better offense → ⬆️ Better defense ↑ 🔥 Top-right = contenders Opponent-adjusted efficiency through Nov. 30. Explore the numbers at CollegeBasketballData.com.

Opponent-adjusted Success Rates through Week 14 (Power 4 + ND) The B1G title game is going to be 🔥

CFB Model Pick'em Week 14 Update Congrats to @davidsasser on nabbing the top overall spot! Top 5 Models by Composite Ranking 1. @davidsasser 2. @CFBNumbers 3. @ROFLulose 4. @Nex_27 5. @PEARatings

CFBD Model Pick'em Week 13 Update Congrats to @Bruhndon03 for taking the top spot this week! Top 5 Models by Composite Ranking 1. @Bruhndon03 2. @collegefootballdata.com 2. u/NotSoSuperNerd 4. @johnbedwards.io 4. @redbyrd69.bsky.social

Rivalry Week Elo Charts - UCLA vs USC Tracking the trajectory of both programs, year by year. These programs have been on wildly diverging paths the past few seasons.

Rivalry Week Elo Charts - Alabama vs Auburn Decade by decade. How the Iron Bowl powers have risen, dipped, and traded dominance across 100+ years.

Rivalry Week Elo Charts - Oregon vs Washington Classic Big Ten rivalry between bordering states played on Thanksgiving weekend. Defending B1G Champion Oregon is looking to punch its ticket to Indy this weekend.

Rivalry Week Elo Charts - Georgia vs Georgia Tech But for a few blips, UGA has been on a higher trajectory ever since GT left the SEC with a pretty wide gulf in recent years.

Rivalry Week Elo Charts - Texas vs Texas A&M One of the longest played series in CFB. Texas leads the overall series 77-37-5 with the Aggies looking to nab their first series victory since 2010. Who do you have on Friday night?

Michigan and Ohio State combine for 21 National Championships. When toe meets leather at noon next Saturday, it will have been 2192 days since OSU last had a win in the series. Ryan Day is 1-4 against Michigan. Sherrone Moore is 2-0 against OSU.

Opponent-adjusted Line Yards through Week 13 B1G Country is Trench King Country Indiana, Oregon, Michigan, even Iowa all standing out as dominant on both sides of the line on rush plays.

Opponent-adjusted Success Rates through Week 13 (P4 + ND) B1G CG should be a monster of a game should two of Indiana/Oregon/Ohio State make it in.

There was plenty of excitement last week on the basketball side of things. Here were the Top 10 games by CBB Game Excitement Index. Samford-Texas Southern led the way, followed by St. Bonaventure-Youngstown State and Michigan-Wake Forest.

CFB Model Pick'em Week 12 Update @joshellman.bsky.social DOMINATED with a clean sweep across all categories! Top 5 Models by Composite Ranking 1. @joshellman.bsky.social 2. u/NotSoSuperNerd 2. u/dharkmeat 4. @StatsAfterDark 5. @CFB_Geek 5. u/sim_2_win

Here were the top games for Week 12 by Game Excitement Index, a stat that tracks swings, drama, and win-probability tension. FIU-Liberty tops the week at 9.8, with UNLV-Utah State and ECU-Memphis right behind. Which game had you glued to the screen? 👀

Which teams have gotten the biggest breaks this season? 🍀 This chart ranks the luckiest teams based on postgame win expectancy, comparing actual wins to how many wins their underlying performance suggested. Houston, Missouri State, and Georgia Tech top the list.

Who’s winning the battle in the trenches heading into Week 13? 💪 This chart measures opponent-adjusted line yards per rush, a look at how teams control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. ⬆️ = Strong run defense ➡️ = Dominant run blocking

Opponent-adjusted success rates through Week 12 (P4+ND). A clean look at which teams are driving efficiency on offense, defense, or both. Chart ⤵️

CFB Model Pick'em Week 11 Update Congrats to @ArnoldJohn_cfb for taking the top spot this week, including taking 3 of 4 categories! Top 5 Models by Composite Ranking 1. @ArnoldJohn_cfb 2. @Nex_27 3. @CFB_Geek 3. @Phillies_219 5. u/crustman34

Field goal kickers don’t always get the spotlight but these guys are adding real points above expectation 💥 This chart ranks kickers by Points Added Above Replacement (PAAR) through Week 11. 🏆 Oklahoma’s Tate Sandell leads the nation. 🌈 Hawai‘i’s Kansei Matsuzawa isn’t far behind.

Who’s winning the battle in the trenches? 💪 This chart shows opponent-adjusted line yards per play, a measure of how well teams control the line of scrimmage. ⬆️ = Strong run defense ➡️ = Powerful run blocking Indiana stands out as the most consistent up front.

🏃♂️ RB Efficiency Leaders (through Week 11) 🏃♂️ Here are the Top 15 RBs in opponent-adjusted EPA per carry, measuring who adds the most value every time they touch the ball. 🔥 Michigan’s Justice Haynes holds onto the #1 spot 🌲 Oregon’s Jordon Davison and Noah Whittington aren’t far behind

💨 QB Efficiency Leaders (through Week 11) 💨 Here are the Top 15 QBs in opponent-adjusted EPA per dropback, the ones generating the most value every time they throw. 🔥 Ohio State’s Julian Sayin jumps to the top spot ⚡ USC’s Jayden Maiava right on his heels

Week 11 had no shortage of wild finishes 😮💨 Here are the Top 10 most exciting games according to the CFBD Excitement Index: 🔥 Vanderbilt–Auburn takes the crown at 9.7 ⚡ Delaware–Louisiana Tech and Louisville–Cal kept fans on edge Which game had your heart rate up the most? 👀

Early returns from the 2025-26 Men’s Basketball Game Excitement Index: 🥇 Auburn vs Bethune-Cookman (OT) leads the pack 🏀 LIU-IU Indianapolis and UC Riverside-North Dakota round out the Top 3 Plenty of early-season chaos already.

From the archives and still one of the most-used CFBD tutorials: 🔹 Use the CFBD Python client 🔹 Build charts with matplotlib 🔹 Add logos, colors, and annotations for clean visualizations Perfect for anyone getting into #sportsanalytics or data viz. 📖 buff.ly/vLmVvaU

CFBD Model Pick'em Week 10 Update Congrats to u/hypercube42342 for taking the top overall spot! Top 5 Models by Composite Ranking 1. u/hypercube42342 2. @gshelor.bsky.social 3. u/Convict38 4. @collegefootballdata.com 5. @CFBNumbers

was happy to help contribute a new R package to pull in college basketball data from CBBD! Please reach out or open a GitHub issue if you run into any issues using the package!

CBB tips off Monday. Here’s what’s new from CollegeBasketballData.com 👇

College basketball tips off on MONDAY! Perfect time to get in on the CBB Starter Pack if you haven't!

Model Pick'em Week 9 Update Congrats to @StatsAfterDark for having the top overall model this week! Top 5 Models by Composite Ranking 1. @StatsAfterDark 2. u/sim_2_win 3. @Stephen_Hill 4. @sseljan 5. @PEARatings

Week 9 did not disappoint 😮💨 The Top 10 most exciting games according to the CFBD Excitement Index: 🔥 VT–Cal topped the week at a 12.0 ⚡ Tulsa–Temple and Rice–UConn not far behind 💥 Miss St–Texas with plenty of fireworks Which game had you pacing the living room? 👀

Plotting college football’s DNA through Week 9 (P4 + ND) 🧬 Offense runs → Defense climbs ↑ • Top-right: Balanced juggernauts • Top-left: Defensive grinders • Bottom-right: Track-meet offenses • Bottom-left: Chaos & suffering Who’s evolving, and who’s regressing? 👀

⏱️ First half vs second half ⏱️ Net success rate by half (offense – defense allowed) through Week 8: 📈 X = 1st half 📈 Y = 2nd half ▪️ Wire-to-wire winners dominate both halves (OU, IU) ▪️ Fast starters who fade late live in the bottom right (Ole Miss) ▪️ 2nd-half surges climb the top left (Washington)

🏀 College basketball tips off in two weeks! If you are a fan of my work with CFB, be sure to check out my CBB stuff at CollegeBasketballData.com Also, give my CBB Starter Pack a look: buff.ly/nq6Zv2f It's the best way to get started with CBB data and analysis!

Computer Model Pick'em Week 8 Update u/sim_2_win takes the top overall spot! Top 5 Models by Composite Ranking 1. u/sim_2_win 2. @ravibetzig 3. @GardYourFickell 4. @CFB_Geek 5. @spacemanOTH

Just for fun, decided to filter this down to just Power 4 + ND. Tends to shift the perspective quite a bit. Still can't believe that Indiana is the most complete team at this point in the season but I'm here for it.

Who’s really a dual threat? Each QB’s impact on the ground (x) and through the air (y), using opponent-adjusted EPA. The top-right quadrant is where the nightmares live — guys like Taylen Green and Gunner Stockton.