LeRaffl
@leraffl.bsky.social
๐ค 1354
๐ฅ 89
๐ 2625
Math dude, doing math with BEV market shares
https://ts.la/raphael59773
pinned post!
You can now extrapolate the fleet by yourself and play around with several variables like hazard probabilities to see how they affect the fleet. Countries will be expanded, so will the FAQ.
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
loading . . .
BEV Trajectories โข Gallery + Thresholds + Durations
https://leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gallery/#fleet
about 2 months ago
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BEV transition time from 20% BEV to 80% BEV visualised globally (based on historic data) You can set the 20% and 80% to custom values yourself on
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
about 19 hours ago
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When will countries reach 50% BEV share based on their historic data? (You cans et the percentage yourself on
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
)
about 19 hours ago
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When can countries be expected to reach x% BEV share based on their historic data? ๐ฉ= already reached (on model basis) ๐ฅ= not on track to reach by 2035 (Custom is set to 90%, you can set this yourself at
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
)
about 19 hours ago
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Transition times in my portfolio of countries ranked. The fastest EU country is only at #6
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
about 19 hours ago
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Global BEV Trend September 2030 currently seems like the point in time when BEV will overtake ICE (incl. HEV) globally. This is after the PHEV peak that right now seems like it will happen in 2028 at around 14%.
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
about 19 hours ago
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๐ฆ๐ฑ Albania - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 18.9% BEV 0.3% PHEV 80.8% ICE (of which 3.2%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 9.2% BEV 0.1% PHEV 90.7% ICE (of which 2.7%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
1 day ago
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๐ท๐ด Romania - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 6.5% BEV 0.0% PHEV 93.5% ICE (of which 57.9%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 6.2% BEV 0.0% PHEV 93.8% ICE (of which 51.3%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
1 day ago
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๐ฐ๐ท South Korea - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 25.0% BEV 0.6% PHEV 74.4% ICE (of which 33.1%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 15.9% BEV 0.8% PHEV 83.4% ICE (of which 33.9%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
1 day ago
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๐ณ๐ด Norway - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 98.4% BEV 0.7% PHEV 0.9% ICE (of which 0.0%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 97.2% BEV 0.9% PHEV 2.0% ICE (of which 0.9%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
3 days ago
4
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๐ฑ๐น Lithuania - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 6.7% BEV 11.0% PHEV 82.3% ICE (of which 55.0%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 8.0% BEV 11.5% PHEV 80.5% ICE (of which 46.7%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
4 days ago
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๐ฑ๐ป Latvia - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 6.5% BEV 9.2% PHEV 84.3% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 7.2% BEV 12.1% PHEV 80.7% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
4 days ago
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๐ช๐ช Estonia - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 6.8% BEV 9.2% PHEV 84.0% ICE (of which 58.9%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 6.0% BEV 10.3% PHEV 83.7% ICE (of which 52.3%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
4 days ago
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๐ฌ๐ช Georgia - Q1 2026 - BEV Trajectory 6.0% BEV 23.2% Hybrid 70.8% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 4.8% BEV 23.3% Hybrid 71.9% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
4 days ago
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reposted by
LeRaffl
Christian Stรถcker
4 days ago
Die roten Flรคchen, das ist der Verbrennermarkt, mit dem es rasant bergab geht. Im Skigebiet wรคren das meiste Schwarze Pisten. Aber die Retroprediger in Deutschland, die immerzu von โWirtschaftskompetenzโ reden, wissen es weiterhin besser.
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๐ต๐ฑ Poland - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 5.3% BEV 8.0% PHEV 86.6% ICE (of which 51.8%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 7.8% BEV 6.5% PHEV 85.7% ICE (of which 45.6%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
4 days ago
1
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๐ธ๐ฌ Singapore - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 61.1% BEV 1.7% PHEV 37.2% ICE (of which 31.4%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 53.2% BEV 2.2% PHEV 44.6% ICE (of which 34.5%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
4 days ago
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๐ธ๐ฐ Slovakia - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 5.2% BEV 3.2% PHEV 91.6% ICE (of which 35.8%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 4.9% BEV 4.3% PHEV 90.8% ICE (of which 35.7%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
5 days ago
1
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๐ธ๐ฎ Slovenia - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 17.8% BEV 4.0% PHEV 78.2% ICE (of which 14.8%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 12.6% BEV 3.7% PHEV 83.8% ICE (of which 14.3%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
5 days ago
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๐ธ๐ช Sweden - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 40.9% BEV 24.3% PHEV 34.8% ICE (of which 9.2%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 37.2% BEV 25.7% PHEV 37.1% ICE (of which 8.4%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
5 days ago
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๐ณ๐ฑ Netherlands - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 35.8% BEV 23.4% PHEV 40.8% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 40.3% BEV 19.7% PHEV 40.0% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
5 days ago
2
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๐ช๐ธ Spain - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 9.1% BEV 11.4% PHEV 79.5% ICE (of which 47.5%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 9.4% BEV 11.9% PHEV 78.7% ICE (of which 43.2%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
5 days ago
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๐จ๐ญ Switzerland - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 23.2% BEV 12.4% PHEV 64.4% ICE (of which 38.2%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 23.2% BEV 11.7% PHEV 65.1% ICE (of which 35.6%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
5 days ago
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๐จ๐ฟ Czechia - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 6.4% BEV 4.2% PHEV 89.4% ICE (of which 24.8%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 5.7% BEV 4.7% PHEV 89.7% ICE (of which 23.6%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
5 days ago
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๐ฑ๐บ Luxembourg - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 28.8% BEV 4.9% PHEV 66.3% ICE (of which 32.9%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 26.2% BEV 7.3% PHEV 66.5% ICE (of which 31.0%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
5 days ago
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๐ฎ๐ฉ Indonesia - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 22.7% BEV 0.7% PHEV 76.5% ICE (of which 14.9%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 20.7% BEV 1.2% PHEV 78.1% ICE (of which 11.8%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
7 days ago
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๐ฎ๐ธ Iceland - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 48.2% BEV 21.2% PHEV 30.6% ICE (of which 24.7%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 38.8% BEV 22.4% PHEV 38.8% ICE (of which 23.4%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
7 days ago
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๐ญ๐บ Hungary - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 8.9% BEV 5.9% PHEV 85.2% ICE (of which 58.2%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 8.9% BEV 6.5% PHEV 84.6% ICE (of which 50.9%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
7 days ago
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๐ฌ๐ท Greece - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 6.9% BEV 5.3% PHEV 87.8% ICE (of which 55.4%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 6.3% BEV 8.2% PHEV 85.5% ICE (of which 52.7%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
7 days ago
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๐ช๐บ EU - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 20.25% BEV 9.1% PHEV 70.65% ICE (of which 38.4%p were HEV) Jan-Mar 2026: 19.38% BEV 9.51% PHEV 71.12% ICE (of which 38.6%p were HEV) HEV falling now, PHEV not yet, BEV rising big Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
loading . . .
BEV Trajectories โข Gallery + Thresholds + Durations
https://leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gallery/
8 days ago
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๐จ๐พ Cyprus - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 9.2% BEV 6.4% PHEV 84.4% ICE (of which 50.5%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 11.1% BEV 5.3% PHEV 83.6% ICE (of which 49.1%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
8 days ago
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๐ง๐ฌ Bulgaria - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 7.8% BEV 1.8% PHEV 90.4% ICE (of which 5.2%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 5.6% BEV 1.3% PHEV 93.1% ICE (of which 4.8%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
8 days ago
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๐ง๐ช Belgium - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 35.8% BEV 5.5% PHEV 58.7% ICE (of which 11.9%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 35.1% BEV 8.7% PHEV 56.2% ICE (of which 11.5%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
8 days ago
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๐ซ๐ท France - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 28.5% BEV 4.7% PHEV 66.9% ICE (of which 46.5%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 22.4% BEV 6.7% PHEV 70.9% ICE (of which 44.5%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
8 days ago
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๐จ๐ฑ Chile - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 3.7% BEV 2.8% PHEV 93.5% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 2% BEV 1.4% PHEV 96.6% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
9 days ago
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By the way, I got you all a little quality of life thingy for your birthday. There are now PNG download buttons for the tables that show the country rankings. Go have fun with that.
12 days ago
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๐ฉ๐ฐ Denmark (HDV) - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 20.0% BEV 0.0% PHEV 80.0% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 27.8% BEV 0.0% PHEV 72.2% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
12 days ago
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๐ฉ๐ฐ Denmark (Private) - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 94.9% BEV 0.7% PHEV 4.5% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 89.1% BEV 2.1% PHEV 8.8% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
12 days ago
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๐ฉ๐ฐ Denmark (Industry) - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 48.0% BEV 0.9% PHEV 51.1% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 43.3% BEV 2.3% PHEV 54.4% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
12 days ago
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๐ฉ๐ฐ Denmark - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 76.6% BEV 0.7% PHEV 22.7% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 71.4% BEV 2.2% PHEV 26.5% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
12 days ago
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๐น๐ท Tรผrkiye - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 18.1% BEV 34.6% Hybrid 47.3% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 18.0% BEV 28.1% Hybrid 54.0% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
12 days ago
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๐บ๐ธ USA - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 6.3% BEV 1.2% PHEV 92.5% ICE (of which 14.1%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 7.2% BEV 1.4% PHEV 91.4% ICE (of which 12.9%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
13 days ago
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Gallery Update ----------------------------------------------------- - World Map visuals with color by * year to reach x% BEV * transition time * BEV share on a timeline (as per model) - improved Fleet extrapolations & layout - fixed several bugs
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
13 days ago
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๐ง๐ท Brazil - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 5.4% BEV 4.5% PHEV 90.1% ICE (of which 5.6%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 3.7% BEV 4.0% PHEV 92.3% ICE (of which 4.9%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
13 days ago
1
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๐บ๐พ Uruguay - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 40.4% BEV 4.3% PHEV 55.3% ICE (of which 8.0%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 33.7% BEV 2.3% PHEV 64.0% ICE (of which 9.6%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
17 days ago
2
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๐ฆ๐บ Australia - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 15.1% BEV 7.8% PHEV 77.1% ICE (of which 17.1%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 10.0% BEV 4.9% PHEV 85.0% ICE (of which 16.7%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
18 days ago
1
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๐ซ๐ฎ Finland (Industry) - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 57.2% BEV 14.1% PHEV 28.6% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 43.6% BEV 20.3% PHEV 36.1% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
18 days ago
2
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๐ซ๐ฎ Finland (Private) - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 43.6% BEV 12.5% PHEV 43.9% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 37.3% BEV 16.8% PHEV 45.8% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
18 days ago
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๐ซ๐ฎ Finland - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 49.6% BEV 13.2% PHEV 37.2% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 40.3% BEV 18.5% PHEV 41.2% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
18 days ago
3
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๐ฆ๐น Austria - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 24.9% BEV 9.6% PHEV 65.6% ICE (of which 31.8%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 21.5% BEV 10.6% PHEV 67.9% ICE (of which 29.9%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
18 days ago
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๐ฒ๐พ Malaysia - March 26 - BEV Trajectory 7.0% BEV 0.0% PHEV 93.0% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 6.1% BEV 0.0% PHEV 93.9% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
18 days ago
1
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