🇨🇱 Chile - December 25 - BEV Trajectory 2.7% BEV 1.3% PHEV 96.0% ICE (of which 10.3%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 1.8% BEV 1.0% PHEV 97.2% ICE (of which 5.5%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

Diesel Vans are going to be a goner in only a hand full of years at this rate

BEV adoption for Vans has even accelerated sharply in Denmark

Even Vans in Denmark are taking off

🇩🇰 Denmark (Vans) - December 25 - BEV Trajectory 41.6% BEV 0.7% PHEV 57.7% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 30.7% BEV 1.5% PHEV 67.7% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

The market in Austria splits surprisingly even at the moment. This will not be the case long term of course, we can observe this in other regions already.

Austria is still in deceleration territory. No acceleration in the BEV trajectory visible yet like is already the case elsewhere.

🇦🇹 Austria - December 25 - BEV Trajectory 20.7% BEV 12.4% PHEV 66.9% ICE (of which 32.4%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 21.3% BEV 10.1% PHEV 68.6% ICE (of which 29.1%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

It's a fight of Diesel vs BEV 🚛 I say fight ... it's really more of a slaughter than a fight 🤷

🇩🇰 Denmark (Heavy Duty Vehicles) - December 25 - BEV Trajectory 43.2% BEV 0.0% PHEV 56.8% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 27.1% BEV 0.0% PHEV 72.9% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

This is what the transition from ICE to BEV via PHEV looked like for private people. They're done now. Only a few cars in the Industry left. Please note how PHEV fell off a cliff at some point. That may be a systematic thing we could see elsewhere in the future, not sure yet.

Denmark trailing 12 months market split for private people is basically all BEV now.

🇩🇰 Denmark (Private) - December 25 - BEV Trajectory 92.8% BEV 1.6% PHEV 5.6% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 85.6% BEV 2.5% PHEV 11.8% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

Industry is switching slower than Private in Denmark, but still faster than most other countries.

🇩🇰 Denmark (Industry) - December 25 - BEV Trajectory 58.5% BEV 3.8% PHEV 37.7% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 41.0% BEV 2.7% PHEV 56.2% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

Trailing 12 months market split isn't entirely caught up to the new 80% mark our friends from Denmark hit, but well ... look at it. It's beautiful. ♥️

Denmark ended up converging at a bit below 4 years to go from 20% to 80% BEV. That's about 2 years faster than Norway back in the day.

Should we call Denmark "done with their transition" now?

🇩🇰 Denmark - December 25 - BEV Trajectory 80.7% BEV 2.4% PHEV 16.9% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 68.2% BEV 2.6% PHEV 29.2% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

🇳🇱 Netherlands (Used Imports) - November 25 They are weird af if you ask me.

Malaysia is switching so fast, there isn't even time for the Trailing 12 Months market split graph so catch up and show something interesting. Malaysia is fast guys ... real fast. They currently rank #5 on numerical speed in my Durations Table and #6 in 20% to 80% BEV time.

Surprisingly, Malaysia is to keep their very fast trajectory towards BEV going, even accelerating as of recently.

🇲🇾 Malaysia - December 25 - BEV Trajectory 8.4% BEV 91.6% ICE (of which 4.0%p are Hybrids) Trailing 12 months are: 5.1% BEV 94.9% ICE (of which 3.6%p are Hybrids) Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

🇬🇧⚡ How is the battery-electric vehicle transition going in the UK? 📊 Check out my chart collection with 9 interactive charts and explore the data for yourself: public.flourish.studio/story/3367405/

PHEV haven't really grown in Luxembourg in a while. Diesel is also a thing of the past, mostly because it's eaten by HEV and BEV.

Slowing down of transition to BEV in Luxembourg seems to also come to a halt. Preparing for acceleration in adapting BEV is happening all over the place.

Luxembourg is not a fan of PHEV

🇱🇺 Luxembourg - December 25 - BEV Trajectory 35.9% BEV 5.8% PHEV 58.3% ICE (of which 26.0%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 26.9% BEV 7.9% PHEV 65.3% ICE (of which 29.3%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

🇨🇳 China - December 25 - BEV Trajectory 34.4% BEV 24.4% PHEV (of which 6.4%p were EREV) 47.6% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 33.0% BEV 20.6% PHEV (of which 5.1%p were EREV) 46.3% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

NEV growth in China is driven by BEV as you can see. EREV look pretty much stable. BEV are simply the way to go.

Looks like 3 or so more years for PHEV before they start their drop in China. ICE is pretty much gone now. OEMs still trying to sell their ICE cars in China are doomed.

BEV are taking the market share directly from ICE rather than from PHEV at the moment. Makes sense. Incentives are currently a thing.

Trailing 12 months in Poland

Poland is able to keep acceleration going for now.

🇵🇱 Poland - December 25 - BEV Trajectory 11.3% BEV 8.5% PHEV 80.1% ICE (of which 38.8%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 7.2% BEV 5.7% PHEV 87.1% ICE (of which 45.8%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

This would happen

Due to popular demand I decided to produce a "what if" type of trajectory that does not include data from the start of COVID to the end of incentives in late 2023 in Germany. People thought this time frame skews everything and that the true trajectory would be more visible with this data removed.

Interesting to see that the dip in 2024 was exclusive to new registrations by private people in Finland.

🇫🇮 Finland (Private) - December 25 - BEV Trajectory 47.4% BEV 14.2% PHEV 38.3% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 34.0% BEV 18.5% PHEV 47.5% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

Non-private registrations in Finland on a trailing 12 months basis. ICE is dying, if not already dead.

Non-private registrations of BEV prepare for acceleration in Finland.

Non-private registrations in Finland have also left the PHEV peak behind them.

🇫🇮 Finland (Industry) - December 25 - BEV Trajectory 58.6% BEV 17.2% PHEV 24.2% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 40.6% BEV 22.0% PHEV 37.3% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

Other consists of LNG and CNG mostly. There is no H2... never was.

BEV trajectory for Heavy Duty Vehicles (lorries) in Finland is still in a very early phase and thus quite volatile, so the good December made quite the difference. Finland is on a good path, the question is will they be able to hold this path?

🇫🇮 Finland (Heavy Duty Vehicles) - December 25 - BEV Trajectory 8.3% BEV 0.0% PHEV 91.7% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 3.1% BEV 0.0% PHEV 96.9% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

Things are not looking good for ICE in Finland

Finland trajectory is stabilising and preparing for acceleration, just like we see in other countries too.

Bad December for PHEV in Finland

🇫🇮 Finland - December 25 - BEV Trajectory 53.3% BEV 15.8% PHEV 30.9% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 37.2% BEV 20.2% PHEV 42.6% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...