LeRaffl
@leraffl.bsky.social
๐ค 1432
๐ฅ 90
๐ 2925
Math dude, doing math with BEV market shares
https://ts.la/raphael59773
pinned post!
You can now extrapolate the fleet by yourself and play around with several variables like hazard probabilities to see how they affect the fleet. Countries will be expanded, so will the FAQ.
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
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BEV Trajectories โข Gallery + Thresholds + Durations
https://leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gallery/#fleet
3 months ago
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A little reminder not that, but rather how much slower Germany transitions to BEV. Land of poets and thinkers was decades ago.
about 19 hours ago
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๐ธ๐ฌ Singapore - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 65.4% BEV 2.7% PHEV 31.9% ICE (of which 27.5%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 52.8% BEV 2.2% PHEV 44.9% ICE (of which 34.6%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
1 day ago
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reposted by
LeRaffl
Felix Hamer โข electricfelix
2 days ago
@fbeirao.bsky.social
: โOne shipment of solar panels generates 10 TWh of electricity over 20 years - natural gas needs an LNG tanker every single yearโ
nitter.net/fbeirao/stat...
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๐จ๐ฆ Canada - Q1 26 - BEV Trajectory 9.0% BEV 4.4% PHEV 86.6% ICE (of which 14.5%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 10.2% BEV 4.3% PHEV 85.4% ICE (of which 11.3%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
2 days ago
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๐ฉ๐ฐ Denmark (Vans) - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 44.4% BEV 0.8% PHEV 54.8% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 35.7% BEV 1.3% PHEV 63.0% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
4 days ago
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๐ฉ๐ฐ Denmark (Industry) - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 46.4% BEV 0.4% PHEV 53.3% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 46.3% BEV 1.9% PHEV 51.8% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
5 days ago
1
15
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๐ฉ๐ฐ Denmark (Private) - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 95.5% BEV 0.6% PHEV 3.9% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 91.5% BEV 1.6% PHEV 6.9% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
5 days ago
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๐ฆ๐น Austria - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 25.8% BEV 11.5% PHEV 62.7% ICE (of which 28.4%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 22.1% BEV 10.8% PHEV 67.1% ICE (of which 30.0%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
5 days ago
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reposted by
LeRaffl
Electric Nick
5 days ago
๐ฉ๐ช Germany's auto market is evolving. I've updated my chart collection on new passenger car registrations, featuring 18 interactive charts with a focus on battery-electric vehicles โก ๐ Market shares โก BEV trends ๐ Top brands & models Take a look ๐
public.flourish.studio/story/2128952/
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Germany Passenger Car Registrations Deep Dive
A Flourish story by Electric Nick
https://public.flourish.studio/story/2128952/
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๐ต๐ฑ Poland - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 4.1% BEV 9.3% PHEV 86.7% ICE (of which 50.0%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 7.5% BEV 7.2% PHEV 85.2% ICE (of which 46.0%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
5 days ago
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๐บ๐พ Uruguay - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 52.5% BEV 4.1% PHEV 43.4% ICE (of which 6.0%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 36.6% BEV 2.8% PHEV 60.6% ICE (of which 8.9%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
6 days ago
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๐จ๐ณ China - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 42.2% BEV 20.7% PHEV (of which 5.6%p were EREV) 37.1% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 34.6% BEV 20.6% PHEV (of which 5.3%p were EREV) 44.8% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
6 days ago
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I think I identified one of, if not THE largest factor in why Italy transitions so slowly to BEV:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
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Italy's Slow BEV Transition Is Really Two Stories
Split the data and you see it's not the people of Italy โ it's the rental market.
https://leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gallery/articles/italy-bev-split.html
8 days ago
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๐ฆ๐บ Australia - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 20.6% BEV 9.0% PHEV 70.4% ICE (of which 18.4%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 11.8% BEV 6.1% PHEV 82.2% ICE (of which 17.2%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
9 days ago
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๐ณ๐ฟ New Zealand - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 10.0% BEV 5.7% PHEV 84.4% ICE (of which 34.5%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 6.0% BEV 4.6% PHEV 89.4% ICE (of which 38.1%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
9 days ago
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๐จ๐ด Colombia - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 17.8% BEV 31.7% Hybrid 50.5% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 11.2% BEV 28.1% Hybrid 60.7% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
10 days ago
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๐ New Feature in the Gallery: Comparison Select up to 3 Regions/Countries and have their trajectories side by side. (Be careful with the data points, some years miss some countries since data is generally all over the place.)
10 days ago
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๐ฌ๐ง UK - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 27.3% BEV 13.8% PHEV 58.9% ICE (of which 12.9%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 24.7% BEV 12.5% PHEV 62.9% ICE (of which 15.4%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
10 days ago
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๐ฏ๐ต Japan - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 4.8% BEV 2.0% PHEV 93.2% ICE (of which 58.8%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 2.6% BEV 1.6% PHEV 95.8% ICE (of which 60.4%p were HEV) Still no real transition curve, but Japan should start converging in a few months.
11 days ago
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๐ซ๐ฎ Finland - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 48.8% BEV 10.6% PHEV 40.6% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 42.7% BEV 16.7% PHEV 40.5% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
11 days ago
1
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๐ซ๐ฎ Finland (Buses) - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 67.3% BEV 0.0% PHEV 32.7% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 37.5% BEV 0.0% PHEV 62.5% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
11 days ago
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๐ซ๐ฎ Finland (HDV) - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 3.1% BEV 0.0% PHEV 96.9% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 3.0% BEV 0.0% PHEV 97.0% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
11 days ago
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๐ซ๐ฎ Finland (Industry) - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 44.6% BEV 12.9% PHEV 42.4% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 46.1% BEV 18.6% PHEV 35.3% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
11 days ago
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๐ซ๐ฎ Finland (Vans) - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 14.8% BEV 3.4% PHEV 81.7% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 17.0% BEV 4.9% PHEV 78.2% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
11 days ago
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๐ซ๐ฎ Finland (Private) - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 53.2% BEV 8.2% PHEV 38.6% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 39.8% BEV 15.0% PHEV 45.2% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
11 days ago
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๐ฉ๐ช Germany - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 25.0% BEV 11.7% PHEV 63.3% ICE (of which 28.2%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 21.6% BEV 11.4% PHEV 67.0% ICE (of which 28.8%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
11 days ago
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๐ฎ๐ช Ireland - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 28.9% BEV 13.4% PHEV 57.7% ICE (of which 22.3%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 23.5% BEV 15.0% PHEV 61.5% ICE (of which 25.9%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
12 days ago
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๐ธ๐ช Sweden - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 39.9% BEV 24.7% PHEV 35.4% ICE (of which 7.4%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 37.9% BEV 25.2% PHEV 36.8% ICE (of which 8.3%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
13 days ago
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๐ฎ๐น Italy - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 8.8% BEV 10.2% PHEV 81.1% ICE (of which 47.1%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 7.6% BEV 8.5% PHEV 83.9% ICE (of which 47.1%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
13 days ago
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๐ต๐น Portugal - May 26 - BEV Trajectory 27.9% BEV 15.5% PHEV 56.6% ICE (of which 23.9%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 25.1% BEV 15.8% PHEV 59.0% ICE (of which 24.6%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
13 days ago
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Time to go from 20% BEV to 80% BEV per country. There are a few black sheep and a few nice surprises. You can visualize lots more stuff here:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
14 days ago
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Countries in ๐ด will not make it to 80% before 2035 at their current speed of transition. Look at more data about this here:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
14 days ago
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Current look at what country transitions how fast. Where's your country at in this ranking?
14 days ago
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Snapshot of how the transition to BEV currently looks like it'll play out. You can sort by yourself on the Gallery and even add HDV or Vans in if you'd like:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
14 days ago
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This getting ridiculous
add a skeleton here at some point
17 days ago
1
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reposted by
LeRaffl
ETSC - European Transport Safety Council
17 days ago
ETSC is concerned about rapid national authorisations of Teslaโs FSD system following provisional approval by the Dutch type approval authority last month. ETSC urges all EU Member States to take a precautionary approach. Read more:
etsc.eu/lithuania-an...
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Lithuania and Estonia authorise Tesla FSD with Belgium and Greece fast-tracking
ETSC is concerned about rapid national authorisations of Teslaโs โFull Self-Drivingโ (FSD) system following provisional approval by the Dutch type approval authority RDW last month. ETSC urges all EUโฆ
https://etsc.eu/lithuania-and-estonia-authorise-tesla-fsd-with-belgium-and-greece-fast-tracking/
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๐ซ๐ฎ Finland (Vans) - April 26 - BEV Trajectory 12.1% BEV 3.8% PHEV 84.1% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 17.7% BEV 4.7% PHEV 77.6% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
18 days ago
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๐ซ๐ฎ Finland (Industry) - April 26 - BEV Trajectory 52.9% BEV 13.7% PHEV 33.4% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 44.7% BEV 19.6% PHEV 35.8% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
18 days ago
1
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๐ซ๐ฎ Finland (Private) - April 26 - BEV Trajectory 45.6% BEV 9.2% PHEV 45.1% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 38.2% BEV 16.1% PHEV 45.7% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
18 days ago
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๐ซ๐ฎ Finland (HDV) - April 26 - BEV Trajectory 1.9% BEV 0.0% PHEV 98.1% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 3.0% BEV 0.0% PHEV 97.0% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
18 days ago
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๐ซ๐ฎ Finland - April 26 - BEV Trajectory 48.8% BEV 11.2% PHEV 40.1% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 41.3% BEV 17.7% PHEV 41.0% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
18 days ago
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reposted by
LeRaffl
Electric Nick
19 days ago
Battery electric vehicle registrations in Europe (EU + EFTA + UK), cumulative by year ๐ 2026 (JanโApr): 978,845 units (+29.1% vs last year) So far this year, BEVs make up 21% of all new registrations โก
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๐ฉ๐ฐ Denmark (Vans) - April 26 - BEV Trajectory 40.8% BEV 0.7% PHEV 58.5% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 34.6% BEV 1.4% PHEV 64.0% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
18 days ago
2
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๐ฉ๐ฐ Denmark (Heavy Duty) - April 26 - BEV Trajectory 18.9% BEV 0.0% PHEV 81.1% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 27.5% BEV 0.0% PHEV 72.5% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
18 days ago
1
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๐ฉ๐ฐ Denmark (Industry) - April 26 - BEV Trajectory 52.1% BEV 0.8% PHEV 47.1% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 44.7% BEV 2.1% PHEV 53.1% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
18 days ago
1
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๐ฉ๐ฐ Denmark (Private) - April 26 - BEV Trajectory 95.9% BEV 0.7% PHEV 3.5% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 90.3% BEV 1.8% PHEV 7.9% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
18 days ago
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๐ฉ๐ฐ Denmark - April 26 - BEV Trajectory 81.5% BEV 0.7% PHEV 17.8% ICE Trailing 12 months are: 72.9% BEV 1.9% PHEV 25.2% ICE Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
18 days ago
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๐ง๐ฌ Bulgaria - April 26 - BEV Trajectory 9.6% BEV 1.8% PHEV 88.6% ICE (of which 6.0%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 6.1% BEV 1.4% PHEV 92.5% ICE (of which 5.0%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
19 days ago
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๐ณ๐ด Norway - April 26 - BEV Trajectory 98.6% BEV 0.2% PHEV 1.1% ICE (of which 0.1%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 97.3% BEV 0.8% PHEV 1.9% ICE (of which 0.9%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
19 days ago
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๐ฐ๐ท South Korea - April 26 - BEV Trajectory 25.7% BEV 0.6% PHEV 73.7% ICE (of which 33.5%p were HEV) Trailing 12 months are: 17.2% BEV 0.7% PHEV 82.1% ICE (of which 33.8%p were HEV) Graphs are available in the Gallery:
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
20 days ago
1
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