Reading the new Naomi Klein book, Doppleganger. Anyone trying to make sense of the madness of today's politics should give it a go.

My heart has really been broken by how many people on the left have celebrated or minimized the murder of over 1000 Jewish people. Naomi Klein does a beautiful job of explaining how unwise and unkind it is to celebrate Jewish death. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Some interesting details on Bavaria election from yesterday. Left: vote by age group (the older, the more likely to vote CSU/conservatives, younger vote green). Right: vote by academic grade (the higher the academic grade, the more green voters) GermanPoliticsky

Listening to Rachel Reeves on the drive to work. She has a Geoff-Boycott-opening-the-batting approach to policy comms, very cautious and giving nothing away. I think the fraud emphasis she's pushing is good politics, although unlikely to have much economic impact.

Earth’s warmest months on record redefined summer this year: Children at camps stayed inside. People worked and played outside late at night. Some considered moving to escape the worst effects. To many Americans, it felt like a climate inflection point. nyti.ms/3PCdmBq

Not ideal for the Prime Minister as he prepares to address his party - most of the public thinks he is doing a bad job on all five of his priorities www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/prim...

You might wonder what attraction opposition holds if it doesn't even require fair rules. Kirshner contends that it allows for the exercise of collective agency, which has independent worth. Being allowed to organize a party to compete for power is miles better than not being allowed to.

Jeremy Hunt flying direct to Manchester like a heel Rick Flair in the middle of cost of living/HS2 cancellation Omnishambles.

Ryder Cup, Rugby World Cup, building up to cricket world cup, and party conference season. Sports/politics mix is rich at the moment.

Ryder Cup is coming home to Europe 💪💪💪

I love sports and being a sports dad. But girls' gymnastics competition prep has me out of my comfort zone!

It really reminds me of the Miliband era, when partisans would cheerily say 'you know, David Cameron is not that popular' and it's like, yes, on his best days he scrapes into net positive territory with some pollsters. Have you seen your guy's numbers, lads?

Check out this new special issue in Electoral Studies: www.sciencedirect.com/journal/elec... It contains 7 cool articles on the nature and causes of AP - using observational and experimental data, focusing on measurement, elites and ideology, and an important theoretical piece as well.

Andrew Marr on Rishi Sunak's choices ahead of the Tory Party conference: youtu.be/undjSFyLCIg?...

As @jburnmurdoch.bsky.social says in his column today, we have robust polsci evidence that what drives elections is the perception of competence on the big issues of the day:

Hello blue sky :)