Brian Mills
@bmmillsy.bsky.social
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Associate Professor, University of Texas at Austin
https://sites.google.com/utexas.edu/bmmillsphd
reposted by
Brian Mills
FanGraphs Baseball
about 9 hours ago
InstaGraphs: Job Posting: Colorado Rockies – Multiple Openings
blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/...
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Job Posting: Colorado Rockies - Multiple Openings
The Colorado Rockies are hiring.
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/job-posting-colorado-rockies-multiple-openings/
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Brian Mills
Max Kennerly
1 day ago
I think LLMs have uses, but "1,000 targets, including a girls elementary school we hit twice with precision munitions" is indeed representative of their state-of-the-art—and likely a fundamental limitation of the technology. Sometimes sloppiness is okay; sometimes it's 160 dead children.
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Brian Mills
Thom Volker
3 days ago
With very large numbers of n’s you don’t need randomization, and with LLM’s we can generate very large numbers of n’s, so I think all of science is solved by now. I don’t see any problems with this.
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In the interest of their safety, I sure hope all these guys batted left handed...😬
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3 days ago
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Brian Mills
4 days ago
NAASE invites nominations for the positions of President-elect (to serve 2026-2028, then 2028-2030 as president) and at-large executive committee member (2026-2030). Nominations should be sent to the chair of the nominating committee Mike Leeds (Temple University) by March 31, 2026.
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Brian Mills
4 days ago
NAASE invites nominations for the 2026 Larry Hadley Service Award recipient. Nominations should explain how the person “has distinguished herself or himself through service to NAASE and the field of sports economics” and be sent to Frank Stephenson (Berry College) by 3/31/26.
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Dennis
4 days ago
3rd UMBC Sports Econ Conference Update 47 papers as we reach the submission deadline for the 3 day conference in June.
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Brian Mills
Arman Oganisian
5 days ago
The critique of unmeasured confounding is often levied in a lazy/broad way. It is trivially true in any observational study. But if the critic can't think of a plausible such confounder and posit a reasonable direction/magnitude of its bias then they're not doing productive science.
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Brian Mills
Al Roth
6 days ago
Anti-fascism should have broad support across the American political spectrum. Elections need to be defended. Here's an open letter from retired professors at HBS in which we call for business leaders to address that need.
#econsky
#academicsky
marketdesigner.blogspot.com/2026/02/an-a...
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An anti-facist open letter from 23 retired Harvard Business School professors
https://marketdesigner.blogspot.com/2026/02/an-anti-facist-open-letter-from-23.html?m=1
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This is the kind of thing the internet was made for
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7 days ago
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Learned today that McLean was a 2-way player in the minors and somehow managed to strike out at about 2x the rate as a batter than he strikes people out as a pitcher. Probably a good choice to hang up the bat.
8 days ago
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Brian Mills
8 days ago
NAASE is organizing sessions for the SEA conference to be held in Houston, TX Nov 21-23, 2026. To submit a paper, please email Frank Stephenson (Berry College) by March 28: --Name, affiliation, and email for presenter and all coauthors --The paper's title and abstract. --Two JEL codes
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I think the PE investment in sports is interesting and potential incentives they distort in these organizations is worth looking at. But the profit motive and comfort in losing has been the case since the start of organized professional sports.
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8 days ago
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There is evidence the umps make more correct calls in higher leverage situations. Teams will save challenges for these situations. This suggests to me challenges may be least successful in such situations. Makes the equilibrium success rate even more uncertain in my book.
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8 days ago
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Brian Mills
FanGraphs Baseball
8 days ago
InstaGraphs: Job Posting: Kansas City Royals – Analyst-Research and Development
blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/...
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Job Posting: Kansas City Royals - Analyst-Research and Development
The Kansas City Royals are hiring.
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/job-posting-kansas-city-royals-analyst-research-and-development/
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Brian Mills
Clay Collins
10 days ago
This is on a different planet when it comes to bad analysis.
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Almost like the the general public have been dramatically influenced by bullshit propogandists wrt confidence in colleges. College campuses are an incredible & welcoming place. 2% of students/recent grads & just 3% identifying as Republican feel otherwise.
www.insidehighered.com/news/student...
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Most Conservative Students Don’t Feel Persecuted on Campus
A new survey of college students contradicts Republican rhetoric that campus culture is hostile to right-wing views.
https://www.insidehighered.com/news/students/free-speech/2026/02/24/most-conservative-students-dont-feel-persecuted-campus
10 days ago
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Well this is neat:
explore.jobs.ufl.edu/en-us/job/53...
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University of Florida - Details - Postdoctoral Associate (Postdoctoral Associate - UF Sports Analytics Lab)
https://explore.jobs.ufl.edu/en-us/job/538894/postdoctoral-associate-postdoctoral-associate-uf-sports-analytics-lab
10 days ago
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I don’t know that we needed ABS for this since we’ve had all the data for 17 years now, but, yes.
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10 days ago
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"No more copy-pasting" it says. "Imagine the schlubs who have to waste time punching CTRL+C and then CTRL+V one whole time to write their 300 page dissertation. You don't have time for that, do you? Well no more. We have found a way around such labor.
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11 days ago
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Brian Mills
Aparna Nair
11 days ago
what even is the fucking point
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Brian Mills
Jay Wigley
12 days ago
Even if you love baseball history, you probably don’t know exactly How Retrosheet Saved Baseball History. Whether you love the stats, games, or stories, my new book has something for everyone who loves the game. To learn more, visit www.retrosheet-book.com and follow
@retrosheet.bsky.social
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Mom asks: “how'd the game go?” Pitcher: “Threw a 2-hitter!”
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13 days ago
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D3 baseball, everyone! 🧐
13 days ago
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Brian Mills
Ira Boudway
14 days ago
The Dodgers have a huge payroll. Biggest ever. The gap between the haves and have-nots is growing. Baseball will be fine. Great, actually. Enjoy it.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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The Dodgers Are Annoying, Greedy—And Good for Baseball
“Competitive balance” is just a cry for owners to grab more money.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-20/the-dodgers-are-good-for-baseball-actually?accessToken=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJzb3VyY2UiOiJTdWJzY3JpYmVyR2lmdGVkQXJ0aWNsZSIsImlhdCI6MTc3MTYxMTU5MywiZXhwIjoxNzcyMjE2MzkzLCJhcnRpY2xlSWQiOiJUQVJERzJLSUpIQzQwMCIsImJjb25uZWN0SWQiOiI0NTI0NTM5OEREMTU0RDE0Qjg2QjZBMUI5REIxQTBDQSJ9.awtmVpxxltfJ6YTj0HFMpKHCBsNTKNK4o8PoFAMhp0M
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Nice article on the Dodgers and MLB's current competitive balance non-problem, with quotes from me! (and a 100+ year old reference I forwarded along that
@rodneyfort.bsky.social
shared here a while back).
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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The Dodgers Are Annoying, Greedy—And Good for Baseball
“Competitive balance” is just a cry for owners to grab more money.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-20/the-dodgers-are-good-for-baseball-actually?srnd=homepage-americas
14 days ago
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Language broad enough that I guess I could get canned for “LeBron or Jordan” day.
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15 days ago
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As of next year, apparently UT Austin will not have a Department of Statistics (it will be rolled into a single unit with Comp Sci and Information...not a college with 3 departments...a single academic unit)...
15 days ago
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As someone who loves pitch data, teaches sports analytics, and understands why teams are doing this, I think it sucks. One of the most enjoyable things about pitching is being the one to make decisions and go one-on-one with the the other team. If you don't want that, just put robots on the field.
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15 days ago
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Brian Mills
Justin Wolfers
16 days ago
Happy Kevin wants economists to be disciplined by their bosses for contradicting the regime's understanding of The Truth.
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David Brooks out here uttering some of the most incoherent drivel I've ever heard. The faux intellectualism of this guy is incredibly grating. "Trump has made it acceptable for progressives to think that character is important, and we should think more about it."
www.chronicle.com/article/were...
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David Brooks: ‘We’re Part of the Problem’
The “New York Times” columnist on the sins of the educated class, what Trump gets right, and why he’s leaving the newspaper to take a new job at Yale University.
https://www.chronicle.com/article/were-part-of-the-problem
17 days ago
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First and only pack of Topps 2026 today. Not bad for a single pack rip!
@sabrbbcards.bsky.social
21 days ago
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Brian Mills
gelbach
21 days ago
Come work as an empirical researcher at Berkeley Law! We are taking applications now, with a deadline of 11:59pm on March 1.
aprecruit.berkeley.edu/JPF05264
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Everyone feigning anger over the Dodgers, but have you even seen the U.S. team for the WBC? 👀
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21 days ago
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Excellent interview here. Dr. Das Acevedo clearly explaining a wide range of important characteristics of tenure and political interest in removing it.
www.chronicle.com/podcast/coll...
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Unfashionable and Under Fire, Tenure Needs a New Defense
Critics aren’t moved by the idea that tenure is essential for academic freedom. They may not even like academic freedom.
https://www.chronicle.com/podcast/college-matters-from-the-chronicle/unfashionable-and-under-fire-tenure-needs-a-new-defense
22 days ago
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Headline starts out with a bang, but the story is that for-profit colleges (see: lots of fraud and scams) made up 88% of the decline.
www.insidehighered.com/news/quick-t...
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Colleges Cut Ad Spending by More Than Half in Last Decade
Universities are spending more than 50 percent less on advertising than they were 10 years ago. According to data compiled by the Postsecondary Education and Economics Research Center at American Univ...
https://www.insidehighered.com/news/quick-takes/2026/02/12/colleges-cut-ad-spending-more-half-last-decade?_gl=1*1si13k3*_up*MQ..*_ga*NDI1Mzg5NTM2LjE3NzA5MTI4NDY.*_ga_F07KT3P0SW*czE3NzA5MTI4NDYkbzEkZzAkdDE3NzA5MTI4NDYkajYwJGwwJGgw
22 days ago
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As media continues to clutch pearls about baseball salaries and proposes caps, I would like to remind everyone that the unstoppable Dodgers (who nobody can ever beat!) had the 5th most wins in baseball last year. That's 83rd percentile, lower than the average UT Austin admit on the SAT.
22 days ago
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Brian Mills
Thomas Durfee
22 days ago
I love being a labor economist, where null is interesting if your model is still convincing. Anytime a student tells me they are worried they didn't find statistically significant results, I remind them of David Card. Two Nobel winning papers had null results (NJ/PA minimum wage and Mariel Boatlift)
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I have strongly advocated for MLB banning all injuries for many years now. They have yet to take me up on this proposal. ☹️
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23 days ago
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Thanks, Canvas, for ruining my first day of R Lab. It turns out that if students download a .csv data file from a preview of on Canvas, it downloads it as a PDF no matter what the file type is. Really super fantastic stuff. Amazing software. Beautiful.
24 days ago
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Rereading a paper of mine and was reminded I got to include a dig on Pepsi in a footnote: "Mileage varies on the substitutability of Coke with such an inferior tasting product like Pepsi, but we will make simple assumptions about this soda market for exhibition purposes."
24 days ago
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Academic reading discussion today in grad Sports Economics. Main points for today’s coverage.
25 days ago
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27 days ago
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First few paragraphs here should be required reading for anyone writing about college sports finance. Another example: operating+non-operating revenue at UT Austin, which has probably the largest athletics dept at $332 million in revenues is ~$5.6 billion. That's just 5-6% of what goes on here.
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29 days ago
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*paper ready to start submission* *reads journal requirements* *all papers must use metric units*
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Brian Mills
Rodney Fort 🐀
about 1 month ago
I always started my sports Econ class with the Q: What is a sport? If I was still teaching, this piece would make a fun motivator.
www.washingtonpost.com/sports/inter...
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Between the sheets at the college Excel championships
One of the most unusual — and fun — events in college sports is a high-stakes spreadsheeting competition in Las Vegas.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/interactive/2026/college-excel-spreadsheet-championships/
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It is Friday after 4:00 pm and I can tell you quite assuredly I do not need whatever this shit is
about 1 month ago
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Stupid and irrelevant statistic fantasy of the day: If you took Aaron Judge's career HR per 162 G rate and applied it to the number of games Pete Rose played, Judge would have 1,145 career home runs.
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Brian Mills
FanGraphs Baseball
about 1 month ago
InstaGraphs: Job Posting: New York Yankees – Full-Stack Software Engineer
blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/...
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Job Posting: New York Yankees - Full-Stack Software Engineer
The New York Yankees are hiring.
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/job-posting-new-york-yankees-full-stack-software-engineer-2/
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Brian Mills
Catherine Rampell
about 1 month ago
one of the least-appreciated own-goals happening right now is the deliberate sabotage of our knowledge/research sector
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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Texas Halts Hiring of H-1B Workers at State Colleges, Agencies
Texas Governor Greg Abbott ordered state agencies and public universities to immediately freeze new H-1B visa petitions, curtailing a program that has also been overhauled by President Donald Trump.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-27/texas-halts-hiring-of-h-1b-workers-at-state-colleges-agencies?srnd=homepage-americas
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