As disruptive cyber campaigns extend out of conflict zones to impact everyone, @guehenno.bsky.social, Olivia Grinberg, Jason Healey write that the world needs a multistakeholder model for cyber peace, which requires cooperation between the private sector and international organizations.

Is there a plan behind Trump’s chaos? Maybe on the Middle East. Israel wants to kill 2 states solution, Trump doesn’t want another big war. Possible that he helps Israel kill 2-states solution with his unimplementable gambit on Gaza, while he reopens diplomatic track with Iran? Or not!

Avec Trump, il est temps de profiter du vide. Kagame voit claire. J'ai vécu en Afrique subsaharienne 12 ans, dont un à Goma en 2008. Enregistré alors : www.youtube.com/watch?v=kTDy... youtu.be/Ck1OFAt-D9E?... Nous exploitons consciemment la RDC. C'est une zone de sacrifice.

La chute de Goma, une grande tragédie pour la RDC, trahie par des dirigeants qui n’ont pas construit un État, abandonnée par une “communauté internationale” qui a d’autres soucis, pillée par un Rwanda rapace qui n’a pas renoncé à dépecer son grand voisin affaibli.

Good analysis by Lawrence Freedman on what Ukraine needs (not chinese troops, Wolfgang…😉) samf.substack.com/p/how-can-uk...

Ischinger’s is absurd: 1/Bringing China troops to Europe would be a provocation for Trump. 2/ Troops from countries not strongly committed to Ukraine would pull out if there was a risk of war. 3/ Ukraine would be as opposed to that “guarantee“ as Putin to the presence of NATO countries troops.

Les mardis du @grandcontinent.bsky.social reprennent demain à l'ENS Ulm, le 7 janvier de 19h30 à 20h30. Avec Amy Greene @institutmontaigne.bsky.social, @guehenno.bsky.social, Florian Louis et @fredericmerand.bsky.social. Informations et inscriptions : legrandcontinent.eu/fr/evenement...

« Despite spending more than twice as much on education per student, New York has educational outcomes — graduation rates, eighth-grade test scores — that are roughly the same as Florida’s. »

@guehenno.bsky.social , I read your letter to the young generation nexus-instituut.nl/en/publicati.... Europe did not go along with the transformations. Kishore warned already in 2013hat "that Asia is becoming the dominant force"

Al-Sharaa is right not to rush elections and constitution in Syria. But the longer the transition, the greater the need for an impartial broker to manage it & organize credible elections. Excluding the UN would be a grave mistake, that will only create very legitimate suspicions.

Réaction française au verdict de Mazan, approuvant à juste titre la condamnation deTOUS les accusés, mais aussi nécessaire différenciation des peines. Réaction de la presse américaine, critique de peines selon elle trop légères, et demandant que tous reçoivent des peines plus sévères.

Excellent paper of @ecfr.eu Europe has leverage through its association agreement with Israel. It is high time it use it. ecfr.eu/publication/...

1/There is no peaceful society waiting to blossom when a monstrous dictatorship collapses. There is hate and lack of trust & social capital. #Syria needs enlightened leaders to overcome desire for revenge and retribution.

#Dohaforum Haka Fidan FM of Türkiye: we don’t want PKK or Daesh to take advantage of the situation.

Thinking of all the Syrians, exiled, tortured, murdered, who will not have seen that day of hope.

Provocative 🧵 by @lugaricano: Giving outliers a chance > scaling up Useful to challenge the post-Draghi consensus, and food for thought for EU regulators.

Censure ou pas: Ce qui ne fait pas de doute, c’est que la chute du gouvernement 🇫🇷 sera pour les observateurs étrangers la confirmation que les responsables politiques sont incapables de s’entendre sur un plan de redressement des finances du pays. Le coût de la dette augmentera immédiatement

The Guardian view on Europe’s duty to Ukraine: solidarity must not waver in the age of Trump | Editorial

The meeting of Nordic countries and Poland sends a strong message to Russia , to Trump, and to the rest of Europe that there is a group of frontline states that are willing to take risks to prevent a defeat of Ukraine.

One can argue whether a legal process is the best avenue to stop the war in Gaza, but if one believes that international justice can help build the rule of law in international relations, making a distinction between our friends and others is an insult to the very idea of justice.

Courageous piece by Gideon Levy: “The prime minister and former defense minister are being tried by the world, because the world saw and could not hold its silence. If it had, the court in The Hague would have been derelict in its duty."

If Europe lets Ukraine down, Russian tanks may not roll into the Baltic States but the abandonment of Ukraine, coming after the commitment of the last two years will deal a mortal blow to the European ambition of a political Europe. Putin will just have to pick European countries one at a time,

Tim Cook et les grands patrons US se tournent vers Trump dès qu’ils ont un problème avec l’UE. L’Europe sera dans le collimateur de Trump: c’est une cible plus facile à atteindre que la Chine, car elle dépend des USA pour sa sécurité. www.wsj.com/politics/ele...

Bluesky vs. Twitter: Posting same story, both platforms. Twitter, 138.2K Twitter followers (and falling): 14 interactions. Bluesky, 12.1K followers (and rising): 119 interactions. The Bluesky algorithm is way better. People who follow you actually see your posts, and they engage. @bsky.app

Je pense que tenter d’utiliser la voie judiciaire pour empêcher Marine Le Pen de se présenter à la présidentielle est une stratégie à haut risque. Elle a échoué avec Trump et renforce le rejet des institutions par une large partie de la population.

Preparing from #Trump at the #UnitedNations. ny.fes.de/article/un-n...

Abraham accords: The UAE, a non democratic regime with 1M nationals out of a population of 10M, can afford to completely ignore the will of its people. Saudi Arabia, with nationals being 60% of its 35M population, can’t, even if it is an absolute monarchy.

Le rejet du “wokisme” est un des facteurs (pas le seul, mais pas négligeable) de l’élection de Trump. Les démocrates français feraient bien d’en tirer les leçons s’ils ne veulent pas que les mêmes erreurs conduisent aux mêmes résultats.

Every year that passes makes a 2states solution for 🇮🇱 & 🇵🇸 more difficult. Trump, Netanyahu & the settlers want to make it impossible. Best way to preserve it: focus on equal human rights for Palestinians. A diplomatic path to 2states solution increasingly looks like a diversion

2/ I do not fear for the future existence of Israel. It is by far the most powerful country in the region. But I fear for its democratic future. Will the people of Israel walk away from the abyss? How can we all help, with the right mix of empathy and principled firmness?

Jennifer Welsh and I interviewed the great diplomat and scholar @guehenno.bsky.social En français et en anglais, dans la tradition de Tour de Table, notre balado McGill-Université de Montréal podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/t...

#authors From now on I will also post on Bluesky