In the next season of Fauda, Doron will attempt to do the impossible, rescue a value investor from himself

Jim Cramer, 25 years ago www.thestreet.com/personal-fin... Profits are a distraction to the gamblers.

Russell 2000/ S&P 600 To be in the S&P 600 you have to be profitable. Recently, profitability is a liability

I believe AI is a negative for tech companies that make money from ads - There will be greater competition from new players like OpenAI - AI is a massive additional cost, even in a world where they keep the same ad dollars they otherwise would have gotten

There are only 2 possible reasons the "ceasefire now" crowd isn't celebrating the ceasefire via Coleman Hughes - They are more bothered about Trump getting credit than they are about the suffering in Gaza - They were rooting for Hamas

So, with luck and determination, we could get to relive the 2007/8 credit crisis and the 2000 dotcom bust at the same time. Don't let the naysayers tell you we can no longer do stuff.

What else could potato chips be made of? Mars grown potatoes?

Pretty amazing that there isn't a single post in my Bluesky feed about the peace deal, while my Twitter feed is 90% filled with Israel/Hamas. The tribalism is insane

Never forget...

A DEI professor at a Canadian university thinks synagogues are fair game. She has since deleted her account. This is what the more educated people in the Free Palestine movement want to do to Jews. Never mind the common man

Bill Clinton got Israel to agree to a two state solution. It has always been the Palestinians that cannot accept the existence of Israel

$NVDA found some loose change between the cushions

Let's say OpenAI is wildly successful and this contract works out well for $ORCL. Why would OpenAI renew it, and give $ORCL great economics, once it has the financial strength to pay for it's own capex

The better SSS for some clothing retailers has been inconsistent with what we are seeing in other parts of the consumer economy. Wondering if the end of de minimus took some biz away from the likes of Temu/Shein & gave it to US retailers

The better SSS for some clothing retailers has been inconsistent with what we are seeing in other parts of the consumer economy. Wondering if the end of de minimus took some biz away from the likes of Temu/Shein & gave it to US retailers

Started a position in $CHTR as they begin winding down their multi year elevated capex plans and the stock trades down to near multi year lows. $CHTR is currently a mid double digit FCF yield and should be closer to 20% once the elevated capex is reduced in a year or two

Where is that buyback money coming from?

Where are we in the cycle when Bitty is giving stock market advice www.youtube.com/watch?v=wU1l...

Citron...LOL Hindsight bias at it's best

Headlines I love to see. If this doesn't say load up the truck, I don't know what does Health Insurers Are Becoming Chronically Uninvestible -- Heard on the Street -- WSJ

For anyone that that owns $CRWV (not as a trade), it is an absolute no brainer to do a stock replacement with $CORZ. The problem is that anybody who owns $CRWV, as an investment, probably can't do the math to figure this out

July has historically seen the best 1st day of any month. Performance from 1989 - 2024 can be seen in the attached chart. Note the last 14 years in a row have closed higher!

$ELV is trading at less than 10X 2026 estimates. They do have some risk from tougher Medicare rules. If the management is flexible & changes it's capital allocation priorities from acquisitions to buybacks would be a great buy. Even if you zeroed out Medicare profits the shares would still be cheap

Mamdani will lose, and not by a little. I refuse to believe that a majority of people will vote to destroy their city

I have sold some $JPM and written covered calls on the remainder. Not much juice left to squeeze out of this one. Initiated this position in fall of 2023, when people freaked out that Jamie Dimon was selling shares. The chorus of "Jamie is selling" has continued since then and the shares doubled

Bought $CRWV leap puts. Plan is to basically close my eyes until after the lockup expiration

Amazing that Israel and Ukraine came up with similar plans happening in parallel

Continued claims from the start of 2022

It is criminally insane to buy the $MSTR preferred 10%, $STRD. $MSTR can stop paying the dividend at any time, for no reason. Dividends are non cumulative & non payment has almost no consequences. Heard @saylor bluntly state this. I thought it was impossible so I read the prospectus. It's possible

Seems like we are seeing the law of diminishing returns on trade war headlines in both directions

The crazier Trump acts, the more likely the Supreme Court upholds the decision to take away Trump's tariff power

The acronym that destroyed the US economy. Trump now going to try and prove he's not TACO. It's like dealing with a 5th grader

90 deals in 90 days. Promises made, promises kept. Trump will personally be able to pay off the deficit by the end of his presidency

I'm guessing there weren't enough Europeans at that crypto dinner last night

It makes absolute zero sense that $CI trades down with the other insurers when there is Medicare news. $CI sold it's Medicare business. In the short run algos and correlations rule. In the longer run it's fundamentals

$TLT debuted in 2002 at roughly the current price. Never traded much lower (~81-ish)

DOGE saved $UNH

WITH DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE INVESTIGATION INTO UNITEDHEALTH DELAYED BY STAFF REDUCTIONS, CONGRESSMAN PAT RYAN DEMANDS AG BONDI TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT AMERICANS FROM HEALTHCARE MONOPOLIES

The magic words in getting me to stop reading a stock pitch is "Chinese company"

10 dma of equity p/c ratio .48. Last two low readings: .48 7/19/23 .49 1/31/25 Prior to that have to go back to 2021

Companies will initially get to keep the entire benefit of AI productivity. But in the long run, it will likely lead to greater competition

I think sentiment has finally cycled back to bullish and it's no longer crazy to start looking for a top to the current range. If we rallied a few more days it would be difficult for me not to buy some puts

Equity put/call ratio .41. Lowest since mid January. SMPT

$CI took a hit from the Medicare issues at $UNH, even though $CI sold their Medicare biz. Furthermore, $UNH said their commercial biz was on track about halfway through the quarter so the read through to $CI is actually positive Long $CI

No position in $UNH but shares finally seem cheap after being cut in half. Around 10 times earnings a year or two out. New CEO and possible kitchen sinked earnings

Vendor financing

Trump has said in the past he will cut out the middleman (PBMs). This doesn't scare me : -Trump doesn't have the executive power to do this & this isn't a Republican priority -It sounds good, like saying you will cut out China, but then you realize you need China

Highest on record.

If a deal is made with China to roll back tariffs to the 40%-50% range and the market celebrates it, that may be a spot to buy some puts. I agree with PTJ that 10% tariffs on the world + 40%-50% on China is not good long term

The water is warm