Liam Proud
@liamproud.bsky.social
📤 1784
📥 384
📝 66
Reuters Breakingviews
reposted by
Liam Proud
Peter Thal Larsen
24 days ago
Elon Musk's personal fortune is now equivalent to more than 4% of U.S. GDP,
@robcyran.bsky.social
calculates. John D. Rockefeller managed less than half that figure when he died in 1937.
www.breakingviews.com/columns/cons...
4
19
14
Why ASML the monopolist doesn’t act like one
@jen-johnson.bsky.social
www.breakingviews.com/columns/cons...
about 2 months ago
0
1
0
What is Elon Musk's imagination worth?
www.breakingviews.com/calculators/...
loading . . .
about 2 months ago
0
1
0
reposted by
Liam Proud
Gabe Rubin
about 2 months ago
What's SpaceX really worth? Toggle away on Breakingviews' calculator
www.breakingviews.com/calculators/...
loading . . .
3
22
7
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters Breakingviews
about 2 months ago
StanChart starts bank AI job cull with a whimper -
www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea...
@liamproud.bsky.social
loading . . .
StanChart starts bank AI job cull with a whimper
Despite unveiling a 15% cut to back-office staff, which CEO Bill Winters described as
https://www.breakingviews.com/columns/breaking-view/stanchart-starts-bank-ai-job-cull-with-whimper-2026-05-19/
0
0
1
AI bubble? Highest-rated Big Tech stock (12-month fwd PE) is Apple, i.e. the least AI-exposed... Meta and Microsoft in line with, or at a discount to, the S&P 500...
about 2 months ago
0
1
0
Middle Eastern oil🛢️exporters need a plan B. Building new pipelines, to get around the Strait of Hormuz, could cost $55 bln. Here's why it might be a sound investment for Saudi, UAE and Qatar, by
@georgehay.bsky.social
www.reuters.com/commentary/b...
3 months ago
0
1
0
UK gov AI Security Institute's verdict on Anthropic’s Claude Mythos
www.aisi.gov.uk/blog/our-eva...
3 months ago
0
1
0
Masayoshi Son represents fragile link in AI chain
www.breakingviews.com/columns/big-...
loading . . .
Masayoshi Son represents fragile link in AI chain
His SoftBank empire has been integral to OpenAI achieving an $840 bln valuation. It puts the ChatGPT developer in a precarious spot. The Japanese billionaire’s company is running short on finan...
https://www.breakingviews.com/columns/big-view/masayoshi-son-represents-fragile-link-ai-chain-2026-03-30/
3 months ago
0
1
0
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters Breakingviews
4 months ago
Gulf money will boost Europe's defence startups
www.reuters.com/markets/asia...
@georgehay.bsky.social
loading . . .
Breakingviews - Gulf money will boost Europe's defence startups
With the UAE alone hit by 2,000 Iranian strikes in two weeks, regional hubs like Dubai need better ways to repel unmanned craft. Firms like Germany's TYTAN and Ukraine's SkyFall could meet tha...
https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/gulf-money-will-boost-europes-defence-startups-2026-03-17/
0
4
3
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters Breakingviews
4 months ago
How insider-trading fears harm prediction markets
www.reuters.com/commentary/b...
@jen-johnson.bsky.social
loading . . .
Breakingviews - How insider-trading fears harm prediction markets
Six Polymarket accounts may have made $1.2 mln betting on the ouster of Iran’s leader, in trades funded hours before an air strike killed him. Worries about unfairly clued-up counterparties may...
https://www.reuters.com/commentary/breakingviews/how-insider-trading-fears-harm-prediction-markets-2026-03-12/
0
2
1
"What emerges may be a wounded Iran, but a bleeding Iran could prove just as dangerous -- and perhaps more unpredictable -- than the establishment that entered this conflict."
www.reuters.com/world/middle...
loading . . .
Iran bets on endurance, energy disruption to outlast US, Israel
Iran's strategy is stark: Unleash drones and missiles, cut vital energy routes and jolt markets.
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-bets-endurance-energy-disruption-outlast-us-israel-2026-03-10/
4 months ago
0
0
0
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters Breakingviews
4 months ago
Banks’ capital steroid use warrants extra scrutiny
www.breakingviews.com/columns/big-...
@liamproud.bsky.social
loading . . .
Banks’ capital steroid use warrants extra scrutiny
Lenders from Barclays to BNP have struck 'risk transfer' deals covering $885 bln of loans, flattering their equity ratios. The European market could double in size. As usage grows, though, so does the...
https://www.breakingviews.com/columns/big-view/banks-capital-steroid-use-warrants-extra-scrutiny-2026-03-02/
0
0
1
reposted by
Liam Proud
Peter Thal Larsen
5 months ago
For all the talk of cryptocurrencies going mainstream, this is the wobbly pillar on which the edifice rests: Tether’s stablecoin has a shrinking cash buffer and has parked more of its assets in bitcoin, gold and other illiquid investments. Via
@liamproud.bsky.social
www.reuters.com/commentary/b...
2
13
8
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters Breakingviews
5 months ago
Stablecoin giant is crypto’s fragile foundation
www.breakingviews.com/columns/big-...
@liamproud.bsky.social
loading . . .
Stablecoin giant is crypto’s fragile foundation
Tether, with $184 bln in issue, dominates dollar-pegged tokens. Yet its equity buffer has shrunk while investments backing the coin are riskier. As bitcoin falls, the risks of a panic are rising. That...
https://www.breakingviews.com/columns/big-view/stablecoin-giant-is-cryptos-fragile-foundation-2026-02-20/
0
2
1
Bitcoin ETF holdings are massively under water. Separately, half of all bitcoin in circulation is now worth less than its most recent on-chain purchase price
5 months ago
2
11
4
Bitcoin now trails German, UK and U.S. stocks over a two-year period. Gap much bigger (in stock markets' favour) if you include dividends, which this chart doesn't
5 months ago
0
2
1
Artificial intelligence will hurt incumbent software, data and professional services companies. But it won't destroy them outright. At least, that's what public-market investors seem to think
www.breakingviews.com/columns/big-...
5 months ago
0
1
0
YouTube is eating TV (streamers too) - and there's not much that traditional broadcasters can do about it
@jen-johnson.bsky.social
www.reuters.com/commentary/b...
5 months ago
0
0
3
reposted by
Liam Proud
Cato Institute
5 months ago
The US immigrant population generated more in taxes than they received in benefits from all levels of government every year from 1994 to 2023. The Cato study provides the first-ever 30-year analysis of the fiscal effects of immigration on government budgets.
https://ow.ly/jy8a50Y8kM3
80
4384
2580
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters Breakingviews
6 months ago
CVC pays up for a more credible growth story
www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea...
@liamproud.bsky.social
loading . . .
CVC pays up for a more credible growth story
The Europe-focused buyout giant has agreed to take over US credit shop Marathon for up to $1.6 bln. The price looks rich. But CVC President Peter Rutland at least gets a business that will boost his f...
https://www.breakingviews.com/columns/breaking-view/cvc-pays-up-more-credible-growth-story-2026-01-26/
0
1
1
What Ukraine’s resilient banks can teach Zelenskiy
@pierrebri.bsky.social
www.reuters.com/commentary/b...
6 months ago
0
1
0
Could Europe sell its $14 trln of US financial assets to pressure Trump on Greenland? Not really
www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea...
6 months ago
0
0
0
reposted by
Liam Proud
Peter Thal Larsen
6 months ago
It's the final day of the 13 Days of Predictions from
@breakingviews.reuters.com
. Here's my recap:
www.reuters.com/commentary/b...
And download the full e-book here:
newslink.breakingviews.com/join/5aq/pre...
loading . . .
Breakingviews - Gain and pain will battle for leading role in 2026
In 2025, tech optimism overpowered tariff gloom to keep economies growing and markets buoyant. In the coming 12 months, state stimulus and corporate exuberance will again clash with political dysfunct...
https://www.reuters.com/commentary/breakingviews/gain-pain-will-battle-leading-role-2026-2026-01-05/
0
1
2
reposted by
Liam Proud
Pierre Briançon
6 months ago
Introducing ‘Predictions 2026’, a new e-book from Breakingviews laying out the deals, companies, people and market moves that will shape the year ahead. Access the book 👉
reut.rs/3YDKKwu
Or read articles online 👉
reut.rs/45puKSz
loading . . .
As the world enters 2026, Breakingviews columnists map out how powerful forces of macroeconomic stimulus, exuberance over artificial intelligence and corporate dealmaking could interact with tensions between great powers, financial gravity and political dysfunction in the coming 12 months.
https://reut.rs/3YDKKwu
0
2
1
reposted by
Liam Proud
George Hay
6 months ago
The biggest M&A deal ever. A crypto bailout. Just some of the things Breakingviews columnists predict for 2026 in a new e-book, ‘Far Side of the Boom’. Access the book 👉
reut.rs/3YDKKwu
Or read articles online 👉
reut.rs/45puKSz
loading . . .
As the world enters 2026, Breakingviews columnists map out how powerful forces of macroeconomic stimulus, exuberance over artificial intelligence and corporate dealmaking could interact with tensions between great powers, financial gravity and political dysfunction in the coming 12 months.
https://reut.rs/3YDKKwu
0
1
1
Introducing ‘Predictions 2026’, our e-book laying out the deals, companies, people and market moves that will shape the year ahead. Access the book 👉
reut.rs/3YDKKwu
Or read articles online 👉
reut.rs/45puKSz
6 months ago
0
0
1
Corrective to the Big Tech AI leverage fears: Even if all next year’s capex was funded with debt, the five hyperscalers' combined borrowings would still be just 1 times EBITDA. And aside from Oracle, CDS have not risen v much
www.reuters.com/commentary/b...
8 months ago
1
2
0
reposted by
Liam Proud
Pierre Briançon
9 months ago
Commentary | The case for a big, one-off wealth tax
www.reuters.com/commentary/b...
loading . . .
Breakingviews - The case for a big, one-off wealth tax
Cash-strapped Western states must invest in their militaries and green energy. With the top 1% increasing its grip on wealth, and paying little tax, soaking the rich looks justified. But a chunky one-off levy makes more sense than an annual charge, which is vulnerable to dodging.
https://www.reuters.com/commentary/breakingviews/case-big-one-off-wealth-tax-2025-10-14/
0
7
3
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters Breakingviews
10 months ago
Tether megaraise may mark peak of stablecoin party -
www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea...
@liamproud.bsky.social
0
0
1
reposted by
Liam Proud
Peter Thal Larsen
10 months ago
For several years I've written a weekly note to the
@breakingviews.reuters.com
team, picking out key insights and ideas. Some colleagues urged me to share these musings more widely. So behold The Week in Breakingviews, free in your inbox each Saturday. Sign up here:
www.reuters.com/newsletters/...
0
2
2
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters Breakingviews
10 months ago
UBS hardy valuation jars with bank's capital gripe -
www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea...
0
0
1
OpenAI gives fair warning to masochistic investors
www.breakingviews.com/columns/cons...
10 months ago
0
1
0
Combined capex at Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet and Meta will surpass ALL listed American AND European utilities companies combined (same for energy, consumer, industrials etc.) [per UBS]
11 months ago
0
3
0
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters
11 months ago
BREAKING: Israeli strikes on Nasser Hospital in Gaza killed at least 15 people, including three journalists, one of whom worked for Reuters, Palestinian health officials said
reut.rs/45OFPfr
80
1070
966
Dear retail traders: 'can’t lose’ means can’t win
www.reuters.com/commentary/b...
11 months ago
0
6
1
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters Breakingviews
11 months ago
European defence stocks send false peace signal -
www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea...
-
@liamproud.bsky.social
loading . . .
European defence stocks send false peace signal
Rheinmetall, Renk and peers collectively shed $15 bln of value, or 5%, after a White House summit involving Ukraine, Germany, France and Britain. Toppy valuations explain the fall, rather than expectations of less fighting. The stocks still imply soaring defence budgets.
https://www.breakingviews.com/columns/breaking-view/european-defence-stocks-send-false-peace-signal-2025-08-19/
0
1
1
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters Breakingviews
12 months ago
Apollo-Brookfield UK pension race has two winners -
www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea...
-
@liamproud.bsky.social
loading . . .
Apollo-Brookfield UK pension race has two winners
Weeks after the US group paid $8 bln for a British retirement manager, its Canadian peer agreed a $3 bln takeover of Just Group. Brookfield’s price is high. But Britain’s annuity market is growing and...
https://www.breakingviews.com/columns/breaking-view/apollo-brookfield-uk-pension-race-has-two-winners-2025-07-31/
0
1
1
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters Breakingviews
12 months ago
Ideal new HSBC chair would be opposite of its last -
www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea...
-
@liamproud.bsky.social
loading . . .
Ideal new HSBC chair would be opposite of its last
Outgoing board head Mark Tucker churned through CEOs and steered the $220 bln bank’s vast overhaul. Now, with the right boss and strategy in place, HSBC could use a diplomatic Asia expert happy to tak...
https://www.breakingviews.com/columns/breaking-view/ideal-new-hsbc-chair-would-be-opposite-its-last-2025-07-30/
0
0
1
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters Breakingviews
12 months ago
Evercore’s Robey Warshaw deal sums up key-man risk -
www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea...
-
@liamproud.bsky.social
loading . . .
Evercore’s Robey Warshaw deal sums up key-man risk
The Wall Street firm is paying $196 mln for the UK boutique co-founded by Simon Robey. The danger in such transactions is that rainmakers leave. A six-year earnout helps, but for the buyer the upside ...
https://www.breakingviews.com/columns/breaking-view/evercores-robey-warshaw-deal-sums-up-key-man-risk-2025-07-30/
0
1
1
reposted by
Liam Proud
Pierre Briançon
12 months ago
Europe’s absurd US investment pledge brings risks
www.breakingviews.com/columns/cons...
0
0
1
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters Breakingviews
12 months ago
Orcel’s UniCredit M&A whirlwind turns into a fog -
www.breakingviews.com/columns/brea...
-
@liamproud.bsky.social
loading . . .
Orcel’s UniCredit M&A whirlwind turns into a fog
The $110 bln bank’s boss dropped his offer for Italy’s BPM but seems set on holding 29% of Germany’s Commerzbank. That leaves two questions hanging: whether a local tie-up still happens; and whether C...
https://www.breakingviews.com/columns/breaking-view/orcels-unicredit-ma-whirlwind-turns-into-fog-2025-07-23/
0
0
1
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters
12 months ago
From Breakingviews - Breakingviews - Big Pharma pioneers the TOFU tariff trade
reut.rs/4mbWb8x
loading . . .
Breakingviews - Big Pharma pioneers the TOFU tariff trade
Markets reflect a widespread belief that the US president always chickens out on trade measures. AstraZeneca’s plan to invest $50 bln stateside implies that sector-specific levies are inevitable. The drug group and rivals like Roche are assuming Trump Occasionally Follows Up.
https://reut.rs/4mbWb8x
3
5
7
reposted by
Liam Proud
Pierre Briançon
12 months ago
French PM Bayrou has likened his task reducing his country's heavy public debt load to "climbing the Himalayas." His damp squib of a budget shows him stuck in base camp.
www.breakingviews.com/columns/cons...
0
1
1
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters Breakingviews
about 1 year ago
Jane Street’s India spat touches regulatory nerve -
www.breakingviews.com/columns/big-...
-
@liamproud.bsky.social
loading . . .
Jane Street’s India spat touches regulatory nerve
The US firm, with $20 bln of 2024 revenue, is one of the biggest of the post-2008 financial giants that have replaced banks as key market-makers. As shown by a bust-up with India, regulators are now f...
https://www.breakingviews.com/columns/big-view/jane-streets-india-spat-touches-regulatory-nerve-2025-07-10/
0
0
1
Author Douglas Hofstadter's entertainingly jaded response to fans emailing about having "discovered" AI sentience
garymarcus.substack.com/p/are-llms-s...
loading . . .
Are LLMs starting to become sentient?
A compassionate but skeptical letter that Douglas Hofstadter wrote to one of his readers
https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/are-llms-starting-to-become-a-sentient?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=888615&post_id=167930799&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=yyjmf&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email
about 1 year ago
0
3
1
reposted by
Liam Proud
Reuters Breakingviews
about 1 year ago
UK’s City makeover inches towards risky final act -
www.breakingviews.com/columns/cons...
-
@liamproud.bsky.social
loading . . .
UK’s City makeover inches towards risky final act
London Stock Exchange CEO Julia Hoggett on Friday hosted Square Mile grandees to discuss an ongoing markets reboot. Authorities have eased listing rules and cut red tape. But the next step – getting $...
https://www.breakingviews.com/columns/considered-view/uks-city-makeover-inches-towards-risky-final-act-2025-06-30/
0
0
1
Thames Water, with 16 bln pounds of debt, seems like an asset nobody wants. Yet hedge funds including Elliott could still make a killing on the distressed London utility
www.breakingviews.com/columns/cons...
about 1 year ago
0
0
0
Today I learned: JPMorgan's Chase had more UK deposits at end of 2024 than any of the much more established neobanks (according to UBS analysts)
about 1 year ago
0
2
1
reposted by
Liam Proud
Peter Thal Larsen
about 1 year ago
Really interesting piece by
@liamproud.bsky.social
on the (lack of) dollar hedging. The giant Japanese Public Investment Fund has about a third of its $1.7 trillion assets invested in the US, almost all of it unhedged.
@breakingviews.reuters.com
www.reuters.com/breakingview...
loading . . .
Why the dollar’s wobble could be self-perpetuating
Foreigners own US stocks and bonds worth $30 trln, much of it unhedged. Doubts over the greenback’s status threaten to leave global pension funds and insurers with an intolerable currency mismatch. If they respond with increased hedging or selling, the dollar will weaken further.
https://www.reuters.com/breakingviews/why-dollars-wobble-could-be-self-perpetuating-2025-05-29/
1
17
7
Load more
feeds!
log in