Someone who's written a lot of R code must like storing scripts in a directory named /mnt/data/ because it's ChatGPT's go-to assumption

On the offchance that some of you have recently signed up to get emails when new content is posted on the MoS website, be aware that it's double opt-in, so you won't be active until you respond to the email that gets sent to you Check your spam/junk folder if you don't see it

No half-sentient person would trust Trump with a barbecue, and here we are watching him start a war to distract from his weapons grade depravity & incompetence.

Just the beginning? www.frbsf.org/research-and...

Wise words

A new blog post! In which @matterofstats.bsky.social and I estimate our own risk preferences in @mc-stan.org with the hope of best responding to a proper scoring rule. #EconSky #AFL jamesblandecon.github.io/posts/2026-0...

"Yeah, it's either an inheritance or a prize - we're not sure which ..."

Is an I'd card where you list a bunch of things you'd do in certain circumstances?

These National Film and Sound Archive pieces are treasures youtu.be/kKz7sspvgNM?...

Assuming that the retention or loss of a customer is clearly and objectively defined and measurable, is a company's customer retention rate a random variable?

Travel distances in men's AFL

I remember getting back to Australia in 2002 after my short-lived dotcom experience, sitting at home in our new rental, stumbling across a manual for R, and deciding to teach myself how to use it Never regretted the decision Thanks to all who've made it what it is

Just discovered that one of the blog posts on MoS was used as the reading for one week of a Sports Analytics course at the University of Toronto in 2023 Would love to know what the students made of it

This one hits hard.

Avoided venues in men's AFL

Asked ChatGPT to define the eras of men's V/AFL football

Now you too can spout statistics such as "Sydney have won the last 4, 11 of the last 12, and 17 of the last 19 at the SCG versus Carlton" www.matterofstats.com/head-to-head...

Will this year be looking to put some of the Claude and ChatGPT Collabs on the MoS website, assuming I don't exceed the thresholds for charging Let me know if there are any in particular you'd like to see there (No promises)

New MoSHBODS Ratings viewer up (another Claude Collab) www.matterofstats.com/moshbods-rat...

Very happy with the output from this Claude collab ...

For anyone curious, these are the four Claude strategies

Gave Claude exactly the same prompt and it offered 4 different approaches

Gave ChatGPT free rein to come up with a script to generate novel song titles based on an input file with 65,000 actual song titles

R 5.0.0's greatest feature: view() in base 🤯🤯🤯

Created another Game Excitement index using ChatGPT, this time including a paper with its own measure as an input prompt Which set of 10 matches do you think are most exciting (A) The one headed AFL Score Progression (B) The one headed Margin Progression

I'm feeling the same way RStudio ... allbookings = data.frame(sqlQuery(conn, q1)) Error: memory exhausted

Sometimes all you can do is laugh.

"Sure I cheated, but it's outrageous that someone didn't tell me they'd set up a camera to catch me doing it"

“Hey Carl - got a task for you. What bail do you set for a monarch if you think they might be a flight risk?”

TIL In Postgres SQL, sometimes you use IS NULL to test for NA values

Curling is chess with pavers on ice

Just had ChatGPT give MoSHBODS some direct suggestions www.matterofstats.com/mafl-stats-j...

ChatGPT has just diagnosed that MoSHBODS has a Kardinia Park problem ...

What happens when you let ChatGPT loose on men's AFL data and MoSHBODS model outputs? (Warning: long blog post) www.matterofstats.com/mafl-stats-journal/2026/2/17/what-can-chatgpt-tell-us-about-mens-afl-data-and-moshbods-modelling

"You keep using that phrase. I do not think it means what you think it means ... "

#dataviz #color 📊🌈🎨

Had a lovely morning chatting with ChatGPT about the presence or absence of heteroskedasticity in my forecasts and those of the bookmakers Now have new formulae for MoSHBODS for the Margin and Total SDs, and for Estimated Home Win probability. Simples

A man from the Australian Jewish Association is trying to get Grace Tame’s sold out event in Bendigo, for International Women’s Day, cancelled

Didn't realise that about the east coast... Topographical map of Australia www.instagram.com/p/DA1lzfQMtJi/ by @cstats1 via Instagram user: @discover_our_planet_

When did “Ne-pawl” become “Ne-pal”? #T20WorldCup #USAvNAM

My latest post is a big drop of new data. For the first time I publish two-party preferred preference data in so-called Non-Classic divisions, including high profile Independents. Data for the 2019, 2022 and 2025 elections. antonygreen.com.au/fed2025-inde...

I asked ChatGPT to come up with a measure of the excitement associated with each game of men's AFL since 2000, based solely on score progression data These are its Top 10. Thoughts?

The MoS Men's AFL Sims are up (Turns out that every one of the million replicates has a unique ladder ordering) www.matterofstats.com/mafl-simulations/2026-simulating-the-final-ladder-before-round-0

Not sure I'd pay for this ...

Fair to say the port to C++ went well. Just under 9 mins ... for 1 million replicates Probably write a blog for the Simulations journal tomorrow

ChatGPT told me I needed a "big rewrite" to get the speed up I was looking for in my code Will this be yet another "Big" thing in Australia?

New local Chinese restaurant is thinking laterally

"Whatever happened to Ken?" "Ah, Katie tagged him as debate bait ..."

So, with the current R script we're now at 3 hours, 9 minutes for 20k replicates of the entire men's 2026 season including the Wild Card besmirched Finals series (using 15 cores of the 20 available) Now doing a 5k test run of the Python script

This is some genuinely psycho shit...