All Eyes on Iowa

Iowa implications tonight in #TN07: R+10 district according to @cookpolitical.com PVI. Trump won by 22. Iowa is currently rated R+6, Trump won +13. #IA01: R+4, Trump +8.5 #IA02: R+4, Trump +10.5 #IA03: R+2, Trump +4.5 Even a single-digit win = bad sign for Iowa Rs

Recent columns from @iowademocrats.bsky.social and Iowa GOP leadership as Senators and Members of Congress face surge in death threats and swatting: Rita Hart: “…it’s up to all of us to cool the rhetoric” Jeff Kaufmann: “…the left has a political violence problem”

*Taps sign*

Still no comment from Feenstra, Hinson, Miller-Meeks, or Nunn on sending 20+ billion tax dollars to China’s biggest soybean supplier to bailout Wall Street and foreign politicians. #IAGov #IASen #IA01 #IA03

Interesting #IASen daylight between Hinson and Ernst

Iowa Republicans when the state is 49th in economic growth, 2nd in rate of new cancers, falling backwards in education and tariffs are increasing the price of groceries and school supplies:

Congratulations Catelin Drey and @senatemajority.bsky.social! That’s FOUR straight 20+ overperformances for @iowademocrats.bsky.social! Let’s go!

Updated my Iowa Senate district 1 preview with early voting numbers as of this afternoon. 3,174 ballots received: 1,535 from Democrats 1,294 from Republicans 333 from no-party voters 12 other (probably Libertarians) Polls open 7 am to 8 pm tomorrow. www.bleedingheartland.com/2025/08/24/i...

Enjoy my new discussion with Iowa Dem Chair Rita Hart about the importance of Dems learning how to win in more red states and red places 👇 www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/winning-in...

Don’t agree with all the individual takes, but agree with the headline.

Woof. In the inbox this evening:

A couple notes about #IA02 @cookpolitical.com: PVI: R+4 @electdemocrats.bsky.social: “District in play” @robsand.bsky.social won it by ~5% while winning re-election in 2022

There’s still work to do, but Iowans are making it clear they’re ready for change. In special elections this year, voters have rejected Trump and Iowa Republicans’ extreme agenda.

In three Iowa special elections this year SD 35: Trump +21 -> D+4 HD 100: Trump +27 -> R+4 HD 78: Harris +32 -> D +58 Average swing of more than 24 points to @iowademocrats.bsky.social

“…Data released on April 3 by the U.S. Federal Reserve indicates Iowa's economy was one of only two that lost ground in 2024, with its GD falling by 05%. Only North Dakota performed worse by dropping 0.7%. All other U.S. states posted GDP gains.” #IAGov #IASen

“The most important political office is that of the private citizen” - Louis Brandeis

GOP Crisis comms response to @theatlantic.com piece has one big problem: Why should we believe this is only time top NatSec officials were using @signal.org (and potentially personal devices) to discuss classified operations if they’re using it for war plans?