NEW podcast! How's the Trump 2.0 economy so far? Great for the top 10%. Listen to Amy Walter talk with Washington Post columnist Heather Long: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...

Rhode Island Gov. Dan McKee is at serious risk of losing his job to a fellow Democrat in next year’s primary. Read this analysis from Matthew Klein:

The chaos and tumult we are living through isn’t driven by our politics as much as our politics is reacting to a global transition away from institutional trust. Read Amy Walter's latest column:

There is a wide open, crowded field of both Democrats and Republicans vying to replace term-limited Gov. Janet Mills — but some candidates may get a leg up by virtue of their familiar last names. Read more from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:

Redistricting is the surprise campaign politics story of 2025. Follow all the latest developments with our Redistricting Tracker, accessible for free through September 23.

If Republicans hope to defy history and keep control of the House next year, a strong performance in New York will be a major part of the equation. Read this overview from @erincovey.bsky.social & Matthew Klein:

NEW podcast! The next shoe to drop in the redistricting race. Plus, can Dems finally oust Sen. Susan Collins in Maine? -with Carrie Dann, Matthew Klein, @jessicataylor.bsky.social & @erincovey.bsky.social. Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...

Gubernatorial contests in New Jersey and Virginia will be key early predictors of the 2026 midterm environment. Read Amy Walter's latest column:

For a limited time, the paywall is down for our Redistricting Tracker! Free to access through September 23.

It’s virtually impossible to see how Democrats can retake the majority in 2026 — or even 2028 — without flipping Collins’ seat. Read @jessicataylor.bsky.social's latest analysis.

Both parties have huge problems; those facing the self-doubting Democrats these days are more obvious and immediate, but Republicans have their own difficulties that are just as challenging. Read Charlie Cook's latest:

NEW podcast! Are we heading towards the gerrymander apocalypse? Amy Walter talks with @redistrict.bsky.social about this unprecedented mid-cycle redistricting. Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a...

Missouri Republicans passed a new gerrymander last week, but there are still plenty of hurdles before it takes effect. Read the update from Matthew Klein:

Mid-decade redistricting this year has completely disrupted the race for control of the House, but in North Carolina Republicans have already maximized their power. Read more from @erincovey.bsky.social:

We’re moving Iowa’s 2nd District and North Carolina’s 11th District from Solid to Likely Republican, indicating that they have the potential to host competitive races next year. Read more from @erincovey.bsky.social:

Early missteps and the national environment continue to work against Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears in the open Virginia gubernatorial race. We shift our rating from Lean to Likely Democrat. Read @jessicataylor.bsky.social's analysis:

Many Republicans are wagering that violent crime, illegal immigration and “woke” ideology will motivate voters next year. Read Amy Walter's latest:

Our comprehensive new Redistricting Tracker is an easy resource for making sure you're up to date with what's real — and how many seats could actually flip — in the race to redraw congressional maps around the country. Read more from @erincovey.bsky.social:

NEW podcast! Absolutely Everything You Need To Know About Redistricting — In 23 Minutes with Amy Walter, @redistrict.bsky.social & @erincovey.bsky.social. Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...

President Donald Trump’s midterm strategy relies less on overcoming fundamentals and more on changing the rules of the game. Will it work? Read Amy Walter's latest:

Republicans landed a credible recruit against Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, but he remains the heavy favorite. Read more from Matthew Klein:

Our comprehensive new Redistricting Tracker is an easy resource for making sure you're up to date with what's real — and how many seats could actually flip — in the race to redraw congressional maps around the country. Here's what you need to know from @erincovey.bsky.social:

Democrats are probably in better shape in terms of winning back a majority in the House than most think, writes Charlie Cook. Read his latest column:

Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst said she won’t seek reelection in 2026, but Republicans may be better off without her on the ballot. Here's more from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:

Don't miss your chance you to hear from Amy Walter, David Wasserman, Carrie Dann, Matthew Klein, @jessicataylor.bsky.social & @erincovey.bsky.social. Sign up now! www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/nat...

NEW podcast! Dems Eyeing Iowa, A NJ Gov Update and the Politics of Trump's Tough on Crime Moves in Blue Cities. Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/d...

A new Utah map would give Democrats the chance to pick up a seat anchored in Salt Lake City, a blue bastion in an otherwise staunchly conservative state. Here's more from @erincovey.bsky.social:

Being a “fighter” and an “outsider” are key attributes for any 2028 Democratic White House hopeful. But, potential Democratic hopefuls are defining those terms very differently. Read Amy Walter's latest.

Democratic Rep. Mikie Sherrill holds a small edge in New Jersey’s gubernatorial race, but the contest is just now heating up. www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/gov...

What will Mary Peltola do in 2026? Read @jessicataylor.bsky.social 's latest: www.cookpolitical.com/analys...

New congressional maps in Texas and California are just the beginning. Once the ink is dry, the real political battles will begin. Read Amy Walter's latest: www.cookpolitical.com/analys...

Republicans are eager to unseat Democratic Rep. Gabe Vasquez, but they need to land their own nominee first. Read our latest New Mexico House analysis: www.cookpolitical.com/analys...

"It is more than a little ironic that with the stakes in American politics so high these days, the battlefield is smaller than ever." Read Charlie Cook's latest column: www.cookpolitical.com/analys...

Dems have scored a major recruiting victory by convincing former Sen. Sherrod Brown to run again in Ohio just months after he lost reelection. We are shifting the Ohio Senate race rating to Lean R. Read our latest: www.cookpolitical.com/analys...

As TX Republicans appear poised to thwart Democrats’ brief quorum break and pass a brutal new gerrymander, CA Democrats’ plans to retaliate with their own aggressive map are coming into view. Read this analysis from @redistrict.bsky.social:

NEW podcast! A redistricting war could shake up the race for House control. Here's what you need to know with @jessicataylor.bsky.social, @redistrict.bsky.social & Amy Walter. Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a...

With aggressive recruiting successes, there is now a slim but yet plausible path by which Democrats could regain Senate control. Read the latest from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:

New Jersey rocketed toward Republicans last cycle, but the GOP still only has one realistic pickup target in the midterms. Read more from Matthew Klein:

The fate of the Republican-controlled House is ultimately going to be determined by two fundamental questions: how do voters feel about the state of the economy, and how do independent voters assess the party in power? Read the latest from Amy Walter:

NEW podcast! Ranking the shadowboxing 2028 Dem hopefuls with Amy Walter, Matthew Klein & @jessicataylor.bsky.social 🎧 -> podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/r...

New Hampshire’s 1st and 2nd Districts have favored Democrats just enough to keep Republicans locked out for the past decade — and that seems unlikely to change next year. Read more from @erincovey.bsky.social:

Sooner or later, presidents and their party find themselves falling back to earth. Read the latest analysis from Charlie Cook:

Republicans have yet to find a credible challenger on their side in a state that already had a thin bench. We move this race to Likely D. #MNSen Read the latest from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:

The fight over “no tax on tips” is front and center in Nevada’s House races, with both parties going on the offensive. Here's more from Matthew Klein:

If Democrats don’t win Nebraska’s 2nd District next year, it’s almost impossible to see them taking control of the House. Read more from @erincovey.bsky.social:

🎙️ ON AIR: We're talking with LA Times' Laurel Rosenhall, CalMatters' @akoseff.bsky.social and @cookpolitical.com's @erincovey.bsky.social about the feasibility of Gov. Newsom's redistricting plan. ❓ Would you support redistricting in CA before the midterm elections? Why or why not? 📻 Listen:

The starting gun on the 2026 race for California has sounded after the contest’s biggest question was settled Wednesday. Read the latest from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:

We’ll wait until a map is enacted to update our race ratings. But here’s an early look at how the battle for control of the House might play out in Texas next year under these new lines. Read more from @erincovey.bsky.social:

Nevada Attorney General Aaron Ford is challenging Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo in a showdown of law enforcement leaders. #NVgov Read the latest from Matthew Klein:

The 2026 battle for the Tar Heel State appears set between former Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper and Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Whatley. Read @jessicataylor.bsky.social's latest: