For decades, the Kremlin has sought to deepen Europe’s addiction to Russian fossil fuels. A new report by @asabadus.bsky.social highlights a unique opportunity for Ukraine and Europe to diversify their gas resources away from Russia.

Check out the full report to read how @asabadus.bsky.social addresses an opportunity for the Three Seas Initiative to support and secure Ukraine’s LNG resources.

Dean Acheson’s ‘Present at the Creation’ is due for a sequel. Like the 51st US secretary of state who watched a new world order emerging from the ashes of the Second World War, we are the witnesses (and architects) of its demise. Some thoughts: aurasabadus.substack.com/p/present-at...

The America I know does not betray friends or stub allies in the back. It does not kick the victim of a vicious attack in the gut while that victim is fighting for survival. #standWithUkraine open.substack.com/pub/chakhoya...

I can't stand bullies. President Zelensky is now trying to stand up against two of them. We should have his back. #SlavaUkraïni

"The choice is stark: will we stand up with 🇺🇦 to help it drive the invaders out & prove freedom still matters? Or will we surrender the moral clarity we once knew to fear and apathy? 🇺🇦’s courage is an awesome gift—we must not waste it." my latest on substack 👇 chakhoyan.substack.com/p/make-freed...

Putin wants to break us apart. We must never allow this to happen. We stand together through thick and thin. #StandwithUkraine, #Together

Given the circumstances, it is my moral duty as an Eastern European to renew my solidarity with Ukraine. #Together, #StandwithUkraine

Nice one, @asabadus.bsky.social ! "Ideally, the United States will work closely with the EU and UK in the coming months to expand current sanctions on the Russian energy sector while also working to tighten up the implementation of existing measures." www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrain...

"From the Baltic Sea to the Adriatic a new gas pipeline network would aid Europe and halt Russia’s energy blackmail." @asabadus.bsky.social and Wojciech Jakóbik

#Ukraine's gas transit bet: A zero-sum game for itself, Moldova, Europe and Russia? aurasabadus.substack.com/p/ukraines-g...

"It has taken a decision by Ukraine, a non-EU member, to remind the continent of the duty to clean up its act." @asabadus.bsky.social

"I find it extraordinary that given the gravity of the crisis, where schools and kindergartens are shut and people freeze in their homes, the authorities in Tiraspol refuse to accept Moldova’s help." @asabadus.bsky.social

"Ukraine has halted Russian gas flows across its territory. But is this the end of the continent’s turbulent energy relationship with Russia?" @asabadus.bsky.social

‼️ No day-ahead capacity offered at #Ukraine's Sudzha border point with Russia and no gas flows nominated for 1 Jan. Russian transit likely to stop subject to final nominations data expected later in the evening on 31 Dec After a temporary halt we may see discussions resume in the new year

The clock is ticking on #Ukraine's russian #naturalgas transit. Who may be the winners and losers of this long-drawn-out gamble? Some final thoughts at the end of the year and my best wishes for a better 2025. aurasabadus.substack.com/p/winners-an...

According to ENTSO-E policy, no member country can cut supplies without providing proof of security of supply risks, while decisions to do so need to be discussed and approved by the entso-e board @asabadus.bsky.social aurasabadus.substack.com/p/debunking-...

A week after his secretive visit to Moscow, the #Slovak prime minister Robert Fico has sent a letter to European Parliament and Commission presidents, warning of economic catastrophe based on unverified claims. Sergiy Makogon and I debunk these claims. aurasabadus.substack.com/p/debunking-...

“Despite reams of evidence that Russia uses gas exports to inflict harm on Europe, buyers in Moscow-friendly countries are now pressuring Ukraine to continue the transit from 2025,” @asabadus.bsky.social, Sergiy Makogon, and Benjamin Schmitt

‼️ In an unprecedented move, #Slovakia’s Fico has threatened to cut electricity supplies to #Ukraine from 01.01 if UA refuses to continue transiting russian gas once the current deal expires that day. The @EU_Commission and @ENTSO_E need to intervene urgently.

To @asabadus.bsky.social 👀

Russia will not win. Evil will be crushed. #GeorgiaProtests

Tales of the Unexpected: How Ukraine May Save Russia’s Gas Industry | "Ukraine has a historic opportunity to slam the door on Russian gas imports. But will it?" @asabadus.bsky.social

In this piece with #CEPA fellow Sergiy Makogon, we note that instead of creating a roadmap towards integration with Transnistria and securing alternative gas supplies, a handful of Moldovan state representatives are seeking to perpetuate MD's reliance on russian gas. cepa.org/article/mold...

President Biden has treated the Russian invasion of Ukraine as a crisis to be managed not a war to be won, writes Phillips Payson O’Brien www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...

Early nominations published by the #Ukrainian gas grid operator, #GTSOU, indicate a small drop in russian gas flows to Europe on 1 December. Market participants were expecting rising russian supplies following large monthly capacity bookings at Austria's Baumgarten delivery point.

Rob pulled together this very telling figure - showing the different stages of Russia's war against Ukraine's power system (and Ukraine's remedies).

OMV was so lucky to ‘impound’ the Russian gas just days before the OFAC sanctions on Gazprombank hit 😉 www.reuters.com/markets/comm...

The fate of #russian #naturalgas imports into #Europe will depend on either the #US or the Kremlin itself, a sanctions specialist told #ICIS. There are two options on the table: www.icis.com/explore/reso...

Awareness growing in the UK that in a real war, this country is all but defenceless — huge reliance on deterrence and our allies

A short piece on 3 proposals to improve the management of Ukraine’s electricity crisis based on work by the #GDU-team. 1-better state coordination ('energy situation room') 2-use power of markets ('guarantee fund for private gen. invest') 3-enable municipalities laender-analysen.de/uad/pdf/Ukra...

It appears we may not have seen the end of the Nord Stream story. Via Benjamin Schmitt www.wsj.com/business/ene...

Huge news: OFAC has sanctions 🇷🇺 Gazprombank, the largest remaining non-designated bank. Gazprombank is "a conduit for Russia to purchase military materiel for its war effort against Ukraine". Plus, a sanctions risk alert for dealing with SPFS, targeting VTB Shanghai and Sberbank New Delhi staff

I've come across an exceptionally well-researched paper reporting rare data about #Azerbaijan's gas production, consumption and exports. I'll include below the link to the article but two things stand out from his paper published in 2023./1

"In order to increase its exports to Europe, Azerbaijan has dramatically upped its own fossil fuel imports from Russia. Some researchers suspect the country may be simply relabeling some imported Russian fuel and sending it along to Europe" @politico.com www.politico.eu/article/euro...

At GDU we used a regional electricity system model to assess the impact of strong electricity exports to Ukraine on prices in exporting countries. We find that the observed price increases in the region are only to a small part attributable to increased exports. www.linkedin.com/posts/green-...

🚨 BREAKING: The European Parliament has agreed to approve all seven pending European commissioner nominees.

The #Romanian President has rubber-stamped a 0.5% tax on energy companies’ turnover despite strong opposition from the sector and fears it would deter investments. Companies in RO energy sector pay some of the highest taxes in #Europe www.presidency.ro/ro/media/dec...

#Germany's Trading Hub Europe (THE) has raised the neutrality charge (which has hit gas exports to CEE) from 1 Jan 2025. The fee was due to be scrapped but with the German gov in disarray, it's unclear whether it would be abolished by 1.01.25 More to follow. www.tradinghub.eu/en-gb/About-...

Despite an announcement by #Austria's #OMV that russian gas deliveries would be cut, exports continue unhindered, raising questions what lies behind the new arrangements. In this brief, #ICIS Q&A, we explain what we've found out: www.icis.com/explore/reso...

Debuting on bluesky with a post on the #Ukrainian #naturalgas transit agreement with russia, which expires on January 1, 2025. For those wondering whether the agreement will be renewed or not, here is our latest #ICIS Q&A, explaining the challenges to date: www.icis.com/explore/reso....