Our take on the Canadian election from @focaldata.bsky.social + @politico.com. Liberals ahead by 3 pts which is likely to translate into a small majority. Trump has had a material effect. One pause for thought. “Wisdom of the crowds” has a 4 point Conservative lead. www.politico.com/news/2025/04...

🇨🇦🧵 Quick thread on some of our findings ahead of today's Canadian election. Our headline results put the Liberals ahead, but we've uncovered evidence that the Conservatives may have won the election (or at least the most seats) if Trump had not won in November.

Yesterday, we presented some exclusive findings from a European survey (covering 🇫🇷🇩🇪🇬🇧) at the CEPS Ideas Lab in Brussels. With defence and security in the news, here are our key findings on that particular topic... 🧵

Bi_Focal 21: Four lessons from a year in research www.focaldata.com/blog/bi-foca...

Our latest Bi_Focal blog looks at views on economic growth and finds that they form a distinct dimension of political beliefs, separate from traditional left-right economic or liberal-conservative cultural divides. Read it here 👇 www.focaldata.com/blog/bi-foca...