I have never seen Yentl!

This episode already has Bigfoot hunters, Sand declaring his love of cartograms, and reading his tweet auditing @the-downballot.com . So basically the most Downballot ep ever

This great and heartbreaking and also makes me think of Mark Twain’s description of golf

Conor Lamb apology poll

An easy fast if you observe!

Those are literally Mastriano numbers

We still have 18 days to approve more!

A ‘brazen’ Jeffrey Yass-backed mailer suggests the Pa. Supreme Court created the congressional map it actually threw out www.inquirer.com/politics/ele... I take comfort he is lighting this money on fire by mailing me at least #DefendOurCourts think it will go about as well as Elon in WI

Yeah like both other candidates are in their 40’s so what was she going to wait for ?

How sweet to pry this from the Pohlads

I’m still not totally sure what exactly happened during Rosh Hashana please stick to 1-2 so I can find out

In the Big Board this now shows as a D+17 overperformance from 2024. docs.google.com/spreadsheets... No signs that Kirk's murder increased Republican turnout.

This is my cd! And it’s wide open

If you’re looking for a reason why Mamdani might overperform his polling and break 50% www.foxnews.com/politics/fox...

Yeah being a voter is pretty great

It can be done

We have received many questions about whether it’s safe to sign up for No Kings protests while Trump ramps up his attacks on free speech.

Polling averages are better than campaign vibes almost all the time

Haters to not just America and our freedoms but of the joys of special elections.

I'm probably going to echo this at least 150k times between now, the 2025 elections in 49 days & the 2026 midterms. But THERE ARE LITERALLY ELECTIONS HAPPENING NEARLY EVERY WEEK IN AMERICA! Dems LITERALLY just flipped a seat in the IA Senate A WEEK AGO!! Takes like this are just so unhelpful...

One of the things we can be reasonably sure about based on the social science: The way Trump and his allies are responding to Charlie Kirk’s murder is likely to worsen our political violence problem, not help it www.gelliottmorris.com/p/americas-r...

The Ezra piece was dumb and deserved all the dunking. Strongly encourage you to read this excellent @anamariecox.bsky.social piece instead. newrepublic.com/article/2003...

1. We do not know the motive of the shooter. The man who shot at Trump was after attention. 2. The man who murdered MN legislators WAS motivated by politics, and I didn’t hear any Dems calling for reprisals against all Repubs. 3. It’s easy to start a cycle of violence. Not easy to end one.

Horrific and indefensible. indivisible.org/statements/i...

The horrific assassination of Charlie Kirk was quickly condemned across the political spectrum - as it should be. Most Americans do not support political violence, regardless of what some may claim or imply on social media. home.dartmouth.edu/news/2024/02...

The right's desperate, pathetic quest to find the same wretchedness in us that they see in themselves every day is so telling. They believe we share their bloodthirsty and immoral instincts and they are shamed to see that they are indeed truly unique and alone in their inhumanity.

Turned this into a blog post, adding a dash of Alinsky as well, just to get the ideas out of my head and down on paper. (Some people smoke as a stress-reliever. I quote Schattschneider and Alinsky.) open.substack.com/pub/davekarp...

I'm absolutely horrified by the shooting of Charlie Kirk. Political violence is always wrong and has no place in a democratic society. Just a terrible, despicable act.

Saying “that’s not who we are” can be earnestly aspirational (a call to conscience), even if it isn’t empirically or historically true.

Real synagogue merger vibes, spoken as a member of Beth Zion Beth Israel

The Big Board comes for Florida!

My two favorite athletes!

A lot of time you just have to call his bluff

Ask not for whom the @the-downballot.com 's Big Board clickers-clacks....

I love that she's that pessimistic about her ability to help the Convservative movement in a one seat minority

Is it possible that Ken Martin was just baiting Trump into doing this?

You think you’re the only singer who can give me that Apollonia feeling?

This Iowa special election is just a distraction from my population estimates showing the complete depopulation of several Blue states…

Or die

I have learned more than I thought I would about Iowa geography as someone who grew up in WI and is married to a Hawkeye

There are two political conversations underway. There's the inside-the-DC bubble with lots of fretting by Dem strategists accompained by pessimistic reporting from the savvy media then, there are the results playing out across the country the results matter way more than the punditry

I have never had a way with elections but the hills of Iowa make me wish that I could

I mean I would love this especially if they were all federal holidays

Moms> Christian Strategic Comms creeps

Decent overperformance brewing in the undercard

I am indeed out of the hospital after a same day procedure and thus able to follow these!

Nothing but respect for my fellow dipshit from Chocago

@davidnir.com didn’t you encourage him ?

Lustful Cockmonsters and Beautiful Unique Sparkle Ponies Unite!

This is good news but I would be curious if they had a client in the race and also I assume that a 4 pt delta among the candidates is within the MoE