Great piece from Tom Friedman @nytimes.com on how to think about this crazy era we're in - and what to even call it! (And a few quotes from yours truly towards the end.) www.nytimes.com/2025/11/10/o...

We too are very excited about Karolina Bassa's new paper with Rama Cont on Dynamics of sovereign debt: credit risk and sustainability analysis www.inet.ox.ac.uk/publications...

In our next #ComplexityEconomics seminar on 12 Nov, Rafael Prieto-Curiel @csh.ac.at will explore the challenges of making cities work for everyone while facing dual challenges of managing both expansion and contraction at a time of rapid future population expansion www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/citie...

🔍 Introducing our new, more powerful search! → ourworldindata.org/search With such a rich publication—nearly 14,000 charts and 100s of articles on 120+ topics—it can be hard to find what matters to you. Now, finding what you’re looking for, or discovering something new, has never been easier.

Come join the team! @francoislafond.bsky.social @doynefarmer.bsky.social and @maxroser.bsky.social need a postdoctoral researcher to join their programme on forecasting technical change www.inet.ox.ac.uk/vacancies

How to improve LLM responses in domains we can’t score? Implicit signals from structured dialogue help LLM agents edit their own contexts, improving responses dramatically. “Self-evolving expertise in complex non-verifiable subject domains: dialogue as implicit meta-RL”. arxiv.org/pdf/2510.15772

Come work with us! We’re hiring a Postdoctoral Research Fellow in Food System Transformations at the University of Oxford. This role is part of an ambitious, interdisciplinary project exploring rapid food system transformations. More details here: my.corehr.com/pls/uoxrecru...

Our #Complexity Economics Seminar series is back! We start next Wednesday 22 October with a talk from Cambridge University's @martagrzeskiewicz.bsky.social presenting an algorithm for uncovering a utility function based on observational consumption data. www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/uncov...

If you didn't manage to catch Karolina Bassa's seminar "A Quantitative Model of Sovereign Credit Risk and Debt Sustainability", this is now available online at www.youtube.com/watch?v=0n8H...

I have a new paper out in @oxrepjournal.bsky.social explaining Agent-based models #ABMs and their advantages and disadvantages in comparison to standard models. doi.org/10.1093/oxre...

🚨 Fresh from ArXiv: “Comparing Data Assimilation and Likelihood-Based Inference on Latent State Estimation in Agent-Based Models” with @marcopangallo.bsky.social, @c0rrad0.bsky.social, & @gdfm.bsky.social 👉 arxiv.org/abs/2509.17625

Coming up on 1 October @wifo.bsky.social: Karolina Bassa will present on the impact of fiscal and public investment policies on the sovereign's borrowing cost and credit risk in the presence of stochastic output shocks and credit-sensitive funding from investors👇 www.wifo.ac.at/en/event/433...

@doynefarmer.bsky.social spoke to Gregory McNiff at the New Books Network about his research and Making Sense of Chaos. You can listen at newbooksnetwork.com/making-sense... #Complexity #ComplexityEconomics

Interested in climate change and the UK #CarbonBudget? Watch this space! @doynefarmer.bsky.social is heading up our latest project to fill evidence gaps ahead of the UK Government setting its Seventh Carbon Budget next year www.inet.ox.ac.uk/news/sprint-...

Sometimes you have to take a break from thinking about Economic ABMs to free a hummingbird. Our researchers Jordan and Christian staged a daring rescue mission at @sfiscience.bsky.social

@sfiscience.bsky.social is obviously where all the cool kids go over the summer... #Complexity #ComplexityEconomis #ABM

#FiscalPolicy #ComplexityEconomics

New in @oxrepjournal.bsky.social: Economic models and frameworks to guide climate policy. Which key economic questions about the net-zero transition are of interest to finance ministries and which economic methods can deliver. academic.oup.com/oxrep/advanc...

Sustainable decision-making requires better foresight. Participate in the AI for Trade Challenge and build models that anticipate international trade flows. 📅 Deadline: Oct 31, 2025 🏆 $6K in prizes More: centerforcollectivelearning.org/aifortrade

Lessons from chaos theory on Trump tariff bottlenecks - feat. @doynefarmer.bsky.social @inet-complexity.bsky.social "Farmer looks at economies as complex networks, drawing on the ideas of chaos theory to model interactions between the players." #EconSky @risk.net www.risk.net/our-take/796...

Incredible work from Cephas Svose, who makes a great contribution @inet-complexity.bsky.social @oxfordmathematics.bsky.social His current research focuses on the interaction between different trading strategies of traders on the stock market using Agent-Based-Modelling to understand complex systems

We need a part time Research Assistant to work on macroeconomic and distributional impacts of the UK’s Seventh Carbon Budget. Apply by 21 July.

Kindle Daily Deal alert! If you haven't yet read @doynefarmer.bsky.social's fantastic Making Sense of Chaos, you can get it today for the bargain price of £1.99. #Complexity #ComplexityEconomics #EconSky tinyurl.com/3auck867

We're hiring! Michael Wooldridge, Ani Calinescu and I are looking for a Senior Research Associate in Robust, Large-Scale Agent-Based Modelling. Applications by 7 July. www.cs.ox.ac.uk/news/2454-fu... #ABM

"If you make analogy to a living system, the economy is the part of society that... combines natural resources with human labor to make goods & services that we need... or at least want. Whereas if you look at, what is a metabolism?" - @doynefarmer.bsky.social on economies as metabolisms

Podcast episode now available - I spoke to Jim Rutt about deterministic chaos & strange attractors, how chaos makes time possible, financial markets as an ecology of strategies, climate economics, the vision of a “conscious civilization,” and much, much more. www.jimruttshow.com/j-doyne-farm...

Our latest working paper from Lennart Baumgärtner and @doynefarmer.bsky.social asks: will national renewable costs continue declining? #RenewableEnergy #NetZero www.inet.ox.ac.uk/publications...

How to beat roulette with a computer in your shoe, a working knowledge of physics, and your best friend to help: @doynefarmer.bsky.social explains in this Unexplainable podcast player.fm/series/unexp...

Sign up now for our final #Complexity Economics seminar this term with Benjamin Moll on 4 June - details below.

Our introduction to a special issue in the Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization is now online Complex systems approaches to 21st century challenges: doi.org/10.1016/j.je... @jennabednar.bsky.social @maria-drc.bsky.social @francoislafond.bsky.social, Penny Mealy, Marco Pangallo, Anton Pichler

Complexity Economics Seminar Series, 21 May 2025 @ 2:30pm BST (Hybrid) Macro-financial dynamics in energy transitions: a stock-flow consistent, input-output approach with Andrew Jackson 🔗 www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/macro... With @inet-complexity.bsky.social #econsky

Our next #ComplexityEconomics seminar on 21 May will see Andrew Jackson from @uniofsurrey.bsky.social will present his work on macro-financial dynamics in #energy transitions: a stock-flow consistent, input-output approach www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/macro...

New paper just out on multi-agent reinforcement learning in an open-ended environment. It introduces the RULE algorithm, allowing groups of agents to update their own reward functions to solve otherwise insoluble problems. Fixed reward functions, so 2024… www.jmlr.org/papers/volum...

It's Karolina Bassa up next! Join us for a discussion on the dynamics of sovereign debt: credit risk and sustainability analysis on Thursday 15 May 2025 @ 2:00pm BST (Hybrid) More details and RSVP ⇢ www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/inet-... #complexity @inet-complexity.bsky.social @doynefarmer.bsky.social

Next up in our #ComplexityEconomics seminar series: Lilit Popoyan @qmul.ac.uk will be presenting prevention first vs. cap-and-trade policies in an agent-based integrated assessment model with greenhouse gas emissions. Online and in person, Wednesday 14 May www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/preve...

Now we've seen some footage of @doynefarmer.bsky.social's talk in Amsterdam last week, we're worried he'll be demanding a support band and cocktails before every seminar he gives ...

We're looking forward to this one! #EconSky

I had a great time in Amsterdam last week giving three very different talks. The one I gave during the Amsterdam Complexity School on Climate Change @acscc.bsky.social on technological change and #Complexity Economics is now available online. www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fnfi...

Fabian Stephany @oii.ox.ac.uk is on the look out for a part time research assistant to work on designing and administering a survey experiment among HR recruiters in the United States. 👀Details below my.corehr.com/pls/uoxrecru...

Sign up now for our first #ComplexityEconomics seminar of the term: Eric Kemp-Benedict @envleeds.bsky.social @universityofleeds.bsky.social on 7 May on classical-evolutionary technological change #EconSky www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/class...

Drinking a cocktail called “black hole” and listening to the illustrious @doynefarmer.bsky.social was a very good way to spend a Sunday evening in Amsterdam. I especially liked this message.

🌱DIEP seminar tomorrow 2pm! We are very pleased to have Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social give a talk on “The historical mother of emergent phenomena”. ❗Please note the unusual location: L1.01 (Lab 42) and time: Tuesday, 2pm. Hope to see you there!

Happy paperback publication day to @doynefarmer.bsky.social! #MakingSenseOfChaos is now available in a more portable format - the perfect on-the-go read. www.penguin.co.uk/books/284357...

Registration is now open for our Trinity Term #Complexity Economics seminar series (online and in person), starting with Eric Kemp-Benedict @envleeds.bsky.social @universityofleeds.bsky.social on 7 May on classical-evolutionary technological change #EconSky www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/class...

A new working paper from @bapeterj.bsky.social's team develops an approach for using natural language processing in policy analysis. Yuan Fu & Pete show that NLP workflow is full of subjective judgements and choices 🔗 www.inet.ox.ac.uk/publications... @inet-complexity.bsky.social #complexity

I'm in @the-independent.com warning that shrinking the UK’s #NetZero ambition would only make energy prices higher and put British industry at a disadvantage www.independent.co.uk/voices/kemi-...

Coming up today at 10am EDT / 2pm BST - Rob Axtell and @doynefarmer.bsky.social on ABMs in economics and finance

Forthcoming in 'The Economy as an Evolving Complex System IV' from SFI Press - but you can have a sneak peak here first! Forecasting technological progress by @francoislafond.bsky.social francoislafond.info/wp-content/u...

Paperback copies of my book have arrived in the office! They'll be available in UK stores/online from April 24. #MakingSenseOfChaos

In Central Banking: how ABMs now support central bank policy making (after visionaries, including former Bank of England chief economist, Andrew Haldane, and @doynefarmer.bsky.social served as advocates) centralbanking.com/central-banks/economics/macroeconomics/7972592/agent-based-models-come-of-age