You can read our briefing for the Environmental Audit Committee’s Seventh Carbon Budget inquiry showcasing 4 research programmes from @inetoxford.bsky.social that could help inform decisions @doynefarmer.bsky.social @emilienravigne.bsky.social @bapeterj.bsky.social www.inet.ox.ac.uk/news/complex...

Had the pleasure of giving talks at @cphsodas.bsky.social and @iasliu.bsky.social this past week on my recent preprint, "Spatial Selection and the Multiscale Dynamics of Urban Change". Thank you to my kind hosts, and I'm excited to continue learning about and sharing multi scale dynamics research!

There's still time to sign up for tomorrow's seminar with the Chief Economist of the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero Donna Leong. 👇

In our #ComplexityEconomics seminar on 3 December: How does government conduct analysis to meet its twin missions of Clean Power 2030 and Accelerating to #NetZero? Director of Analysis and Chief Economist at DESNZ Donna Leong will give her perspectives. www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/missi...

Interested in how to address inequality in economic models? Collective action and climate change? What the roadblocks are to better economic predictions? We have the podcast episode for you! 👇 @doynefarmer.bsky.social @inetoxford.bsky.social @smithschool.ox.ac.uk #Complexity #EconSky

Cities are dynamos of demographic change, however our data practices can often hide this fact. In this paper, we explore growth in Chicago, a city purportedly burdened by a stagnating population. Using methods from population ecology, we show that not only is Chicago undergoing rapid, spatially...

Great piece from Tom Friedman @nytimes.com on how to think about this crazy era we're in - and what to even call it! (And a few quotes from yours truly towards the end.) www.nytimes.com/2025/11/10/o...

We too are very excited about Karolina Bassa's new paper with Rama Cont on Dynamics of sovereign debt: credit risk and sustainability analysis www.inet.ox.ac.uk/publications...

In our next #ComplexityEconomics seminar on 12 Nov, Rafael Prieto-Curiel @csh.ac.at will explore the challenges of making cities work for everyone while facing dual challenges of managing both expansion and contraction at a time of rapid future population expansion www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/citie...

🔍 Introducing our new, more powerful search! → ourworldindata.org/search With such a rich publication—nearly 14,000 charts and 100s of articles on 120+ topics—it can be hard to find what matters to you. Now, finding what you’re looking for, or discovering something new, has never been easier.

Come join the team! @francoislafond.bsky.social @doynefarmer.bsky.social and @maxroser.bsky.social need a postdoctoral researcher to join their programme on forecasting technical change www.inet.ox.ac.uk/vacancies

How to improve LLM responses in domains we can’t score? Implicit signals from structured dialogue help LLM agents edit their own contexts, improving responses dramatically. “Self-evolving expertise in complex non-verifiable subject domains: dialogue as implicit meta-RL”. arxiv.org/pdf/2510.15772

Come work with us! We’re hiring a Postdoctoral Research Fellow in Food System Transformations at the University of Oxford. This role is part of an ambitious, interdisciplinary project exploring rapid food system transformations. More details here: my.corehr.com/pls/uoxrecru...

Our #Complexity Economics Seminar series is back! We start next Wednesday 22 October with a talk from Cambridge University's @martagrzeskiewicz.bsky.social presenting an algorithm for uncovering a utility function based on observational consumption data. www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/uncov...

If you didn't manage to catch Karolina Bassa's seminar "A Quantitative Model of Sovereign Credit Risk and Debt Sustainability", this is now available online at www.youtube.com/watch?v=0n8H...

I have a new paper out in @oxrepjournal.bsky.social explaining Agent-based models #ABMs and their advantages and disadvantages in comparison to standard models. doi.org/10.1093/oxre...

🚨 Fresh from ArXiv: “Comparing Data Assimilation and Likelihood-Based Inference on Latent State Estimation in Agent-Based Models” with @marcopangallo.bsky.social, @c0rrad0.bsky.social, & @gdfm.bsky.social 👉 arxiv.org/abs/2509.17625

Coming up on 1 October @wifo.bsky.social: Karolina Bassa will present on the impact of fiscal and public investment policies on the sovereign's borrowing cost and credit risk in the presence of stochastic output shocks and credit-sensitive funding from investors👇 www.wifo.ac.at/en/event/433...

@doynefarmer.bsky.social spoke to Gregory McNiff at the New Books Network about his research and Making Sense of Chaos. You can listen at newbooksnetwork.com/making-sense... #Complexity #ComplexityEconomics

Interested in climate change and the UK #CarbonBudget? Watch this space! @doynefarmer.bsky.social is heading up our latest project to fill evidence gaps ahead of the UK Government setting its Seventh Carbon Budget next year www.inet.ox.ac.uk/news/sprint-...

Sometimes you have to take a break from thinking about Economic ABMs to free a hummingbird. Our researchers Jordan and Christian staged a daring rescue mission at @sfiscience.bsky.social

@sfiscience.bsky.social is obviously where all the cool kids go over the summer... #Complexity #ComplexityEconomis #ABM

#FiscalPolicy #ComplexityEconomics

New in @oxrepjournal.bsky.social: Economic models and frameworks to guide climate policy. Which key economic questions about the net-zero transition are of interest to finance ministries and which economic methods can deliver. academic.oup.com/oxrep/advanc...

Sustainable decision-making requires better foresight. Participate in the AI for Trade Challenge and build models that anticipate international trade flows. 📅 Deadline: Oct 31, 2025 🏆 $6K in prizes More: centerforcollectivelearning.org/aifortrade

Lessons from chaos theory on Trump tariff bottlenecks - feat. @doynefarmer.bsky.social @inet-complexity.bsky.social "Farmer looks at economies as complex networks, drawing on the ideas of chaos theory to model interactions between the players." #EconSky @risk.net www.risk.net/our-take/796...

Incredible work from Cephas Svose, who makes a great contribution @inet-complexity.bsky.social @oxfordmathematics.bsky.social His current research focuses on the interaction between different trading strategies of traders on the stock market using Agent-Based-Modelling to understand complex systems

We need a part time Research Assistant to work on macroeconomic and distributional impacts of the UK’s Seventh Carbon Budget. Apply by 21 July.

Kindle Daily Deal alert! If you haven't yet read @doynefarmer.bsky.social's fantastic Making Sense of Chaos, you can get it today for the bargain price of £1.99. #Complexity #ComplexityEconomics #EconSky tinyurl.com/3auck867

We're hiring! Michael Wooldridge, Ani Calinescu and I are looking for a Senior Research Associate in Robust, Large-Scale Agent-Based Modelling. Applications by 7 July. www.cs.ox.ac.uk/news/2454-fu... #ABM

"If you make analogy to a living system, the economy is the part of society that... combines natural resources with human labor to make goods & services that we need... or at least want. Whereas if you look at, what is a metabolism?" - @doynefarmer.bsky.social on economies as metabolisms

Podcast episode now available - I spoke to Jim Rutt about deterministic chaos & strange attractors, how chaos makes time possible, financial markets as an ecology of strategies, climate economics, the vision of a “conscious civilization,” and much, much more. www.jimruttshow.com/j-doyne-farm...

Our latest working paper from Lennart Baumgärtner and @doynefarmer.bsky.social asks: will national renewable costs continue declining? #RenewableEnergy #NetZero www.inet.ox.ac.uk/publications...

How to beat roulette with a computer in your shoe, a working knowledge of physics, and your best friend to help: @doynefarmer.bsky.social explains in this Unexplainable podcast player.fm/series/unexp...

Sign up now for our final #Complexity Economics seminar this term with Benjamin Moll on 4 June - details below.

Our introduction to a special issue in the Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization is now online Complex systems approaches to 21st century challenges: doi.org/10.1016/j.je... @jennabednar.bsky.social @maria-drc.bsky.social @francoislafond.bsky.social, Penny Mealy, Marco Pangallo, Anton Pichler

Complexity Economics Seminar Series, 21 May 2025 @ 2:30pm BST (Hybrid) Macro-financial dynamics in energy transitions: a stock-flow consistent, input-output approach with Andrew Jackson 🔗 www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/macro... With @inet-complexity.bsky.social #econsky

Our next #ComplexityEconomics seminar on 21 May will see Andrew Jackson from @uniofsurrey.bsky.social will present his work on macro-financial dynamics in #energy transitions: a stock-flow consistent, input-output approach www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/macro...

New paper just out on multi-agent reinforcement learning in an open-ended environment. It introduces the RULE algorithm, allowing groups of agents to update their own reward functions to solve otherwise insoluble problems. Fixed reward functions, so 2024… www.jmlr.org/papers/volum...

It's Karolina Bassa up next! Join us for a discussion on the dynamics of sovereign debt: credit risk and sustainability analysis on Thursday 15 May 2025 @ 2:00pm BST (Hybrid) More details and RSVP ⇢ www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/inet-... #complexity @inet-complexity.bsky.social @doynefarmer.bsky.social

Next up in our #ComplexityEconomics seminar series: Lilit Popoyan @qmul.ac.uk will be presenting prevention first vs. cap-and-trade policies in an agent-based integrated assessment model with greenhouse gas emissions. Online and in person, Wednesday 14 May www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/preve...

Now we've seen some footage of @doynefarmer.bsky.social's talk in Amsterdam last week, we're worried he'll be demanding a support band and cocktails before every seminar he gives ...

We're looking forward to this one! #EconSky

I had a great time in Amsterdam last week giving three very different talks. The one I gave during the Amsterdam Complexity School on Climate Change @acscc.bsky.social on technological change and #Complexity Economics is now available online. www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fnfi...

Fabian Stephany @oii.ox.ac.uk is on the look out for a part time research assistant to work on designing and administering a survey experiment among HR recruiters in the United States. 👀Details below my.corehr.com/pls/uoxrecru...

Sign up now for our first #ComplexityEconomics seminar of the term: Eric Kemp-Benedict @envleeds.bsky.social @universityofleeds.bsky.social on 7 May on classical-evolutionary technological change #EconSky www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/class...

Drinking a cocktail called “black hole” and listening to the illustrious @doynefarmer.bsky.social was a very good way to spend a Sunday evening in Amsterdam. I especially liked this message.

🌱DIEP seminar tomorrow 2pm! We are very pleased to have Doyne Farmer @doynefarmer.bsky.social give a talk on “The historical mother of emergent phenomena”. ❗Please note the unusual location: L1.01 (Lab 42) and time: Tuesday, 2pm. Hope to see you there!

Happy paperback publication day to @doynefarmer.bsky.social! #MakingSenseOfChaos is now available in a more portable format - the perfect on-the-go read. www.penguin.co.uk/books/284357...

Registration is now open for our Trinity Term #Complexity Economics seminar series (online and in person), starting with Eric Kemp-Benedict @envleeds.bsky.social @universityofleeds.bsky.social on 7 May on classical-evolutionary technological change #EconSky www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/class...