Ainara Mancebo
@ainaramancebo.bsky.social
📤 539
📥 188
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Political scientist in comparative democracy based in Cape Town, RSA.
https://sudafricatips.com
pinned post!
My case study on South Africa, featured in the "Dynamics in Legislative-Executive Relations: Global Outline for 2019-2024" published by Journal PS, garnered high attention.Forthcoming book chapter. 1/5 doi:10.1017/S1049096524000556
11 months ago
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Las IV jornadas sobre el África Austral en la nueva geopolítica mundial de
#CIDAF
están en el canal de YouTube de
#UCM
mi ponencia online sobre el éxito democrático sudafricano desde la oligarquía colonial la puedes ver desde 01:18:00
m.youtube.com/watch?v=cFsI...
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28 days ago
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The 16th Africa Day Lecture by Thabo Mbeki Foundation with Prof Kayode Fayemi highlights the challenges of African continent in the new global order environment when the leadership, institutional failures and corruption are eroding public trust.👇🏾
www.youtube.com/live/7_wwN3u...
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16th Annual Thabo Mbeki Africa Day Lecture
YouTube video by SABC News
https://www.youtube.com/live/7_wwN3ucylk?si=7cgEpwlcUTfexnxs
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Ainara Mancebo
Facultad de Ciencias Políticas y Sociología UCM
about 2 months ago
Jornadas sobre el África Austral en la Nueva Geopolítica Mundial”, 4-6 de mayo de 2026. Sala de Juntas. Organizadas por el CIDAF-UCM, con la participación de especialistas de distintos países, procedentes del ámbito académico, la diplomacia y las fuerzas armadas.
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El día 5 de mayo presentaré ponencia sobre la evolución del sistema político sudafricano dentro de las IV jornadas de geopolítica africana👇🏾
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about 2 months ago
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Julius Malema, leader of the EFF, today in full classic populist behavior mode before local elections in 2026: "We refuse to continue to participate in theatrical politics." No future coalitions arrangements👇🏾
www.timeslive.co.za/opinion/2026...
5 months ago
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reposted by
Ainara Mancebo
John Holbein
11 months ago
Look at the distribution of wealth among politicians around the world relative to the people they represent! The median politician in South Africa's has 200x the wealth of the typical household in that country.
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Next step: US census👇🏾
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
#gerrymandering
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11 months ago
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The push by U.S. Republicans to redraw electoral maps in multiple states ahead of the 2026 congressional elections serves as a cautionary example that proponents of constituency-based electoral systems in South Africa should carefully consider.
#gerrymandering
#SouthAfrica🧵1/3
11 months ago
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El valor del tipógrafo independiente para iluminar la caja oscura de la administración. Ya han pasado tres años desde la publicación del informe final de la Comisión Judicial de investigación, presidida por el Juez Raymond Zondo, sobre la corrupción en la administración sudafricana. Corruptelas…
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El valor del tipógrafo independiente para iluminar la caja oscura de la administración.
Ya han pasado tres años desde la publicación del informe final de la Comisión Judicial de investigación, presidida por el Juez Raymond Zondo, sobre la corrupción en la administración sudafricana. Corruptelas en todos los niveles de la administración, que es conocida como la captura del estado. Durante varios años, oportunistas varios identificaron debilidades en la cadena de comando y decisión administrativa, que procesa licitaciones públicas, para llenarse los bolsillos con dinero público.
http://sudafricatips.com/2025/08/04/el-valor-del-tipografo-independiente-para-iluminar-la-caja-oscura-de-la-administracion/
11 months ago
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My case study on South Africa, featured in the "Dynamics in Legislative-Executive Relations: Global Outline for 2019-2024" published by Journal PS, garnered high attention.Forthcoming book chapter. 1/5 doi:10.1017/S1049096524000556
11 months ago
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About the establishment of an ad-hoc parliamentary committee to investigate criminal activities within police dept in SouthAfrica. Should such an investigation remain solely within the purview of the judicial commission of inquiry announced by the President? 1/3
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11 months ago
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reposted by
Ainara Mancebo
Fabio Votta📊🐧
12 months ago
Pretty strong but also bleak message today by Former General Secretary of the UN Ban Ki-moon at
#IPSA2025
, says he has "no hope" for current world leaders, calling out nationalism, Trumpism, says we need a new young generation to carry things forward as global citizen.
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3 years after the Zondo Commission Report on the State Capture, South Africa just faces a new crisis within the state apparatus. President Ramaphosa resorts to once again a judicial commission of inquiry into the serious allegations made by Provincial Police Commissioner Nhlanhla Mkhwanazi. 1/2
11 months ago
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Same horror movie. In the south of Africa two weeks ago, after explosive allegations of criminal syndicates and political meddling in the police service, over which President Ramaphosa announced the establishment of a judicial commission of inquiry to probe.
www.nytimes.com/2025/07/13/w...
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11 months ago
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Presenting my paper on executive-legislative relations in South Africa on Wednesday, July 16th at 5:30 PM.
#IPSA2025
#Seoul
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11 months ago
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#IPSA2025
opening address, President Lee Jae-myung of the Republic of Korea delivered a compelling message, emphasizing the importance of resisting autocratic tendencies and upholding democratic principles and the rule of law, both domestically and internationally.
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12 months ago
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South Africa has followed the scripts of the best options to build a democratic system under a fragmented society: inclusivity and accommodation. In short, representativeness. Checks and balances structure and separation of powers that set limits to prevent the excessive use of power. 🧵 1/5
12 months ago
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As part of IPSA Research Committee of Legislative Specialists, I will present in Seoul my paper that explores the internal/external variables of a legislature that maximize its capacity to constrain government with a case study of the South African Parliament.👇🏾
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12 months ago
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Mr. Sandile Moloi and I
@ainaramancebo.bsky.social
concur on our assessment of recent developments in South Africa-U.S. relations, as presented in Aitor Garmendia's Berria article.
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about 1 year ago
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In this tense meeting, the South African delegation showed its commitment to inclusive politics in the post-party dominance political system. Members of the coalition cabinet, business, and trade unions were all represented and had an opportunity to express their views.
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about 1 year ago
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For the first time since the dawn of democracy, Members of Parliament (MPs) and members of the public engaged with the budget. And with the public support from all 10 coalition partners in government 1/2
about 1 year ago
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The fragmentation within national Parliament has intensified, and the dynamics of coalitions exhibit a similar pattern to that observed within local party structures in South Africa.
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about 1 year ago
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The end of the party dominance system in South Africa has brought new challenges to the executive-legislative relations. A court case on tax policy has opened the constitutionality 🧵 1/5
about 1 year ago
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The South African Court challenge on value added tax increase by a coalition government partner, DA, second largest parliamentary party and the opposition party, EFF, fourth largest parliamentary party is a interesting check and balance case🧵 1/4
about 1 year ago
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Social networks are part of our lives and parties use them without any restrictions. Today we have been bombarded by sms messages from parties to control the agenda and narrative of coalition arrangements regarding the national budget. 1/3
about 1 year ago
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The national budget is the first casualty in a coalition government that does not agree to detail policies prior to the coalition agreement. Or when your partners resort to populist strategies to disrupt the governing coalition for electoral purposes. 1/2
about 1 year ago
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Today many media and politicians are misleading the understanding of what is the National Budget Process in Parliament? The budget process is a structured cycle where government revenue and spending are planned, debated, and approved by Parliament.🧵 1/4
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about 1 year ago
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The leader of the DA just announced that its party, a member of the government coalition, will file papers in the Western Cape High Court to challenge Parliament’s passing of the 2025/26 National Budget. Would that be followed by a withdrawal of the GNU?
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about 1 year ago
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Coaltion dynamics: First time in South African parliamentary democracy, the annual Framework and Revenue National has been contentious debated in the National Assembly. And finally passed by 194 votes against 182🧵. 1/3
about 1 year ago
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How the DA will behave within the government coalition after being dismissed by the ANC in his fight against the tabled Fiscal Framework and Revenue 2025 proposal with an increase of VAT? 🧵. 1/4
about 1 year ago
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The government coalition (GNU) in South Africa was based on office-seeking strategies of opposition parties, and no policy-seeking. The national budget controversy between ANC and DA is more an electioneering mechanism looking at local elections 2026.🧵. 1/3
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about 1 year ago
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Confusion about the decision-making process of the fiscal framework in South Africa. After the 2025 Report on the Fiscal Framework and Revenue Proposals Parliament, as stipulated in the Money Bills Amendment Procedure and Related Matters Act (Act No. 9 of 2009)🧵. 1/6
over 1 year ago
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A bit of confusion fueled by coalition partners about budget approval process in South African Parliament. Let's debunk the current budget narrative and the VAT increase tabled yesterday will be in effect "from 1st May"🧵. 1/4
over 1 year ago
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New coalition dynamics in place after 30 years of Party Dominance in RSA. Budget introduced in Parliament today despite the opposition of the main (in numbers) coalition partner DA with 87 seats. 1/3
over 1 year ago
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The postponement of the introduction of the budget to 12th March, it is going to be the most crucial point for the survival of the grand coalition in South Africa.
mg.co.za/news/2025-02...
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Budget postponed to March in unprecedented move
The unprecedented step came after cabinet failed to agree on the tax measures Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana proposed
https://mg.co.za/news/2025-02-19-budget-postponed-to-march-in-unprecedented-move/
over 1 year ago
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For the first time since 1994, the presentation of the national budget is postponed without a date in South Africa. This has never happened under the party dominance system. New coalition dynamics. Speaker announcement: No agreement of parties in executive
m.youtube.com/watch?v=q0yl...
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BREAKING: The 2025 Budget speech postponed till further notice
YouTube video by SABC News
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=q0ylMq-7yw0
over 1 year ago
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South Africa's Parliament shows a substantial institutionalization, in which specialized committees have jurisdiction over government departments. Nevertheless, a disciplined parliamentary majority has limited the Parliament's ability to constrain the government. More👇🏾
doi.org/10.1017/S104...
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The South African Parliament’s Capacity to Constrain the Executive Branch Weakened by a Dominant Party System | PS: Political Science & Politics | Cambridge Core
The South African Parliament’s Capacity to Constrain the Executive Branch Weakened by a Dominant Party System - Volume 58 Issue 1
https://doi.org/10.1017/S1049096524000556
over 1 year ago
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When parliamentary budgets have been weaponized against coalition governments in Spain or France.The first coalition government in South Africa will start its budget debate and pass after the introduction of finance minister next week🧵.1/2
over 1 year ago
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Spotlight with lessons from previous South African legislatures on executive-legislative relations. Would the new government coalition in place since mid-2024 in South Africa force a shift in south african party behaviour in parliament?
doi.org/10.1017/S104...
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The South African Parliament’s Capacity to Constrain the Executive Branch Weakened by a Dominant Party System | PS: Political Science & Politics | Cambridge Core
The South African Parliament’s Capacity to Constrain the Executive Branch Weakened by a Dominant Party System - Volume 58 Issue 1
https://doi.org/10.1017/S1049096524000556
over 1 year ago
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reposted by
Ainara Mancebo
Calixte Bloquet
over 1 year ago
And if the topic of executive-legislative relations interests you, do make sure to check out the Spotlight section of the last issue of
@pspolisci.bsky.social
: many short and to the point insights into diverse country cases, by excellent colleagues - and all of it open access:
tinyurl.com/38b6tyr6
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PS: Political Science & Politics: Volume 58 - Issue 1 | Cambridge Core
Cambridge Core - PS: Political Science & Politics - Volume 58 - Issue 1
https://tinyurl.com/38b6tyr6
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The correlation suggesting that institutionalized parliaments possess greater capability to restrain the executive branch than less institutionalized parliaments is not supported in the South African case.👇🏾
doi.org/10.1017/S104...
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The South African Parliament’s Capacity to Constrain the Executive Branch Weakened by a Dominant Party System | PS: Political Science & Politics | Cambridge Core
The South African Parliament’s Capacity to Constrain the Executive Branch Weakened by a Dominant Party System - Volume 58 Issue 1
https://doi.org/10.1017/S1049096524000556
over 1 year ago
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Have legislatures become more assertive in confronting executive power? Hot topic discussed by colleagues of
@ipsa.org
Research Committee in the Spotlight section of the last issue of
@pspolisci.bsky.social
with case studies from countries in Europe, Asia, Australia, South America and Africa.
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over 1 year ago
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IPSA Research Committee of Legislative Specialists will address several key questions at the 28th World Congress of Political Science, hosted in Seoul, South Korea: Has executive power increased relative to legislative power? Have legislatures become more assertive in confronting executive power?
over 1 year ago
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In France: LFI and RN "must both assume their place within their respective coalitions and face the difficult test of power." However, populists tend toward a zero-sum game challenging any long-term coalition arrangements.
www.lemonde.fr/blog/piketty...
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For a new left-right cleavage
Let's face it: France will not emerge from its current political crisis by inventing a new central coalition. The idea that the country should be governed by bringing together all the so-called "reaso...
https://www.lemonde.fr/blog/piketty/2024/12/17/for-a-new-left-right-cleavage/
over 1 year ago
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The South African Economic Freedom Fighters Party (EFF) has recently concluded its third National People's Assembly and published its political report covering 2019-2024, which states that EFF Parliament action: 🧵
over 1 year ago
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A technocratic PM choice to overcome parliamentary impasse in 🇫🇷 could fuel narratives like Rep US senator Mike Lee:"we, American people, take back control from unelected, unaccountable bureaucrats who've been running our government like it’s their personal sandbox, treating us like their subjects."
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over 1 year ago
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The NPP's candidate conceded defeat to opposition leader and former president Dramani Mahama before the official results were announced. This election marks a historic first for Ghana, as the vice president-elect, Professor Naana Jane Opoku-Agyemang, is a woman.
www.africanews.com/2024/12/09/g...
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Ghana Makes History with First Female Vice President-Elect, Prof. Naana Jane Opoku-Agyemang | Africanews
In 2008, she became the first woman to lead a public university in Ghana, serving as Vice-Chancellor of the University of Cape Coast.
https://www.africanews.com/2024/12/09/ghana-makes-history-with-first-female-vice-president-elect-prof-naana-jane-opoku-agyemang/
over 1 year ago
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"The United States needs to stop talking about China and demonstrate its interest by showing up. Showing up means engaging much more frequently at a high political level" The same applies to the European Union.
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over 1 year ago
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Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah of Namibia's ruling Swapo party has elected president (won 57% of votes), the country's first female leader. Swapo has ruled the country since its independence from apartheid South Africa in 1990🧵
over 1 year ago
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While waiting for the official release of the Namibian national election results from November 27, the electoral commission is under scrutiny because of concerns about the credibility and trustworthiness of the process.
www.namibian.com.na/namibias-ele...
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Namibia’s elections described as a sham
%%title%% %%sep%% %%primary_category%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% %%sep%% The recently concluded national election has been described as a sham, failing to meet the credibility of being free and fair.
https://www.namibian.com.na/namibias-elections-described-as-a-sham/
over 1 year ago
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