@yujimasumura.bsky.social and I show that info advantage lets leaders exaggerate shifting power, leading to public skepticism over value of war. (IOW, the conditions that make preventive war attractive can undermine its political benefits—even if leaders are being honest) doi.org/10.1111/ajps...

Hey, folks. After a bit of a delay, COW has moved from the place formerly known as the bird site to BlueSky. Watch this space for updates from Co-Directors @jeffcarter.bsky.social and @thescottwolford.bsky.social, and, in even better news, a brand-new COW Data Set in a week or so.

Shifting power, interstate war, and domestic politics by Scott Wolford and Yuji Masumura is now available in Early View. @thescottwolford.bsky.social @yujimasumura.bsky.social ajps.org/2025/04/30/s...

Our new paper, coauthored with @thescottwolford.bsky.social , is out now in @ajpseditor.bsky.social ! Hope you’ll take a look (and cite if it helps your work)!

"Shifting power, interstate war, and domestic politics," co-authored w/@utaustin.bsky.social PhD student @yujimasumura.bsky.social, is now out in Early View @ajpseditor.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1111/ajps...

I'll try to put together a proper thread in the next few days, but here's a short blog post about a paper of mine that's forthcoming at @thejop.bsky.social.